This Week at War: The Jet That Ate the Pentagon

The F-35 is cutting into the Defense Department's most important priorities.

BY ROBERT HADDICK | MAY 27, 2011

Policymakers get 11th-hour second thoughts on the Joint Strike Fighter

The troubled and long-delayed F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program came under renewed scrutiny this week. The Air Force, Navy, Marine Corps, and many foreign partners plan to buy thousands of the fighter-attack jets over the next two decades to replace a variety of aging aircraft, but the development schedule of the stealthy fighter has slipped five years to 2018 and the projected cost to the Pentagon for 2,457 aircraft has ballooned to $385 billion, making it by far the most expensive weapons program in history.

The Government Accountability Office reported that although Pentagon management of the program is improving, developers have only completely verified 4 percent of the F-35's capabilities. The program received another blow this week when the Senate Armed Services Committee learned that the Pentagon will likely have to spend $1 trillion over the next 50 years to operate and maintain the fleet of F-35s. Evidently reeling from sticker shock, Sen. John McCain demanded that "we at least begin considering alternatives." But is it too late to prevent the F-35 program from devouring the Pentagon's future procurement budgets?

Air Force officials themselves may now doubt the wisdom of the size of the commitment to the F-35. According to a recent Aviation Week story, Air Force Undersecretary Erin Conaton placed new emphasis on the importance of the Air Force's next-generation long-range bomber. With procurement funds sure to be tight in the decade ahead, Conaton hinted that the Air Force may have to raid the F-35's future budgets in order to help pay for the new bomber.

The rapidly changing strategic situation in Asia and the western Pacific should compel policymakers to reexamine the size of the commitment to the F-35. Yet another critical report on the F-35 from the Pentagon's acquisition office dated Dec. 31, 2010, revealed that the Air Force version of the attack jet would have a combat mission radius of 584 miles, just short of the original stated requirement of 590 miles, and significantly less than a recent expectation by program officials that the jet would be able to strike targets 690 miles away without midair refueling.

A combat radius of 584 miles leaves planners with few options when contemplating operations over the vast distances in the Asia-Pacific region. As I discussed in a recent column, China's growing inventories of ballistic and cruise missiles are already capable, according to the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, of striking the U.S. Air Force's main bases in the region. These missiles are also putting the Navy's aircraft carriers increasingly at risk, which could compel the Navy to move the vessels out of the F-35's strike range.

The solution is combat aircraft with much longer ranges, which would operate from distant bases less vulnerable to missile attack. This would explain Conaton's increased emphasis on the new long-range bomber and the Navy's interest in a long-range combat drone that would launch from its aircraft carriers and some of its amphibious ships.

There are still significant roles for the F-35 and many of its leading-edge stealth and electronic capabilities. The F-35 can defend against enemy aircraft, can collect and distribute intelligence from over a battlefield, and can attack heavily defended targets within its range. In any case, the program is "too big to fail," or at least "too big to kill," and it is far too late in the day to now consider alternatives. But it seems increasingly likely that the Air Force and Navy will eventually truncate their planned purchases and redirect those savings into new long-range platforms. Doing so would cause the unit cost of the F-35 to spike even higher which would likely lead many foreign partners to drop out. But that regrettable consequence may be necessary if the Air Force and Navy are to have the money to buy capabilities that will actually be useful in the vast stretches of the Pacific.

Brendan Smialowski/Getty Image

 SUBJECTS:
 

Robert Haddick is managing editor of Small Wars Journal.

GHOSTCOMMANDER

3:15 PM ET

May 27, 2011

F-35 Boondoggle by Military Industrial Complex?

All those F-35 JSF are not needed.
The military only needs enough stealth fighters/bombers to knock out the enemy's radar and surface to air missiles. After that is accomplished the conventional aircraft can roam at will at the higher altitudes and drop guided bombs on targets.

The Navy has an arsenal of cruise missile that compliment the initial strikes on an enemy by stealth aircraft.

Also, where are our enemies?

 

ZRZZZ

3:35 PM ET

May 27, 2011

For a Trillion dollars...

For that kind of money, we could fund thousands of energy projects. We could rebuild our domestic infrastructure to run on solar power. In short, we could eliminate a lot of the conflicts that we have ourselves in right now. Either way, we don't need a stealth fighter. Our enemies don't use ground radar, they use Kalashnikovs and suicide. The best weapons in the world can't defeat mindless extremists. Just get us out of that and on with our lives.

 

JOHNNY ALEXANDER

1:35 PM ET

May 28, 2011

F-35

Toss in the added White House request to chop an additional $400 billion from the defense shopping budget over the following 12 years .... the cost and procurement for the F-35 has stopped being possible.

 

STEVEM

2:29 PM ET

May 28, 2011

Might As Well...

We should outsource weapons procurement to the Chinese.

 

CAMIO

4:08 AM ET

May 29, 2011

A comment from China

I feel a little bit surprised by the extent to which Americans have shown concern over China's military development. Only ten years ago, I would hardly imagine that US would modify their major weapon system development programs so as to meet challenges posed by PLA. And it also seems inevitable that US will devote more resources in Asia-Pacific after finishing up in Afghanistan as countermeasures to China's military influence on the region.

However American people should be more prudent about some of their efforts in coping with China. First, are these efforts really necessary? China is far from such an opponent that billions of dollars have to be spent upgrading US military capabilities otherwise US national interests in the region would be fundamentally undermined. Just like a point of view from a recent article by James Holmes of the US Naval War College, China, not like the Soviet Union, is not seeking ideological expansion throughout the Asia-Pacific region, therefore as for China’s rise, there is nothing for US to “contain”. (The article, however, elaborated too much on how radical Chinese scholars condemn US policy on “containing” China.) Actually in contemporary China, mercantilism is prevailing and no ideological ambition is justifiable. In history, China suffered too much from ideology conflicts. China also learned lessons from how Soviet Union exhausted itself in competition with US when exporting its ideology to a much broader region than Asia-Pacific. Therefore, developing economy has been the only real focus of Chinese government for the recent thirty years.

Admittedly, there are three sound reasons for China to develop its military power: First, need to manage potential crises across the Taiwan Strait, second, need to protect its marine transport because of the national economy heavily relying on export and import, and third, need to preserve its national interests in South China Sea. The second and third one overlaps each other to some extent, and again, they are for economic development rather than ideological expansion.

Chinese people have been among the most tolerant people that have ever lived in this planet. For thousands of years of recorded history, Chinese people have seldom pursued expansion over territories of others. In fact, the ruling classes were so “satisfying” about their own homeland and vested interests that they locked up the country to enjoy themselves until western invaders broke in. By nature, Chinese people have no interests in business of others. By nature, Chinese people enjoy peaceful life and want to keep far away from contentions. By nature, Chinese people do not fulfill their national values by demanding others to accept their ideology, because such ideology itself is tolerance and beliefs in “all rivers run into sea” and “harmony brings wealth”.

In sum, Chinese people just want to live a rich life. To achieve this object in an extremely complex external environment, they need spears and shields so that people with longer spears and thicker shields have to at least think over before actions. After all, the people with stronger arms claim national interests over the whole world, although their population is only 1/6 of the Chinese people.

 

MOLZ

12:10 PM ET

May 31, 2011

A rebuttal from a sinophile

"In sum, Chinese people just want to live a rich life."

Very true and understandable. It is, after all, the natural inclination for people everywhere.

"For thousands of years of recorded history, Chinese people have seldom pursued expansion over territories of others."

Pure BS. From ??? on, the area that is now modern China has been consumed with wars among various kingdom, either internally or with other adjacent or satellite countries - e.g. Korea, Vietnam, etc.

"By nature, Chinese people do not fulfill their national values by demanding others to accept their ideology, because such ideology itself is tolerance and beliefs in “all rivers run into sea” and “harmony brings wealth”."

It's not the people of a country that try to force their ideology on other countries, governments do that. The Chinese government is doing the same thing the US government did throughout the latter half of the past century - investing in countries in return for political favors, resource deals, etc.

Overall, I think it's great that you're engaging in dialogue, but please do dare to step outside of the CCP propaganda sphere for a bit. It's stifling and doesn't help one understand the real geopolitical (or economic, or military) changes going on at present. It may be comforting to convince yourself China isn't seeking to expand its influence and has never done so before, but even a cursory glance at Chinese history (both ancient and modern) and a modest understanding of present Chinese political policies and goals will quickly educate one otherwise.

 

CAMIO

4:16 AM ET

May 29, 2011

I wanted to give the link for

I wanted to give the link for that The Diplomat article by James Holmes. However it was said that my submission had triggered the spam filter and could not be accepted. I dont know why.

 

DEMOFACTOR

8:59 AM ET

May 29, 2011

The Power, Pentagon and the others...

Nowadays power and money prevail on needs of our economy and peoples real needs such as jobs and low prices. Unfortunately, American economic policy is not for small people but big corporations and their interests.

Probably, we would live in a completely different world if American president, congress and all kind of American news media - newspapers, TV channels and agencies support people's interests first.

 

GREGORY M

8:31 AM ET

May 30, 2011

Isn't It Sad?

Isn't it sad the amount of money we are spending on weapons for defense, or weapons for war? It's such a shame - because at 385 BILLION dollars we could do so many other positive things. A couple other people mentioned energy in their posts, and that's one of the many things we could do to increase the value of our worldwide brands and increase the amount of positive features of our country. But no, instead we spend almost half a trillion on weapons of war.

We have so many problems around the world - that money could go to so many other issues. It's a shame because we do need protection because of the way this world is, but it would be nice to be able to spend that money on other things. Even a lot of our wealthyaffiliates spend a good amount of money on war planning and defense. All of the money that is spent worldwide on war supplies and defense is enough to make this world a much better, safer place.

But instead the money is being spent to make the world a more dangerous place by adding weapons of mass destruction and tools that can kills thousands and even millions of people at a time. It's really sad when you think about it. Because like I said we do need stuff like the f-35's in a way because you never know when you're going to come under attack.

There are a lot of countries and groups out there that actually provoke and promote war and hate, and that's why we need these tools of war and defense. It woukd just be nice if this doba and we coukd all be civil and get along. Because if that could happen all of this money being spent for weapons of war could be spent on more positive things.

This world could be a lot more positive place if everyone wasn't so damn power thirsty and always tryng to have the edge in a possible war. Its such a shame everyone can't get a long, and it's sad.

 

CAMIO

9:19 AM ET

May 31, 2011

Totally agree with you, Greg,

Totally agree with you, Greg, although you are as naive as I am!! I always come up with similar thinkings as you presented here. You are damn right in that people's power thirst puts the world into danger. One more thing is that arms dealers benefit from wars and unfortunately US government always needs to take care of their interests!! So it is power thirst plus money thirst that make things worse.

My post above has an opinion similar to yours. Your point of view is that US needs F35 in case of being attacked, but spending that much money to develop and purchase such sophisticated weapons may be unwarranted. While I am not an American so my opinion on your point of view may look biased from US perspective, I have to say that your point of view is very cherishable (especially as an American) in that it reflects the idea of self-defense rather than offensive attack.

Please alow me to take advantage of your post a little bit more on behalf of my country as a non-communist Chinese citizen: It is for self-defense purpose that China developped J20 stealthy fighter and DF21 anti-ship ballistic missile. It is for self-defense purpose that China developped anti-access/area-denial strategy. The level of deployment of such weapons would be minimum as long as US can "leave us alone" and therefore we can focus on economy development. And the money that will be spent on these can be neglectable compared to those that may be required for fulfillment of US's advanced, sophisticated, offensive AirSea Battle Concept.

Finally, just think about such a qustion: Has China ever threatened US west coast? Of course, Nope. PLA in no way has such a capability -- in weapons, logistics, doctrines, and personnel training, and also China has no plan to acquire such a capability.

If there has to be one country to show goodness first -- I mean, the real friendship and abondon of hostility -- that has to be the United States. The reason is simple: you cant just ask the person hidding behind his door to drop his spear before the much stronger guy who stands just outside the door still holds a longer spear in hand.

Okay, that's all. I know, naive, stupid, and insane.

Peace is so difficult. Isnt it sad?

 

BARRY GRAFF

8:04 AM ET

June 2, 2011

A couple of points

1) the trillion dollar cost is most likely the Total Ownership Cost (TOC). The aircraft will be in service for 40 to 50 years (they have a service life of 30 years, but the last F35 will be manufactured in 2035 giving the fleet the longer service life). Imagine the cost of a B-52 50 years ago. Now imagine the Total Cost of Ownership given the fact that it is still flying today. My guess is if we'd have projected those costs out in 1950 dollars at that time, we'd have heard similar comments about "jaw dropping cost".

2) the "combat radius" continues to be incompletely reported. As DoDBuzz said in its story about the F35 coming up "short" on its combat radius in its KPP:

"But programme officials are also debating whether to change how the range of the F-35A is calculated, the source said. The equation does not include a buffer margin of 5% of fuel capacity, which is intended to be preserved through the end of the flight test period in 2016. Eliminating the buffer margin adds another 72.4km to the aircraft’s combat radius, the source said."

http://www.dodbuzz.com/2011/05/13/the-f-35s-legs-might-not-be-long-enough/#idc-cover

That's approximately 45 more miles added to its "combat radius", more than required by the KPP.

 

OK RIBEIRO

11:07 PM ET

June 24, 2011

This Week at War: The Jet That Ate the Pentagon

The F-35 is cutting into the Defense Department's most important priorities. Totally agree with you, Greg, although you are as naive as I am!! I always come up with similar thinkings as you presented here. You are damn right in that people's power thirst puts the world into danger. One more thing is that arms dealers benefit from wars and unfortunately US government always needs to take care of their interests!! So it is power thirst plus money thirst that make things wors infection "In sum, Chinese people just want to live a rich life." Very true and understandable. It is, after all, the natural inclination for people everywhere. "For thousands of years of recorded history, Chinese people have seldom pursued expansion over territories of others." Pure BS. From ??? on, the area that is now modern China has been consumed with wars among various kingdom, either internally or wi.