The New Face of al Qaeda?

The Yemeni-American firebrand preacher, Anwar al-Awlaki, won't replace Osama bin Laden as al Qaeda's No. 1 -- but Washington should be worried about his increasing prominence.

BY CHRISTOPHER BOUCEK | MAY 18, 2011

The death of al Qaeda founder Osama bin Laden led immediately to excessive speculation over who will replace him at the helm of the organization and as the face of global terrorism. Latest news reports indicate that Egyptian militant Saif al-Adel has been appointed the interim leader of al Qaeda while the organization works to appoint a permanent head. Anwar al-Awlaki, the firebrand Yemeni-American preacher linked to al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), the group's local branch, is one of the most frequently mentioned candidates. But despite his high-profile notoriety, incendiary rhetoric, and numerous alleged links to significant terrorist plots and attacks, Awlaki will not supplant bin Laden.

The truth is that bin Laden was an irreplaceable figure as both the head of al Qaeda and the leader of the global jihadi movement. Awlaki may lack many of the qualifications and experiences necessary to fill those shoes, but he poses a serious threat to U.S. national security nevertheless. And as the political situation and conditions in Yemen continue to worsen, the dangers associated with Awlaki and AQAP only get more severe.

Awlaki's credentials come up short in the competition to take over from bin Laden. He does not have serious religious credentials, nor can he boast of combat experience. As far we know, he did not have a relationship with bin Laden and the two never even met. And despite being very well known among English speakers, Awlaki is not nearly as well known by Arabic speakers who make up the bulk of the global jihadi movement. It is important to note that this is beginning to change. During recent conversations I had in Riyadh, Saudi security officials warned that Awlaki's profile is rising in the Arabic-speaking world.

Awlaki, perhaps most importantly, does not engender the same feelings of love and affection that bin Laden did. Very soft-spoken, almost gentle, bin Laden was widely admired in the Arabian Peninsula for abandoning a life of luxury, affluence, and comfort to follow his beliefs. While many disagreed with his actions and condemned the violence he inspired, bin Laden was viewed as a pious and religious man who stuck to his convictions -- no matter the consequences. Although a potent speaker with the power to inspire others, Awlaki does not generate such broad fondness.

But even if Awlaki is not poised to assume bin Laden's mantle, he should not be dismissed.

Born in Las Cruces, New Mexico, in 1971 to Yemeni parents, Awlaki spent his early childhood in the United States before returning to Yemen. In 1991 he came back to the United States to attend college and graduate school. During this time he also worked in several mosques and Islamic centers. According to several reports, it was in this period that Awlaki began to draw attention. The 9/11 Commission report raises unanswered questions about Awlaki's alleged interactions with several of the 9/11 conspirators, which include contact with two of the hijackers while he preached at a San Diego mosque.

Muhammad ud-Deen via Wikipedia

 

Christopher Boucek is an associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

HURRICANEWARNING

8:19 PM ET

May 18, 2011

so, foreign policy...you

so, foreign policy...you realize that what you've done is helped to create a new terror leader? You get that right? The more attention we pay to these people in the media; the more we sensationalize them and legitimize them; then the more powerful and influential they become. We shouldnt be crowning anyone, ever again. We made that mistake with bin laden, and it helped to give him a HUGE following. These types of articles are the exact things that people like Awlaki WANT! They feed off of this stuff. We should keep it to ourselves and just deal with these people in the shadows, where they belong. I mean honestly, how much does the average person need to know about our war against terror and the people we fight. Most of the info will be misinterpreted, and or go one ear and out the other anyway. Just a suggestion. Less on New terror leader speculation, more on U.S. mid-east policy.

 

JBROCKLE

1:28 AM ET

May 19, 2011

I suspect

He will be dead in relatively short order. I think the US apparatus for hunting down single individuals has got so well developed and is so well resourced that if they have a will, they will probably find a way.

To paraphrase, ironically, some terrorists the US only has to be lucky once, whereas their target must be lucky forever.

 

PULLER58

3:43 AM ET

May 19, 2011

Learning from Israel

Israel has knocked off various leaders from Hezbollah to Hamas, and a newbie pops up to take over. So the US can smoke this jasper and anyone else who steps up to the plate, but as long as there are followers, and they'll always come up with leaders.

 

IAN

10:04 AM ET

May 19, 2011

I agree with the others

It doesn't matter how many you take down. There's always a charismatic somebody hanging out in the wings, waiting for his free public spotlight conveniently given him by the Western press. While that doesn't provide all the impetus for rise to power, being talked about a lot by your enemies as someone to watch out for gives quick and easy legitimacy where it might otherwise be harder to come by.

Unfortunately, in today's media world, any news that isn't bad news, is no news worth talking about, except for occasional the offbeat hero story, to make everyone feel a little better before throwing them back into the quagmire that is "obviously" happening everywhere else in the world right now. And if we can't help our "next bin Laden" a bit to get more news out of it, then that would mean less threat to our very way of life to talk and worry about. Even calling him that immediately gives everyone that kernel of terror and makes people wonder when the next 9/11 is.

 

ONEUNSTUCKINTIME

4:27 PM ET

May 22, 2011

Word

up.

 

ISHMAEL137

2:04 PM ET

May 19, 2011

Anwar in the Wings

I think it is premature to state Anwar al-Awlaki will not become the head of al-Qaeda Prime; but even if he is not, he still holds the leash of AQAP, which is a much more active, vital and dangerous organization. He remains the most active recruiter of jihadists and instigator of attacks in the United States, as he claims in the 4th and 5th issues of Inspire Magazine. Don't count Anwar out of the fight just yet.

righthereontheleftcoast.blogspot.com/

 

PKOULIEV

5:28 PM ET

May 19, 2011

Unhealthy Tendencies

There has been a dangerous tendency of focusing on forerunners to replace Ben Laden as a head of Al-Qaeda Network. People living in corrupt dictatorship regimes and the rest of the world are more interested in finding out who will be elected as a new head in the militant organization than their own elections. It has become very unhealthy that news networks are not even as much interested covering decent and honest citizens living as dissidents or asylees in open societies and struggling to bring Universal Human Rights and Values shared by open societies to their own historical homeland and countrymen. We have many young people in prisons of dictatorship regimes being abused, tortured and getting imprisoned on falsified charges, actually struggling peacefully to restore people’s rights and sovereignty to build civil society. When young people living these countries see that there is more democracy and openness in choosing Al-Qaeda leader, we can almost predict who will they follow and get recruited later in their lives. As long as there is no openness, transparency and less corruption and bribery in so-called ‘emerging democracies’, ruthless and brutal ruling clan members will use Al-Qaeda or any other threat to stay in power and create sporadic reactions leading to even more dangerous events for our world community.

 

WINSTON SMITH 9584

8:42 AM ET

May 20, 2011

Exaggerated and Overrated

The threat of terrorism from extremists such as Awlaki has been systematically exaggerated and overrated at the expense of our civil liberties, rule of law and Constitution...if anything a much larger domestic terrorism threat is from right-wing racist, fascist and anti-abortion groups...sadly this has been mostly ignored in our corporate media.

 

ONEUNSTUCKINTIME

4:23 PM ET

May 22, 2011

Your Bullets Are Useless.

You can't kill an idea, destroy an ideology with bullets. What are you, stupid? You kill that man, he becomes immortal. Such death only brings more of the same. This will be our downfall, the true fall of mankind.

 

CARLTON LUFTEUFEL

11:46 AM ET

June 1, 2011

Is this Awlaki person really so dangerous?

I find it extremely hard to believe this person is a threat. In terms of recruiting terrorists to attack us, from what I've read of his speeches, he is nothing but a petty opportunist riding on the coattails of the force that really drives Islamists to terrorism: the constant killing of innocent people by our government. If our military wasn't aggressively bombing and murdering thousands of women, children, and yes even men who would otherwise not even think of killing Americans, then Awlaki would have no force whatsoever. If anyone is to blame it is those who treat these people in far flung corners of the world as cattle who can be slaughtered without thought.

 

STACYB12

1:09 PM ET

June 17, 2011

The New Face of al Qaeda?

The Yemeni-American firebrand preacher, Anwar al-Awlaki, won't replace Osama bin Laden as al Qaeda's No. 1 -- but Washington should be worried about his increasing prominence. He will be dead in relatively short order. I think the US apparatus for hunting down single individuals has got so well developed and is so well resourced that if they have a will, they will probably find a way. To paraphrase, ironically, some terrorists the US only has to be lucky once, whereas their target must be lucky forever. colon cleanse The threat of terrorism from extremists such as Awlaki has been systematically exaggerated and overrated at the expense of our civil liberties, rule of law and Constitution...if anything a much larger domestic terrorism threat is from right-wing racist, fascist and anti-abortion groups...sadly this has been mostly ignored in our corporate media..

 

PERSON_GUYZ

1:42 AM ET

June 18, 2011

It has become very unhealthy

It has become very unhealthy that news networks are not even as much interested covering decent and honest citizens living as dissidents or asylees in open societies and struggling to bring Universal Human Rights and Values shared by open societies to their own historical homeland and countrymen. We have many young people in prisons of dictatorship regimes being abused, tortured and getting imprisoned on falsified charges, actually struggling peacefully to restore people’s rights and sovereignty to build civil society . I think the US apparatus for hunting down single individuals has got so well developed and is so well resourced that if they have a will, they will probably find a way. To paraphrase, ironically, some terrorists the US only has to be lucky once, whereas their target must be lucky forever.

 

JIBRAN_PCC

2:18 AM ET

June 18, 2011

You can't kill an idea,

You can't kill an idea, destroy an ideology with bullets. What are you, stupid? You kill that man, he becomesjacksonvillerealestate immortal. Such death only brings more of the same. This will be our downfall, the true fall of mankind.
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