The King of Iraq

As U.S. troops leave the country, one man stands to benefit above all: Moqtada al-Sadr.

BY BABAK DEHGHANPISHEH | AUGUST 20, 2010

It would be hard to imagine a more unlikely meeting. Late in July, the tempestuous Iraqi Shiite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr traveled to Damascus from Iran, where he's been living in exile for the past three years. The trip looked at first to be a routine photo-op for Sadr and Syrian President Bashar Assad. That is, until Sadr met with Ayad Allawi, a top contender for the prime minister post in Iraq and one of the cleric's sworn enemies. Their mutual enmity dates back to a showdown in the holy city of Najaf in the summer of 2004. Sadr's Mahdi Army fighters had taken over the city and were using the Imam Ali shrine, one of the holiest sites for Shiites, as a base of operations. Allawi, who was interim prime minister at the time, gave American and Iraqi troops the green light to take them out, killing dozens of Mahdi militiamen in the process.

So it was no small thing for the two to meet in person. And they didn't just talk; they were laughing and hamming it up as if they were the best of friends. The photos and video footage from that meeting are some of the only public examples of Sadr smiling (the more common profile is a scowling Sadr, wrapped in a white martyr's shroud, pounding a pulpit). Sadr had good reason to be happy: He now holds the fate of his one-time enemy in his hands.

Sadr -- feared by some, reviled by others and revered by a broad swath of Iraq's urban poor -- is now a kingmaker in Iraqi politics. It's a role that Sadr, the scion of a prominent clerical family, has been building toward since 2003. Immediately after the U.S. invasion, thousands of his supporters packed the dusty streets of Baghdad's Saddam City neighborhood (later renamed Sadr City) for Friday prayers week after week. Sadr rallied their ranks around his parliamentary list in the 2005 elections, making a strong showing, and then used his political clout to help push Nouri al-Maliki into the prime minister slot in 2006. But the friendship didn't last: Sadr bitterly split from Maliki when the latter allowed American troops to attack his militia members. Depending on whom you ask, Sadr either sensed he was next to be targeted and fled to Iran or was convinced of that fact by Iranian officials, who urged Sadr to leave for his own safety. Now, as U.S. troops withdraw and negotiations are underway in Baghdad to form a new government, Sadr may be planning his return. If he does, he will no doubt face jubilant crowds once again.

Sadr's political comeback was the result of careful and deliberate planning. More than a year before the elections in March, Sadr and his top aides set up an election strategy committee they dubbed the "machine." The goal was to game the electoral system as best as they could. A team of seven pored over the election law, dissected district maps, and built an extensive database of voters in every province. In the end, Sadr's Free Movement party won 39 seats in parliament, giving his followers a decisive vote within the National Iraqi Alliance, the dominant Shiite bloc of which they are part. And that's exactly why Allawi shuttled to Damascus for the meeting: He needs Sadr if he hopes to become prime minister.

LOUAI BESHARA/AFP/Getty Images

 

Babak Dehghanpisheh is the Middle East correspondent for Newsweek.

JOHNCROZIER

8:31 AM ET

August 22, 2010

Great post.

Great post.

 

DFMARLES

12:20 PM ET

August 23, 2010

Change for the better?

I just hope that once we all look back at what has taken place since we evaded Iraq that it will be viewed as positive and the right thing to do. But who knows...When we leave and we get a chance to see the impact we made, then and only then will be begin to see a change for the better...if we made the right choices.

 

JAYDEE001

12:43 PM ET

August 23, 2010

He's in the kingmaker's seat, alright

Al Sadr is not the guy we would have chosed, but he is probably the logical result of our machinations in Iraq. We got rid of Saddam Hussein, who would probably have tried to get rid of someone like this. The 'leaders' we have encouraged so far have provent to be so unpopular with the Iraqi citizenry that they cannot even form a functioning government after almost 6 months of fruitless effort.

It is almost a certainty that whomever Al Sadr blesses to be the next chief of state will owe a great deal to this Iran-leaning, newly-minted Shiite power broker. And he will owe a lot to his Iranian protectors, who have provided him shelter and the opportunity to polich his clerical credentials over the past several years.

By ignoring him, or encouraging his marginalization, we have given him a sort of seal of dis-approval, which may be what appeals to the large number of Iraqis who find him more appetizing than the puppets we have tried to place in charge. This may be a fitting outcome for our Iraqi misadventure.

 

YARINSIZ

1:51 PM ET

September 18, 2010

The article is right that Al

The article is right that Al Sadr is now in a powerful position. But he is right for the wrong reason.sesli sohbet It is the naive admiration by people who like the author ignore his violence and instead misguidedly attribute his popularity to political issues that makes Al Sadr so influential.

 

DANIELLA

6:00 AM ET

September 19, 2010

This man is really a

This man is really a horrible, terrible and danger person but the occidental politics who? actuates in meddle east are so sick and full of darkness than him.
The difference: His evil spirit is in his eyes and here, in the free occidental world, the politics hide their real faces very well liga 2.
Beauty faces and expressions. Horrible plans to the oriental people and their oil.