Iran Cracks Down While Egypt Cracks Up

Tehran is claiming that the uprisings in Tunisia and Egypt reflect the heady days of 1979. Not so fast says the Green Movement -- it's 2009 that's a better parallel.

BY BARBARA SLAVIN | JANUARY 31, 2011

While the world's attention has been riveted by Arab uprisings in Tunisia and Egypt this month, Iran's government has taken the opportunity to execute a record number of prisoners in an apparent bid to head off the return of the dramatic street protests that pushed President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's government to the brink in June 2009.

Meanwhile, Iranian officials have been spinning the turmoil in the Arab world as a victory for Iran and a replay of Iran's 1979 revolution against the U.S.-backed shah. But the mass protests that are ricocheting around the region -- spread in part by Facebook, Twitter, text messaging, and satellite television -- cut more than one way for Tehran. They remind Iranians of their own recent failed attempt to dislodge an increasingly authoritarian government.

"This is a reaction to the developments in Egypt and Tunisia," says Hadi Ghaemi, director of International Campaign for Human Rights in Iran. "The Iranian intelligence forces want to show their power by executing so many people including even someone of European nationality."

The crackdown could be in part an effort to pre-empt more demonstrations as Iran on Jan. 31 begins the commemoration of the 32nd anniversary of the Islamic Revolution. The climax of the so-called "10 days of dawn" that began with Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini's return from exile in 1979 is Feb. 11, the day the shah's last government fell. Last year, Iran also made a point of executing several political prisoners before that date.

This January, Ghaemi said, the Iranian government executed 83 people, including on Jan. 29 the first dual national deliberately killed in years: an Iranian-Dutch woman, Zahra Bahrami.

Bahrami, 45, was arrested in December 2009 when Iran's opposition Green Movement took to the streets during the Shiite Muslim holiday of Ashura. She was later accused of trafficking cocaine, a charge that her family asserts was fabricated. In response to her hanging, the Dutch government suspended diplomatic relations with Iran.

According to Ghaemi, Iran executed almost as many people in January 2011 as it did in all of 2005. Since Ahmadinejad replaced Mohammad Khatami in August 2005, the number of executions has risen steadily and now is the highest in the world per capita and second only to China in absolute terms. At least 250 people were executed last year, Ghaemi said, with perhaps another 100 put to death more quietly. In the eastern city of Mashhad near the Afghan border, he said, about 600 people are currently on death row.

Iran also has the dubious distinction of holding the world's oldest known political prisoner: Ebrahim Yazdi, 80, a former foreign minister who has suffered from high blood pressure and prostate cancer and underwent open-heart surgery shortly before his arrest in October. He is due to go on trial on unspecified charges in March. According to Ghaemi, another 500 political detainees are awaiting action on their cases while about 500 have been convicted and are serving sentences.

Iranian opposition figures point out the regime's hypocrisy in criticizing Arab governments for firing on peaceful protesters while crushing freedom of expression in Iran. Meanwhile, the official media waxes triumphant about the developments in the Arab Middle East.

Comments last week by Hossein Shariatmadari, editor of the conservative Kayhan newspaper, were typical: "Look at the region. Tunisia, Egypt, Jordan, Algeria, Bahrain. ... roaring in populous slogans and demands against their absolutist rulers; pay attention. All the demands and slogans are in complete congruence with the teachings of the Islamic revolution. Death to America; death to Israel; hail Islam; death to the seculars; Islam is my religion" (translation by Mideastwire.com).

Majid/Getty Images

 

Barbara Slavin is nonresident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council and author of Bitter Friends, Bosom Enemies: Iran, the U.S., and the Twisted Path to Confrontation.

 

QUATRA

8:22 PM ET

January 31, 2011

Iran Cracks Down While Egypt Cracks Up

Iran? Iran? Who's Iran? Really, do we know where the guy lives or where his nuclear plants are? Do we know where his MASTER (the womanlike mulah) lives? I mean, if the US is the "world power" it states it is and has the means, it says and I 've been paying taxes for, to read "the license plates" of every vehicle in the world, they cannot dispose of that obnoxious guy....?? Or is the muslim guy in the WH on their side? Stop this madness brought on by the democrats.

 

GRAMPA CALIGULA

8:21 AM ET

February 1, 2011

???

I'm sorry, but that makes absolutely no sense. If I remember correctly, the U.S. involvement in the overthrow of Mohammed Mossadegh and installation of the Shah is the core of the mess in Iran. Thos who can not remember the past are doomed to repeat it.

 

SPIRITWOMAN

1:38 AM ET

February 1, 2011

Iran

This 'guy' is the only one who has the BALLS of steel to stand up to the LIES of amerikan LIES and hipocrasy... HE will DESTROY babylon.. [amerika].. don't believe it, watch and see it happen...............................

 

TERRYGTATE

11:09 AM ET

February 1, 2011

AHdumbjob!

Blah! Blah! Blah! He Would Be A Man If He Had Any Balls!

 

ALI F.

7:39 AM ET

February 1, 2011

There is no doubt that the Iran is the big winner in all this

We should stop fooling ourselves. There is no doubt that the Islamic Republic wins big time.

A very good article, that sort of predicted all this:

http://www.raceforiran.com/the-islamic-republic-of-iran-the-united-states-and-the-balance-of-power-in-the-middle-east

 

TERRYGTATE

11:12 AM ET

February 1, 2011

Keep Dreaming ALIF.

Keep Dreaming ALIF.

 

NEOLEFT

7:23 PM ET

February 1, 2011

Righ on the money Ali

Iran could not have dreamed of being so well positioned until Bush invaded Iraq.

1. Iraq has been handed to Iran on a (gold) platter.
2. Hezbollah are now in power in Lebanon
3. If the Saudi;s are overthrown, then the oil producing regions of Saudi Arabia will fall into the hands of the Shiites.
4. Turkey's star as a regional power continues to grow, and has formed a strong alliance with Iran.
5. 80% of Arabs in the ME support Iran and it's believe that a nuclear armed Iran would be good for the region. With Mubarak gone, relations between Egypt and Iran will warm considerably.

Iran has hit the jackpot.

 

PULLER58

10:07 AM ET

February 1, 2011

Looking at the Middle East

This is the bottom line, all these countries are different. Now Jordan's King has dissolved the government in his country as he too is facing protesters. Iran has a dictatorial regime, Lebanon looks to be about to have a Hezbollah dominated governent, Iraq has a sputtering government, and so on. The final tally may look quite different than the current status quo, but may not look at all cookie cutter.

 

SABABA03

4:32 PM ET

February 1, 2011

The Beggining of the end for the Mullahs.

Recent events in Tunisia & Egypt are clear sign that people throughout the middle east have had enough with dictatorships. Enough with theocracy. Enough with dinosaurs from 7th century mindset. We are in era of knowledge based societies, not 7th century era of camels, horses and daggers.

Time for change. Brave Iranian men and women are ready to take their turn and join the wave of liberation from their tyrannical Mullahs and give them the boot.

There are also a growing group of Nationalistic Iranian intellectuals, questioning altogether the legitimacy of Islam in their country.

"First of all", they ask, "who was this literate Arab Bedouin nomad whom 1350 years ago, who came here from the deserts of Arabia,, and destroyed our the 5000 year glorious civilization, heritage & Cultural - going back to Cyrus the Great?. This man had forced his barbaric religion on our people"?. "Second", they continue, "what Islam has brought us?. Except, backwardness, barbaric cultural of beheading people and stoning woman for being raped?. We were far more advanced then that."

Just give it time. The writing are on the wall. Tunisia & Egypt are just the worm up of what is waiting for the Mullahs. The whole world stands against their barbaric rule, this one will be easy to "fix", in favor of the freedom loving people of Iran

 

NEOLEFT

7:38 PM ET

February 1, 2011

Iran and Egypt are not the same

Unlike Mubarak, the Mullahs are not on the payroll of some foreign government and selling out their po0pulation at the expense of foreign interests.

As unpleasant as he might be, Ahmadinejad was elected by popular vote in 2009. The US poured hundreds of millions of dollars into influencing the election and it failed. In other word,s not matter how loud the Green movement shouts and protests, they will still represent a minority.

Iran is on the rise. They've had their revolution. The Mullahs will simply fade away into obscurity, but there isn't going to be any Berlin Wall moment.

 

SABABA03

12:38 PM ET

February 2, 2011

The Mullahs are beholden

Neoleft,
The Mullahs may not be beholden to US. But sure they are beholden to their 7th century mind-set & backward Islamic ideology, which lags the young generation there by 1350 years. There is a disconnect between the regime and the population in Iran. That is the very reason, this regime will not hold onto power for too long.

Just sit and wait - it is matter of time, and the right spark to ignite the whole thing and send the Mullahs back into the pastures of oblivion.

 

NEOLEFT

5:05 PM ET

February 2, 2011

You may not like the Mullah's SABABA03

But Iran is an Islamic country and will remain one, and as such, there will always be religious leaders in one for or another.

Those on the right have been predicting the collapse the the Mulliah's for 30 years, and still do. The regime will not be collapsing. It will fade away into obscurity, but it won't be any time soon, so no, I won't be waiting.

I suspect that Israel will go through a revolution or civil war before we see the end of the Mullahs' Even the CIA predicted that.