The Antisocial Network

Osama bin Laden may be dead, but his legion of online jihadis is more determined than ever.

BY EVAN F. KOHLMANN | MAY 23, 2011

Late on the evening of May 1, al Qaeda's online social networking forums were shaken awake as would-be jihadists from around the globe logged in to discover if reports of the killing of al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden in a U.S. military raid deep inside Pakistan were true. As rumors of the terrorist mastermind's demise began to spread, stunned forum participants insisted that the White House announcement was part of a new scheme devised by the CIA to trick and demoralize bin Laden's diehard supporters. Ill-tempered forum administrators began threatening to permanently ban anyone who even dared to express sorrow based on "unverified crusader rumors" of bin Laden's demise. Dozens of message threads on the death of bin Laden have since been censored by administrators; many others were simply deleted.

The last month has been a grueling ordeal for both al Qaeda's webmasters and the morbid flock of virtual jihadists who make up an increasingly important hub of the terrorist network's infrastructure. As opposed to fixed dot-com websites, al Qaeda's foot-soldiers, couriers, and supporters inhabit a loosely organized network of mostly password-protected online discussion forums. While these shadowy forums have provided jihadist movements with a powerful tool for communications, propaganda, and recruitment, they also have allowed outside observers an insider's view into the unusual personalities lurking behind the terror group -- as well as their hierarchy, mindset, and methodology -- one that is particularly important now, as al Qaeda struggles to regroup after the killing of its figurehead and founder.

With al Qaeda's remaining leaders still hiding quietly out of sight, these online forums provide one of the most compelling windows into the thinking of bin Laden's cadre as they mourn the passing of their revered icon. By quietly observing the conversations, interested observers were able to witness jihadists go through their own peculiar stages of grief in real time -- from disbelief and grief to rage and defiance.

No matter what they may claim in retrospect, the sudden news of bin Laden's death came as a staggering blow to his supporters. His passing was particularly difficult to accept in light of the litany of other losses the group has endured over the past two years -- including the killing of its former third-in-command Mustafa Abu al-Yazid, a.k.a. Shaykh Saeed -- largely the result of a relentless campaign of lethal missile strikes by unmanned U.S. drone aircraft along the Afghanistan-Pakistan border. On May 2, defying warnings from forum administrators not to speculate over bin Laden's then-uncertain fate, user Abu Zubaydah insisted on offering his deepest respects "to the family of the martyr ... and also Shaykh Ayman Zawahiri, who in a single year lost Shaykh Saeed and now his other companion on the path.... By Allah, it is a year of sorrow."

In the hours immediately following news of bin Laden's violent demise, al Qaeda forum users and administrators were also preoccupied with another gnawing concern: the state of their own personal security. The media soon reported that U.S. Navy SEALs had seized an intelligence jackpot of hard drives, flash data disks, and other records of electronic communications from bin Laden's compound in Abbottabad. One of the most credible and respected users on al Qaeda's top-tier "Shamukh" web forum, "Yaman Mukhadab," posted a warning to fellow jihadists advising that these were "the most dangerous 72 hours in the struggle of Al Qaeda with the Zionists and Crusaders ... in the history of the jihad struggle." He cautioned, "it is possible that America has infiltrated mujahideen communications and will seek to unveil the masterminds behind big [terrorist] operations."

For Mukhadab, this possibility was cause enough for jihadist cells to shut off further communications with their handlers and push forward with terrorist operations on their own. "As far as I see it, any group of mujahideen that are assigned to an operation should go forward and execute it ... without hesitation or delay, and to completely avoid trying to communicate with anyone ... or to seek new orders," he urged.

The palpable sense of melancholy and panic brewing in the hearts of al Qaeda's supporters on the web was soon swamped by a tidal wave of raw, unbridled rage -- particularly after images of jubilant crowds of Americans celebrating outside the White House and at Ground Zero were broadcast around the world. One user, Ta'er Muhajir, posted an open message addressed to "you who danced in front of the White House.... We, too, will start to dance the next time we hear about a massacre that befalls you, just as we danced when your rotten corpses were spread across the Pentagon and the World Trade Center."

Another forum user, Mukhadab ad-Dima (an alias translating to "drenched in blood"), pointed to the "big crowds in front of the White House" and demanded, "who will be the hero who will turn their night into day and their morning into hell, and who will renew the September glories -- who will follow next in the list of our heroes?"

KAREN BLEIER/AFP/Getty Images

 SUBJECTS: AL QAEDA, TERRORISM, INTERNET
 

Evan F. Kohlmann is a senior partner at Flashpoint Global Partners, a New York-based security consulting firm. He is the author of Al Qaeda's Jihad in Europe: The Afghan-Bosnian Network.

NORBOOSE

3:05 PM ET

May 23, 2011

Inserted [terrorist]

"it is possible that America has infiltrated mujahideen communications and will seek to unveil the masterminds behind big [terrorist] operations."

Was that really necessary? An Al Qaeda guy is talking about us upsetting their operations, so what kind of operations could he be taliking about? It just seems stupidly unnecessary and, frankly, raises my suspicions about the article's merit.

 

NORBOOSE

3:18 PM ET

May 23, 2011

Determination alone is nothing

Yes, an organization's commitment to a purpose is a factor that must be considered when evaluating its capabilities, but for an organization that has never really had much of a "commitment" problem from its members, ever-growing "determination" is actually a sign of weakness, most of the time. As a group engaged in a violent or potentially violent conflict (nation, army, regime, terror group, whatever) sees itself as losing resources and power, it seeks to maximize it's "internal efficiency," to compensate. This rapidly turns to growing fanaticism and inflexibility. I dont have time to write this all out, I think most readers see where im going.

Example: Germans and Japanese getting all crazy towards the end of ww2. Other example: Stalin and Mao regimes: actually strenghtened their internal conrol over their nations, but weakened their nations external capabilities by destroying much of the economy and society.

 

JBROCKLE

8:33 AM ET

May 24, 2011

Yeah

I see where you're going with that. A rat fought into a corner may fight all the harder, but its usually on the way out anyway.

 

NORBOOSE

3:10 PM ET

May 25, 2011

exactly

yup

 

PKOULIEV

10:50 PM ET

May 23, 2011

Dilemma

It is very troubling that open societies can't do anything about putting pressure to free innocent journalists and students, struggling for Freedom of their nations and building civil governments, imprisoned on falsified charges in prisons of our so-called 'democratic ally' countries ruled by corrupt clan rulers and their thugs. At same time, the followers of Bin Laden can get organized to take revenge by sacrificing innocent people. All these does not make sense.

 

ICEZY

4:26 AM ET

May 27, 2011

I recall a conversation

I recall a conversation I had at a stats conference back in the early 80's when the discussion turned to the issue of jihad. Yes, it seemed the Palestinians had become emboldened and were engaged in jihad. It's remarkable how "there's nothing new under the sun".

Well, there are a few new things under the sun. We've seen the outcome of leveraging local alliances in (of all places) eBooks Resale Rights Afghanistan and we've seen the end of the Cold War. According to Obama, however, the Cold War has reincarnated itself in the Arab Spring. At times like this, one dispairs of our education system.

 

HSCHMIDT

1:02 PM ET

May 28, 2011

It could be so easy

Those guys just want to die to get the virgins.

Why not solve it in a typical American way: found a startup "GetVirginsNow" and offer the wannabe terrorists to be nicely shot by a non-Muslim? Money-back guarantee!

Just put some machine gun on a nicely arranged place on a desert in Afghanistan and wait. If they are true Jihadists, they will come :-)

 

GREGORY M

6:14 AM ET

May 30, 2011

A Scary Reality

What a scary reality it is to know how many jihad supporters there are on the web alone. Not sure what kind of idiots would "mourn the death" of Osama Bin Laden - oh yeah that's right - terrorists. Either way it's still scary the amount of people that are supporting of this guy who is now dead.

You just have to hope that the worldwide brands and inter workings of the al Queada network are not planning a retaliation attack. Because Osama had many followers and wealthyaffiliates who can afford the price of very dangerous weapons. And that is a very scary fact considering the fact that I'm sure they do want revenge and retaliation for the death of their leader.

It makes you wonder if you're really safe when you get on a plane to head out on a vacation - or even when you're in a general public area. Because although they have beefed up security since the 9/11 attacks, it's still very possible for a single terrorist to cause a lot of damage.

And with the amount of supporters that Osama and al Queada have on the Internet alone, I'm sure that there are twice as many in the real world go are too busy planning retaliation and attack plans for the death of their beloved leader Osama Bin Laden.

As I said before it's definitely a scary reality that should be in the back of every ones mind when they board a plane or even go out in public doba, and anywhere there is a big crowd of people. It actually makes me more nervous for my children than myself because they are the helpless ones who can't really detect danger as easy or get out of a dangerous situation as easy.

It's just sad that people are killing people. Not only killing people, but actually planning on killing people. It's sad and terrifying but it's an unfortunate reality. Maybe some day we will find a way to bind together as people and fight other worldwide issues as one.

 

EDIE OLSEN

12:08 PM ET

June 21, 2011

Freedom of their nations and

Freedom of their nations and building civil governments, imprisoned on falsified charges in prisons of our so-called 'democratic ally' countries ruled by corrupt clan rulers and their thugs. At same time, the followers of Bin Laden can get sázkové kanceláre organized to take revenge by sacrificing innocent people. All these does not make sense.You just have to hope that the worldwide brands and inter workings of the al Queada network are not planning a retaliation attack. Because Osama had many followers and wealthyaffiliates who can afford the price of very dangerous weapons. And that is a very scary fact considering the fact that I'm sure they do want revenge and retaliation for the death of their leader.It makes you wonder if you're really safe when sázkové kanceláre you get on a plane to head out on a vacation - or even when you're in a general public area. Because although they have beefed up security since the 9/11 attacks, it's still very possible for a single terrorist to cause a lot of damage.