The Hidden War

The stories you missed in 2010: AfPak edition.

DECEMBER 21, 2010

Pakistan's Minorities Come Under Fire
By Kalsoom Lakhani

The persecution and targeting of religious and sectarian minorities has occurred throughout Pakistan's history, but a number of attacks in 2010 highlight a qualitative shift in this trend. The scale, location, tactics, and claims of responsibility for attacks on minority religious institutions have changed dramatically between last year and this one, proving not only that Pakistan's minorities are a primary target of the region's extremist groups, but also that minorities are losing support among the population at large.

Although the number of recorded attacks against minorities seems not to have changed much between 2009 and 2010, other key factors changed significantly. In 2010, attacks on minority religious institutions were for the most part large-scale, resulting in significantly higher death tolls than those in 2009. For instance, based on calculations from the U.S. National Counterterrorism Center, news reports, and other sources, the average number of people killed in minority-related mosque attacks in 2009 was three. In 2010, the number ballooned to 18 (the average number wounded was 24 in 2009 and 61 in 2010).

Many of these 2010 attacks occurred in Pakistan's major cities, such as the Sufi shrine bombing in Karachi and the Ahmadi mosque attacks in Lahore. In 2009, comparatively, such attacks were mostly concentrated in the country's northern areas, including the tribal areas and smaller towns in Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa. The type of attacks also shifted between 2009 and 2010. Last year, militants used mainly IEDs (improvised explosive devices), VBIEDs (vehicle-borne improvised explosive devices), and grenades in their attacks on minority religious institutions; in 2010, on the other hand, suicide attacks were more common, a reason for the larger death tolls.

Finally, there was a shift in groups claiming responsibility. While there was no claim of responsibility for many of the attacks in 2009, Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) claimed more attacks this year, including the bombings of the Sufi shrine in Karachi and the Ahmadi mosques in Lahore (though TTP spokesmen denied they were behind the Sufi shrine attack in Lahore in July).

But the TTP, despite what it claims, may not be behind all these attacks. Instead, groups belonging to the Punjabi Taliban, with more reach into Pakistan's urban centers, could be working with the militant umbrella organization to carry out these attacks. By claiming responsibility, the TTP is in effect perpetuating the perception that there is one centralized larger enemy rather than a more manageable cluster of nameless militants operating independently. The increasing number of large-scale suicide attacks occurring in Pakistan's major cities, not just in the northwestern areas, is also important in the perceptions war because these incidents garner more media attention and exacerbate the notion that the threat is close by, stoking greater instability and fear in the country.

The shift in the nature of these attacks on minority religious institutions also mirrors increasingly heightened anti-minority sentiment in the country. Religious and sectarian minorities have long been marginalized, targeted, and persecuted throughout Pakistan's history, though the introduction of the blasphemy laws in the 1980s added further legitimacy to this intolerance. Among the most recent victims of these laws is Aasia Bibi, who recently became the first Christian woman to be sentenced to death because of a conviction under the blasphemy laws, and whose story has sparked polarizing reactions from human rights groups to religious organizations.

According to the U.S. Commission on International Religious Freedom's latest annual report, "[D]iscriminatory laws, promulgated in previous decades and persistently enforced, have fostered an atmosphere of religious intolerance and eroded the social and legal status of members of religious minorities, including Shi'a Muslims, Ahmadis, Hindus, and Christians. Government officials do not provide adequate protections from societal violence to members of these religious minority communities, and perpetrators of attacks on minorities seldom are brought to justice."

It's clear that over the course of the past year, Pakistan's militant groups have re-emphasized a brutal method to realize their goal of destabilizing the country: By attacking minorities' places of worship, they hope to instigate a nationwide sectarian war.

Kalsoom Lakhani is the director of Social Vision, the strategic philanthropy arm of ML Resources in Washington, D.C. She is from Islamabad, Pakistan, and blogs at CHUP, or Changing Up Pakistan.

ASIF HASSAN/AFP/Getty Images

 

JOZEF

6:46 AM ET

December 22, 2010

In our modern world it is

In our modern world it is very difficult to imagine that two countries still wage a war. To tell the truth the idea of this creates terrible and horrible pictures in my mind. I can’t imagine how people can live in such awful conditions; how people can live on pain of death. Thank you for this post.

 

CYBERFOOL

10:01 AM ET

December 22, 2010

Civilian deaths vs mistakes

I think there is an important distinction in civilian deaths. While these may represent opposite ends of the spectrum, reality is probably more like shades of gray. Here are 2 hypothetical cases:

Case 1: Militant hides weapons & IED making materials in his home. In a drone strike he is killed in his home along with wife & children and the weapons are destroyed.

Case 2: Drone strike hits the wrong house, where only women and children lived and there are fatalities. There were no weapons in the house, the house across the street was the intended target.

I'd like to know how often the strikes are similar to case 2, as these are disturbing. In case 1, when a legitimate target is hidden amoungst civilians, then the responsibility for the civilian deaths are the fault of the targeted combatant.

 

ASAD KHAN

10:10 AM ET

January 5, 2011

civilan fatalities

case2is subject of international humanitarian law.with such advaned technology with the west such things happen. Apart from the main issue,Dr.Afia siddiquis release will earn lot of goodwill for the us in pakistan. it could be done on humanitarian grounds.punjabs(Pakistan)governor can sacrifice his life for a christian woman,us can atleast consider my request.