Uribe Checks Out

Washington's most reliable ally in Latin America, the Colombian president, is on his way out. That's a good thing.

BY ADAM ISACSON | MARCH 4, 2010

If a U.S. president spent both terms with approval ratings hovering above 70 percent, what would happen during his eighth year? Would his party use its majority control of Congress and the states to undo the 22nd Amendment, allowing him to run again ... and again? Would he be allowed to serve until he had handpicked the entire Supreme Court and wielded virtually unchecked power -- all so long as his ratings were kept high?

For the last several years in the Andean country of Colombia, this question has not been hypothetical. President Álvaro Uribe, an archconservative first elected in 2002, has won unprecedented high marks for his can-do attitude, workaholic image, and perhaps most of all, a military strategy that pushed violent guerrilla groups out of most population centers after a decade-long defense buildup. Last fall, a national poll found that 46 percent of Colombians believed that nobody but Uribe was even capable of governing the country. And in Washington, arguably Bogotá's most important ally, Uribe is lauded as an unwavering partner in maintaining regional security, not least in the war on drugs. U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton's meeting with him in Uruguay earlier this week was probably one of the easiest she'll have on her Latin America trip.

Not too long ago, it looked like Uribe might be so popular that he would be allowed to stick around past his current mandate, set to end in August. Then at the eleventh hour, on Feb. 27, a third Uribe term was struck down by the country's Constitutional Court -- a blow to Uribe's supporters and, some worry, to the United States. It's easy to buy into the near personality cult of Uribe (his supporters adore him so much that they call themselves uribistas). But in losing its best ally in office, the United States might gain an even better democratic friend over the long haul. 

Four years ago, a constitutional change allowed the Colombian president to be elected to a second term, and not surprisingly, Uribe was. Still not satiated, the president's partisans began a campaign in late 2008 for yet another amendment that would clear the way for a third term. (Uribe never said clearly whether he wanted to stay put, but he did nothing to stop the momentum either.) Last September, Colombia's Congress gave the green light for a referendum vote on the proposed constitutional amendment, and polls showed that the referendum was likely to pass. Uribe was also likely to win handily in the next election, set for May 30.

Before the constitutional plebiscite could be scheduled, however, an obstacle remained: The country's Constitutional Court had to certify that the referendum law was approved through a legal, legitimate process. On Feb. 26, the court determined that, in fact, several procedural requirements, ranging from the amount spent on a signature-gathering campaign to the timing of the congressional debate to the wording of the referendum question, had been blatantly ignored. The referendum was struck down, and Uribe, limited to two terms, will leave office in five months.

GUILLERMO LEGARIA/AFP/Getty Images

 

Adam Isacson directs the Center for International Policy's Latin America Security Program, which covers U.S. policy toward Colombia on its Plan Colombia and Beyond blog.

RYDDLE

9:34 PM ET

March 4, 2010

Rather off...

You know, sometimes I don´t know where information from Latin America is gotten from. I live in Venezuela, and the facts all contradict what you say: the FARC is heavily wounded, the only reason they have kept going (or, as you claim, increased their activity) is because the receive funding and safe heaven from Chavez (ETA and FARC 2 days ago with Spain?).
2nd, Colombia´s situation has remarkably improved in every aspect: all you need to ask is anyone who traveled to Colombia 10 years ago and then traveled now, and the difference is amazing. Venezuela´s private companies are running off to Colombia, and the inmigration, which has always been from Colombia to Venezuela, is reversing.
Uribe has been an unconditional ally to the US, and viceversa, and the results have been amazing economically, with the guerilla, and with the drug-dealing.
Uribe is liked because of what he has achieved, Chavez is liked because of his charisma and because of what it SEEMS that he has achieved.
I could write on and on about this, but I think it is enough for now

 

CARDENAS697

1:26 PM ET

March 5, 2010

Nothing is perfect especially Democracy and Law

I think this is a very well written article that provides facts to support the statements. I do agree some of the facts provided are inaccurate; especially when it comes to Drug production in the last 10 years under Plan Colombia. Further more the FARC have been hit hard very hard and have been in a state of decline. Even in Colombia politically the FARC has no appeal. But they are still a terrorist organization that has not been destroyed. I have been to Colombia and my family is from Colombia the rule of Law must always prevail in a Democracy. This is very good because it does make Colombia better than her neighbor Venezuela.

 

COOKIECUTTER

3:34 PM ET

March 10, 2010

Some additional comments

1. The FARC are very crippled and that is all Uribe's credit. The only thing they're clinging on to are the kidnapping hostages they've held for years (some for 12 or more) and whatever credibility and weapons Chavez can give them.

2. Fajardo has a very good vibe, especially among younger people. Trust me, I'm a Colombian-born American ex-pat living in Medellin since 2003 and I got to witness the transformation of the city under Fajardo. Education, transparency and social investment were his key achievements. It will always be hard to maintain staff cleanliness in an environment where so much drug money, contrasted with high poverty in general, is willing to get everyone dirty, but hopefully an extremely effective transparent government can start to change this...