Grain Pains

Imagine if the drought this summer near Moscow happened near Chicago or Beijing. Lester Brown has, and he's afraid.

INTERVIEW BY CHRISTINA LARSON | AUGUST 26, 2010

Lester Brown is probably the world's leading expert on food security. The prolific author of more than 50 books has shifted the goal posts on food politics debates many times over, starting with his first book in 1963, Man, Land and Food. His most famous book, Who Will Feed China?, launched conversations from Washington to London to Beijing about agricultural productivity in the world's most populous country. His books on international environmental issues have been translated into more than 40 languages.

With a significant amount of Russia's fields near Moscow going up in flames this summer, following a severe drought, Brown weighs in on what he finds most worrisome -- and what the future of global food security might look like.

 

Foreign Policy: When's the last time Russia faced a predicament like these recent droughts?

Lester Brown: Well, Russia has never seen anything exactly like this. One of the interesting things about the heat wave in Russia this year was, one, that it lasted two months -- it started in mid-late June and went until mid-August.

The other thing is that the average temperature in Moscow in July was 14 degrees higher than the norm. I mean, that is a huge jump. If it had been one day or a few days, that would have been one thing, but for the average for a month to be that high is a little bit scary because it is an example of the kinds of more extreme climate events that the climate models say we should expect as temperature rises.

FP: If the elevated temperatures and drought had happened in one of the world's breadbaskets -- say, the American Midwest or China -- what might the impact have been?

VIKTOR DRACHEV/AFP/Getty Images

 

Lester Brown is an agricultural scientist and founder of the Worldwatch Institute and Earth Policy Institute. He is the author of more than 50 books, including Who Will Feed China?: Wake-Up Call for a Small Planet and Plan B: Rescuing a Planet Under Stress and a Civilization in Trouble.

CASSANDRAAA

7:28 AM ET

August 27, 2010

don't forget population growth

Lester Brown is like almost all commentators when he talks about future problems -- he never mentions population growth. The world is continuing to add huge numbers of people.

Growth projected for the USA is pretty spectacular, from current 310 million to 420 million in just the nect 40 years. All people who will want to eat and to eat an American diet.

 

CASSANDRAAA

7:28 AM ET

August 27, 2010

don't forget population growth

Lester Brown is like almost all commentators when he talks about future problems -- he never mentions population growth. The world is continuing to add huge numbers of people.

Growth projected for the USA is pretty spectacular, from current 310 million to 420 million in just the nect 40 years. All people who will want to eat and to eat an American diet.