The Rise of the Iranian Dictatorship

Tehran is increasingly relying on its military to control its citizens. Looking at the new leaders of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard, that trend seems certain to hasten.

BY GENEIVE ABDO | OCTOBER 7, 2009

Since the June 12 Iranian presidential election stirred massive anti-regime demonstrations, President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and his inner circle of hard-liners have used the armed forces -- particularly the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) -- to suppress dissent. Western observers have commented on the country's slide toward military dictatorship. Fareed Zakaria, for instance, devoted his Sunday news show to it this past week. But what was once a theory now seems commonly acceptable fact, as Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's latest appointments to the IRGC demonstrate.

The secretive paramilitary group became a dominant institution in Iran -- socially, politically, militarily, and economically -- during Ahmadinejad's first term. He appointed IRGC members to positions as ambassadors, mayors, cabinet ministers, and high-ranking officials at state-run economic institutions. The IRGC returned the favor during the electoral campaign. Before the election, the chief of the IRGC, Mohammad Ali Jafari, encouraged the guards to "participate" -- a not-so-subtle directive to do whatever necessary to guarantee Ahmadinejad's re-election. They did so, both by intimidating opposition members and even, some in Iran allege, single-handedly rigging the vote.

Khamenei's new appointments to the IRGC leadership give hard-liners unprecedented power. The appointees also include some of the most feared and brutal men in Iran -- implying the IRGC will become an even stronger anti-democratic tool in the state's hands and making any mediating dissent from its ranks far more unlikely.

Consider the appointees. The new commander of the Basij, a paramilitary group under the IRGC's control, is Mohammad Reza Naghdi.

Back in 1993, Khamenei appointed Naghdi as deputy director of intelligence of the Quds Force, a branch of the IRGC responsible for international operations. Naghdi and his team allegedly committed numerous acts of torture and abuse. After the courts charged a high-ranking member of the Ministry of Intelligence with murdering secular intellectuals, Naghdi and his team formed a "parallel intelligence force" to avoid such scrutiny. This allowed Naghdi and his cronies to work outside the control of then-President Mohammad Khatami, who had vowed to cleanse the ministry. They continued their brutal practices, despite his attempts at reform.

ATTA KENARE/AFP/Getty Image

 

Geneive Abdo is the editor of insideIRAN.org and a fellow at the Century Foundation. Arash Aramesh, a researcher for insideIRAN.org, contributed to this article.

GRANT

6:35 PM ET

October 7, 2009

To be honest the only

To be honest the only difference it makes to me is that the regime will probably spend even more on keeping the populace under control and too fearful to do anything than they already are. I already assumed even before this that Ahmadinejad will remain in power for somewhere between five and twenty years before a revolution/coup/war/etc gets rid of him, and if he does betray Khamenei before that it's Khamenei's fault for being stupid enough to back him in the fraud-fallout.

 

SNOOD

11:47 PM ET

October 7, 2009

: Hitler would have been proud

Apparently, Hitler's neo-Pagan theories about Aryan cultures
and its basis for Nazi ideology have an ironic basis in reality
few would have realized 60 years ago.

Today in Iran (the ancestral homeland of the Aryan people)
we have as close to a Fascist Islamic Nazi-like ruling clique
as is possible in the modern era.

Hitler would have worshipped Ahmadinejad (were Adolph alive
today) as encapsulating every neo-Pagan, mythical, Aryan,
fascist, apocalyptic, anti-Semitic ideal that the Third Reich was
striving for.

Hitler has been reborn....in Ahmadinejad. They are one
and the same. And the means of their defeat has not changed
in 60 years.

 

SNOOD

12:04 AM ET

October 8, 2009

Iran=Nazi Germany 1937

Initially many Germans opposed Hitler, including Conservatives (many
descended from German royalty), Socialists, Communists, Trade
Unionists, artists and intellectuals, and even apolitical Germans.
Then Hitler and the German National Socialist party consolidated
power and the opposition was jailed, killed, co-opted or exiled.
Initially the Lutherna and Catholic Church in Germany gave its
imprimatur to the Nazis and later they were co-opted.

I think the analogy to events taking place in Iran are striking.
Ahmadinejad and the Basij (=SS) are widdling away at the opposition.
The Shiite Islamic Council playing the role that the Churches
did in Nazi Germany, trying to give its support (and like in Germany
using religious precepts to justify it) and yet also trying to keep
its distance and stay above the fray. And like Hitler, Ahmadinejad
is co-opting the Islamic Council in Iran and using it to justify
his dictatorship and yet also say his legitimacy comes directly
from God (bypassing the Ayatollahs). This is exactly what Hitler
said. And, like Hitler, the anti-Semitic fervor to whip up support
for Ahmadinejad is being played just as the Nazis did (except
there are fewer Jews in Iran than there were in Germany, at least
before 1941). So, Israel and Zionism become the external clarion
call for Ahmadinejad's neo-Fascist Nazi-Islamic apocalyptic
mystical dictatorship, and the same mythical beliefs in a pure
Iranian (read "Aryan") Islamic paradise which will materialize when
the Mahdi (the Hidden Imam) returns to save Iran and Islam
is EXACTLY ANALOGOUS to Hitler's, Himmler's, Goebbel's
and Rosenberg's theories about the neo-Aryan pure Germanic
paradise that will arise in Germany when the foreign Jewish
and other impure elements are removed.

What is striking is not so much the parallels, it is that the
ever Leftist accomodationist global press and policies of Obama
and Europe (forget the Third World which is already mostly
fascist) act as if there are no parallels. It is not because they
haven't done the homework, it is because they willfully ignore
the perils and the parallels.

 

FARAMARZ FATHI

12:21 PM ET

October 8, 2009

Fantasy or realities!

Snood:

It is disingenuous for one with such abundant deficiencies in political insightfulness surrounding the current government in Iran and Iranian people to draw such parallels to the fascism in Nineteen Forties in central Europe.

Iran's chain of political entities defies the historical parallels you have implied here and the monsters you are projecting are more consistent with confabulation than realities on ground.

 

SOULCASE

7:27 AM ET

October 9, 2009

Sigh

If there were an Iranian equivalent of the SS, it would certainly be the IRGC, not the Basij. The Basij are far less organized than the Guards. But there is not much analog between the Weimar Republic and today's Iran.

That being said, the dictatorship in Iran is already there, far before Ahmadinezhad came to the fore. The Supreme Leader of the Revolution can do anything he damned well pleases, and the Guardian Council can veto any candidate for office, which effectively squelches any real chance of representation of Iran's various classes and societies.

As for the projected lifetime of this regime, anyone who gives a timeline for the end is selling something. The will of the Iranian people and their desire for a new kind of government is well-matched in the determination of the regime's power structure to prevent any change or coup. The regime is simply ratcheting-up its defense mechanisms to deal with the increased resistance. Yes, the facade of representational government has fallen for the world to see, but those who just now realized this were purposefully fooling themselves. Hopefully this will slay the chimera of the possibility of an "Islamic Republic." About as real as a unicorn.