Big Problem, Small Package

New START is a good step forward for limiting strategic nuclear weapons, but the proliferation and deployment of tactical nukes is a serious, and unaddressed, problem.

BY MICAH ZENKO | DECEMBER 22, 2010

Although less is known about it, Russia's tactical arsenal is assuredly less secure. The United States has provided over $12 billion for security upgrades to Russia's permanent nuclear storage sites -- but these resources have only gone to the facilities that house its inactive reserves, not the bases that maintain Russia's operationally deployed tactical arsenal of some 2,000 warheads. Consequently, those weapons most equipped for use are least secure.

Limiting tactical nuclear weapons represents the final frontier of arms control. The first step must be to assuage Russian concerns about NATO's conventional superiority. To do so, Washington and its allies must agree with Moscow on an updated Conventional Armed Forces in Europe (CFE) Treaty, which placed verifiable limits on NATO and Warsaw Pact offensive conventional weapons. An updated CFE Treaty would mitigate NATO's conventional predominance by further reducing offensive weapons, such as tanks, artillery, and attack helicopters, through an inspection regime that allays Russia's European security concerns.

Washington and Moscow must then turn to the hard work of forging a bilateral agreement that establishes a verifiable regime combining cuts to each countries' tactical nuclear weapon arsenal and confidence-building measures between the parties. Specifically, a treaty must include three components.

First, each country should reveal its tactical nuclear weapons inventory, location, and operational status, publicly or through a private data-exchange mechanism. Cryptographic technologies exist that permit Washington and Moscow to securely exchange detailed stockpile data between each other while denying access to countries not party to the treaty.

Second, both sides would need to establish methods to verify implementation of the treaty. Verifying limits on Russia's operational tactical nuclear arsenal would be challenging because of the inherent secrecy of the Ministry of Defense and armed services. However, U.S. officials closely involved in the negotiation and verification of previous nuclear-weapons treaties with Russia think that there are sufficient verification procedures -- including radiation detection, remote measurement, and tamper-indicating tags -- to ensure Russian compliance with treaty provisions.

Finally, Washington and Moscow must clearly differentiate between tactical nuclear weapons that are can be used in the near-term and those in storage. The two sides should draw up a list of bases housing only "operationally deployed" weapons, and another list for permanent storage. The United States and Russia each have a clear understanding of the differences between these sites. Ultimately, to make tactical nuclear weapons limitations permanent, both sides could verifiably dismantle non operational warheads at disassembly facilities.

The omission of these provisions from New START is, contrary to its critics' assertions, no reason to reject it. Rather, Senate approval of New START has proven the United States' commitment necessary to begin negotiations on this controversial -- but vitally important -- arms-control issue.

PHILIPPE LOPEZ/AFP/Getty Images

 

Micah Zenko is a fellow in the Center for Preventive Action at the Council on Foreign Relations, and author of "Toward Deeper Reductions in U.S. and Russian Nuclear Weapons".

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MALICEIT

10:24 PM ET

December 22, 2010

RE:

"The tactical nuclear weapons maintained by the United States, and especially by Russia, represent a heightened risk of theft or diversion. In 2008, a U.S. Air Force report -- challenged by some Pentagon officials -- warned that most NATO nuclear sites "require significant additional resources to meet [Department of Defense] security requirements." In January, activists breached the perimeter of a Belgian air base, where perhaps 10 to 20 tactical nuclear weapons are stored, and walked around for over an hour without being questioned. "

They are secret for a reason. Besides i don't think those activists even knew that there were nukes...

"First, each country should reveal its tactical nuclear weapons inventory, location, and operational status, publicly or through a private data-exchange mechanism."

Also launch codes for 5113 American nukes, NORAD operational servers and data clusters, and promise that no one will know about it...

"Verifying limits on Russia's operational tactical nuclear arsenal would be challenging because of the inherent secrecy of the Ministry of Defense and armed services."

Because uhmarica still lives in Cold War.

 

SOUTHTEXASSHAMAN

9:25 AM ET

December 23, 2010

Edward C. Eiland

The blind are leading the blind, and both shall fall into the ditch…
The satanic, dead “churches” are not preparing the masses for the enormity of the prophesied, and pre-ordained, Last Days, which are now upon us, and Jesus’ necessitated, fierce physical Return. Pray for the young- they are about to inherit Armageddon.
To these evil men and women, -channels for Satan- in high places, I would say: Every moment, Jesus is watching you (the coming Messiah and King- He's invisible, for now). He’ll remind you of it later.
Ed, South Texas Shaman (http://southtexasshaman.tripod.com)