Green Shoots in the Killing Fields

Citizens of the Democratic Republic of the Congo believe there's hope for their war-torn country even if no one else does -- and their optimism is starting to get results.

BY CHARLES KENNY | JUNE 20, 2011

After more than 100 years of abuse, the Democratic Republic of the Congo is surely the most dysfunctional country on the planet. It started the 20th century under Belgium's King Leopold II, who oversaw the deaths of millions through exploitation and disease in what was then his personal fiefdom of the Congo Free State, a tyranny made notorious by Joseph Conrad's Heart of Darkness. Independence in 1960 was accompanied by a vicious civil war and, soon after, the CIA-backed rule of Mobutu Sese Seko, one of the most kleptocratic leaders in world history.

Mobutu's presidency ended in 1997 amid renewed civil conflict, which in the decade that followed killed somewhere between 1.8 million to 5.4 million people (the number is subject to dispute). The social disintegration that accompanied the war has bordered on the medieval. In South Kivu province last year, as many as 40 women were raped every day, and one in 10 of them contracted HIV as a result. Last week, the country was declared the second-worst place in the world to be a woman -- one place behind Afghanistan -- by TrustLaw, an NGO that tracks governance and women's legal rights.

Given that history, it is perhaps unsurprising that, according to data from the late economist Angus Maddison, the country was one of only three in the world to see its economy shrink over the past 40 years (the other two were North Korea and Iraq). National output was $16.7 billion in 1970; it was $16.6 billion in 2008. This occurred while the population climbed from 22 million to 67 million people, leaving income per capita only a third of its level in 1970. Between 1990 and 2007 alone, World Bank data suggests that the proportion of the population living on less than $1 a day -- absolute poverty -- increased from 60 to 71 percent. Today the average income is around 68 cents a day, which means most people are living for a week on the price of one McDonald's Happy Meal. In fact, Maddison's estimates suggest that at no point since 1820 has anywhere in the world been as poor as the Congo has been in the past few years.

So it may be near impossible to believe that the heart of darkness isn't quite as nightmarish as it once was. But over the same 1990 to 2007 period in which poverty was spreading, according to the World Bank, infant mortality rates dropped from 15 percent to 9 percent. That's still horribly high, but it means that a child in present-day Congo has a better chance of surviving than a child in South Korea or Mexico in 1960. Maniema, the province of the country that performed worst in the survey, has an infant mortality rate of 13 percent -- below the overall country average in 1990 and below the levels in Peru and Morocco in 1960. The proportion of underweight children has declined. Maternal mortality has also fallen. Even HIV prevalence has dropped, from 4.2 to 3.4 percent of the population.

In no small part, these improvements are connected to the rollout of basic health services. Recent surveys suggest nearly two-thirds of children in the country are vaccinated against diphtheria, whooping cough, and tetanus, and more than half of all households have an insecticide-treated bed net. More than four out of 10 kids who show symptoms of pneumonia get antibiotics, and nearly the same proportion with symptoms of malaria get antimalarials. Forty years ago, when the average income in the Congo was three times what it is today, those treatment rates were close to zero. Prenatal care coverage increased from 56 to 85 percent of the population between 1990 and 2007, and antiretroviral access rates are climbing as well. This spread of lifesaving technologies and support helps to explain why infant mortality is less than it was in the United States in 1900, even though the average American at the time was 16 times richer (adjusted for inflation) than the average 21st-century Congolese.

YASUYOSHI CHIBA/AFP/Getty Images

 

Charles Kenny is a senior fellow at the Center for Global Development, a Schwartz fellow at the New America Foundation, and author, most recently, of Getting Better: Why Global Development Is Succeeding and How We Can Improve the World Even More. "The Optimist," his column for ForeignPolicy.com, runs weekly.

YVRETTA CARUS

5:34 PM ET

June 25, 2011

More People, Please

Comment period for the May 23 column has apparently closed, but, as a reader then did, I want to add a late comment here. I hope you will accept it.
Mr. Kenny says, "Simply put, having the opportunity to be alive is a good thing, and the more opportunity exists, the better."
Mnay of us believe that there will be a life after death, in either Heaven or Hell. According to he Book of Revelations, only 144,000 people, out of all the billions who are alive now or who have ever lived, will go to Heaven. Everyone else will spend eternity enduring the most awful agony in Hell.
Other views are that if you have been baptized the wrong way, or if you worship the wrong God or the right God under the wrong name, or if you die with an unconfessed sin, you will go to Hell.
The more people whio are born, the more suffering there will be in Hell. Balancing the pleasures of 70 years or so of life on earth, against an eternity of suffering shiows that it is much better to never be born than to be born. live, die, and go to Hell. The opportunity to be alive is a gatewy to eternal torment.