BY TINA ROSENBERG | FEBRUARY 16, 2011

Otpor steered clear of the traditional opposition tactics of marches and rallies -- partly out of necessity, because the group didn't have enough people to pull them off. Instead of political parties' gravity and bombast, Otpor adopted the sensibility of a TV show its leaders had grown up watching: Monty Python's Flying Circus. Its daily work consisted of street theater and pranks that made the government look silly and won coverage from opposition media. Wit was perhaps not always achieved, but it was always the aim.

The most famous stunt involved an oil barrel painted with Milosevic's picture. Otpor rolled it down a busy street, asking people to insert a coin in a slot for the privilege of whacking Milosevic with a bat. This was Otpor's favorite kind of prank, a dilemma action: It left the regime damned either way. If the government had let the barrel roll, it would have looked weak. But when the police stepped in, the optics were no better: The Otpor members fled, and the opposition TV the next day showed pictures of the police "arresting" a barrel and loading it into the police van. The country sniggered at these pranks -- and signed up for Otpor.

Rather than trying to avoid arrests, Otpor decided to provoke them and use them to the movement's advantage. After a few months it became evident that while police would rough up Otpor members, torture was rare and few of them would even be kept overnight. When any Otpor member was arrested, the organization sent a noisy crowd to hang out on the street outside the police station. Detainees would emerge from the police station to find a pack of opposition journalists and a cheering crowd of friends. Young men competed to rack up the most arrests. If wearing Otpor's signature fist-emblazoned black T-shirt made you an insider in the revolution, getting arrested made you a rock star. People who once thought of themselves as victims learned to think of themselves as heroes.

Two years after its founding, Otpor's 11 members had become more than 70,000. "The signal thing they did that should never be lost is that they made it OK for Serbs to say publicly that the regime was not invincible, that many Serbs shared a sense that change could come," said James O'Brien, the Clinton administration's special envoy to the Balkans. By the time Milosevic ran for reelection as president of Yugoslavia in September 2000, Otpor's prolonged protest campaign -- and Milosevic's attempts to suppress it -- had eroded the president's popularity and emboldened and helped to unify the opposition. When Milosevic refused to concede defeat to opposition candidate Vojislav Kostunica, Otpor's example of disciplined nonviolence, along with its masses of activists, were crucial in convincing Serbia's security forces to defy Milosevic's orders to shoot at the protesters. On Oct. 7, the embattled president resigned.

The unthinkable had happened. For the young Serbs, the next step was figuring out how to export it.

Within a few months of Milosevic's ouster, Otpor's leaders began to get calls from democracy activists in other countries eager to copy the movement's success. Slobodan Djinovic, one of Otpor's original organizers, began traveling to Belarus, meeting clandestinely with a student movement there. It was soon infiltrated, however, and eventually collapsed.

Djinovic had more success in Georgia, where a group of young people had founded a movement called Kmara! ("Enough!"). In 2002, Djinovic and other Otpor leaders began visiting, and hosting Kmara students in Serbia. After Eduard Shevardnadze, the former Soviet functionary who had served as Georgia's president since 1995, stole the country's November 2003 elections, a movement led by Kmara forced him out in what became known as the Rose Revolution. It was followed by the Orange Revolution in Ukraine, where former Otpor activists spent months advising the Pora ("It's Time") youth movement.

On a trip to South Africa to train Zimbabweans in 2003, Djinovic and Popovic decided to establish CANVAS. At the time, Popovic was a member of parliament, but he stepped down in 2004, preferring a career as an organizer and a revolutionary. Djinovic had founded Serbia's first wireless Internet service provider in 2000 and was well on his way to becoming a mogul. Today he is head of Serbia's largest private internet and phone company and funds about half of CANVAS's operating expenses and the costs for half the training workshops out of his own pocket. (CANVAS has four and a half staff employees. The trainers are veterans of successful democracy movements in five countries and are paid as contractors. CANVAS participates in some workshops financed by the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe, the United Nations Development Program, an international NGO called Humanity in Action, and Freedom House, an American group which gets its money from the U.S. government. But CANVAS prefers to give Washington a wide berth, in part due to Otpor's experience. Like the entire opposition to Milosevic, Otpor took money from the U.S. government, and lied about it. When the real story came out after Milosevic fell, many Otpor members quit, feeling betrayed.)

Most of CANVAS's work is with democracy activists from the middlingly repressive countries that make up the majority of the world's dictatorships. All its successes have been; the Serbs have helped overthrow the low-hanging fruit of autocracy. Whatever one might say about Shevardnadze's Georgia, it wasn't North Korea. So last year I decided to watch Popovic and Djinovic work with activists from a country that would put their ideas to the severest test yet: Burma.

 

Philip Blenkinsop

 SUBJECTS:
 

Tina Rosenberg is the author of the forthcoming Join the Club: How Peer Pressure Can Transform the World.

WESTERNSKEPTIC

11:36 AM ET

February 17, 2011

Hugo Chavez

Contrary to the misleading remarks in this otherwise well-written article, Hugo Chavez is not an autocrat. He is a populist, democratically elected leader who commands the support of a huge majority of the Venezuelan population. CANVAS, a USAID and NED-funded organization tried to advance US interests in the region and that is why they were chastised. The irony of a pro-democracy group trying to overthrow a leader who has been re-elected many times in fair elections leaves me to believe that CANVAS' definition of democracy really means "free-market neoliberalism". To even mention Chavez, a man who has saved Venezuela from the crippling economic policies of his US-supported predecessor, in the same breath as Aleksandr Lukashenko is reckless journalistic dishonesty.

I recommend this article for an alternate view of CANVAS: http://www.swans.com/library/art16/barker47.html

 

HASS

5:58 PM ET

February 17, 2011

Iran is different

Problem is, the government of Iran does NOT rely on "fear" to rule, and it is about time you stopped bunching so many different countries together. There is a large percentage of Iranians who DO support their regime, and who do regularly show up to vote in the elections (over 86%) that outsiders sneer at.

In fact Iranians are very sensitive to the idea of foreigners pushing to topple regimes in their country, and would resent any such training provided by Otpor or others to their people who will be labelled as agents of a foreign power.

 

CHOPSTIK

10:53 AM ET

February 18, 2011

Iranian elections?

If you wish to argue that Iranian elections have 86% voter participation (I would like your source for that), then I would point out that Saddam Hussein obtained 100% of the vote in his last election (which also saw 100% participation). You can argue that elections occur but there are also elections in China, Burma and any number of other countries that are tyrannical dictatorships. When Iran does not automatically disqualify half the candidates because they are "reformers" or "liberal", then it would be better to use them as a reference for your point.

And yes, Iranians are sensitive to the idea of foreigners pushing to interfere in their internal politics (even toppling their corrupt and bankrupt regime) - much the same as citizens in any other country in the world. That does not mean, however, that they don't want to see regime change in their own nation and are willing to seek outside help sometimes to accomplish it. While there are certainly supporters of the regime in the country, it seems unlikely that they number among the majority. And if you wish to argue that there are pro-government rallies and supporters - bear in mind how many of them are paid, bused-in and given signs and slogans at the rally by government operatives. Besides, there were pro-government supporters in Egypt and some more in Yemen, Jordan, Libya and Bahrain (among others) - do you view them as benignly as you seem to view those in Iran? Or is the basis for your argument more anti-US (which would place you in the pro-Iran by ideological default)?

To the article as a whole - a very interesting group and one that may be viewed through two very different lenses depending upon your given ideological bent. A case could be made to compare them against Wikileaks (under the operation of Julian Assange). It is not so black and white as it may seem in the open.

 

HASS

3:32 PM ET

February 25, 2011

Reality intrudes

Well Chopsix, hate to burst your bubble, but Iranians DO support their government and DO turn out to vote, and Iran is NOT comparable to Burma or Saddams' Iraq.

http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5j01lWEft-nSRiSucCk-EB-Y9lUPg?docId=CNG.5ecbda1132f2622b919e251d461cca6c.201

 

PROJEKTOGRADNJA

1:56 PM ET

February 18, 2011

We Serbs over through Milosevic

We Serbs over through Milosevic

Because he was wimp, un-nationalist, who was scared to fight for our people in Krajina Republic, and Serbian Republic of Bosnia. Wimp who was scared to fight for Kosovo, and was only concerned how to stay in power himself. That is the main reason why at the end we over through him. And not because of what Western regimes and media are saying.

 

ESHA

2:30 AM ET

February 19, 2011

Website for CANVAS

The website for CANVAS is down. I've been trying it since a few days..

Waiting for revolution in Africa..

 

MARKOB

11:55 PM ET

February 19, 2011

CANVAS Is For Everybody But The Serbs

I noticed that the article does not tell us what CANVAS is doing in Serbia itself, a country racked by poverty with people killing themselves out of despair, tycoons who control political life and who did not exist as a class prior to October 5 2000, where to get a job you need to join a political party, the media is controlled by the regime and the tycoons, where people are taking to the streets to protest the devastating effects of more than a decade of neoliberal reforms, where the labour movement is organizing strikes against IMF mandated government budgets and so on. Notice these are all the same affects that REALLY brought people to the streets in Egypt and Tunisia seeking a SOCIAL revolution. Lukashenko might be a thug but if you're a Belorussian you're probably better off than being a Serb. I predict that we will never, ever, see an article at FP going into great detail describing how the Egyptian labour movement and striking workers helped to oust Mubarak.

 

PKOULIEV

12:55 PM ET

February 20, 2011

Youth Revlution

Fist of all, thank you Tina Rosenberg for such informative feature analyzing and providing references for further reading. I think this article is more about the concept than comparing all details to accuracy. There is no written formula for any revolutions. They could be as bloody and chaotic as French Revolution, and as planned and organized with support of alternative institutions as American Revolution. There is message about using non-conventional methods and increasing interactivity instead of just reaction to tyranny suppression. Revolution in minds start any other creativity like using virtual world to put in use for more progress.

 

FRANTZ_LUBIN@HOTMAIL.COM

3:51 AM ET

February 21, 2011

A New Haitian Revolution, perhaps?

Well done Tina! This is a very informative piece. This sort of organizing is needed in Haiti right now. As we're experiencing a fraud-ridden election, the people need a new comprehensive strategy to obtain a real and credible democracy. CANVAS obviously provides some applicable techniques for community building, which as a result, can create a genuine solidarity at the bottom of the pyramid. Minus the political rhetoric, these ideas are intriguing. I’m surprised I never heard of this group.

Good stuff Rosenberg.

 

JULIO NUñEZ

8:12 AM ET

February 21, 2011

Pinochet and Allende

An excellent article containing much valuable information. However, I must tell you that Chile's cacerolazos sessions were held very effectively against Salvador Allende, not Pinochet. Pinochet held democratic elections, was defeated, accepted the verdict and went home. Unusual, is it not?

However, congratulations on the excellent article.