
White House watchers have been abuzz for the last two weeks with news that U.S. President Barack Obama and his top advisors are reading Gordon Goldstein's book, Lessons in Disaster: McGeorge Bundy and the Path to War in Vietnam. The White House has rightly been commended for looking back to lessons past, for all great wartime leaders have been keen students of history. But the choice of Goldstein's book is most unfortunate because its history is flawed and its recommendations are consequently dangerous.
Goldstein's history is part of a swath of accounts that claim the Vietnam War was unnecessary because the strategic stakes were low and unwinnable because the enemy was less casualty-averse. In the past 15 years, however, several scholarly works have inflicted major damage on those interpretations. Instead of seriously considering those histories and the new evidence presented therein, Goldstein simply ignored them. What we are left with is an outdated portrait of history that does not even address the many potent objections that can be raised against it.
Goldstein's historical myopia yielded the lesson that is most likely to influence the current White House: that the president should distrust predictions and resource requests from the military. In analyzing the Vietnam deliberations of 1965, Goldstein maligns the theater's commanding general, William Westmoreland, for blithely assuming that the enemy would cave in under heightened U.S. military pressure. Westmoreland's reliance on this false assumption, Goldstein says, resulted in a futile strategy of attrition.
The historical documents tell a different story, one in which the military leadership demonstrated noteworthy prescience. On June 24, 1965, Westmoreland cabled the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff that "it is time all concerned face up to [the] fact that we must be prepared for a long war," for "if the Communists have the determination to make it such, they certainly have the capabilities." He added, "I face the very practical problem of maintaining morale of people on their second combat tours, with many, many more to come, I suspect, when all the forces we require are committed." While the military prepared for the long haul, it was civilian leaders, particularly the Harvard-educated proponents of game theory, who expected rapid enemy capitulation.
Goldstein overlooks the U.S. military's recommendations for more aggressive actions in 1964 and 1965, as well as the lack of military knowledge and the contempt for the generals that led Defense Secretary Robert McNamara and other civilians to quash those recommendations. The Joint Chiefs of Staff lobbied unsuccessfully for intensified bombing of North Vietnam and insertion of U.S. ground forces in Laos to cut the Ho Chi Minh Trail. North Vietnamese sources, conspicuously absent from Goldstein's book, have since revealed that these actions would have reaped huge strategic rewards for the United States.
Ron Sachs-Pool via Getty Images
Mark Moyar is the author of Triumph Forsaken: The Vietnam War, 1954-1965 and A Question of Command: Counterinsurgency from the Civil War to Iraq.
This article still doesn't put a dent in the the most important argument that most Vietnam apologists ignore: Vietnam was a huge STRATEGIC mistake. It's true it was mishandled tactically as well. To say that defeat was snatched from the jaws of victory -- even though we couldn't win with a half a million troops over there -- is dubious, but completely ignores the more important question -- one that today's COIN advocates often ignore -- of is the war worth winning in the first place? (And Afghanistan may be, but the question must be asked and answered carefully.) I can't vouch for the Goldstein's book, but Moyar's article here doesn't give me much hope for either of his. There is no way that Harold Johnson's "five years and 500,000 soldiers" would have been worth the expenditure of blood and treasure. Vietnam was a foolish strategic mistake, which the Russians exploited opportunistically to bleed the United States.
The much more convincing argument that Moyar ignores seemingly for the sake of being contrary is that counterinsurgency tactics undertaken under Gen. Abrams seemed to have done some good. But even this line of argument is moot because both in terms of grand strategy and military strategy the war was simply never worth fighting.
Vietnam was not a strategic mistake
What most people fail to take into account are the consequences that could have occurred had the United States not committed to Vietnam. Could communism have swept through southeast asia? It very well could have. Remember that the stated goal of the Soviet Union was to spread communism throughout the world. They and their proxies were responsible for wars all across the planet. Russian pilots flew Migs in the Korean and Vietnam wars, provided training and an endless supply of AK47s, Cuban soldiers (with Soviet funding) fought wars in Africa, the list goes on and on.
Many people say Vietnam was simply a civil war. Yes, it cost our country treasure and lives. It also cost the Russians and Chinese because they put tremendous efforts into winning this war- money that they could ill afford to spend. Let's say we didn't defend S. Vietnam and it fell to the communists in 1965. Wouldn't this have allowed the Russians and Chinese to expand their efforts in exporting communism? Wouldn't they have had more resources to do so? And the will, seeing how successful they could be because we didn't have the will to commit our country to the fight? How about imagining a new Korean war, say in 1970? How would it have ended the second time around?
No war is ever perfect, and we certainly learned our share of mistakes in Vietnam- no one disputes this. The point is that the war could have ended with an independent and free South Vietnam if we had simply continued to provide funding & air support to the South Vietnamese govt. (remember, by 1972 our ground troops were gone). Imagine that- no Vietnamese re-education camps, no boat people, maybe Pol Pot would have not taken power. Who knows? But to say it wasn't worth fighting is simply wrong.
So, no, Vietnam was not a strategic mistake when you consider the very real and dangerous consequences of not fighting this war.
Vietnam war was a strategic mistake
At the time, we thought communism was economically viable, and we feared that this godless evil would take over much of the world, leading to all sorts of massive famines and bloodbaths.
Today we probably have just as many Americans and Europeans headed for Hell because they don't believe in God as we would have had if communism had taken over. Nor is it likely that communism would have taken us over, as its economic non-viability would have brought it down first. Indeed, the fight against communism probably brought more socialism to the U.S. than we would have had without resisting Soviet expansionism, as we had to make domestic policy compromises with liberals in order to buy their acquiescence to the Cold War.
The massive famines and blood baths that would have followed additional communist victories would have been good for the environment, would have made more room in the world for westerners, and would have reduced the flow of 3rd World immigrants to the West. Finally, it would have delayed and slowed the off-shoring of American jobs. (We could not have moved so much production to China had we not already had the experience of outsourcing production to Japan and Korea.)
And when you think of all the countries where the man-in-the-street sympathizes with the goals of Al Kaeda, a brutal communist oppressor that exterminates their religious leaders is just what those people deserve.
Mark Moyar: Historian With Psychic Powers!
I don't really have a problem with whatever debate Mark Moyar wishes to have with Gordon Goldstein. That's part of interpreting history, so go at it, boys!
Still, I for one would like to know where Moyar gets his psychic powers when he declares..."Goldstein's historical myopia yielded the lesson that is most likely to influence the current White House: that the president should distrust predictions and resource requests from the military." Really now? These folks in the White House, all fairly accomplished intellects, will get sucked in by Goldsteins...arguments? Influence? Magic spells? What is it, that would cause the "current White House" to surrender independent judgement and reason to this man so that they "distrust (the) predictions and resource requests" of the Pentagon?
That seems to me to be a stupid, shallow, self serving, sour grapes kind of statement, one that screams "How come they didn't pick my book? Boo hoo hoo hoo hoo!!!!" If that's the way you feel, Mark, send George Stephonopoulos a copy of your little book and see if you can get it on the White House list. In the meantime, lets try not to turn FP into Fox News, by taking any and every legitimate discussion on policy (including real debates on the lessons of history) and reduce it some pathetic little Barack Obama mind reading session. Is that too much to ask?
"intensified bombing of North Vietnam and insertion of U.S. ground forces in Laos to cut the Ho Chi Minh Trail ... would have reaped huge strategic rewards for the United States."
And these "huge strategic rewards" would have been... what, exactly?
Leaving aside for a moment, the enormous financial cost, the horrendous loss of life, the deforrestation and contamination of the Vietnamese countryside, the social consequences of mass death and destruction, the loss of US prestige and moral standing in the world...
the "huge strategic rewards" would have amounted to the US military proving it could win a war of aggression against a much weaker adversary, quite an important accomplishment for those who believe war is a noble end in itself, and that civil society should fund perpetual war for the sake of the men (and women) in uniform.
If we take into account the aforementioned negatives, it becomes clear that, while war may be profitable for the weapons industry and satisfying for the war boys and war lovers, it is ultimately catastrophic for civil society. Hence civil society calculates the cost of war using a wider range of metrics than is available to the military industrial community.
Civil society should not be required nor forced to fund the destruction of its own moral and financial integrity to sate the bloodlust of a rowdy rabble or to profit a war loving elite.
This is as wrongheaded an argument as I have seen. If the generals had been listened to more there would have been a nuclear war over Vietnam! What planet is Mr.Moyar on?
I understand the need for discussion and argument, but I'd be interested in the editors reasons for publishing this one.
This week is the 47th anniversary of the Cuban missile crisis. Are we going to see articles saying that we should have followed Curtis LeMay's advice and nuked the place, or invaded it as some (not Gen. Krulak) advocated?
Does anyone really think these ideas have any validity with any serious strategists or scholars beyond a few on the fringe right?
Moyar takes LBJ to task for not bombing North Vietnam and for not putting troops on the ground to cut the Ho Chi Minh trail, and therefore he claims we lost the war.
Yet, we did bomb North Vietnam, heavily, all to no avail. We did attempt to cut the Trail and could not for any length of time.
Moyar also holds the absurd belief that ARVN troops could have held the line but that we betrayed them by withholding air support. Yet at the time South Vietnam had the 4th largest air force in the world. Both France and the US had been pouring materiel, money, and training into the country since the end of WW2.
It was the corrupt ARVN Generals and other high officers who betrayed their troops and lost the war. Wages were stolen and went directly into their pockets. Rations were swiped and sold on the black market. Morale therefore was pretty low. In the last battles their officers panicked and abandoned their commands.
South Vietnam was given every chance and opportunity to successfully defend itself.
It should also be noted that we never should have been there in the first place. The Geneva accords of 1954 called for an election in 1956. We realized Ho would win the election hands down and went to war instead. Funny way in install a democracy.
To GRIFROSS 1:03 PM ET October 20 on election in '56
We had good reason not to support an election where Ho would win "hands down".
Why did the U.S. block the election? It wasn’t because we didn’t trust democracy; it was because we didn’t trust communism. Two reasons why the communists would have won in ‘56:
1)The North under communist dominion had a larger population.
2)In North Vietnam under Ho Chi Minh, there was absolutely no free votes of any kind.
From declassified Soviet files we have available today, we now know that they summarily murdered anywhere from 10,000 to a million people for the crime of opposing communism. So, if you have a larger population in the North where there is no freedom whatsoever- no freedom of opposition and protest, no freedom of vote, resulting in a 100% vote for communism…Going forward with a nationwide election would have been anything other than a stolen “election” and a theatrical farce?
Why were we there in the first place?
I'm still curious, since I can't pinpoint the exact moment that we became the sole ruler of the world, and everyone else has to listen to us. Did I miss the election where we (as in, our government) were appointed Moral Big Brother To All? Vietnam was a mistake. Plain and simple. We were there because we didn't like THEIR politics... Why was that our business? Did they attack us? It was simply a convinient excuse to get the American people to focus on something else other than the problems of the time. When we can't solve our problems, never fear, we'll just create new ones, and hope the old ones go away! This 'merchant of DEATH' scandal has the same type of ring to it. If he's the arms DEALER, and we know so much about his business, why aren't we shutting down his SUPPLIERS??? (Is it cuz they're our suppliers too?) Why haven't the U.S. officials made this arrest, since he has so many 'business interests' here? Why wait til he's in Thailand where extradition is going to be complicated at best, and impossible at worst? Or is this another ploy to get us focused on something outside our borders, instead of contemplating solutions for the problems within....
I think Obama and the WH staff would be best served by (re)reading A Bright Shining Lie.
The Path to Nuclear War - Lessons in Disaster
The reality is that ISRAEL is arguably neither Jewish nor democratic.
October 22, 2009, 3:55AM
KM, Tzipi Livni, Jerusalem -- Wednesday, October 21, 2009
To Mr. Jeremy Ben-Ami, Executive Director, J Street
'I would like to congratulate you on your inaugural national conference. I believe most American Jews support Israel and want to see it thrive as a Jewish and democratic state.'
However, in the eyes of many, the reality is that Israel is arguably neither Jewish nor democratic.
The state of Israel was established in 1948 by the UN as a Jewish homeland, in the aftermath of the Holocaust in which the majority of European Jews were liquidated by the Nazis in industrial style murder factories.
In the beginning, it served its true purpose and welcomed all those who had suffered from persecution around the world and who were born of a Jewish mother. But in the years that followed, the vision blurred and Herzl's dream of a Jewish agrarian co-operative, set within a Muslim Middle East and living in harmony with its indigenous neighbours, soon turned into a nightmare.
The indigenous Arabs voted, en bloc, against the UN resolution of 1947 that proposed to divide their land to accommodate a Jewish state in Palestine, and when their voices were ignored they attacked the fledgling state immediately upon its birth, which they saw as illegitimate. But the Arab armies, lost, and with that loss the new Israeli state gained an arrogant maturity. If a small Jewish army could defeat the combined armies of the Arabs, then surely God was with them and they could impose their rule at will.
In fact, they succeeded in imposing their will only with the covert, but subsequent overt, help of the United States - or rather, the American Zionist lobby, later to adopt the more benign name of AIPAC, the American Israel Jewish Affairs Committee, that now exerts such a powerful influence on US foreign policy through its control on the voting behaviour of both the House of Representatives and the Senate.
Throughout the post-war years, as America's power increased worldwide, the tiny Israeli state hung onto its coat-tails, fed and sustained with billions of tax dollars from unknowing Americans. And so, the state of Israel grew exceedingly arrogant and with that arrogance, came brutality. For the grandchildren of the survivors of the Holocaust grew to forget the horrors of war-time Europe that had so decimated their grandparents in Germany, Austria, Poland, France, Holland, Czechoslovakia and Hungary.
Like an abused child, who in turn abuses his or her own children - Israelis began to oppress and humiliate their neighbours. Then came the killings, which, it was claimed, were in self-defense. But too often it was women and children who died at the hands of the Israeli army. Too often, unarmed civilians.
But the IDF was increasingly composed of young soldiers of Russian or Ethiopian origin, whose parents may, or may not, have been born Jewish.
Israel consistently claims to be the only democracy in the Middle East, but her actions are anything but democratic. She kills, imprisons and tortures many thousands - even up to today. Without trial and without any semblance of justice but with every semblance of inequality.
That the state of Israel is carried on the back of the American tax-payer is common knowledge but it is open to debate whether that small country is entirely Jewish or democratic. Certainly, as a Jewish Democrat, originally from a very old, east European Jewish family, I am exceedingly doubtful.
But there is one thing of which I am certain - unless the US changes course and stops arming Israel, a nuclear war in the M E is inevitable, with devastating consequences for the world.
GDriver
The article ignores both history and politics. On the matter of bombing, is Mr. Moyar somehow unaware that the United States did indeed intensify bombing multiple times with absolutely no effect? On the Ho Chi Minh Trail does the man understand the worry of bringing a nuclear China into the war?
(12)
HIDE COMMENTS LOGIN OR REGISTER REPORT ABUSE