This Will Make Al Qaeda Weaker
In an email to its mailing list Monday, the Council on Foreign Relations went out on a limb with this bold headline: "CFR Experts: Bin Laden's Death a Blow to al-Qaeda."
Others went a step beyond the conventional wisdom, arguing that the death of the terrorist leader heralded the closing of a violent chapter in world history. "Killing Bin Laden is the end of the 'war on terror,'" bin Laden biographer and AfPak Channel editor Peter Bergen declared flatly Sunday in an appearance on CNN. Others used similar phrasing, including Daily Beast columnist Peter Beinart, who argued Monday, "The war on terror is over," even if the short-term threat of terrorism might rise. "Now that bin Laden is gone, al Qaeda really has lost its dominant force, its strategic guide," terrorism analyst Paul Cruickshank chimed in.
No, It Won't
Perhaps no group of people was more cautious than U.S. officials in making grand, sweeping claims about the meaning of bin Laden's death. "Even as we mark this milestone," Secretary of State Hillary Clinton warned Monday, "we should not forget that the battle to stop al Qaeda and its syndicate of terror will not end with the death of bin Laden. Indeed, we must take this opportunity to renew our resolve and redouble our efforts."
Praveen Swami, diplomatic editor for Britain's Telegraph newspaper, argues "there is in fact little reason for jubilation" in bin Laden's death. "The stark truth is this: a decade after 9/11, the jihadist movement is more powerful than at any time in the past."
Others went for the "Obi Wan Kenobi argument," projecting that bin Laden's power would only grow with his demise. "[I]n terms of his influence in the world, he is no more dead this morning than he was when he first moved into his compound without telephone or Internet access. He's no more dead today than are John Brown or Joe Hill in the US," writes Guardian pundit Andrew Brown. Also in this vein, the Times of India warns: "There is reason to believe that its elaborate network will endure and undertake retaliatory attacks to prove its vitality."
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