Nuking the Messenger

Sorry Shadow Government, the Republican establishment really is in decline.

BY JACOB HEILBRUNN | JULY 28, 2010

I'm flattered that my essay on the decline of the Republican foreign-policy establishment has temporarily converted Foreign Policy's Shadow Government blog into a forum devoted to enumerating my deficiencies in examining the GOP. If anything, I thought that in examining this topic, I might well be accused of carrying coals to Newcastle. Instead, my critics contend that I couldn't have got it more wrong: intellectual ferment is alive and well in the Grand Old Party.

The very unanimity of my reviewers' attacks, however, underscores my original point. Their missives carry the distinct whiff of a mutual admiration society, as they generally begin by praising each other's earlier critiques for having already demolished my argument. Yet none of the critics succeeds in demonstrating that true debate and dissent is taking place in the GOP on Afghanistan, Iraq, or a host of other issues. Rather than directly tackle the arguments in my essay, they impute motives to me -- "neocon bashing," bad faith, "crocodile tears" -- while going for the capillaries by raising a number of picayune objections.

One tack adopted by the Shadow Government critics is to point to moderate Republicans that I didn't mention. Thus, Will Inboden asks what figures such as Condoleezza Rice and Andrew Natsios "have in common?" Andrew Natsios! OK, I admit that it had eluded me that the former director of USAID was a real heavyweight in George W. Bush's inner councils leading up to the Iraq war. While Rice managed to eke out some influence in the last two years of the Bush administration, she was essentially a nullity for the first six, surrounded -- like her sometime State Department ally Colin Powell -- by an alliance of neoconservatives and nationalists who rendered her impotent. Had Rice displayed a smidgen of backbone in the run-up to march on Baghdad, she might have managed to stand up for the warnings that Brent Scowcroft prominently sounded in August 2002 in the Wall Street Journal about the perils of a preemptive war. Instead, Scowcroft became persona non grata as Rice refused even to meet with her erstwhile mentor in the White House. Now Scowcroft, a lifelong Republican, is an informal advisor to President Barack Obama. And when was the last time Rice weighed in on a major foreign-policy debate?

Another avenue of attack is to maintain that there really isn't all that much distance between the realists and the rest of the party. Dov Zakheim notes that both George Shultz and James Baker were "Reagan Republicans" and that Reagan followed a muscular approach. Fair enough. But when they pushed moderate economic policies or favored reaching out to Moscow, Shultz and Baker were denounced by the right with the slogan, "Let Reagan be Reagan!"

A wide chasm separates Shultz, Reagan, and former arm-control negotiator Richard Burt from the current crop of Republicans, such as Arizona Sen. Jon Kyl, who is raising doubts about Obama's nuclear treaty with Russia, which I used as Exhibit A of the GOP's abandonment of internationalism. Kyl has made it plain in the Wall Street Journal earlier this month that his opposition is not so much to New START itself as to what he views as the Obama administration's lukewarm desire to modernize the U.S. nuclear force to the tune of tens of billions of dollars. Essentially, Kyl is holding the treaty hostage in exchange for ironclad promises to spend vast sums on a fresh generation of useless and dangerous nuclear weapons. What will it cost the administration to get further, more substantive arms treaties approved in the future? Meanwhile, conservatives are lodging a host of niggling, if not outright false, objections about the Obama administration's putative abandonment of missile defense.

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Jacob Heilbrunn is a senior editor at the National Interest.

SENTRY

3:37 PM ET

July 28, 2010

Thanks

Kudos for recognizing that the real threat is not Russia but China. Perhaps write an article dealing specifically with that.

 

ASHOK2718

5:26 AM ET

July 29, 2010

Why do Americans think that China is a threat ?

Shouldn't you use competition instead of threat ?

 

ETHEKYAA

1:53 PM ET

July 29, 2010

what competiiton?

damn it! America ain't got no competition! We are the greatest damn country in the history in the history of the world. Nobody goin mess with us.

 

IAN

2:32 PM ET

July 29, 2010

Radicalization of American Politics - the long shot

The Cold War gone, no one to specifically desgnate as an outside threat. 9/11, and a new, but vaporous outside threat is born. Something that is inherently evil and the government must spend billions stopping, but actual, outright, toutable victories are few and far between. The People get restless and wonder what's going on? Their economy goes to shit, big companies (like Goldman Sachs) take out takepayer money to save themselves (do they really need it?) and then make record profits immediately after "re-paying" their debt. The national debt is in freefall. The People are dissillusioned.

The Tea Party Movement is born. Their leaders radical in a way that hasn't been seen in a long time. Its no longer about what's best for the US (when was the last time it really was, though?), but the hardest, low-blow hitting of party vs. party you cant hink of. The Democrats, seeing their popularity dipping badly, respond in kind. This, while saving some face, perhaps, only further fuels the hard-right crazies currently in charge of the Republicn Party. It becomes them vs. us, and each side reaches out to their hardcore supporters, providing the brush to start the blaze of Radicalized Politics. With internal politics on fire, international foreign policy becomes a mere afterthought as the US government becomes further and further split down party lines till...

Look at the difference between the "popular" movement and the established-in-power Democrats right now. When has a split this bad happened before? The American Civil War...

All this to say, do I expect this to happen? ummm... no, not at all. Is the Tea Party thing really that big a deal? No, but look at the people who wanted it to be. A lot of those are senior leaders in the Republican Party. While those kind of people are in charge of the party, there is no way international poiltics will be anything but a sideshow for them.

They've been so brow-beaten the last few years that nothing matters to them except to try and regain some power. Unfortunately, they are so blind to anything else, they don't see the direction they are moving merely makes them look even more crazy.

Meanwhile, the outside world is passing the US by, making them look more and more like the Roman Empire in the last of its days. They won't die off, but rather than being the sun, outshining all the stars, they will merely be one of the many bright stars of the new century.

You call it the decline of Republican Internationalism. It's really just a symptom of the slow decline of the US as the only super-power. It may take another 10-50 years, but the first cracks are showing.

The real question is how will this affect the world as a whole? Will the US, seeing its own decline, look to use its waning power to provide the future with a capable international government of some form, or will it become fractious with everyone else, spitting and growling and lashing out. They can provide a lasting legacy to the future. One of international cooperation or providing the backdrop to (re-)starting the history of every nation for itself?

 

ARTHUR_500

5:25 PM ET

August 2, 2010

What is a Republican?

I would suggest that the Republican Party has become a party with very public statements and positions on restrictive social policy. The economy is very much missing from the picture other than the mantra of no taxes. Foreign Policy is very much an idea that the US is greater than all other countries in thye rest of the world and therefore we do not need them but vice versa.

So in order to be a Republican you must think along the same social lines or you are an outcast. Hmm, sounds very much like the Obama Administration but with different social goals.

As a result the Republican Party has hamstrung itself. Who wants an endorsement from the Republican Party? In order to push ahead with a conservative constitutional agenda you must first sign on to a series of social policies that many if not most Americans do not agree with.

The Republican Party has been its own worst enemy. By inserting themselves into our daily life in our schools, bedrooms, and spiritual activity they have become a party of oppressors not unlike the Democrats. However, the Democrats stay out of our bedroom and instead force me to accept garbage history, social engineering and other possibly less objectionable intrusion. This is why many conservatives have either not supported the Republican Party or just kept quiet.

As long as being a Republican means a different type of social engineering and they ignore the economy and our security they make themselves irrelevant.

 

ADRIAN888

8:57 PM ET

August 19, 2010

Shadow Government

As one commented above "I would suggest that the Republican Party has become a party with very public statements and positions on restrictive social policy. The economy is very much missing from the picture other than the mantra of no taxes. Foreign Policy is very much an idea that the US is greater than all other countries in thye rest of the world and therefore we do not need them but vice versa."