The Stories You Missed in 2010

Ten events and trends that were overlooked this year, but may be leading the headlines in 2011.

BY JOSHUA E. KEATING | DECEMBER 2010

The (Other) Long Road to Afghanistan

Nine years and two U.S. presidents in, the war effort in Afghanistan has never appeared more difficult. And if fighting the fast-metastasizing insurgency and keeping the government in Kabul in line weren't difficult enough, just getting supplies into the country is emerging as a major challenge.

NATO's main supply route into Afghanistan has come under increasing threat from border closures on the Pakistani side and lethal Taliban attacks, meaning that international forces are likely to rely even more on what the United States calls its "Northern Distribution Network" to reinforce the 150,000 troops fighting in Afghanistan. But the route, a series of long supply lines snaking through the mountains and deserts of Central Asia, comes with its own, largely overlooked, set of headaches as political disputes, corruption, poor infrastructure, and security concerns continue to put supply lines at risk -- as 2010 viscerally showed.

In April, NATO supplies coming in through Kyrgyzstan's Manas transit center were held up by political unrest and then again by a tax dispute over the base in May. But even before that, the system was showing signs of trouble. Goods traveling by rail through Uzbekistan typically experience a 20-day delay at the Uzbek-Afghan border while waiting for inspection. (The U.S. Defense Department told Defense News in March that it had been reduced from 30 days, though shipping companies report that it can be cut to as few as seven for the right bribe.)

Then there are local political feuds to contend with. In May, thousands of rail carriages, containing badly needed fuel and food for NATO troops, were held up at the Uzbek-Tajik border by Uzbekistan's national railroad. The company blamed technical problems, but it is widely suspected that Tashkent was trying to block building materials from reaching a hydroelectric plant being built on the Tajik side, which Uzbeks think will divert water away from their farmland.

Even during the best of times, bottlenecks are inevitable. Trucks are forced to crowd onto the single bridge over the Amu Darya River that separates Uzbekistan and northern Afghanistan or use one of the hastily constructed barges put in by NATO. In June, 3,500 fuel tanks were languishing on the Uzbek side of the river. A new rail bridge won't be finished until next year at the earliest.

And that doesn't even factor in the region's fast-deteriorating security situation. Northern Afghanistan was once one of the country's most peaceful regions. But Taliban activity has been increasing in the area, and fuel tankers crossing into Kunduz province have been hijacked by militants. Experts worry that the strengthening Islamist militant movements in Central Asian countries could begin to target the supply lines as well.

With unstable Pakistan to the east and actively hostile Iran to the west, NATO commanders had little choice but to cut deals with Russia and Central Asian autocrats to open up the northern route. Already, the White House says the Northern Distribution Network accounts for nearly 30 percent of ground supplies delivered to U.S. troops in Afghanistan -- the rest still comes in through Pakistan. But it's quickly becoming clear that looking north might not be the answer.

Oleg Nikishin/Getty Images

 

Joshua E. Keating is an associate editor at Foreign Policy.

GRANT

6:43 AM ET

November 28, 2010

While some parts of this are

While some parts of this are interesting I do have to note that the line about being missed in 2010 is misleading. China's demographic problems have been well known for years, debate over the scanners has been well covered by papers (at least on the East coast) as has stem cell tourism. Also the mention of Indonesia forgets that the nation has constant struggles with separatist groups.

 

MICHAELTURTON

11:57 PM ET

November 29, 2010

Thanks!

Thanks Joshua, theres some really good stuff in here, including the story about the mexico-US border tribe and Indonesia.

Michael

 

PREVENT SENIOR

10:17 PM ET

December 7, 2010

Rede Credenciada

I like the story about the mexico-US border tribe and Indonesia.

 

JEALOUS_GUY_247

2:23 PM ET

December 22, 2010

Indonesian Economic Development

Indonesia's growth in recent years is clearly outwith the recent world recession. With such a diverse nation spread over a large area and with such large variations in wealth levels there will come apoint where corruption wil take over from commerce.
Indonesia

 

CURT SAMPSON

11:30 PM ET

December 3, 2010

Tribal Drug Warfare?

The tribal thing seems to me like a rather small and insignificant part of the much larger War on Drugs story, and the various changes coming about in it. The biggest story this year was the serious introduction of the idea of legalizing, taxing and regulating marijuana, along with increasing decriminalization of it. Proposition 19 may have failed in California, but it had substantial (46%) support. I don't know how much more will happen in 2011, but over the next ten years this whole movement, if it continues, could change various economic and power balances in interesting ways. (In particular, it seems to me that this could have a notable effect on Mexico, whose political problems are quite wrapped up in this whole economic issue.)

 

TEXASJEFF

3:45 PM ET

December 14, 2010

Too many Chinese men...?

Hope the U.S. doesn't help China with its problem by meeting at the Chosin again...

 

TEXASJEFF

3:55 PM ET

December 14, 2010

Cartel's paying $2K for a 'free pass'...?

Pay the Tohono O'odham $5K for Cartel scalps instead...