Let Mubarak Go

Sometimes trying dictators for their crimes can do more damage than good.

BY DAVID RIEFF | FEBRUARY 18, 2011

The overthrow of Zine el-Abidine Ben Ali's dictatorship in Tunisia and fall of Hosni Mubarak in Egypt led almost immediately to calls for both men to be brought to justice. One of the first acts of the new Tunisian government was to issue an arrest warrant for Ben Ali, his wife Leila Trabelsi, and a number of members of their immediate family. It then asked Interpol to pressure Saudi Arabia to stop giving them sanctuary and turn them over to the Tunisian authorities. Mubarak has not suffered a similar fate -- not so far, anyway -- but already the Egyptian authorities have arrested three ex-ministers, as well as steel magnate Ahmed Ezz, on corruption charges. It is unlikely that this will be enough to satisfy those who took to the streets in Cairo and Alexandria to demand that the tyrant give up power.

Their determination should come as no surprise. The deep roots of the uprisings in Tunisia and Egypt may be economic, but the calls in the street were for democracy and human rights. It may have taken awhile for the notion of international justice to arrive in the Arab world, but that it did was inevitable -- it is the signature achievement of the human rights movement over the past 30 years. Whether it takes the form of truth commissions, as in post-apartheid South Africa and Argentina after the fall of the military dictatorship; special tribunals as were established in Sierra Leone, East Timor, and Cambodia; or the International Criminal Court, the idea that there can be no lasting end to a conflict or no certainty a people can safely put the bitter experience of a dictatorship behind them without sooner or later bringing warlords, torturers, and tyrants to justice is now gospel in the human rights community and at the United Nations, and almost as widely accepted among the other major international actors. In the post-Cold War era of human rights, the classical international relations view that often a choice has to be made between peace and justice has largely given way to the assumption that unless the two are pursued together, neither will be realized.

It is a lopsided debate. People may make a point about timing -- for example, that it would have been a mistake to try to hold accountable Chilean tyrant Augusto Pinochet for his crimes immediately after he stepped down from power, because the army might have launched another coup. Whereas some years later, they argue, that threat had largely abated and justice could safely be served. But such is the intellectual and moral hegemony of "human-rightism" (and whatever its partisans may contend, it is an ideology, not just a set of legal benchmarks) that almost no one in any reputable international forum now dares suggest that actually sometimes it is crucial to give up justice in favor of peace. To do so would be to accept something that decent people in the early 21st century seem to find all but unthinkable -- that victims of torture and repression will not get the moral restitution that indictments and trials promise and that the democratic regimes that succeed oppressive ones have both a practical and ethical obligation to provide that relief, that closure.

Some human rights activists believe that the desire of the new Tunisian government to establish that it has the democratic legitimacy to try Ben Ali has led it to move so quickly to ratify a number of the most important human rights treaties that the dictator had steadfastly refused to sign. They point to the fact that the Council of Ministers of Tunisia's transitional government announced on the evening of Feb. 1 that the country would ratify the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court, the International Convention for the Protection of All Persons from Enforced Disappearance, as well as the two optional protocols to the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights. The second protocol, incidentally, commits Tunisia to formally abolishing the death penalty (Ben Ali had, last year, imposed a moratorium). If this theory is correct, as it appears to be, then it marks a watershed moment. In the past, changes in international human rights norms were seen as leading, however slowly and painfully, to trials and other practical steps to reform the abusive practices of the past. But the process seems to have been reversed in the Tunisian case: The populist desire to bring Ben Ali and the Trabelsis to justice has led authorities to embrace the broad norms associated with global human rights. And, again, it is certainly possible that a similar dynamic will take hold in Egypt.

The larger question, however, is whether -- as human rights activists take as an article of faith -- such trials will strengthen the democratization of those countries in the Arab Middle East that have or may yet depose their long-ruling dictators, just as they have in other parts of the world. Or will this newfound willingness to jump into the arms of international justice be more of an impediment to peaceful democratization? To put the matter starkly, is it really better to go after Ben Ali in his Saudi Arabian exile and keep the pressure up on the House of Saud to disgorge him to Interpol? Or might it not be better to leave well enough alone, going after the Ben Ali clan's global assets but leaving the man himself to fade to an irrelevance that a reopening of wounds -- as a trial most certainly would -- actually might prevent?

To state the obvious, neither Ben Ali, let alone Mubarak, ruled alone. Nor will even the most thorough-going political and bureaucratic housecleaning sweep all their cronies away. To the contrary, it is a virtual certainty than many, though of course not all, of those who collaborated with these tyrants -- or held positions of power thanks to their patronage or made immense amounts of money under the old system -- will remain central in the new Tunisia and the new Egypt. Mubarak is 82 and has cancer, so surely there is a question of whether the passions (not to mention the embarrassing revelations) that a trial would stir would best be left unkindled? It is true, of course, that if the dictator's former ministers of interior, tourism, and housing really are brought to trial, much detail about Mubarak's role in the corrupt practices with which they are charged will inevitably come out. But they do not compare with the revelations that likely would be disgorged were Mubarak himself put in the dock.

For all the easy talk in human rights circles about the central importance of post-conflict or post-tyranny justice, the empirical evidence about the long-term effects of this process on durable peace or social comity is thin at best and varies greatly from place to place. There can be no question that the South African Truth and Reconciliation Commission process -- where, if abusers publicly admitted to their crimes, they would not be prosecuted -- played an essential role in the forging of a post-apartheid society. On the other hand, the Pinochet indictment took place after there no longer existed any serious threat to Chilean democracy. And one can certainly make the case that sending tyrants into exile has in many cases done as much to speed reconciliation and facilitate durable peace as any trial. Idi Amin in Uganda and Jean-Bertrand Aristide in Haiti are two obvious examples from the past. So why do we automatically suppose the citizens of Egypt and Tunisia deserve a formal reckoning with their former leaders? And why do we insist that they could not possibly be better off if their leaders were simply left to run out their days in impotent exile?

Strip away the wishful thinking about human nature, political reality, or the redemptive potential of the law, and the case that fallen dictators and those who served them should always be brought to justice becomes far more debatable. Indeed, the certainty that democracy cannot take root without an end to impunity looks more, in its inflexibility, like the intellectual Achilles' heel of the global human rights movement. There has not been a revolution yet that has fully met the expectations of those who made it. In Tunisia and Egypt, the degree of anger and cynicism that would surely be engendered by what these trials would reveal might do more to impede the peaceful movement toward democracy than allowing Ben Ali and Mubarak to simply fade away. Democracy is hard enough. And however much we would like democracy, peace, justice, and reconciliation, the sad truth is that not all good things can always be reconciled.

My suspicion is that this is one of those times.

Mohammad Abed/AFP

 SUBJECTS: EGYPT, MIDDLE EAST
 

David Rieff is currently writing a book on the global food crisis.

THINKWT

4:53 PM ET

February 19, 2011

Haha

Common Mubark will never see a trial. We supported the tyrant and because of that he will never see trial. "Better dead than public" would be the motto. However the excuses made in this article are absurd. Neither Egypt nor Tunisia are anything like South Africa. This isn't the entire white community that would have to go on trial just a few (hundred) villains. Anyways he’s sure to die from heartbreak soon, or just old age. The military may sacrifice a few corrupt businessmen, a few in the security forces and even the army may go down, and the army may even relinquish some power in exchange for a far less public amnesty deal that will look nothing like the reconciliation commissions of SA. It's ok bro nobody wants a thorough purge (better believe there is one purge going on right now, a purge of the records), we should be safe. Lol… PS; I dare somebody to try to go into or even push the Saudi Arabia. It'll be costing their sweet little butts more than just lawyers fees..

 

JJACKSON

1:41 PM ET

February 20, 2011

Another point to consider is

Another point to consider is that Mubarak, and others, have been Dictators – Biden not withstanding – without more than lip service being paid to distancing by Western Governments. An open trial, de-briefing, or whatever, of senior regime figures could be enlightening on the level of complicity of our governments and the degree of corruption of our corporations that have been profiting from their dealings with these regimes. A little sun light, and a few prison sentences, may make some of our politicians and business leaders a little more cautious in their dealings. They may even ask questions like ‘what lubricants lead to our getting that weapons contract?’ or ‘if we sell them all these Tasers, rubber bullets, teargas, eavesdropping and web blocking equipment what will they do with them?’. It may be worth the embarrassment to know just how much of their suffering has been our fault.

 

MARKTHOMASON

11:33 AM ET

February 21, 2011

the Bush mistake

This is the same excuse, same reasoning, which prevented justice for the many crimes of the Bush Administration. It did not work out at all well here. It protected the criminals and we kept on committing the same crimes in the new Administration.

That last part is key--the crimes continue under the new administration.

Egypt should learn from us. Trial for the criminals is the only way to stop the crimes going on and on.

 

THE LION

12:59 AM ET

February 22, 2011

Bush hopes that Mubarak inst going to prosecuted

Bush, Cheney, Rumsfeld, and others of the Former Bush Administration as well as that of Obama, better hope that the New Civilian Government doesnt decide to Prosecute Mubarak, they might find out that the records kept by the Egyptians will prove forever that not only did the United States send prisoners to Egypt, but did it expressly for the purposes of torturing the Prisoners.

Prosecute them now and avoid the embarrassment of the world finding out in other ways, It will make Wikileaks look like a minor faux pas.

Oh and sieze there collective assetts for compensation to those that have been tortured.

 

CURRERBELL

2:18 AM ET

February 22, 2011

Amin and Aristide

It's outrageous to compare Jean-Bertrand Aristide, a legitimately arrested president of Haiti who was deposed by U.S. imperialist goons, with a bloody dictator like Idi Amin.

 

LDCHISLE

11:24 AM ET

February 22, 2011

proof please

The larger question that Rieff asks (whether trials will strengthen or impede a peaceful democratization process) is one that countless academics and policy makers have struggled with. The more appropriate question should not be binary and not take as an absolute that an adversarial, judicial trial process is the only way to bring accountability, retribution and closure to a society that has been victim to tyrannical, oppressive rule. There are many other methods of achieving reconciliation (through timing and process) that will allow for a peaceful democratization process. Choosing what form this process will take depends on the specific needs, beliefs and demands of civil society at the time and will likely require a skillful balancing of competing interests. It is not necessarily what mechanism of justice/reconciliation that is chosen that matters most, rather, it is an all or nothing approach to post conflict justice that will likely be the greatest impediment to peaceful democratization. A hasty and immediate decision to either put past dictators on trial (domestically or internationally) or not, cannot adequately take into account the positions of various stakeholders and thus will be more likely to lead to future instability or immediate backlash.

This is not to say that trials are not an effective way of acknowledging past wrongs and aiding in reconciliation. Reiff’s comment that trials are the Achilles heel of the human rights movement is slightly harsh and the fact that almost all countries that emerged from dictatorship and conflict (Argentina, Chile, Cambodia, East Timor, Sierra Leone, Rwanda etc.) have eventually employed trials as a mechanism of reconciliation shows that there is some inherent demand or desire for this type of justice that goes hand in hand with the human rights movement. What Reiff correctly notes at the end of his comment, is that it is the inflexible application of specific notions of justice that can undermine democratization and human rights advancements. The application of traditional forms of justice must be context and time specific. If it can be determined that there is a general consensus among the people and other stakeholders show little resistance to the idea that trials are the most appropriate mechanism for laying grievances to rest to allow for the country to move forward then this option should certainly be implemented. However, the decision is much less clear in countries such as the DRC or Uganda where decades of civil war has created so many different stakeholders whom could quite viably destabilize the peace process that an all or nothing, trial or no trial approach could prove highly detrimental. Moreover, in these countries there have been calls for a reconceptualization of what ‘justice’ means to allow for a more traditional, culturally sensitive approach that rejects a formal trial process. To force figureheads to face trials in these circumstances would certainly justify Rieff’s fears. However, although Rieff’s article was useful for pointing out the potential for traditional conceptions of justice to act in opposition to democratization and consolidation of human rights his decision to use Egypt and Tunisia to demonstrate this tension was a poor choice. He provides no evidence or assertions that even hint at the fact that certain stakeholders in these countries are so opposed to the idea of trying former leaders that they threaten to destabilize the democratic process. Compared with many post-conflict countries the Egyptian and Tunisian revolutions are relatively uncomplicated (in terms of opposing interests and power-dynamics) and if people are demanding justice and there is no credible evidence to show that providing this justice will pose a greater threat to peace and security then it is a cop out to say that democracy, peace and justice can not be reconciled.

 

QOHELET

4:37 PM ET

February 22, 2011

Bring Back the Pharaoh!

http://hpronline.org/world/bring-back-the-pharaoh/

 

DLAKERGUY

9:58 PM ET

February 23, 2011

Human Rights Trials Must Occur

I completely disagree with David Rieff. In order to make sure history is not repeated you must make a point to prosecute the wrongdoings of the past. Future rulers may think they can get away with corruptions and human rights violations simply because previous rulers were never brought to justice for their crimes. Yes, setting up a new democracy will take plenty of work. But there are a lot of egyptians without jobs right now and I am sure plenty of them are willing to work on the new government while others work on justice for the people. Under the Torture Victim Protection Act of 1991, plenty of people will have the necessary means to prosecute and receive restitution for their crimes. This can also be dealt with in the ICC. Either way, it must be done to send a message to future generations that these violations will never be tolerated.