Papandreou’s Odyssey

The Greek prime minister has gone from leader of the socialist party to wielding the axe against entitlements -- and his long journey has just begun. In an exclusive interview, George Papandreou looks to the future and talks to FP about the Herculean tasks ahead.

INTERVIEW BY BENJAMIN PAUKER | JULY 19, 2010

Since taking office in October of last year, Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou has already faced a decade's worth of troubles: near bankruptcy, a hard-won bailout, and anger over pension reform and an austerity program that has resulted in mass strikes, violent riots, and even domestic terrorism. But, he says, the trials of his grandfather and father -- both former prime ministers -- have prepared him for this moment in history. And, it could have been worse.

FP senior editor Benjamin Pauker caught up with the prime minister for a wide-ranging conversation on the severity of Greece's troubles, the future of Europe, and the dangers of treating global markets as gods. Excerpts:

Foreign Policy: You have said that your country was "in a battle for survival." And violent protests in the streets of Athens seemed to bear that out for a time. But things have quieted down somewhat, even with the passage of the controversial pension reform. Where does Greece stand now?

George Papandreou: Well, yes, there was at times some violence, and though it gets a lot of media attention, I would say that it was the exception. But, obviously there's pain, and people are unhappy. But I would say the wide majority of the people realize that we needed to make changes that were long overdue in our country -- to make governance much more responsible, and the running of the country much more transparent. We all have to live up to our own personal responsibilities to this country.

I think that's a feeling that's quite pervasive, even though it's very understandable that there were demonstrations. A large number of citizens have to bear the burden, even though they were least responsible for the crisis. It was a crisis born of bad management and governance over the last six years: a lack of transparency, patronage and clientelism, even corruption. This, of course, was highlighted by the international financial crisis.

FP: You were born and educated, in large part, in the United States. And many of your closest advisers are American. Do you think the U.S. model of capitalism was in some way to blame for the crisis that Europe and Greece face today?

GP: Obviously, the problems began in the financial sector, with commercial paper being put on the market -- structured bonds and special vehicles, which were very simply fraudulent, even though they did have a triple-A rating. I think we see that markets are fallible, and we should not worship them as gods. Now, we have to see how to put them to best use to help our economies and our societies. But this is a question of, again, bad governance. Why wasn't this regulated? Why wasn't there transparency?

But this was not simply within U.S. borders but around the world. Europe too was hit, having bought up so much of these toxic bonds. The developing world was hit; emerging markets less so. But this shows we need much more coordinated action in the world, and more world governance. The G-20 may not be the best of institutions, but the fact that there is an attempt now to coordinate action is, I think, important -- as long as we move to implementation and not simply pronouncements.

FP: A number of analysts, Nouriel Roubini among them, have argued that Greece still faces an unsustainable public debt-to-GDP ratio, and that emergency loans and austerity measures are just prolonging an inevitable debt restructuring -- bankruptcy, in a word. Why not liquidate the debt burden, punish the institutional investors who played down concerns for so long and who profited, and force financial rigor on the state sector?

GP: There were two options -- one was to default, the other was not to default and take a different path. The latter is what we have decided -- not only Greece but also the European Union. There are many negatives in a default situation. Our banks would have been hit; not only ours, but also in Europe. This could also have been a self-fulfilling prophecy of a contagion to other countries. And that would be a much worse situation.

We have this big support mechanism of loans, which we have to pay back, but loans at a better interest rate than we could have got at that time on the market. That has allowed us the time to make the necessary reforms. Secondly, we have the problem of a large shadow economy, or underground economy if you like -- tax evasion, corruption, and so on -- which I believe could also alter the outlook for Greece's future. This will take some time to fix but we're committed to this. My government, for example, has now brought in laws such as total transparency in all signatures in the public sector, putting more and more tax reform resources and contracts online. This will make things much more transparent, and I believe this will help bring the shadow economy out into the open. That will bring an important sense of confidence that we can deal with this long-term debt.

FP: On a personal level, what has it been like to lead this nation in a time of crisis? I imagine you could not have anticipated the severity the problems when you entered office.

GP: First of all, we knew there were problems, chronic problems, and we had actually pinpointed their basic nature even before the elections. We said that our country was not well-run: There was a lack of transparency; there was a lot of money that was lost, wasted, through huge bureaucracy, a clientelistic system, patronage, money put to the wrong purposes, and then of course the problem of graft. We knew these things would have to change, and changing them would make our economy much more efficient and competitive, particularly in the public sector.

GEORGES GOBET/AFP/Getty Images

 
Facebook|Twitter|Reddit

THESUNSHINE

12:24 PM ET

July 20, 2010

Papandreou's Odyssey

The Greek PM has stated that Greek workers are not that lazy as argued in the media. The PM has referred to OECD statistics regarding the number of hours spent at work. He has used aggregate data to capture the working behaviour of greek workers. The use of aggregate date fails to reveal the true picture of the greek workers' productivity. In my view, the greek workers do not work per unit of time (eg, per hour) as hard as their german, french, dutch and british counterparts do. The pace of working is far slower in Greece than it is in the stated above countries. The hard working workers are hardly appraised for their achievements, whilst productivity tools (ie, SMAT) are yet to be introduced into the working practice in Greece.

On the other hand, greek workers have to spend longer hours in the market because of the low compensation that they receive. They usually have a second job to earn an extra income. Part of this income often is not tax declared. The Greek government has systematically failed to tackle this issue adequately. Tax evading and tax avoiding practices are still there
whilst the black market is still big. Cash transactions (cash under the table) are still the rule and not the exception.

For reasons already stated, I do not think that that the specific observation made by the Greek PM reflects the reality.

I do hope that this is of some use.

Thank you so much for offering me the opportunity to present my thoughts.

Kind regards
Dr Papanikolaou PhD

 

MIKEHAWK

9:46 PM ET

July 26, 2010

An interview like no other

FP's interview combined with Dr. Papanikolaou's statement has opened my eyes on Greece's real economic situation and it's really sad to know that a lot of people are working two jobs to make ends meet while the black market and tax evasions are overshadowing the legal and hardworking employees.

They really should do something about it.

Mike

 

LSPITHAS

3:50 AM ET

July 22, 2010

Papandreou's Odyssey

Permit me to put down a few comments on the interview of Prime Minister Papandreou by your distinguished senior editor Benjamin Pauker.

1. The policies of Mr Papandreou's government have fairly wide support in Greece. Its people do understand the seriousness of the situation and wish to do what they can to bring our country out of this difficult period.
2. I do not believe that the present financial condition is the result of bad policies of only the past government. All previous governments after the return to democracy, more or less, have had their part in implementing some of the harmful practices which Mr Papandreou attributes to the last government. Today, the Greek courts are investigating for illegal economic practices two members of Mr. Papandreou's party, who were Ministers in the government of then Prime Minister C. Simitis to which Mr Papandreou was Foreign Minister. Therefore, Mr Papandreou must acknowledge this if he wishes to reply to his question, "WHERE DID THE MONEY GO", repeatedly put by him during the last pre-election campaign: this question must be answered to the satisfaction of the Greek citizens who generously voted him Prime Minister.
3. Greece will survive the present economic crisis. It had to deal with much more difficult crises in its recent history and was able to meet the challenges because its people are proud of themselves and their ancestors and believe deeply in the principles of liberty and dignity. In her recent history, it had to fight for these principles during the brutal occupation by Nazi Germany, with considerable loss of life and limb. Greece’s resistance was a ray of light in one of the darkest moments of the European Continent.
4. But what will the EU do to meet the onslaught on the EU economies of the so-called independent banks which play a damaging speculative game against the Euro, as was recently stressed by none other than the Chancellor of Germany, Mrs. Angela Merkel.
The EU citizens did not elect its leadership to have their future be determined by the well known financial institutions.
The EU should decide to reassess the Maastricht Treaty and the consequent policy making in the EU; but to do that, it must answer the central question put by the historian Larry Siedentop in his “Democracy in Europe” - Where are Our Madisons?

Sincerely,
Lefteris Spithas, PhD

 

ITALIENISCH

7:34 AM ET

August 13, 2010

Greece is lucky to have Papandreou

It is a bit ironic, that the son of a man, who actually bears much responsibility for Greece problems today (due to his change of certain policies in the 80s) is probably one of the ablest to solve them. Greece people are really lucky to have this man and judging by the first results even EU and IMF are very satisfied with the progress.
Best regards, übersetzung italienisch deutsch