Europe Gets It Right

The continent's surprising comeback.

BY KURT VOLKER, JUAN ZARATE | AUGUST 12, 2010

The view of a failing Europe is en vogue, and for understandable reasons. The contours of crisis are glaring: bloated budgets, aging populations, declining military capabilities, and the fracturing of political solidarity over a range of issues from Russia and energy to enlargement and Turkey. Such is the conventional wisdom about a once too-comfortable Europe, now in decline, and yet amazingly still in the midst of its sacred five-week summer holiday.

But just when Europe seemed on the brink of collapse, it is now showing signs of revival -- signs Americans should applaud.

Britain, Greece, Ireland, Spain, and others are now embarking on the most ambitious set of austerity measures the European Union has ever seen -- braving charges of dismantling the European social model to put state finances in order.

In the wake of U.N. and U.S. sanctions, the European Union imposed the most extensive sanctions against Iran to date -- restricting banking relationships, investment in Iran's petroleum market, and insurance of Iranian shipments, while targeting individuals and front companies tied to Iran's nuclear program. These are serious steps taken despite Russian complaints and a hit to Europe's bottom line -- and they will give EU High Representative Catherine Ashton some leverage in future meetings with Iran's nuclear negotiator.

Britain, France, and Spain are working closely with the United States and partners in North and West Africa to confront al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM). Hyped by al Qaeda propagandists as the "bone in the throat of the French," the group continues to terrorize the trans-Sahel region and has recently attacked an Algerian military compound and killed a French hostage. The subsequent assault on an AQIM base in Niger by French and Mauritanian forces and the French declaration of "war on al Qaeda" should be music to the ears of Americans searching for capable partners willing to fight al Qaeda and its regional affiliates.

The European Parliament voted in early July to approve the U.S.-EU agreement on sharing financial data to uncover terrorist networks as part of the U.S. Treasury's Terrorist Finance Tracking Program. This vote restored the flow of data after a five-month hiatus, putting a vital tool for disrupting terrorist plots back in the hands of U.S. and European security authorities and renewing hope that the European Union is indeed serious about the long-term efforts needed to combat terrorism.

JOHANNA LEGUERRE/AFP/Getty Images

 

Kurt Volker, a former U.S. ambassador to NATO, is now managing director of the Center for Transatlantic Relations at Johns Hopkins  University's School of Advanced International Studies and a senior advisor at the Atlantic Council and McLarty Associates. Juan Zarate was the first assistant secretary of the U.S. Treasury for terrorist financing and financial crimes, deputy national security advisor for counterterrorism (2005 to 2009), and is now a senior advisor at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. 

PAPAX

10:29 PM ET

August 12, 2010

Money quote:

"Proponents of the Nabucco gas pipeline -- intended to bring Azerbaijani and possibly Iraqi or Central Asian natural gas to Europe independent of Russia's Gazprom behemoth." Good lord, where to begin? Geez, Nabucco's backers are shilling for the project--what a shock! Back in realityville--where I am mayor--Nabucco has never been more endangered. Azerbaijani gas isn't sufficient to make the pipeline profitable, "possible Iraqi" gas is just that (a possible pipe dream), and Central Asian gas means principally Kazakh gas, which is almost certainly going to be locked up by the Russians (whose Nabucco competitor, South Stream, is backed by a consortium including German energy firms). From where, then, might the added gas come, an astute reader may ask? Try Iran! Oh, wait, the EU area's vaunted (in this article at least) "new sanctions" against Iran will preclude that possibility... And don't even get me started on the rest of "what Europe is doing right," according to this awful, awful excuse for journalism/analysis/pro-transatlantic rah-rah-ing. The Greek economy will contract 4% this year, Ireland's economy will also contract, etc... FP editors, please never again invite these shills to disgrace your pages.

 

PAPAX

10:48 PM ET

August 12, 2010

Correction

Sorry the full quote reads: "Proponents of the Nabucco gas pipeline -- intended to bring Azerbaijani and possibly Iraqi or Central Asian natural gas to Europe independent of Russia's Gazprom behemoth -- say they have never been so optimistic about prospects for success."

 

ZORRO

3:59 AM ET

August 13, 2010

Talk About Condescending

If these are the Pro-Europe Americans, who needs enemies.

Does Americans want their financial transactions sent to a country that imprisons people without a trial, practices torture and assassinates people in other countries?

EU parliament sold us out for their pound of flesh.

 

CHUNKYNUT

7:27 AM ET

August 13, 2010

Swiss

The Swiss are not part of the EU project and the gist of the article doesn't include European continent nations only the EU nations. Sorry to be pedantic!

 

XAMA226

1:09 PM ET

August 13, 2010

Europe

" What Europe" is getting right has nothing in common with Vogel's and Zarate's

asserion. which boils down to presumed actions of Europe along the lines

of us policy agenda.

For european cirizens what is importabt is their own wellfare.

Here the record is both mixed and complex.

V and Z are irrelevant to understanding europe

 

FRENCHCONNECTION

12:32 AM ET

August 14, 2010

Getting it right? Compared to what ?

U.S. Is Bankrupt and We Don't Even Know It: Laurence Kotlikoff - Bloomberg http://bit.ly/9A3Wu6

the EU economical problems are minor compared to the ones of the US. The US IS Greece already, with the difference that Greece is only 4% of the total EU economy.

the EU hasn't the same needsof oil than the US, its dependency of the ME is less and the Russians cannot blackmail us like Ukraine since they NEED to sel their gas.

The current US administration is unable to solve the current problems and a Republican alternative will probably make things worse.

so please no lecturing

 

THEJADEDCYNIC

8:55 PM ET

August 14, 2010

Getting it Right?

Frenchconnection,

The current US administration is unable to solve the current problems and a Republican alternative will probably make things worse."

Patently absurd! I agree that the GOP is incapable of solving America's problem, chiefly because they fail to identify the correct "problems" to focus on. Their morbid obsession with race, sex, gender, and class divisions have estranged them from reality; they can't take off the blinders long enough to see the big picture.
Obama however, has done a masterful job of moving legislation through Congress, directing funds to parts of the economy that needed them; (autos, local government, the unemployed), and has started to get a handle on foreign policy after a rocky start.
Sarko on the other hand cozies up to dictators in Africa while demonizing immigrants in France; especially Muslims with his "Head Scarf Ban".

 

SBECK

1:19 AM ET

August 14, 2010

falling apart

The eu will fall apart sooner or later, but it seems the time is up... They will help Greece with economic tragedy, but they wil also sell them some weapons as a quid pro quo, i mean they are still exploiting its own member, even in a crisis. the top three banks giving 'money' to Greece are owned by Germany and France, which will sell those weapons . btw, i can say that what will be given to Greece will not be enough after seeing the growth of Greek Economy and others. be ready the eu will fall apart.

 

JOACHIMABELA

8:54 PM ET

August 14, 2010

Collapsing EU?

I am guessing that when the authors refers to 'Europe', they are actually referring to the EU (considering that they're attached a picture of the EU flags). May I remark that 'Europe' is not the EU and vice versa. The EU is a union between 27 European states. Europe is the continent where the EU is found and it also includes many other nations which do not form part of the EU.

Now, talking about a 'failing EU', a 'disintegrating EU', a 'day when the EU will be no more' is preposterous. Yes, it is true that the EU faces a lot of problems with its economy and more persistently with its so called 'European Integration Project". Many say that this project, along with it's common monetary union, were doomed before they even started, that all the European countries are too different and that their economies are too different for them to even work together. But I always say that it all comes down to Relevance on the world stage. That is, that if European countries want to remain politically relevant on the world stage they have to stick together as the EU.

Let me explain further. Today we're witnessing the rise of many nations all over the world; nations like China, India, Brazil, Russia, Indonesia, Mexico and others; nations which have the potential of becoming huge economic and political powers like the USA in the future and indeed some are already considered as 'new powers', namely China. These nations are much larger than Germany - the largest EU nation. As such they therefore have the potential to have much larger economies than each individual European economy which now enjoy top positions in the list of the largest economies in the world.

All this poses a treat to the present European power on the world stage, which, may I note, is somewhat already waning. If EU countries do remain together, most especially the five biggest: Germany, France, UK, Italy and Spain, and decide to dissolve the EU altogether they all run the risk of being replaced, to put it bluntly. They all run the risk of becoming politically irrelevant. Larger countries, like the ones I mentioned will start demanding more political power and it will only be natural to shift the power from the relatively small European states, which now enjoy disproportionate power, to the larger states on the world stage.

So, to sum it up, if all the EU countries want to remain relevant on the world stage, they have to stick together, resolve their differences and continue working on the 'European Project'. This reason alone is enough to keep the EU together and instigate further integration in the future. Talk of otherwise is only short-sighted.

 

MAY

10:24 PM ET

August 15, 2010

US is more endangered than EU

http://finance.yahoo.com/tech-ticker/bill-black-u.s.-using-"really-stupid-strategy"-to-hide-bank-losses-535317.html;_ylt=Arcls3BqTrD6e2l1CeLjAkBk7ot4;_ylu=X3oDMTE4NmFnanUyBHBvcwMxODcEc2VjA2FydGljbGVMaXN0BHNsawNiaWxsYmxhY2t1c3U-?tickers=^n225,xlf,bac,^dji,c,^gspc,faz
Bill Black: U.S. Using "Really Stupid Strategy" to Hide Bank Losses

Then there is the lost generation and after that the brown generation:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-08-11/u-s-is-bankrupt-and-we-don-t-even-know-commentary-by-laurence-kotlikoff.html
U.S. Is Bankrupt and We Don't Even Know: Laurence Kotlikoff

Assumption alert:"Yes, our economy will be bigger in 20 years, but not big enough to handle this size load year after year."

Gee that will be when lost generation will be at prime earning age. Even then prediction is bleak, will be bleaker with lost generation perspective and brown to follow:
http://charleshughsmith.blogspot.com/2010/08/non-financial-cost-of-stagnation-social.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed:+google/RzFQ+(oftwominds)
The Non-Financial Cost of Stagnation: "Social Recession" and Japan's "Lost Generations"

And after the lost generation is the brown generation

http://www.nationaljournal.com/njmagazine/cs_20100724_3946.php
The Gray And The Brown: The Generational Mismatch

 

JEAN VALJEAN

9:02 AM ET

August 25, 2010

A very US-centric Opinion

What is quite disturbing in this paper is that Europe is termed to "get it right" (according to the authors) mainly because it is assumed to endorse the US positions.

A very narrow point of view !