China's Got a Secret

Why the Chinese military doesn't want to talk to Bob Gates.

BY JOHN LEE | JUNE 9, 2010

Every country has its diplomatic style: Protocol matters to the British; elusiveness matters to Russia; and fortitude matters to France and Brazil. For China and its military, it's all about ambiguity. Beijing has become the master of winning arguments without actually having them.

Witness the defense ministers' meeting at this week's annual Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore. U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates used his remarks to openly criticize Beijing for resisting U.S. efforts to improve the military-to-military relationship. Speaking immediately after Gates and in response to a question from the floor, Gen. Ma Xiaotian, deputy chief of general staff of the People's Liberation Army (PLA), accused Washington of "creating obstacles" to such cooperation by continuing to support Taiwan and interfering in China's sovereign affairs.

At first glance, it was all quite predictable: The United States approves an arms transfer to Taiwan, and China balks. But in truth, Beijing's reluctance to commit to meaningful high-level military-to-military talks is part of an agenda to deliberately foster ambiguity -- a well-established approach in both ancient and contemporary Chinese competitive thinking. It's an infuriating strategy for Beijing's Washington counterparts, but a rather brilliant one for the PLA and China more broadly, so long as it's pulled off right. China has to engage just enough to be a partner and hide just enough to remain a threat.

Nowhere is this strategy more clear than in military affairs, and so it is not surprising that the U.S.-China military-to-military relationship has made the least progress of any area in bilateral relations. The only real agreement on the matter, the 1998 U.S.-China Maritime Consultative Agreement, has essentially lapsed into irrelevance today. That agreement, meant to reduce mistrust and miscalculation, had provided for the sharing of operational information between the respective navies, and the establishment of more comprehensive communication procedures. Despite a number of dialogues, several military-to-military exchanges, and countless Track 1.5 diplomacy (that is, meetings that involve both officials and independent experts) and Track 2 meetings, there have been no meaningful exchanges between the two militaries for the last decade.

Those who watched the U.S.-Soviet relationship, which despite its chill was replete with military-to-military engagement, will surely find this phenomenon quite odd. Unlike Soviet Moscow, Beijing is apparently not trying to create a new world order. Instead, it is relentlessly promoting its "peaceful development" within the international system, sticking to the rhetoric of "win-win" relationships that deny any suggestion of Washington as its "strategic competitor" in the region. These themes were reiterated by Ma over the weekend at the dialogue when he called for "mutual trust, mutual benefit, equality, and coordination" in matters of international security.

LIU JIN/AFP/Getty Images

 

John Lee is a research fellow at the Center for Independent Studies in Sydney and a visiting fellow at the Hudson Institute in Washington.

SURESH SHETH

6:52 PM ET

June 9, 2010

Naive US intentionally ignores China's game

It is only naïve US that intentionally does NOT want to see China’s game.

China’s aim is to weaken US influence as fast and as much as it can.

That is why China continues to prop up North Korean regime while pretending to work with US on containing North Korea’s nuclear program when it is China that helped created that North Korean nuclear program to begin with. Afterall North Koreans are NOT geniuses who can invent nuclear triggers or ballistic missiles. Pakistan and North Korea would NOT have dared to swap Pakistan’s uranium enrichment technology for North Korea’s Chinese ballistic missile technology if China would have strongly objected since China is an indispensable ally of both.

So China will engage with US on its own terms. China is NO pushover like India that US can pressure to achieve its political goals.

An earnest second cold war has already begun even if US and China do NOT want to acknowledge it. Creditor China has a upper hand against debtor US in this second cold war unlike the first one between US and Soviet Union.

 

PUBLICUS

4:49 PM ET

June 10, 2010

The People's Republic of China

To any extent the People's Republic of China sells USD$, the RMB appreciates. The PRC knows this and flailingly is trying to establish an Asian Union led by the PRC with a common currency - which, coincidentally would be the RMB.

This however is unacceptable to Japan and to Indonesia, Taiwan, Singapore, Hong Kong, the Philippines Thailand, Malaysia, Brunei etc etc.

The PRC is stuck holding the bag of USD$, which totals about $1.5 billion, must continue to purchase more US treasuries and loses anytime the USD$ depreciates and the RMB appreciates. Lose-lose for the PRC.

 

PUBLICUS

4:53 PM ET

June 10, 2010

That's USD$ 1.5 trillion.

The bag the PRC is holding is a huge USD$ 1.5 trillion, regret the misstatement.

 

INFIDEL4LIFE

4:32 PM ET

June 13, 2010

a game

oh yes, the "good 'ol bad old days" when we held the cards. we'll be in a shooting war 1 day its inevitable. the sides are shaping up, the chi-comms give the tech to the p-stanis, aq khan sells it for the paki's, the chi-coms give it thier blessing. now sudan has an iranian nuke site. when will we stop them, after they use them? iran's game is almost over, i hope israel smashes them.

 

YOSHIMICHI MORIYAMA

7:07 AM ET

June 10, 2010

Authoritarian China won't bow to US policy

I think Dr. John Lee of The Centre for Independent Studies is good at deciphering the mind of the Chinese communist leaders. I found his 'Authoritarian China won't bow to US policy' interesting. It is available at http://www.cis.org.au. Unnan City, Japan

 

RAYNA CONWAY

1:59 AM ET

July 9, 2010

China and US

The U.S. is paying closer attention to the South China Sea, after China reportedly threatened U.S. energy firm ExxonMobil with retaliation if it continued oil exploration off Vietnam in waters China considers its own. And last year Chinese military vessels harassed U.S. surveillance ships in the sea. China says its sovereign territorial waters extend 200 miles from its shores, and makes a historical claim to almost all of the South China Sea, according to a backgrounder from the Heritage Foundation. stylus pro cartridges China also says that any ship traversing the sea should first obtain Chinese permission. It has long complained about U.S. intelligence-gathering from spy-planes and spy-ships operating off its coastline. Taiwan, Vietnam, the Philippines, Malaysia and Brunei also claim all or some of the South China Sea. Vietnam and China both claim the Paracels islands (known as the Xisha in Chinese), which China has controlled since a 1974 battle with Vietnam that left 18 dead. The other four countries as well as China and Vietnam also claim some or all of the Spratly Islands (known as the Nansha in Chinese) further south. color laserjet toners China's hold here is more tenuous; a skeleton force occupies nine speck-like islands, while Taiwan holds the largest island Itu Aba (or Taiping island, in Chinese), Vietnam holds 29 islands, the Philippines eight and Malaysia three, according to Michael Richardson, a visiting researcher at the Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, in a recent commentary. More than 70 Vietnamese sailors died in the latest military clash in the Spratlys, with China in 1988.

 

SMARG

7:46 AM ET

June 10, 2010

U.S. Will Collapse by 2035; China Will Be Ascendant

The U.S. Government will collapse under the weight of corruption and parasitism by 2035, corresponding with Whites being a minority ethnic group. Treasuries/goods will will be sacked; city-states will emerge protected by private militias.

God help us.

 

TOMHE

9:21 AM ET

June 10, 2010

Chinese version of enlightenment

I do admire European’s enlightenment. And I have to admit that Chinese did not create the word “ enlightenment”. I feel sorry about this. But this does not means Chinese were completely ignorant of human reason. If we look at the core of enlightenment, there are number of components around the word:

- There are laws that govern the nature world.
- There are laws that govern human societies, those laws are based on reason, not religion beliefs.
- Human beings should strive for improving their livings constantly according to the laws that govern the human socities.

If we agree on the these core components of enlightenment, I should point out that Taoism(2000 years ago) was the Chinese version of enlightenment. Although Taoism was formulated in an essay style, the core meanings are:

- There are laws of nature and human societies; those laws, even you try to define them, are likely to change over time; even when you write the laws down, the laws could already change already.

- The govermnent should not meddle those laws of nature; The government should let the laws exert their effects.

- One who has muscular strength, can be called powerful; but the one who know himself, is more stronger than the muscular one.
……

I don’t want to repeat those wise observations of human nature. As a Chinese, I have to say: we did made many mistakes, we probably will make mistakes in the future as well; but, we are evil people. There are evil people outside.

 

PUBLICUS

5:12 PM ET

June 10, 2010

The People's Republic of China

Yeah, I know. I myself am one of the new surge of 'foreign devils' to have invaded China of late.

 

BOBCHEN

12:49 PM ET

June 10, 2010

Clearthinker1 pooped: "But

Clearthinker1 pooped:
"But some systems like... chinese culture are nowhere close to providing the cultural foundation for democracy."

Taiwan, Hong Kong, and various overseas Chinese communities called.

They want to know why you are so full of crap.

 

PUBLICUS

5:22 PM ET

June 10, 2010

The People's Republic of China

Global multinationals hire to promote as eventual managers and directors graduates of universities from Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore - not from mainland China. This is because the grads of universities in these places know of and how to relate to democratic governments, corporate law and the operations of multinationals in democratic societies, cultures, in contrast to mainland China students who haven't any clue of such matters because they are shielded from such knowledge of democratic societies and their economies by the control freak liars and censors in Beijing. The English word parliament is a little known or used word on the mainland PRC in either English or Chinese.

Mainland Chinese are hopelessly ignorant of such matters and thus unqualified to make executive corporate decisions as required by multinationals. Mainland Chinese need not apply, and for legitimate and good reason. That is, their knowledge and abilities are necessarily limited by the control freaks, censors and fascist dictators in Beijing.

 

BOBCHEN

5:59 PM ET

June 10, 2010

I was responding to

I was responding to Clearthinking1's assertion that the Chinese are not ready for democracy because of Chinese culture, not because of the Chinese Government. Hong Kong, Taiwan, and overseas Chinese communities, in all intents and purposes, are Chinese in culture, and they are functioning democracies or within democracies.

Don't bother replying if you completely miss the point. I'm not even going to address any of your points because it doesn't apply to anything I have said or implied. Good night.

 

PUBLICUS

5:57 PM ET

June 11, 2010

East Asian democratic development & the US, UK

Japan, Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore developed their particular forms of democracy under the umbrella and patient post war tutelage of the US in various ways, over time and to various extents. The UK of course had this role in Hong Kong, albeit tardily.

Clearthinker1's point about Cinese culture being antithetical to democracy is a matter I expanded on by including the direct connection between a deferential population and the law of physics/natural law by reminding us of the presence in the culture of authoritarians who early on in history grabbed the resources and assigned power, supremecy and superiority over the submissive population, creating systems and mechanisms of government to reinforce by means of state power and authority the nature of the submissive-dominant dual culture of China. Yes, for thousands of years in China there have been insurrections and rebellions against their Emperors and lords, but no Magna Carta has been created much less developed by evolution.

Even the present, latter day Chinese emperors in business suits and ties delude themselves by truely believing and thus propagating the notion in the PR that being Chinese means, well, being Chinese. Chinese Americans would and do dismiss such notions that the Chinese diaspora are Chinese and always will be loyal and responsive to the authoritarian and arrogant leaders of China regardless of their attire - which attempts to mask the same old submissive-dominance culture of the neverland of the Middle Kingdom.

In this vien, perhaps the rudest shock, but not an awakening in any regard, was when Beijing made clear to Taiwan voters its disapproval of Chen Shui Bian, then witnessed voters choose Chen as their president (by a plurality). The fanticized and fundamentally flawed notion held in Beijing, and propagated effectively throughout the PRC by the Communist Party of China, that there are only "overseas" Chinese who are Chinese through and through, and forever loyal to their homeland regardless of other conditions and circumstances of their lives abroad, not only is wrongheadedly is applied to Chinese Americans, but to all Chinese of Sino ancestry in Indonesia, Thailand, Austrlaia, and in various other democratic countries. This dreamland of the CPC, and which is accepted throught China, is dangerous because it emboldens the new emperors in their long term designs to reestablish a Middle Kingdom in the 21st century. Beijing is both grossly and dangerously mistaken to believe, in the absolute or virturally so, that they can call on the supposedly loyal diaspora of "overseas" Chinese to step forward for the motherland when the call to them is issued to act in concert with Beijing.

"Overseas" CPC members newly placed in energy producing countries of Africa and S America may be loyal to Beijing, but the fact is the Chinese diaspora in Western democracies already are a severe disappointment to Bejing in this respect, it's just that Beijing isn't remotely conected to the fact which, I reiterate, is a real down the road danger to world peace and stability.

 

BOBCHEN

7:11 PM ET

June 11, 2010

As a Overseas Chinese

As a Overseas Chinese (Chinese-American), I agree with your statement on that the Diaspora don't tow the CPC line. If you read through Chinese-American newspapers, you can find a robust and healthy difference in opinion on every subject imaginable.

However, the phrase that Chinese culture (or Eastern-based) is antithetical to democracy is plain wrong. Japan, Korea, Hong Kong, and Taiwan didn't destroy their cultures and replace it completely with a Western one. No, they co-opted democratic and capitalistic principles into their society, while keeping their language, religions, and world-views. Anyone who went to these nations for a teaching career will most likely, and have, experienced culture shock. These are clearly not Western nations, and should not be classified as such.

Democracy does not require COMPLETE assimilation into Western mindset, it only requires people having the ability to make informed decisions. An "Antithetical" culture would require a COMPLETE tear-down and reformation to be compatible with democratic ideals, not just a partial one. Therefore Sino-centric cultures are not antithetical to democracy.

Does that mean I think these countries can become democratic on modern without outside influence? Of course not. No country, no society, no culture exists in a vacuum. Ideas spread and take root in lands far away. I acknowledge the cultural superiority of the white Western man, and their influence on history is strong, but it's wasn't a conspiracy of white men to meticulously engineer democratic governments in East Asia. More likely, these Western democratic ideas spread (along with nationalism, facism, communism, etc.) and were adopted by the East Asians, sometimes with the support of the West, sometimes without. Note that I say "cultural superiority", because I believe whites and East Asians are relatively equal in genetic aptitude.

All that does not detract from the fact that East Asian nations are the only non-white societies that have successfully adopted Western ideals and achieved economic and technological parity with the West. If you look around the world, there are many "failed" states where modern democratic societies collapsed or functioning at low capacity when the white man left, such as Africa, the Middle East, and to the chagrin of Clearthinking, South Asia. Why is that? Could it be genetics?

 

BOBCHEN

1:09 PM ET

June 10, 2010

Clearthinking1 pooped: "That

Clearthinking1 pooped:

"That is why the Chinese talk with pride of the methodical destruction of Tibetan culture. They are jealous of the reputation of the Tibetans as a spiritual people."
---
Chinese General 1: "Look at those Tibetans and their meditating. Damn that just pisses me off for some reason."
Chinese General 2: "You think we should, like, invade them or something?"
Chinese General 1: "Yeah, that'll teach them D-bags. Think they're better than us with their postive karma and achieving nirvana and whatnot."
Chinese General 2: "Death to Hippies!"
Chinese General 1: "DEATH TO HIPPIES!"

 

HYPERSPACER

2:07 PM ET

June 10, 2010

@Clearthinking1

"The pluralism & tolerance inherent in Hindu culture provided the proper foundation for modern democracy."

India is not a real democracy for obvious reason. Democracy is about empowering people by giving them the right to vote. In India, the ones who vote are the one that are most disenfranchised.

Worse, India is an expansionist country that bullied her neighbors, including China. Listen to this podcast:

http://asiapacific.anu.edu.au/podcasts/India_China_Border.mp3

and read up on this link:

http://www.gregoryclark.net/redif.html

 

PUBLICUS

6:15 PM ET

June 10, 2010

The People's Republic of China

The PRC and its ruling Communist (fascist) Party of China hate India. My god, the PRC and the CPC despise and detest India.

For one thing, India is a democracy. (And a rather remarkable one.) We just can't have any democracy in the PRC now, can we? Democracy in Taiwan is the most severe threat to the CPC and to the PRC - good grief there, in Taiwan, are Chinese who have and practice democracy! Next thing we know, the plague of democracy will spread to the mainland and infest it, to the destruction of the corrupt dictators and to the new young nervous dynasty of the arbitrary and control obsessed ruling Communist Party of China over the PRC.

As a democracy, India harbors the Dalia Lama, a grievous sin indeed to the soulless fascist dictators in Beijing. For another, India is a regional rival going back to ancient times when India and China were differing centers of ancient civilization in Asia. For another thing, India and the United States are democracies - my god, democracies are closing in on the CPC of the PRC everywhere, from all directions!

Can't have that to the fascist boys of Beijing now, can we?!?

 

AHQ

5:10 PM ET

June 10, 2010

Gordon Chang for President and John Lee for Prime Minister

Gordon for president and John Lee for prime minister of Australia. This will make us and Australia in a always-win position, at least psychologically.

 

WILDTHING

8:22 PM ET

June 10, 2010

US Bases around China

There is no ambiguity in our basing strategy and interests in keepin North Korea as an excuse to have Korean bases. No ambiguity in ignoring Japanese resistance to our bases. No ambiguity in why we wanted to take over colonial rule of Vietnam. No ambiuguity in why we want to use military relations to spy on their capabilities and no ambiguity in why they could care less.

But China and India is the reason there should be an autonomous Tibet with the Dalai Lama and Tibet as intermediary as the one who really understands them both and the need for a buffer is real. The US will never be that.

 

RSAFSOZ

4:38 PM ET

June 11, 2010

chine

chine will be a super power in world sikis

 

PUBLICUS

4:56 AM ET

June 12, 2010

Bob Chen @ 7:11 June 11th

(No matter which REPLY key I click, I don't get the passage to which I'm trying to reply, sooo, here's this separate post....)

When I first arrived in East Asia in 1996, in South Korea, I expected to find, well, South Korea. Finding a Starbucks there didn't change the fact that S Korean culture remains Korean culture. Same for Thailand (which is cursed by having an anticonstitutional/extraconstitutional monarchy) and ever more so presently in the PRC.

As the article above indicates, the Chinese are predictable in their thinking and in their behaviors. The days of the horrible and ugly, cultural and intellectual cliche' of the Chinese/Asians as being "inscrutable" are happily gone, beneficially gone...and gone forever. If anything, the author overstates the abilities of the Chinese to continue to use ambiguity as a principal component of their strategy of dealing with Westerns especially.

While Chinese ambiguity can sometimes remain frustrating, especially to US diplomats and corporate types, the Chinese only fool themselves with their tired old, easily anticipated approaches and thinking. The Chinese continue to regard and treat the foreign devils of the West as if we were the naive Brits just now stepping out of a small craft from our wooden warship anchored in the bay. The Chinese are certain we are stupid - all of us - and can be manipulated and tricked in the same ways the elites of the Middle Kingdom easily have always outsmarted their peasant populations of past millenia (not much of an accomplishment, frankly).

The Chinese elites continue to invent (incredulous) tales and stories to make their point or to try to get we who live and work in the PRC to do as they wish, professionallly or personally. Their tales are immediately recognizable as such. We immediately dismiss such approaches, yet the Chinese don't learn and come back again with another tall tale. The absurd cycle is never ending.

I recall several years ago when Adm. Dennis Blair (ret) and recently of the Obama Administration was CIC of US forces/Pacific. He'd been in Beijing for several days conferencing. At the conclusion of the first day, when he met with the media, Blair was asked what was accomplished. Blair said, "I'm not sure. They talked a lot about animals." The wit and irony of Blair (not to mention sarcasm) went well and far beyond the old "inscrutable" cliche', expressing instead a sophisticated knowledge and understanding of the predictable Chinese mindset and approach to we who are foreign devils.

The Chinese are culturally spent in their tired and predicitable thinking and behaviors in dealing with the West. The hound long ago caught the hare.

 

BOBCHEN

9:53 AM ET

June 12, 2010

What you are describing is

What you are describing is the CPC trying to hold power when situations, domestically and beyond, are changing too rapidly for their tastes. Again, that has absolutely nothing to do with my main point: that Chinese/Confucian-cultural societies are capable, and historically, have assimilated Western ideals (in the same way these ideals were assimilated in the West), without having to scrap their pre-existing world-views and social structures.

In that context your condemnatory view of the PRC doesn't make sense. Mao spent the better part of the decades eradicating Chinese culture and replacing it with a radical Marxist-Leninist-Maoist ideology. The Cultural Revolution systematically dismantled concepts of filial piety: children were encouraged to snitch and condemn their parents. The landlords, who were the elites during the dynasty days, were dragged and beating to death on the streets, their lands were redistributed "to the people". Students as recent as the 80's were taking courses on guerrilla warfare and how to properly conduct a political revolution (Mao, after all, wrote the modern-day bible on overthrowing governments). I don't think the mandarins of Old China said "Gee, you know what this civil service exam needs? An essay on how to subvert the political structure."

In fact, Taiwan and Hong Kong, both functioning democracies, are more Chinese in culture than mainland China. Which is the point I responded to Clearthinking's rant. Which is what you so hastily jumped to defend without knowing what you go yourself into. I'm sorry you wasted all your time writing those paragraphs, which I'll never respond to because, again, it's not related to anything I wrote. I'm sorry you have so much anger with the present PRC's loopy foreign policies. Unfortunately, that wasn't the topic of my/Clearthinking's disccusion, now is it?

 

PUBLICUS

1:39 PM ET

June 13, 2010

Pardon Me!

But I see you don't, which is something I'll need always to keep in mind in any possible responses to you.

If I see a purpose in referring to the article at the top of the page in any discussion with you, or with anyone else here, I'll continue to do that, thank you. The author's points concerning ambiguity in the PRChina's diplomacy relative to the US is the text. Illuminating discussion of the Chinese anywhere relative to democracy is a relevant but not material subtext. Accordingly, some perspective is suggested.

Moreover, failed attempts at genetics baiting seems to have produced (randomly) the above particular "scolding" of the "white man."

On democracy and religion, Clearthinking is on the mark in many ways, save his belief that the hocus pocus religions of India past or present are positive influences towards democracy there, even on balance. Buddhism from India to Thailand (Theravada) where 95% are Buddhist, intertwined with a decrepit Thai monarchy and hyperactive military has created the the extant dysfunctional Thai state, increasingly violent society and its irreconcilably ominous future. That Indian democracy managed to survive Indira Ganghi's rule by decree is not attributable to religion, which itself eventually killed her.

 

BOBCHEN

3:09 PM ET

June 13, 2010

But the discussion started by

But the discussion started by Clearthinking on the limitations of Chinese culture, which I responded to, which you voluntarily participated in, is on the topic that is tangential to the main article. The participants (including me) don't have to respond to arguments made not relevant to the discussion at hand.

That being said, you have consistently failed to address any of the points I've made in my previous posts. That culturally sino-centric societies are the only non-white societies to achieve the full definition of modernity. That East Asian societies are identifiably East Asian with some adoption of Western ideals (though you did show a measure of concession on this point in your previous post). The existence of East Asian modernity shoots down Clearthinkings original claims that legalistic, spiritually-deprived Chinese/Confucian culture is incompatible with Western standards. The only other explanation, if it is not the culture, is genetics.

But I guess I will respond to your previous point, because I admire your tenacity. I think the ambiguity of Chinese policies towards the West come from the social and political ambiguity of the PRC itself. Mainland Chinese society is not really Chinese, it is a transitional society. The Chinese world-view is a heterogeneous mix of socialism, capitalism, ethnic nationalism, populism, neo-Confucianism, while trying to escape from the legacy of Marxist-Leninist-Maoism and resist (at least by Party elites) pressures to politically reform. Transitional societies by their nature will be contradictory, which is why China doesn't have a unified message beyond "harmonious society" (translation: "we got to keep this boat from sinking").

Of course there's a lot of Westerners that "get" China, as there's literally millions of books written by "experts" on China and Chinese thinking. And all of them are right. And all of them contradict one another. It's the blind men in a room with an elephant. All these mountains of academic studies and personal anecdotes of China, and the legion experts on China, have not translated into a consistent and quantifiable policy towards China. No grand strategy, not even a consistent view-point since Nixon (Strategic partner? Future rival? Couple in a loveless marriage? "Frenemies"?). But that's no knock on the West, because it is a natural response (or non-response) to a messy situation. You are giving the Chinese way too much credit. If befuddling Westerners was some Chinese master plan, then the Chinese are as clever and Westerners are as stupid, as you claim the Chinese believe, because it is working.

 

PUBLICUS

12:31 PM ET

June 28, 2010

US strong guidance of Sino democracy

As I stated a matter you seem to miss, I'll try to reemphasize it but in different terms, i.e., that the East Asian Sino democracies you mention which have some measure of more or less Confucian influence - Japan, S Korea, Taiwan, Singapore et al - have been subjected to a post WW2 strong direct guidance from and by the United States and diplomatically by certain of its NATO allies. The fact is Confucius was not a democrat or egalitarian - he was in contrast a paternalist and authoritarian, which makes him quintessentially Chinese, i.e., mainland Chinese rather than maritime Chinese or Chinese who have ventured abroad in search of a radically different political economy and society. There is absolutely nothing in Confucius or Confucianism that even hints or suggests democracy - zero, zilch.

The answer your question as to whether the absence of democracy in the thousands year old culture of Confucianism has to do with nature or nurture, the evidence overwhelmingly says it is nurture. The maritime Sino countries/societies which have had the Confucian predicate or influence, have also had the recent status of being a US protectorate; as such, these Confucian influenced or historically dominated societies have adapted to the culture of democracy and indeed have welcomed it. The systems and structures of democracy vary in each of the countries/cultures based on local factors, national identity and historical cultural imperatives, but democracies they are. These Sino, formerly Confucian societies/cultures are pleased to be in the mainstream of advanced societies, countries and civilization by having a democracy and by effectively exercising democratic processes in government and in society.

The mainland Chinese continue to be isolated from direct democratic influence due to their being a continental nation/empire, whereas the Chinese/Confucian societies who have adopted democracy are maritime nations which, by necessity, have become exposed to Western democracy because they needed US protection against the closed and menacingly threatening mindset of the mainlanders, who continue to be obsessed to seize Taiwan whether by military or economic means, reduce Japan to a satellite of the PRC (if not destroy it), and to put Sino Singapore, which is one of the strongest US allies of East Asia, into the mainland punishment camps Beijing intensely feels they deserve due to Singapore's absolute rejection and contempt of the CCP.

Yes, those of Chinese ancestry are the economic engine of growth throughout the countries of East Asia, from Malaysia to Indonesia and points in between, such as Thailand. But the Chinese who are nationals of these and the many other developing economies and democracies of East Asia aren't going to trade their newly found respective national identity, or their participation in the mainstream of modern civilization - democratic government and society - for the status of being "overseas Chinese" who are the property of the CCP, which is how the CCP in Beijing wrongheadedly thinks of them. It's rather quite to the contrary, i.e., the Chinese mainlanders in their happy rejection of democracy and their stonewalling against having a democratic society, remain outside the mainstream of contemporary and future civilization and, in doing so, have forever lost the maritime and the hyphenated Chinese abroad.

 

BOBCHEN

3:13 PM ET

June 13, 2010

I'd like to add though

The thought of Chinese society being some kind of Lovecraftian horror that drive men insane by mere explanation makes me giggle like a schoolgirl.

 

PUBLICUS

10:26 AM ET

June 14, 2010

The Eternal Sea

Your description of mainland Chinese is accurate, but there is more. Your valid analysis of the mix of mainland Chinese must needs be put aside because, beyond your sophisticated insights, there is a powerful unifying identity predicated on nationalism and being Chinese that is superimposed over all else.

Indeed, there exists in the PRC the identiy that if you have a pulse and speak some sort of Chinese language/dialect, you are Chinese - that you are directly connected to a continuous 5,000 year old culture that is flowering yet again, this time as a globally unstoppable juggernaught (in due time). There isn't any natural ambiguity about it - China is China and if you meet the two qualifcations (a pulse and a language/dialect) then you are Chinese.

This is the superimposed Party dogma, and it is pervasive, it is powerful and it is successful. Not only do the people of the mainland buy the dogma, they eat it up (like a Dragon Boat Festival dumpling). When I asked my university Freshman students (in Guangdong) which movie star they'd like to marry, one young gal stood up and said Hu Jin Tao.

One 5,000 year old truth is that when the herdsman does his herding, the herd of sheeple follow. There isn't anything inscrutable or ambiguous about it, but there is a certain cleverness to it.

 

PUBLICUS

1:03 PM ET

June 14, 2010

North-South

One vital and significant distinction you omit is the cultural differences, rooted in history, between the North and the South of the PRC, respectively. Accepting your descriptions of the multifactorial inheritances and the multifaceted demographics of the various mainland populations taken as a whole, one necessarily needs to point out and to discuss to some meaningful extent the cultural divide between the two mainland Chinas which reasonably are delineated by the Yangtze River.

Would you dispute, for instance, that the North is traditional and, in too many instances militarily belligerent in their thoughts and private discussions towards the US and Japan (long term, presently biding their military time), while the South is more accepting of (foreign) devils, more influenced by the West, far less traditional and conservative, more materialistic and money grubbing (and thus exploitative of economic migrants from the low socioeconomic provinces of the West and central China); and, in highly developed places such as ShenZhen city adjacent to Hong Kong, now making public the salaries of government officials for all to see, as the new SZ middle class demand because they want to see a more open government to, among other important matters, compare and contrast the lifestyles of local Party bureaucrats/officials relative to their official income?

You don't include the two mainland Chinas in your analysis of Chinese democracy or culture related thereto.

Beijing for example keeps a huge army garrison in GuangZhou City, which you know to be the old Canton and capital of the hugely prosperous GuangDong province (which as you further know includes ShenZhen). (It's for sure the huge garrison isn't there to protect against invasion by the Philippines! Or Australia.) Could this be because there is increasing sentiment in GD province to separate, to democratize and, horrors, to model itself consistent to Taiwan? After all, GD province sends a huge treasure in taxes to Beijing in return for little more than thank you notes and ever more Party commands. It's of significant note that the GD Party officials often ignore Beijing, are an aggravation to Beijing because of their (relative) independence contrasted to leaders of other still struggling provinces. It's revealing that GuangDong provincial officials know and accept that their positions there are not a route to power in Beijing.

 

BOBCHEN

5:34 PM ET

June 14, 2010

First off, if that young

First off, if that young woman wants to be the First Lady of China, good for her. So she wants to be the Chinese Michelle Obama, more power to her then I say. Secondly, a national identity is not national policy. The fact that all you need is to speak a Chinese dialect to be considered Chinese speaks volumes of the inclusiveness of Chinese society, a bonus for democratic-compatibility.

But identity is not policy, no country will craft their overarching trade or foreign policy based on another countries' street jingoism. The fact that Chinese (both the elite and common folk) want their country to be a modern superpower is one thing, getting them to agree on how to get there is another. To get from A to B, you need to fill in some blanks. I personally don't think the Politburo have a really good (or coherent) strategy to bring China into modernity, it's more of a "winging it and hope for the best" kind of thing. And the West aren't better at guessing Chinese modus operandi (if they can find one). Westerners aren't consistent about China, even the Chinese aren't consistent about China. If all of these policy inconsistencies are an elaborate Chinese Punk on the West, then Westerners are as gullible as Asian people can't drive.

On replying to you second post, you are generally correct. The stereotype goes that Southerners tend to be shorter, outgoing, better looking (at least the women), and good at business. The Northerners are taller, paler, more proud, and more represented in military officers (i.e. better leadership qualities). The only exception to this is Shanghai, which everyone outside of Shanghai can't stand, and is considered the place where China historically dumped all their douchebags. It's like a whole city full of hedge-fund managers. I had a discussion about this with my (Northern) cousin about the whole militarism/nationalism thing, and he thinks it might be the mingled "barbarian" (read: Manchu, Mongol) blood running through our veins. Though, as someone with both a Northern and Southern parent, I guess I am only half good at business, and half as militaristic :-/

The thing about the garrison, well, I don't think the Politburo loses sleep on Guandong secceding, compared to real problem areas like Tibet and Xinjiang. The South (GD included), are still politically in-line Beijing, especially considering that Mao was a Southerner, and that the policies of Ziang Zemin (the previous president) greatly benefited places like Guandong by setting up SEZs in the first place. The garrisons are there (and they are all over the Mainland) is to make sure that if the central government collapse, the military can step in and make sure some warlord can't rise up and carve out a personal fief for himself. This actually happened during the Taipeng Rebellion and the Warlord era.

 

PUBLICUS

5:40 PM ET

June 19, 2010

Fractuousness

Make no mistake BobChen, your points about the confusion and the contradictions among the Party and government leaders in Beijing are well taken. It is difficult for them to present a consistent line to the West, a line that is coherent or thought through. Even domestically, those in Beijing who promote 'market socialism' in fact haven't any more than a vague notion of the meaning of the term which itself was pulled out of the air in the effort to justify the radical advent of experimental private ownership/development in some certain areas of the PRC, the SEZs you reference in particular.

However, ask almost anyone of any point of view, in the PRC or elsewhere in the world, because they confirm to one extent or another the October 1, 2009, 60th National Day military focus and display as OTT nationalism/militarism designed to coalese the population as a whole behind the benevolent CCP and the protective government in Beijing. The mainland people themselves became clear from the occasion that they are pleased the PRC can now defend itself (against invasion by whom?!?) Since the threshold occasion, Beijing became arrogant, aggressively assertive (Google et al) and less cooperative internationally, witness Copenhagen to cite one such instance.

More recently, the Party in Beijing has been able to step back to reassess its post 60th anniversary boldness, but more for practical and tactical reasons. Its Asian neighbors have been taking note of the new bullying by Beijing, as has the West and the so-called Global South. So now Beijing is cooperating on the most recent UNSC resolution concerning Iran's nuclear projects, Iran being a close trading partner, strategic friend and bretheren authoritarian cousin historically as well as recently. (The PRC population are told the Republic of Iran is a friend of China, but the word "Islamic" is entirely omitted from the equation.) The China chummy PM of Japan had to quit after the PRC took no action in response to the unprovoked N Korean sinking of the S Korean naval warship, an action by Pyongyang which also assured and cemented the continued status of US bases on Okinawa. Another result is a needed and renewed confidence in Washington in such East Asian capitals as Taipei, Bangkok, Manila, Canberra and in others.

Recall when early in the Clinton presidency he brought David Gergen into the White House amid a flood of calls for an 'adult' to be of influence in the administration. Beijing's problem is that there aren't any adults in all of China for them to bring into the jurga-like councils of the Party or of the government. For all of Beijing's propagating that electorates of democracies produce maddening inconsistencies of policy to it over 8-12 year cycles, the continuing and, indeed, increasing lurching and pitching of the PRC state, its whimsical (or diabolical) laws, its excesses then retractions do make the PRC look a bit less than organized - because it indeed is a disorganized place.

However, it's disorganized under one flag and one Party.

 

TELMAR

8:00 AM ET

June 25, 2010

China secret

I guess their location means that China has neighbors and other things to consider that we are not necessarily so much a part of the promorewards that maybe they are and so there are considerations to balance in the longer term.

 

PUBLICUS

3:56 PM ET

June 29, 2010

Stop bothering us

The developing East Coast slice of the PRC is producing huge numbers of GDP and all of the rest of the quantitative measures of progress yet Beijing likes to continue to hide behind the skirt of being a developing economy and, therefore, according to Beijing, the world is being unrealistic, unfair, inappropriate in calling on Beijing to participate in the myriad challenges that exist to global peace and security, as well as economics.

Beijing has cried this developing economy wolf too many times, and now must ante up to take responsibility in its sphere of influence, which includes N Korea, Iran, Pakistan Taiwan and the like, and globally as well. The longer term, relative to the growth of the PRC's developing segment of its economy, means taking a responsible role in fostering and in promoting global peace, security and economic stability and equity.

In economics and finance, Beijing finally has been pressured to revalue its currency. The secret that Beijing pleads exemption from global responsibility because it is a developing country is blown by the sheer size of its development, even if the development is confined to the eastern and urban areas of the country. Beijing has a global and regional role because of the size of its growth, the rate of growth, and the impact on the world economy of China's growing development given that the numbers involved are large and will become huge.

 

ITSALWAYSCOOL

6:16 AM ET

July 2, 2010

Forest for the Trees

Amazing, isn't it, how a the presentation of a little knowledge is a dangerous thing. There's an impressive amount of detail we read above concerning the geopolitics of the PRC, particularly toward states like North Korea, Iran, and other regimes unfriendly to the West. This, I suppose, and like comments is intended to imbue a rather harsh evaluation of China -- including its people and its culture -- with an aura of legitimacy, and one supposes that this is all wonderful as a matter of debate. But one may well reconsider comments that accuse the Chinese as being a nation of "sheeple" -- a phrase used by right-wing ideologues in the United States against many of those who whom they disagree or despise -- or "soulless." One wonders if such language would be tolerable if used against, say, the populations of African countries, or Latin Americans, or anyone other than members of the "yellow peril." And one may consider how truly amazing it is that the national policies of the current Chinese government are examined as though they arose ab initio, without considering the historical development of Western interests and adopting with hardly a critical eye the view that the West is, and always has been, the aggrieved party in these matters. One should hardly be fooled by intellectual-style talk that misses the forest for the trees. Every country views the world within its own framework, but it is seems a proclivity of the Westerner that accuses others of being docile, "soulless" people somehow not as fully realized as human beings as they. And to top it all off, there is the apotheosis of India and other "democracies" as the model of the future, as if fractious and caste-driven India doesn't have its own, quite serious issues and conflicts. It's time, perhaps, to draw back from one's myopia and cultural bias. It's time to accord the other side the same measure of humanity as one accord one's own.

 

PUBLICUS

12:20 PM ET

July 7, 2010

Centers of ancient civilization

As we know, China and India are two of the four centers of ancient civilization - also with Greece and Egypt. Three thrived and continue to the present - one, Egypt, fizzled.

So in Asia there is a deeply rooted and thousands year old conflict between China and India. In India, Buddhism originated and developed in SE Asia especially, but into China, Korea and Japan in northeast Asia as well. In China, Confucious and Mencious as well as others set the secular code of the absolute paternal, authoritarian domination of Chinese society, culture, civliization.

In the modern world, the present hostility and severe antagonism of the PRC government against India is rooted in this historical difference of the constitution of a society, culture, civilization. For reasons related to history, India has developed into a democracy while China has remained a country and people who are ruled by emperors whether they wore robes or, as is the case since 1949, wear business suits and ties (I actually bought and wore a Mao Jacket during the 1960s)

Is it not apparent India is in the mainstream of European post Enlightenment civilization and society by establishing and practicing democracy, while the PRC remains stubbornly reactionary in its absolute authoritariansim?

 

PUBLICUS

12:37 AM ET

July 4, 2010

Self-limiting cultural development

The middle Kingdom of China for thousands of years has been closed to the foreign 'devils' and, consequently, has a culture that is inborn, inbred, ingrown, ignorant. China isn't the only such place, it is however the most visible such place in the modern world and of the greatest impact in myriad ways globally.

As the Chinese worship and glow over their traditional medicine, for example (homeopathy), the Chinese fail to generate the thought or realization that traditional medicine is that which existed in all societies before the development of modern medical science.

Marxist social science is a worshiped value and entity because that which the CCP calls Marxist social science and socialism long ago was polluted by the harsh totalitarianism/authoritarianism of Leninism and, to China, Maoism; the great market reformer Deng Xiao Peng ordered Tianaman Square. The social democratic political parties of Europe, especially, and elsewhere are not acceptable to the CCP because to the new emperors of the CCP sociopolitical, multiparty democracy is from another universe and not suited to the PRC any more than it was to its predecessor forms of government.

Because of its ingrown nature, China always has been culturally self-limiting. In contemporary China it is PROHIBITED to have global cable-satellite tv ('foreign television' as it's called in the PRC by the CCP) - there instead is the party line tv of CCTV and its 44 channels of the same-same ideological programming. Access is PROHIBITED to social websites such as Facebook, YouTube, Twitter etc.

The PRC has its own internet system, QQ, which is a closed, domestic only system that keeps the internet population talking only to itself. Discussion of politics or religion is PROHIBITED as is criticism of the established order. Classes of political ideology are given throughout the still traditional educative system.

(Did I mention ideology is a brain disease, always has been, anywhere, everywhere? The Birthers in the US are a prime example of the CCP mentality at work in an actual free society.)

The Chinese people know nothing of India except the CCP line which presents only India's many Old World self-limitations, to include of course the modern prohibition that India should be a democracy.

Half the population of the PRC continues to live in terrible poverty, on USD $2 a day or less - that's 700 000 000 people. The gap between rich and poor in China is enormous and obscene. The CCP ideologues in Beijing haven't any clear idea of what market socialism is or means - it's a handy-dandy term that helps keep the authoritarian autocrats in power and in the money in Beijing and throughout the provincial capitals.

 

PUBLICUS

11:50 AM ET

July 4, 2010

Of a nation of sheep and the soul-less

May I suggest to any interested persons to Google the title "A Nation of Sheep" and where one can find numerous authors in the United States over the past 50+ years writing critical analyses of the population of the US and of the US itself. For various reasons and purposes, this popular title in book after magazine article calls the US population sheep, and US society as a herd of sheep. This is done without respect to a particular ideology, but there is a slight bias among the many authors who choose to use this title to write critically from the Right, or as Libertarians of some sort.

The most notable book of this title however came from the left, by author Wm Lederer, a former US foreign service officer and a navy veteran, who also co-wrote "The Ugly American" critical of US policy in SE Asia, a virtually prophetic book which was published roughly contemporaneous to the Vietnam War. In either instance, whether from the Right or the Left, there isn't any attempt to dehumanize but, rather, to speak metaphorically of sheep-like citizens to make some political point.

Consequently, it could be advisable not to jump the gun to try to collate the use of the word "sheeple" with anything published in the "Capitalism" magazine ca 2005 by a wingnut named Walter Williams, or by anyone of the sort in any same or silimar publication. Rather, it might be helpful to all to be more discerning in one's reading and interpretations of the nature of comment, analysis and criticism of the PRC and the CCP herdsmen that rule it.

It's also the case that many of we who are natural born citizens of the United States and who see prayer in public schools as a violation of the non establishment clause of the Constitution are not soulless in the same sense as the disempowered and neutered cititizens of the PRC are soulless. Politically, the people of the PRC seem to be characters out of an art imitates life movie, namely "The Invasion of the Body Snatchers." In the case of the PRC, it's the snatching is of the mind especially, and of the spirit of a vital human aspiration to realize a voice in how and why one is governed, the processes by which one is govererned as well as by whom, and toward which desirable goals. Processes especially.

 

PUBLICUS

12:02 AM ET

July 6, 2010

Denial

Deny, deny, deny.

Denial or avoidance behavior sometimes is necessary, but as a practice it's unhealthy.