Don't Blame Goldman Sachs for the Food Crisis

Blame the meat-loving middle class.

BY LUCAS VAN PRAAG | MAY 3, 2011

Frederick Kaufman's article "How Goldman Sachs Created the Food Crisis," ignores a number of important facts about the underlying economic, social, and political factors that have driven the rise in food prices.

The assertion that Goldman Sachs introduced speculation into commodity markets is incorrect. The Commodity Research Bureau (CRB) Index has been investible since the early 1970s, and futures on the CRB Index have been traded since 1986, five years before the creation of the Goldman Sachs Commodities Index (GSCI). Gary Cohn, the president of Goldman Sachs, was not involved in the creation of the index, contrary to the article's assertion. The GSCI was purchased by Standard and Poor's in 2007 and retains a connection to Goldman Sachs in name only.

More importantly, the article does not present any credible evidence that commodity index investing is responsible for the rise in food prices. Serious inquires, such as one conducted by the OECD in the wake of the 2008 price spike, have concluded that "index funds did not cause a bubble in commodity futures prices." Rather than destabilizing futures markets, commodity index funds provide them with a stable pool of capital, improving farmers' ability to insure themselves against the risks inherent in agricultural prices. This, in turn, can allow farmers to produce more food at a lower cost. The pension and endowment funds providing this vital capital are investing the savings of individuals. They are not faceless "speculators." They represent people, often pensioners, who seek to protect the value of their savings against inflation and rising food prices.

Chris McGrath/Getty Images

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STEVE_M

10:01 PM ET

May 3, 2011

Obvious PR piece by Goldman Sachs

Did you really have to specifically blame the middle class for the price increase? Though you are spot on with biofuels increasing price...for corn. If the government would get out of bed with agricorp and subsidize healthy foods instead, we might be able to reduce the overall consumption of meat and free up livestock grain. And maybe take a chunk out of our healthcare expenses over the long run as well.

Much is this is PR spin under the conclusion first, research second, facts last model typical of self-interested parties. But it does secure your exorbitant Goldman Sachs salary and annual bonus. So foie gras for dinner tonight? Or maybe some free range venison?

 

RKERG

11:11 PM ET

May 3, 2011

A cautionary tale

Back in the 90's whenever Wall street wanted some deregulation passed by Congress, the talking point that its flaks always used was something like, this additional money will allow us to create more jobs. Now we all know that most of those jobs were created in China and India.
The moral here is that if a Wall street brokers lips are moving, he's lying.

 

VINCENTB

7:12 PM ET

May 4, 2011

KAUFMAN WINS

FATALITY

Sorry I just got done playing Mortal Kombat. And even someone as young as me can see right through to the issue here- Van Praag's utterly pathetic attempt to get GSach's out of the firing range with and OECD study is like Kobe Bryant citing a Lakers fan as proof he's a great player (more international example- like Messi citing a Barcelona FC fan). Moreover, it doesnt get to the heart of the issue. The index isnt the only reason food prices are going up- noone is stating that. But the index does play a factor; no one can argue against that. If it didnt, it wouldn't be a very effective financial instrument.

If GS would like to help farmers, they should contact a man named Paul Polak. otherwise they should shut up.

 

JDGOLDER

7:21 AM ET

May 5, 2011

More than the middle class, I

More than the middle class, I blame the environmental movement, or at least its radical fringe. Stressing the need for 'organic' and 'sustainable' foods (neither of which terms actually mean what they say) and bio-fuels (that result in as much or more pollution/ greenhouse gas production as normal fuels throughout their production cycle) has caused a large part of the upcoming crisis.

 

FRANCOISELLIS

4:34 PM ET

May 17, 2011

Response to this clear PR stunt.

Mr Lucas,

I certainly would like to content that you are one heck of a PR person in coming up with this intellectually insulting stance on your firms role within the commodities bubble we are currently facing. You see sir, back in 2006 I was first introduced to the advanced world of commodities trading. I went through all the ropes and ran all the equations for the pricing of contracts and how those pricing algorithms determined the overall commodities on a given day. These courses were by far the most challenging one could embark on in a business degree, and as such are skipped by most not looking for answers as to how the markets work. In writing you're crock above you not only 1. Assumed you could posed as main street, but 2. Could trick mainstreet into believing that what you're doing is quite simple. In effect your firm is back to playing God in a world which never needed one. You have taken a market which produced fairly consistent and accurate pricing and changed it into a market rampent with invisible demand which you compare to home owners insurance. In running with this philosophy i simply have 1 question..... What would happen if every single person in the world could order multiple vehicles according to a sellers contract, but never actually take ownership of the title of that car? What would happen to the price of that car? I am well aware of the complexities and short comings of that statement, but since you insulted my intellegence first I'd like to hear your response, because for starters sir, quit playing dumb and acting like no one understands your marketplace. To those of us who have played on your field it's obvious what your firm is supporting.

Kind Regards,

Francois