The Coming Arab Renaissance

Forget Gamal Abdel Nasser. The time for Arab unity is now.

BY PARAG KHANNA | APRIL 20, 2011

Arabs are learning to solve their own problems. For the first time in more than 500 years, the convulsions rippling across the Arab world cannot be blamed on Ottoman conquest, European imperialism, American hegemony, or Israeli bullying. As unpredictable as the current situations in Bahrain, Egypt, Libya, Yemen, and other Arab states remain, we must remember that having had perhaps the worst possible leaders, their societies will very likely be better off in the medium and long term because their governance is for the first time becoming an inclusive arena -- both nationally and regionally. The smartest thing the West can do is to help them help themselves.

From the time that Gamal Abdel Nasser took hold of Egypt in 1954 to Muammar al-Qaddafi's charismatic coup in Libya in 1969, a generation of leaders came to power riding the wave of anti-colonial Arab sentiment. But decades of post-colonial entropy and decay have culminated in collapse. The Arab world is now graduating from anti-colonial to anti-authoritarian revolutions.

Beyond the toppling of corrupt regimes and the formation of new political orders, a new Arabism is coalescing, one that is truly pan-Arab in that it has little need for the insecure nationalism of the Nasserite era. It derives its strength instead from genuinely trans-Arab phenomena such as satellite television channels and the younger generation's demand for more accountable governance. These movements are truly borderless, with Al Jazeera largely equal opportunity in its shaming of Arab autocrats -- with the notable exception of Bahrain's -- and young activists training together across the region to successfully foment the current uprisings. As Al Jazeera director-general Wadah Khanfar declared at the recent TED conference in California, "The youth … are guarding the transformation.… These people are much more wiser than not only the political elite, [but] even the intellectual elite.… The youth in the Arab world are much more wiser and capable of creating the change than the old -- including the political and cultural and ideological old regimes." Indeed, Al Jazeera, long shunned in the West, is finally being acknowledged as a force for openness, debate, and progress. American households are demanding, and getting, the channel via DirecTV.

The Arab League's backing of a no-fly zone in Libya and its ongoing consideration of peacekeeping forces for Palestine and Lebanon are striking examples of a meaningful transnational Arab political sphere coming into being. Even ruthless intrusions like Saudi Arabia's sending of forces into Bahrain to suppress the swelling street protests are evidence that Arabs cannot continue simply to rejoice in their neighbors' suffering and instead see their collective stability on the line.

The next great step toward a new Arab renaissance will come through physically overcoming the region's arbitrary political borders, most of which derive from European colonial callousness. As the European Union itself demonstrates, the only way to achieve genuine collective security and a political-economic order greater than the sum of its parts is to physically build it.

The Arab realm's last period of borderless coexistence was under Ottoman suzerainty, but despite their inchoate rule the Ottomans also built vital infrastructural linkages such as the Hejaz Railway, which traveled from Istanbul to Medina and even had an offshoot to Haifa on the Mediterranean Sea. Today, the Hejaz rail line lies in tatters due to lack of investment and rigid border policies.

Yet no greater step could be taken to alleviate Arabs' economic and political woes than investment in cross-border infrastructure. A new pan-Arab rail network could connect Tripoli to Cairo to Amman to Baghdad, and Damascus to Dubai. Remember that the stunningly massive granite columns and marble baths of the majestic Roman port city of Leptis Magna (just east of Tripoli in present-day Libya) were largely imported overland on roads all the way from Aswan in ancient Egypt. (There was, then, something sensible to Qaddafi's symbolic bulldozing of Libya's border fence with Egypt in 1974.) More pipelines and canals could connect oil-rich and low-population states with poor, heavily populated ones. Where borders are straight and arbitrary, these fluid and deliberately curvy lines -- railways, pipelines, and water channels -- will be the necessary and natural consequence of the opening of Arab societies to the logic of globalization.

The recent launch of the New Palestine Party -- whose explicit platform is to implement the Rand Corporation's proposal for an infrastructure "Arc" to unite the West Bank and Gaza into a viable and independent state -- is a visceral reminder of how fundamental territorial realignments must be made to overcome political division and economic stagnation. Independence without infrastructure is futile.

FETHI BELAID/AFP/Getty Images

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Parag Khanna is a senior research fellow at the New America Foundation and author of the new book How to Run the World: Charting a Course to the Next Renaissance. He video-blogs at khanna.foreignpolicy.com.

CHALOM

12:52 AM ET

April 21, 2011

they share a common past not a common future

The wave of unrest across the Arab world is falsely attributed to some common brighter future for the Arab World, when really when looking for the cause of the Arab revolutions it is far more relevant to look at the past. All the Arab regimes that are falling or in trouble (with very few exceptions) were based on an Arabist Ideology. Since the nineties (more specifically since the the first Gulf War) this ideology became defunct leading to a situation of regimes that since then have been running on inertia with little ideological basis. It is telling that the nature of the revolution varies greatly from state to state ranging from pro-democracy (Egypt, Tunisia) to religious (Bahrain) to tribal (Libya) to sectarian (expect this in Syria). This is because the lack of Arab ideology formed a vacuum throughout the Arab World yet each society is filling that void with something else. The western press should be far less willing to jump on the democracy lip service that some protesters state in order to garner western support when the reality is that many protestors this is secondary if present at all. This is not to say that many haven't suffered under oppressive regimes but this does not mean that they necessarily hold western liberal democracy close to their heart. Other indicator of this is that the regimes that have had the least problems are those that while used used Arabism were not based on it (see the Arab monarchies). The west is often far to caught up with themselves to realize that Western Democracy is not the inevitable conclusion of history, rather one of many competing ideologies. Far too many times in modern history the established democracies of the world have been shocked to see countries chose different paths other than democracy, simply because it is seen as the best solution. One must realize the people may chose other forms of rule because they are both more viable and more preferable to those in charge.

 

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PETETRAVELS

11:43 PM ET

April 21, 2011

ridiculous

This the worst article I've seen on recent Mideast developments. The author clearly suffers from a deadly combination of overconfidence and ignorance.

I wonder if he can back any of the claims he makes, including his seriously nasty comments about the people in the region.

Are the editors asleep?

Peter

 

MKMONTHENET

5:25 PM ET

April 22, 2011

Let's give reality a chance

The coming Arab Renaissance may not be as airbrushed as one would have initially expected it to be. The Ikhwan in Egypt is baying for the blood of the Coptic Christian governor of Qena simply because he is a non-Muslim. (http://www.dailypioneer.com/333661/Copts-are-not-wanted.html).

[quote] The next great step toward a new Arab renaissance will come through physically overcoming the region's arbitrary political borders, most of which derive from European colonial callousness. As the European Union itself demonstrates, the only way to achieve genuine collective security and a political-economic order greater than the sum of its parts is to physically build it. [unquote]

It is utterly unrealistic to expect that the West, China and Russia will sit back and allow this huge Arabic, potentially jihadi, suicidal Frankenstein monster to come into being. And there are huge lessons to be learnt from the near-collapse of the EU/Euro.

[quote] This new Arabism deserves strong Western support. Its goals are secular: jobs, education, women's rights, and good governance. [unquote]

This Arabism will soon start to show hugely atavistic tendencies because, when all is said and done, the Arab world works on a chilling mentality that can be summarised in just 4 cold words -- ''kill or get killed''. The Regimes in Syria and Libya and Bahrain have already demonstrated this.

So, let's give reality a chance before we start betting on romantic notions of any renaissance anywhere in the Arab world. Thanks.

 

JIBRAN_PCCASD

1:49 AM ET

May 11, 2011

The western press should be

The western press should be far less willing to jump on the democracy lip service that some protesters state in order to garner western support when the reality is that many protestors this is secondary if present at allonline live football. This is not to say that many haven't suffered under oppressive regimes but this does not mean that they necessarily hold western liberal democracy close to their heart

 

JIBRAN_PCC

1:36 AM ET

May 14, 2011

The next great step toward a

The next great step toward a new Arab renaissance will come through physically overcoming the region's arbitrary political borders, most of which derive from European colonial callousness. As the European Union itself demonstrates, the only way to achievehow can i get taller genuine collective security and a political-economic order greater than the sum of its parts is to physically build itIt is utterly unrealistic to expect that the West, China and Russia will sit back and allow this huge Arabic, potentially jihadi, suicidal Frankenstein monster to come into being. And there are huge lessons to be learnt from the near-collapse of the EU/Euro.

 

MAC THELIN

6:48 AM ET

May 19, 2011

The western press should be

The western press should be far less willing to jump on the democracy lip service that some protesters state in order to garner western support when the reality is that many protestors this is secondary if present at all. This is not to say that many haven't suffered under oppressive regimes but this does not mean that they necessarily hold western liberal democracy close to their heart. Other indicator of this is that the regimes that have had the least problems are those that while used used Arabism were not based on it (see the Arab monarchies). The west is often far to caught up with themselves to realize that Western Democracy is not the inevitable conclusion of history, rather one of many competing ideologies. Far too many times in modern history the established democracies of the world have been shocked to see countries chose different paths other than democracy, simply because it is seen as the best solution.

 

PERSON_GUYZ

12:09 AM ET

May 20, 2011

The western press should be

The western press should be far less willing to jump on the democracy lip service that some protesters state in order to garner western support when the reality is that many protestors this is secondary if present at all thetrafficplayerreview.So, let's give reality a chance before we start betting on romantic notions of any renaissance anywhere in the Arab world. Thanks.

 

PERSON_GUYZ

12:12 AM ET

May 20, 2011

Foreign Policy experts seem

Foreign Policy experts seem to substitute wishful thinking for objective analysis, and then immediately begin proposing recommendations. Phrases like "Arab Renaissance" are cute but useless thetrafficplayerreview.This is not to say that many haven't suffered under oppressive regimes but this does not mean that they necessarily hold western liberal democracy close to their heart