In the Beginning, There Was Somalia

Two decades later, the U.S. still has no plan.

BY JAMES TRAUB | JULY/AUGUST 2010

Despite its lower status on the org chart, S/CRS has now become operational. The office runs the Civilian Response Corps, which consists of an active force, ready to be dispatched abroad within 48 hours, and a standby force, employed elsewhere in the federal government and available to S/CRS for one year out of four. The office now has more than 100 of the former and about 800 of the latter, though its authorized strength is 260 and 2,000, respectively. Todd Calongne, the office's spokesman, describes S/CRS as "the Special Forces of the civilian U.S. government." In a warehouse in Springfield, Virginia, the office has established what Calongne calls "an embassy in a suitcase," with satellite-linked communications equipment, armored vehicles, tents, and so on.

But the response corps is not ready for prime time. Herbst says that Richard Holbrooke asked to meet with him the day Holbrooke was sworn in as special representative for Afghanistan and Pakistan. "He wanted to know what we could do," recalls Herbst, who had to explain that "we could not be a major part of staffing the operation." The office just didn't have the manpower. It did, however, draw up the plans that govern ties between civilians and the military in Afghanistan's regional commands and on provincial reconstruction teams; Calongne says that it has sent to Afghanistan and Pakistan more than 75 experts in communications, planning, conflict assessment, and the rule of law. A member of Holbrooke's team told me, "They've played a substantial role, but within the guidance and policy articulated by this office." Officials speak of Sudan, which might split in half after a referendum next January, as the first crisis S/CRS will address from the outset. The office now has five officials in the country and four more working with special envoy Scott Gration in Washington.

Given its modest size and political position, S/CRS can constitute only one part of a potential response. The obvious candidate for properly taking responsibility is USAID. But the agency today, halved to just 8,000 staff members worldwide from its Vietnam War peak, does little beyond administer contracts carried out by private firms. Obama and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, acknowledging the need for an operational civilian force, have vowed to revitalize the agency. USAID's new administrator, Rajiv Shah, will be authorized to hire 1,000 new employees and might even get an occasional seat at National Security Council meetings. Still, the agency is widely viewed as a cautious and lumbering relic, ill-fitted to the turbulent world of failing states; USAID's culture might take a lot longer to change than its structure. And, as Perito says, "It's very hard to have a policy towards fragile states if you don't have a development entity which functions."

Failed states matter. That is perhaps the most decisive change since the first George Bush sent the Marines to Somalia or Bill Clinton agonized over acting in the Balkans, where, as former Secretary of State James Baker famously said, "We have no dog in that fight." U.S. interests can no longer be extricated from those of faraway countries. But America's stake in the well-being of Somalia does not make Somalia's problems any easier to cure. The remarkable fixity of the Failed States Index stands as a reproach to America's nonchalant faith in progress and its own capacity to solve the world's woes. The Obama administration, which specializes in thinking hard about hard problems, is still a long way from getting its arms around this one.

NEXT: Mogadishu Was a Blast

SVEN TORFINN/PANOS

 

James Traub is a contributing editor to Foreign Policy. His column, Terms of Engagement, runs weekly on ForeignPolicy.com.

MCHARLTO

10:18 AM ET

June 22, 2010

US Policy in Somalia, Full Circle

Somalian leaders have consistently failed to bring about any order - even when supported by Ethiopian troops. The US not only encouraged the Ethiopian army to invade Somalia to remove the ICU, it also provided support to them (partly through targeted bombings). I commented in more detail on the complete failure of recent US policy in Somalia here:

http://transnationalnetworks.typepad.com/transnational-networks/2010/06/comments-on-the-2010-failed-state-index-part-1-people-still-wonder-why-somalia-is-a-failed-state.html

There's really perfectly good explanations why Somalia remains a failed state. Unfortunately, bad policy from the international community is a huge part of this.

 

MUSTNOTSLEEP14

9:26 PM ET

June 25, 2010

These are the nations that

These are the nations that are beyond salvation. There is absolutely no reason to waste American lives on regions such as Somalia, Afghanistan etc. These people need to build their own civilization, it cannot be imposed from abroad. Currently, these people have no desire for anything but continuous warfare and the best thing to do is to try and contain their chaos to their own borders. It is better to help states that have a chance of succeeding, such as those in Latin America, India, China etc. The intelligent people in Somalia should leave the country and leave the savages who still live there to kill each other in peace.

 

VILKSSWEDEN

10:32 AM ET

June 28, 2010

Terrorism and Failed States

"The premise that the 9/11 terrorist attacks had made weak states not just a moral problem but a matter of national security was scarcely new."

However, this statement is false. Think of 9/11, the example the author gives. The hijackers came from Saudi Arabia, not a exactly a beacon of hope, but not a failed state either. The planning, training, coordination for the attack came from Germany and within the U.S. The London and Spain bombings also show indications of planning and training within those two countries as well.

Nidal Hassan, the American Ft. Hood Shooter was raised, trained, and indoctrinated into fundamentalist islam in the U.S. He created more destruction in this country since 9/11 than almost any other foreign trained terrorist.

 

BIDHAAN

4:04 AM ET

June 29, 2010

Somaliland Elections

A spokesman for a group of international observers says a recent presidential election in Somalia's northern breakaway region was free and fair.

Michael Walls says campaigns and polling in Somaliland were conducted in a peaceful and democratic manner. Walls says observers noted some irregularities such as misuse of public resources during the campaigns and that the media occasionally faltered in offering balanced coverage.

Incumbent Dahir Riyale Kahin is facing two challengers in Somaliland's second presidential poll since the region declared its independence in 1991. The region is a haven of relative peace in northwest Somalia with its own security and police forces, justice system and currency. It is not recognized by any other state.

 

PETERJAYSORENSONCMC

10:56 PM ET

July 18, 2010

Good Article & Concern re: Faith in Obama Administration

I found this to be an excellent article that I find valuable and am recommending to others. I do have a concern. In the article Mr Traub says regarding the Obama administration: "They've thought hard . . . . They care deeply . . . . They're getting to the right place . . . . but faith begins to wear thin." (p82) And at the conclusion: "The Obama administration, which specializes in thinking hard about hard problems, is still a long way from getting its arms around this one." (p84).
I have just finished Greg Mortenson's "Stones into Schools." Greg says on page 20:
"Korphe’s schoolhouse was finished in December 1996, and since then each and every school we have built has been preceded by a bridge. Not necessarily a physical structure, but a span of emotional links that are forged over many years and many shared cups of tea.
This philosophy means that some of our projects can grind along at a pace that mirrors the ponderous movement of the Karakoram glaciers." and ". . . good relationships often demand titanic patience."
My own experience in International Development with HELP International (www.help-international.org) verifies that Greg's perspective is accurate, we need "titanic patience" to deal with the issues of failed states.
I, therefore, am pleased with Mr Traub's frankness but cannot come to the same conclusion that he has reached. Yes, we need non-military boots and sandals on the ground building relationships and getting work done. But we also need some thought as to how it will be done and a learning process so that as we work we learn from what we are doing and apply it forward. So I applaud the thoughtful perspective the Obama crowd it taking. Too often we as NGO people have engaged in knee-jerking reactions out of our kind hearts without thinking things through before hand and ended up squandering time, resources, and relationships. I guess what I am saying is that we need a balance between forethought, retrospective sense making, and learning applied forward. Keep up the great writing Mr Traub!