No-Go

A no-fly zone over Libya will not be easy or painless.

BY MICAH ZENKO | MARCH 4, 2011

In recent days, policymakers around the world have condemned Libyan leader Muammar al-Qaddafi's human rights violations, the U.N. Security Council unanimously passed a resolution imposing a travel ban and asset freeze on his family, and Barack Obama's administration froze any assets held by Libyan officials in the United States.

But nothing has made a difference. Libya stands on the brink of a protracted civil war. And the latest popular solution, a U.S.-led no-fly zone (NFZ), will not make a difference either. In the debate over possible U.S. military operations in Libya, two objectives have been proposed: protecting civilians and precipitating regime change. An NFZ would accomplish neither.

In addressing the goal of protection, it is worth noting that there is little evidence Libya has used air power against civilians. On Wednesday, March 2, Adm. Mike Mullen, chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs, acknowledged: "We've not been able to confirm that any of the Libyan aircraft have fired on their own people." Most air attacks appear to be directed against armed rebels. Bombs have reportedly been dropped against rebel positions in Brega and Ajdabiya. In addition, Human Rights Watch reported a fighter jet firing one missile near a mixed crowd of rebels and civilians in Brega.

Given that the real problem for civilians is persistent oppression from ground forces, an NFZ would have little or no impact in protecting the vulnerable. In fact, were a U.S.-led NFZ to be announced, Qaddafi would further direct his attention and resources toward unleashing his ground forces. Pilots enforcing the NFZ would thus be in the position of remaining detached and watching the killings from above.

And what of regime change? To successfully depose the Libyan regime, the United States would have to abandon any pretense of impartiality and endorse the end of Qaddafi's nearly 42-year reign. Obama stated on March 3 that "Qaddafi has lost the legitimacy to lead and he must leave." The president has yet to support an international campaign for Qaddafi's removal, however.

FILES/AFP/Getty Images

 SUBJECTS: NATIONAL SECURITY
 

Micah Zenko is a fellow in the Center for Preventive Action at the Council on Foreign Relations and author of Between Threats and War. You can follow him on Twitter at @MicahZenko.

 

REVELL

10:08 PM ET

March 4, 2011

Aircraft no longer in service

These aircraft in the photo are no longer in service:
Grumman F-14 Tomcat
Lockheed S-3 Viking
Grumman A-6E Intruder

 

AIRFOIL

10:11 PM ET

March 4, 2011

airfoil

Article should read:
US considers recommissioning F-14's to establish
no-fly zone over Libya.
It was supposed to be a secret, but I guess half the
world has seen the article by now.

The aircraft in the picture, the ones from "Top Gun",
We don't use them any more.

 

JNELSON631

10:13 PM ET

March 4, 2011

Whatever happened to self

Whatever happened to self determination. If the people of Libyia really want him gone, then let them do it. Then accept whomever they chose to lead.

 

HURRICANEWARNING

10:16 PM ET

March 4, 2011

thankgod someone is writing

thankgod someone is writing about the folly of military intervention in foreign revolution when none of our national interests are at stake. The last thing we need is another bungled quagmire. Please keep the neocons away from the microphone.

 

DDSNAIK

2:26 PM ET

March 7, 2011

Hear ye, hear ye

Could not have said it any better myself and won't try

 

BIGZEEZ

12:03 AM ET

March 6, 2011

No brainer

If the US had not invaded Iraq and botched Afghanistan this would have been a no brainer. This is a fight where the US can show some true leadership and live up to its pursuit of freedom in the Arab world. It is safer to stand on the sidelines, but it is not projecting the power and influence thats been waning since Iraq.

 

DLAKERGUY

10:24 PM ET

March 6, 2011

in response to BIGZEEZ

The U.S. should show their leadership in restraint. The reason the U.N. exists today is to deal with these types of situations. That does include the United States, however, it also includes the support of many other nations at the same time. The situation in Libya is not a direct threat to the United States, so that means the United States should not intervene militarily. This only further undermines our other (unconstitutional) wars in the Middle East. The correct response is a United Nations led no-fly-zone or other humanitarian oriented force centered around protection of the Libyan people.