The Only Hope Left?

Why a unilaterally declared state might be the only one that Palestine can get.

BY DAOUD KUTTAB | NOVEMBER 17, 2009

Mahmoud Abbas is in a bind. Faced with a seemingly insurmountable impasse to negotiations with Israel, the Palestinian Authority president can either resign from his PLO chairmanship or come up with some serious, unilateral action to break the deadlock. With hopes that Barack Obama would stand up to the right-wing Israeli leadership dashed, an unwillingness to return to violent resistance, and the inability to resign his presidency of the PA in protest, the Palestinian leader has no alternative but to declare a Palestinian state unilaterally.

 

The first question one might ask of the leader who has yet been unable to deliver a solution for his people is simply: Why not resign? Indeed fresh leadership, some argue, is just what the situation needs. But the Basic Law of the Palestinian Authority stipulates that such a resignation would prompt presidential elections within 60 days. With the recently released pro-Hamas Speaker of the Palestinian Legislative Council, Abdel Aziz Duwaik, poised to become that leader should a vote proceed, resignation is not an option for the secular Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) leader.
 
So Abbas is left with unilateral action. The idea to declare independence is not new; a similar Declaration of Independence was made in Algiers in1988, setting forth Palestinians’ historic compromise by accepting the two-state solution: An independent and free state of Palestine alongside a safe and secure state of Israel. The declaration came at the height of the relatively nonviolent Palestinian uprising in the occupied territories, dubbed the intifada, and forced the PLO to accept the two-state solution as a means to end the occupation of the West Bank (including East Jerusalem) and Gaza Strip. The declaration was welcomed by more than 100 countries.
 
Then what happened? The unilateral declaration failed to significantly alter the reality on the ground. In the ensuing years, the Oslo peace process failed to produce an end to the occupation, and Palestinians began searching for an alternative to the talks. The process’s five-year interim period expired in May 1999, leaving many Palestinians worried that the status quo of occupation would become a permanent reality. After the failed Camp David II talks, the violence of the second intifada, and finally, the tragedy of September 11, there was little remaining chance that a unilateral action would succeed. Washington had no stomach for any Palestinian action that was opposed by Israel, and the staunchly pro-Israel U.S. Congress issued a number of sharply worded resolutions against such declarations of Palestinian statehood.
 

JAAFAR ASHTIYEH/AFP/Getty Images

 

Daoud Kuttab is a Palestinian journalist and a former Ferris Professor of Journalism at Princeton University. His email is info@daoudkuttab.com.

SID

2:43 AM ET

November 18, 2009

Palestine State

The Israel lobby has become the cancer that has eaten the very moral fiber of U.S leadership. 90% of the problems faced by U.S in Islamic world is due to its unqualified support for Israel. Yet, no U.S President had the moral courage to stand up to Israel. 1967 was a defining moment, when Arabs faulted and denied statehood to Palestine people by not recognizing a two state solution. Now it is a defining moment for both Israel and U.S. If they fail to see the potential folly of their policies, 20 years down a rough road, Israel would be forced to sign on dotted lines, when China would be the sole super power.

 

DECONSTRUCTOR

8:01 AM ET

November 18, 2009

It is already the hightime for the Palastinian independence.

The Palestinian government must be realistic. Leave all your fantasies please and make fundamental decisions which paves way for your future independent state rather than just sitting and wishing about it. There is no question that the international community (except Israel and US) opposes the aggression of Israel and supports the natural rights of Palestinians. You must make two important decisions to secure your future (by this I don’t mean I am discovering America but talking about the timing of such decisions):

(1) If the Palestinian Authority declares its own independent state within the 1967 borders all nations in the UN will recognize the legitimacy of Palestine as an independent state. I am stunned why they don’t do this yet? This will leave Israel with no choice but to agree to recognize the inherent and natural rights of Palestinian people. The legal and international pressure on Israel must dramatically be increased.

(2) Secondly, after declaring independence if the future Palestinian state signs and ratifies the Rome Statute on International Criminal Court it will restrain and hold accountable of any aggression or any war crimes and crimes against humanity to be committed by Israel as in the past.

These two acts of supreme importance to undertaken at the moment. It is the right time to act and if you show laxity in such important decision you will bury any hope for your future!

 

DAVID IN DC

8:32 AM ET

November 18, 2009

BORDERS? NON-VIOLENCE?

"Western powers would also find it difficult to refuse recognition of a state declared within the internationally recognized borders of June 4, 1967."

These are definitely NOT internationally recognized borders. This is where the armies happened to be when they stopped fighting in 1948. It is an armistice line. As UN resolutions and bilateral agreements make clear, these are not the borders, and that the borders shall be negotiated.

In any event, Abbas already rejected a state, offered by Olmert at Annapolis, that would have given him basically everything the Palestinians are unilaterally threatening to declare now.

"A declaration of independence would allow the Palestinians to demarcate a state covering territory that best reflects minimal Palestinian requirements -- without having to negotiate those red lines. "

The Palestinians don't want to negotiate (and thus, they are refusing to do so), they want everything they are demanding, and refuse to accept anything less. They have their "minimum requirements", which happen to be equivalent to their "maximal requirements". Any unilateral declaration will in reality be the Palestinians grabbing everything they want landwise, without conceding anything else. When it comes time to negotiate the rest of the issues, it is a near certainly they won't concede any claims there either (for example, they will not get their right of return because they can't force the issue, but they won't drop the claim).

A big sticking point, both for Arafat at Taba and Abbas at Annapolis, is the fact that it is a red line for the Palestinians to acknowledge a Jewish connection to the Temple Mount. They will not do it and have rejected deals because of it.

...According to reports in the Israeli press, the proposal presented by Israel would have given the Palestinians 98.5 % of this territory: all of the Gaza Strip, 93% of the West Bank and 5.5% of territory as a land swap that would enlarge Gaza to compensate for the West Bank land Israel intended to annex; in addition, a connecting route between Gaza and the West Bank would be made available.

The Palestinians were quick to reject the Israeli proposal - again an event that apparently went largely unnoticed. Not long afterwards, with new elections already scheduled in Israel, there were rumors that prime minister Olmert and foreign minister Livni intended to make a last-ditch effort to clinch a deal. These rumors have now been confirmed by the long-time Palestinian chief negotiator Saeb Erekat during a recent appearance on Al-Jazeera TV.

Erekat acknowledged that Israel had presented the Palestinians with a proposal in November 2008 which "talked about Jerusalem and almost 100% of the West Bank," and he noted that Mahmoud Abbas could have accepted this proposal, just as the "Palestinian negotiators could have given in in 1994, 1998, or 2000." Intriguingly, Erekat then proceeded to reveal what he considered a "secret": he explained why the Palestinians had rejected the recent proposals just like the ones offered in 2000/01 during the negotiations in Camp David and Taba. What prevented an agreement every time - at least according to Erekat - was the Israeli request that the Palestinians acknowledge the central importance of the Temple Mount for Jewish history and religion...

See the whole article here:

http://cgis.jpost.com/Blogs/warpedmirror/entry/saeb_erekat_s_secret_posted

 

SPOOD

12:30 PM ET

November 18, 2009

"Western powers would also

"Western powers would also find it difficult to refuse recognition of a state declared within the internationally recognized borders of June 4, 1967."

It should be noted that anytime Arab League or Palestinian leaders refer to "1967 borders", it is a phony appeal for the Western press to appear like one is making reasonable peace terms but not actually doing so.

Neither Israel nor the Palestinian leadership is looking for this demarcation simply because both sides have demographically overgrown it. Camps and villages on the Palestinian side have grown into de facto cities in the last 40 years.

Such proposals usually are loaded with dealbreakers such as East Jerusalem as the capital and the right of return. Neither of which would actually further the advance of a new Palestinian state or peaceful relations.

This is one of a long line of junk proposals to make the Arab world look more moderate and reasonable than reality suggests

 

SPOOD

2:51 PM ET

November 18, 2009

That is every nation but the

That is every nation but the ones actually hammering out anything resembling a practical peace plan. Setting arbitrary borders is part of the problem in the first place. Its the main reason the terms are a byword for fake plans. The 67 borders are untennable for both sides because of demographic overflows and developments since then. Neither side wants to return to such rigid lines.

Which is more proof of my assertion that such terms are strictly for the foreign press to give an air to a peace plan that nobody will accept in good faith. Its a pure publicity stunt.

How come the Palestinian/Israeli conflict is the only one where peace terms are put up without any consultation with the other side as to what might be acceptable and what isn't?

What happens is the Palestinians and Arab league put together a plan by themselves and then run to the press when its inevitably rejected because they loaded it with terms that they know to be unacceptable by any reasonable standard, but not advertised as well.

 

BETZ55

10:31 AM ET

November 18, 2009

After 18 years of 'negotiation' with Israel enough is enough

Israel walked out of the Taba negotiations. The two sides came very close to agreement. They were called off by Israel. Your revisionist history does not hold up.

Palestinian leadership, which was democratically elected, has expressed time and time again the willingness to accept the pre-1967 borders as basis for negotiation. The '67 borders are de facto, refresh yourself with with UN resolution 242.

The Palestinains don;t want to negotiate? It is a matter of record that Mahmoud Abbas participated in 18 years of direct negotiations with seven Israeli governments; all without any settlements freeze which is an Israeli obligation under the roadmap.

What do you suggest, that Abbas should allow settlements to grow for another 18 years? He, along with the rest of the world has wised up to the sneaky, morally reprehensible actions of the Israel government and wants a change to his previous approachs.

During those 18 years, and especially during the Oslo accords when the Israeli agreed to a settlement freeze, the settlements and their associated infrastructure grew exponentially,and now illegal settlers have become terrorists burning land, destroying olive trees, killing Palestinains all without consequence. If it was tht other way around we wouldn;t hear the end of it with all the unending victim rhetoric.

Israel continues to undermine the very credibility to the Middle East peace process, making a mockery of existing agreements and sabotaging all prospects for a return to genuine negotiations

The real question is: when will there finally be an Israeli leadership ready to come to the table, accept international law, and make the concessions necessary for peace? Because the truth is, Israel (and U.S.) rejectionism has been the greatest deterrent to peace over the last 40 years.

If you actually want peace, you don't build illegal settlement colonies in the Palestinian capital or on Palestinian land.

 

DAVID IN DC

11:12 AM ET

November 18, 2009

Arafat rejected offer at Taba

"Israel walked out of the Taba negotiations. The two sides came very close to agreement. They were called off by Israel. Your revisionist history does not hold up."

This New Yorker article is posted on the Saudi embassy's website. Those who are interested can read pages 55-58. Prince Bandar relates what the offer was and the chronology of what happened. It matches what Clinton and Dennis Ross say.

Among other things, Bandar says that the offer was a "remarkable development" which "gave Arafat almost everything he wanted". He says that by refusing, Arafat committed a crime against the Palestinians and the entire region.

If anyone wants to know what happened from the Prince's own mouth, posted on the Saudi embassy's website, they should certainly read this:

http://www.saudiembassy.net/files/PDF/03-ST-Bandar-0324-NewYorker.pdf

 

BETZ55

11:46 AM ET

November 18, 2009

If the Prince said it then it must be true !

And if Clinton, the winking, smirking enabler to more settlement building during his watch, and Dennis Ross - the hawkish pro-Israeli neocon say it's so then it must be!

Your one sided version, again blaming the Palestinains and not copping to the failings of the Israelis is hypocritical and laughble.

http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/oslo/negotiations/

In contrast to Camp David, the Palestinians this time made counter-offers. After a week of off-and-on negotiations, senior Palestinian and Israeli negotiators announced they had never been more close to reaching agreement on final-status issues. But they had run out of political time. They couldn't conclude an agreement with Clinton now out of office and Barak standing for reelection in two weeks. "We made progress, substantial progress. We are closer than ever to the possibility of stiriking a final deal," said Shlomo Ben-Ami, Israel's negotiator. Saeb Erekat, Palestinian chief negotiator, said, "My heart aches because I know we were so close. We need six more weeks to conclude the drafting of the agreement."

And after Taba? Two weeks after the negotiations at Taba, hard-liner Ariel Sharon was elected prime minister, defeating Barak in a landslide. Sharon had consistently rejected the Oslo peace process and criticized Israel's positions at Camp David and Taba.

Looks to be like Arafat wasn't the one who rejected Taba. No one is destroying Israel except Israel.

 

DAVID IN DC

12:27 PM ET

November 18, 2009

1) This capsule history is a

1) This capsule history is a blurb from a TV show.

2) Nobody denies they were close. What is misleading about the blurb is that there was no counteroffer after Arafat rejected the offer Bandar described. It implies there was, and is a good example of why people shouldn't get their history via soundbytes.

3) Because the chief Palestinian negotiator said they would have clinched a deal in a matter of weeks, doesn't make it so. Arafat didn't walk away from the offer because of details.

4) In your version, everyone is lying but the Palestinians. The Palestinian negotiators may very well have wanted to accept the offer, but it wasn't their call. It was Arafat's. Even if they disagreed with what he did, they had no choice to spin the result. What is Bandar's motivation to lie? Clinton's? You attack them, but offer no compelling reason why you think they are lying. Bandar has no reason to and Clinton was on his way out regardless.

 

COURTNEYME109

3:53 PM ET

November 18, 2009

Careful!

As it stands today - granting Palestine statehood could very well result in "3rd Infitadah" - another war. Consider - Palestinians and their rowdy rejectionist foreign enablers may indeed estab alliances, bases and military aid with a sovereign Palestine that starts another crises that could end up with Little Satan's Merkava panzers parked amidst smoking craters, a wrecked landscape as barren and desolate as the surface of the moon, in downtown Ramallah, Gaza City and Khan Younis.

And Little Satan may not be too interested in handing it off to anyone, as a new word debuts in the peace process.

Annexation.

 

MARTY24

5:51 PM ET

November 18, 2009

Unilateral declaration of Independence

A Palestinian unilateral declaration of independence would get them around the real sticking point in the negotiations, that Israel insists that the Palestinians accept the legitimacy of the Israeli state and that any agreement be final. To date, the Palestinians have refused to agree to either of these issues, and have often come out explicitly in rejection of them.

There are some questions that the Palestinian Hallelujah chorus needs to answer:

1. Under a unilateral declaration, what happens to the so-called "right of return"? If they abandon this, then why were they not willing to do so earlier when it might have helped clinch a deal? If they don't, then their declaration will be recognized by all serious observers as just the latest approach to continuing the war against the Jews.

2. What will the Palestinian government do about the settlers? As an independent state, will they sign the Geneva Accord, which would actually prohibit the Palestinians from trying to remove the settlers, or will they refuse to do so, thereby making the Accords inapplicable in their territory? (For the nth time: the Geneva Accord DOES NOT prohibit citizens of an occupying country acquiring real estate in an occupied territory; it DOES prohibit forcible transfer of citizens from their country to anywhere else.)

3. If the newly-created Palestinian state remains irredentist, then its actions will be recognized as aggressive by all serious observers. Invitations to Iran and or Syria to send troops will obviously be met by an Israeli military response, undoubtedly setting off the most disastrous war yet in the Middle East. Is war that you really want?

4. What happens if Israel prevails in the war the Palestinians seem ready to ignite? A renewed ocupation will not be possible.

5. What happens if the Arabs prevail in the war the Palestinians seem ready to ignite? Is genocide an acceptable result for you?

Taken together, these considerations should lead any sane person to recognize that a unilateral declaration of Palestinian independence is about the worst possible step they can take in these circumstances. Obama may be responsible for putting Abbas into this mess, but Abbas will have to accept responsibility for the consequences if he takes this step.