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Much Ado About Nothing

Obama's Mideast speech achieved none of its goals.

BY KORI SCHAKE | MAY 19, 2011

President Obama had three significant challenges for his "major address" on the Middle East:

  1. Explain his administration's seemingly contradictory responses to uprisings in Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, Bahrain, Yemen, and Syria
  2. Support the forces of democratic change in the region; and
  3. Describe how to manage the conflict between our interests and our values in a region where they are often in conflict.

His speech today achieved none of those.

The president laid claim to "a new chapter in American diplomacy," which he described as "shifting our foreign policy after a decade of war." But the vision he now endorses for the universality of American values has actually been the basis for our foreign policy in the Middle East for several administrations, most stridently that of his immediate predecessor -- it was President Obama's policies that had sought to tone down the emphasis our values in order to work more constructively with the repressive governments of Iran and Syria, as well as the repressive governments of Egypt and Saudi Arabia.

He said of democracy's advance that "change will not be denied." But isn't it being denied in Bahrain, in Syria, in Yemen, in Iran? The president said yes, but didn't explain why our policies are different toward those governments. Instead, he continued to promote the sophistry that there is no conflict between our values and our interests. Can anyone tell what our policy toward Saudi Arabia will be as the result of the president's speech? I doubt it.

Obama said our values must be a top priority and supported by all the tools of our power. Yet he was long on pedantry and short of concrete proposals. The policies he outlined fell far short of the standard he himself set. The whole of government approach he advocated sums up to: asking the World Bank to come up with a G-8 proposal for assistance to Tunisia and Egypt, relieving $1 billion in debt for Egypt and another billion in loans, vague promises of enterprise funds and facilitation of trade and incentives for reform and penalizing corruption -- all without any specificity as to how we might achieve that. Debt relief is a good thing, and so is credit from the Export-Import Bank. But is this really all we have on offer for a top priority supported by all the tools of our power? His national security team should have provided him a much better developed program of policies in advance of a major speech. 

Scheduling the speech on the eve of Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's arrival further increased the degree of difficulty for the president, given the administration's inability to make progress on Israeli-Palestinian issues. But President Obama argued that current circumstances make peace more urgent than ever, then proceeded to propose nothing new.  He stood boldly for a viable Palestine and a secure Israel. How is this news?

What will Middle Easterners think of the president's speech? Jon Alterman from CSIS put it best: "There's not a huge amount of curiosity about what the president thinks." President Obama's speech today did nothing to change that. 

The president's message seems to be that we will speak out on core principles while doing little to promote them. This is likely to incur to American foreign policy all of the detriments of acrimony from governments whose assistance we need and charges of hypocrisy from those working for change, without accruing the benefits of actually fostering change.

The Bush administration is rightly criticized for being long on vision and deficient in day-to-day management for advancing that vision. The Obama administration has taken two and a half years to more or less endorse that vision while demonstrating an equal deficiency in in the conduct of its policies.  

 SUBJECTS:
 

Kori Schake is a fellow at the Hoover Institution and holds the Distinguished Chair in International Security Studies at the United States Military Academy.

AR

6:25 PM ET

May 19, 2011

Right on Kori!

Right on Kori!

 

JUDITA

7:01 PM ET

May 19, 2011

Too late

If I was from the middle east, I doubt that I would be impressed over Obama's speech. Probably, they have already lost confidence in America and even Obama's beautiful words can't change that. spartan

 

PJW5552

11:31 PM ET

May 19, 2011

Kori didn't listen very closely!

Distinguished Chair of International studies? Here are some details you missed Kori.

1. The US supports the non-violent protests and not the autocratic regimens forceful repression of their aspirations. That extends to all countries throughout the Middle East mentioned or not.

2. The US will provide support to Tunisia and Egypt and seek further help through the G-8 for their fledgling governments for infrastructure, even as we encourage transparency in those government. This implies help and assistance for other new governments that are responsive to the voices and aspirations of their people as well.

3. The US believes the borders between Israel and Palestine should be the 1967 ones with land swaps and security issues addressed as a starting point for discussions. Israel steadfastly refused to define the borders or the security issues the Palestinians wanted defined prior to the first round of talks that lasted less than 1 month.

4. Palestinians need to show how Fatah and Hamas will not be a threat to Israeli security before negotiations can take place. Not that the US would not accept a Fatah and Hamas union, but that they must address the legitimate concerns Israel has about this union.

Obama clearly indicated to the people in the Middle East the US stands with their aspirations for a greater voice and was not supportive of dictators and autocratic leaders who wish to silence them. We are not going to go to war, because violence does not solve these problems, it just exacerbates them. However, Obama indicated the US would work to discourage regional leaders from using force against peaceful demonstrations by their own people. This may take many forms and may be dependent on the nation upon whom these measures are imposed.

Obama clearly believes peace is possible between Israel and Palestinians, but it needs a fresh look in view of changes in the region and he offered a place to begin -- 1967 borders and addressing security issues. He even reemphasized that peace is necessary because of the Arab Spring. Greater democracy means Israel can no longer count on working out deals with one autocratic leader. Now it will need to have the approval of the neighboring populations to which the leaders must respond. In short, Israel's continued conflict with the Palestinians is more likely to lead to conflict with neighbors now than ever before without any peace.

That is hardly nothing. While Obama's words still need to be shown they have substance (following through) they are at least a step in the right direction. The US is not in a position to engage in more foreign conflicts. What we can offer is a vision we are willing to help countries that respect the will of their people. Change is coming in the ME. We can embrace it with open arms or we can try to deny it, fight it and be buried by the change that ensues.

 

PULLER58

1:16 AM ET

May 20, 2011

Speeches

Speeches are wildly overrated in their ability to shape events, especially when they are constrained by facts on the ground, and domestic politics. Obama is just giving lip service.