BY TINA ROSENBERG | FEBRUARY 16, 2011

When Popovic asked the Burmese what they hoped to learn from the week, their answers focused on two issues: mobilizing people and overcoming fear. "We are afraid of what we are doing," said a tall man. "We have the 'there is nothing we can do' syndrome. We have never tasted freedom." One young woman pointed out that the government considers any meeting of more than five people to be illegal. "Nonviolent struggle is very risky," she said.

The Burmese were exhibiting the most formidable challenge facing CANVAS in countries without a history of effective opposition: the passivity, fatalism, and fear of their citizens. CANVAS's most useful lesson is how to dismantle this barrier. "At each workshop, someone comes to me and says, 'Our case is totally different,'" Djinovic told the Burmese. There was nervous laughter. But the Burmese had a point: Anyone demented enough to roll a barrel with Than Shwe's picture on it for the citizens of Rangoon to whack would be risking not a few hours in jail, but dozens of years. What could the Serbs possibly talk about?

A lot, it turned out. Some of the students said they had thought nonviolence meant passivity -- morally superior, perhaps, but naive. Popovic framed the task in terms of Sun Tzu: "I want you to see nonviolent conflict as a form of warfare -- the only difference is you don't use arms," he told them. This was new. He argued that whether nonviolence was moral or not was irrelevant: It was strategically necessary. Violence, of course, is every dictator's home court. The Otpor founders also knew they could never win wide support with violence -- every democracy struggle eventually needs to capture the middle class and at least neutralize the security forces.

Over and over again, Djinovic and Popovic hammered at another myth: that nonviolent struggle is synonymous with amassing large concentrations of people. The Serbs cautioned that marches and demonstrations should be saved for when you finally have majority support. Marches are risky -- if your turnout is poor, the movement's credibility is destroyed. And at marches, people get arrested, beaten, and shot. The authorities will try to provoke violence. One bad march can destroy a movement. Here was a point that had people nodding. "Any gathering in Rangoon is lunacy," Djinovic said.

But if not marches, then what? The Serbs showed the participants excerpts from A Force More Powerful, a documentary series about nonviolent struggles: Gandhi's Salt March, the anti-apartheid movement in South Africa, and the lunch-counter sit-ins and bus boycotts of the American civil rights movement. Popovic pointed out the planning involved in these actions, and made the group list the tactics they saw: leaflets, banners, sit-ins, boycotts, picketing, music. "South Africa and Burma have a similarity: zero free media," he said. "So how do you spread the message?"

"Songs," said a man with a mustache. "Prayers and funerals," said a middle-aged woman, the oldest in the group, a stern woman the others took to calling Auntie. Popovic pounced. "So what's interesting about using funerals?" "It's the only place people can meet," a young man said.

"Funerals are a dilemma for your opponent," said Popovic. In Zimbabwe, a gathering of five people was banned, but what if I have 5,000 people at a funeral? Whenever anyone related to the movement dies, they will gather and sing songs -- and the police will not interfere! It's a real problem to tear-gas a funeral."

The next idea was one the Serbs had learned from the American academic Gene Sharp, the author of From Dictatorship to Democracy (a book originally published in 1993 in Thailand for Burmese dissidents), who has been called the Clausewitz of nonviolence. Popovic was first introduced to Sharp's ideas in the spring of 2000 by Robert Helvey, a former U.S. Army colonel who had served as defense attaché at the U.S. Embassy in Burma in the 1980s before becoming disillusioned with armed struggle. When the Otpor members met Helvey, the movement already had 20,000 active members and a formidable reputation. But the group had hit a wall -- the movement was growing, but its leaders couldn't see how Otpor could turn that growth into the fall of Milosevic.

Philip Blenkinsop

 SUBJECTS:
 

Tina Rosenberg is the author of the forthcoming Join the Club: How Peer Pressure Can Transform the World.

WESTERNSKEPTIC

11:36 AM ET

February 17, 2011

Hugo Chavez

Contrary to the misleading remarks in this otherwise well-written article, Hugo Chavez is not an autocrat. He is a populist, democratically elected leader who commands the support of a huge majority of the Venezuelan population. CANVAS, a USAID and NED-funded organization tried to advance US interests in the region and that is why they were chastised. The irony of a pro-democracy group trying to overthrow a leader who has been re-elected many times in fair elections leaves me to believe that CANVAS' definition of democracy really means "free-market neoliberalism". To even mention Chavez, a man who has saved Venezuela from the crippling economic policies of his US-supported predecessor, in the same breath as Aleksandr Lukashenko is reckless journalistic dishonesty.

I recommend this article for an alternate view of CANVAS: http://www.swans.com/library/art16/barker47.html

 

HASS

5:58 PM ET

February 17, 2011

Iran is different

Problem is, the government of Iran does NOT rely on "fear" to rule, and it is about time you stopped bunching so many different countries together. There is a large percentage of Iranians who DO support their regime, and who do regularly show up to vote in the elections (over 86%) that outsiders sneer at.

In fact Iranians are very sensitive to the idea of foreigners pushing to topple regimes in their country, and would resent any such training provided by Otpor or others to their people who will be labelled as agents of a foreign power.

 

CHOPSTIK

10:53 AM ET

February 18, 2011

Iranian elections?

If you wish to argue that Iranian elections have 86% voter participation (I would like your source for that), then I would point out that Saddam Hussein obtained 100% of the vote in his last election (which also saw 100% participation). You can argue that elections occur but there are also elections in China, Burma and any number of other countries that are tyrannical dictatorships. When Iran does not automatically disqualify half the candidates because they are "reformers" or "liberal", then it would be better to use them as a reference for your point.

And yes, Iranians are sensitive to the idea of foreigners pushing to interfere in their internal politics (even toppling their corrupt and bankrupt regime) - much the same as citizens in any other country in the world. That does not mean, however, that they don't want to see regime change in their own nation and are willing to seek outside help sometimes to accomplish it. While there are certainly supporters of the regime in the country, it seems unlikely that they number among the majority. And if you wish to argue that there are pro-government rallies and supporters - bear in mind how many of them are paid, bused-in and given signs and slogans at the rally by government operatives. Besides, there were pro-government supporters in Egypt and some more in Yemen, Jordan, Libya and Bahrain (among others) - do you view them as benignly as you seem to view those in Iran? Or is the basis for your argument more anti-US (which would place you in the pro-Iran by ideological default)?

To the article as a whole - a very interesting group and one that may be viewed through two very different lenses depending upon your given ideological bent. A case could be made to compare them against Wikileaks (under the operation of Julian Assange). It is not so black and white as it may seem in the open.

 

HASS

3:32 PM ET

February 25, 2011

Reality intrudes

Well Chopsix, hate to burst your bubble, but Iranians DO support their government and DO turn out to vote, and Iran is NOT comparable to Burma or Saddams' Iraq.

http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5j01lWEft-nSRiSucCk-EB-Y9lUPg?docId=CNG.5ecbda1132f2622b919e251d461cca6c.201

 

PROJEKTOGRADNJA

1:56 PM ET

February 18, 2011

We Serbs over through Milosevic

We Serbs over through Milosevic

Because he was wimp, un-nationalist, who was scared to fight for our people in Krajina Republic, and Serbian Republic of Bosnia. Wimp who was scared to fight for Kosovo, and was only concerned how to stay in power himself. That is the main reason why at the end we over through him. And not because of what Western regimes and media are saying.

 

ESHA

2:30 AM ET

February 19, 2011

Website for CANVAS

The website for CANVAS is down. I've been trying it since a few days..

Waiting for revolution in Africa..

 

MARKOB

11:55 PM ET

February 19, 2011

CANVAS Is For Everybody But The Serbs

I noticed that the article does not tell us what CANVAS is doing in Serbia itself, a country racked by poverty with people killing themselves out of despair, tycoons who control political life and who did not exist as a class prior to October 5 2000, where to get a job you need to join a political party, the media is controlled by the regime and the tycoons, where people are taking to the streets to protest the devastating effects of more than a decade of neoliberal reforms, where the labour movement is organizing strikes against IMF mandated government budgets and so on. Notice these are all the same affects that REALLY brought people to the streets in Egypt and Tunisia seeking a SOCIAL revolution. Lukashenko might be a thug but if you're a Belorussian you're probably better off than being a Serb. I predict that we will never, ever, see an article at FP going into great detail describing how the Egyptian labour movement and striking workers helped to oust Mubarak.

 

PKOULIEV

12:55 PM ET

February 20, 2011

Youth Revlution

Fist of all, thank you Tina Rosenberg for such informative feature analyzing and providing references for further reading. I think this article is more about the concept than comparing all details to accuracy. There is no written formula for any revolutions. They could be as bloody and chaotic as French Revolution, and as planned and organized with support of alternative institutions as American Revolution. There is message about using non-conventional methods and increasing interactivity instead of just reaction to tyranny suppression. Revolution in minds start any other creativity like using virtual world to put in use for more progress.

 

FRANTZ_LUBIN@HOTMAIL.COM

3:51 AM ET

February 21, 2011

A New Haitian Revolution, perhaps?

Well done Tina! This is a very informative piece. This sort of organizing is needed in Haiti right now. As we're experiencing a fraud-ridden election, the people need a new comprehensive strategy to obtain a real and credible democracy. CANVAS obviously provides some applicable techniques for community building, which as a result, can create a genuine solidarity at the bottom of the pyramid. Minus the political rhetoric, these ideas are intriguing. I’m surprised I never heard of this group.

Good stuff Rosenberg.

 

JULIO NUñEZ

8:12 AM ET

February 21, 2011

Pinochet and Allende

An excellent article containing much valuable information. However, I must tell you that Chile's cacerolazos sessions were held very effectively against Salvador Allende, not Pinochet. Pinochet held democratic elections, was defeated, accepted the verdict and went home. Unusual, is it not?

However, congratulations on the excellent article.