Think Before You Cut

Ten simple rules for how to slash the Pentagon's budget without endangering U.S. national security.

BY P.W. SINGER | AUGUST 11, 2011

Over the next six months, somewhere between $400 billion and $1.15 trillion dollars in national security spending will likely be cut from the U.S. budget. The numbers are so staggering that they almost defy imagination, but this is the cold, hard reality that must be faced. And the stakes are huge: How America's national security leaders approach the debate over these defense cuts will do much to determine whether the United States remains capable of sustaining its global commitments in the coming decades.

The discussion so far does not inspire confidence. Politicians and pundits are still debating whether defense cuts are warranted -- an argument that ignores the fact that the debt-ceiling deal has already sliced $400 billion from national security. Like it or not -- and to be clear, I don't like it at all -- this train has already left the station. And the only thing standing between another $750 billion in mandatory cuts is the slim hope that the new congressional "supercommittee" will show the gumption to focus on the tough tax and entitlement reforms necessary to solve the deficit problem and that the rest of Congress will show the maturity to approve such a reform package. Unfortunately, Congress's actions so far indicate its failure to do so is not just possible, but likely.

At the same time, the other focus of the discussion has jumped to which defense programs should be cut. Whether it is in think-tank reports, budget proposals, or politicians' and flag officers' speeches, various plans are being aired that describe certain military programs as "wasteful" or "critical" and therefore should or should not be eliminated. This, however, puts the cart before the horse. The United States shouldn't jump into arguing over specific warplanes, brigades, or aircraft carriers before locking in the principles that will guide how to go about it smartly. The process policymakers decide on now will determine the outcome and whether the cuts to the defense budget represent a successful exercise in strategic reorientation or end up hollowing the military and endangering vital U.S. national security objectives across the globe. Here are 10 suggested rules to guide the coming decisions.

1. First, cut the chatter.

There is such a thing as too much transparency at this stage of the debate. Any honest examination of what programs to cut must start by putting everything on the table. Doing so, however, will provoke a drastic amount of hand-wringing among not just those in the defense industry, but also those inside the military and Defense Department, who will feel under direct threat of losing not just their budgets but even their jobs. This has already started to debilitate morale. It is also causing national security leaders to begin to develop internal coalitions and external lobbying groups designed to protect various pet programs.

Before any final decisions are made, policymakers should be freed to float options without having them see the light of day and torn apart before they are placed in the largest context of a comprehensive plan. In a previous budget drill, then Defense Secretary Robert Gates required key members of his staff to sign non-disclosure agreements. It horrified defense-industry lobbyists, but proved to be effective. A similar step may now be required for the offices and committee staff responsible for this round of national security cuts.

Mark Wilson/Getty Images

 

P.W. Singer is director of the 21st Century Defense Initiative at the Brookings Institution. He would like to thank the military officers who advised and informed this article.

MITTAL

9:19 PM ET

August 11, 2011

Don't worry America India will save yoou

Chinese are bad bad bad.
But don't worry America, we Indians will save you.
We Indians are not afraid to go to war against bad bad bad China.
So what if India got nuked and millions die, it is really no big deal.
At least China will have no time to take on US for a while.
See we Indians are very friendly & nice people.
I got a technical degree from Cow Dung Tech in Bombay.
I will work really cheap in your Silicone Valley for 35K.
I can hire any unemployeed American to take out my trash and clean my toilet for $4.50.
American unemployment will be solved if more Indians like me can get a visa, and may a green card soon.

 

AJMCLEAN

5:55 AM ET

August 14, 2011

fucking indian

bullshit,fucking indian

 

BING520

3:30 PM ET

August 14, 2011

Indian?

Not sure what you trying to tell us except tha it does not sound either friendly or nice. Since you read FP, it is presumed you possess some intelligence. Please show it next time.

 

FP_READER

1:56 PM ET

August 18, 2011

Ignore them.

Well done.

 

JOHNHUNT

12:57 AM ET

August 12, 2011

How Much Money Would an American Foreign Legion Save?

How Much Money Would an American Foreign Legion Save?

 

MCGANNONMA

9:51 AM ET

August 12, 2011

We don't need blind cuts we need reform and reorganization

Over the last few months I have read and heard about cuts either dollar amounts or percentage of the budget, but is anyone actually sitting down and looking at what re-organizations and reforms are needed not just in this budget cycle, but over the next couple decades.

I think that most rational people will agree that we do need a standing military and national security organizations and that they should be large enough to deal with the country’s largest threat in the near term.

What I have not heard is that anyone is considering any kind of reorganization to our current systems, all the focus seems to be on cutting "Big" programs, which might of course bring some short term savings, but not necessarily save that much money in the long haul.

Now I have to caveat this by saying we should be looking at all federal programs at this point, no stone should be left unturned.

First, I think the political establishment and the senior leadership with the DoD and IC needs to come to terms with the fact that the 20th century is over, WWII is long past and the Cold War should be a distant memory and along with that, the leftovers from that period need to go.

1. NATO should be disbanded, it was sent up to counter the Warsaw Pact, which is gone, the Soviet Union is gone, Russia is an active member is global politics. there is no reason for NATO to exist. If U.S. allies what to establish separate security agreements, or the European nations decide they need to establish a unilateral military agreement under the EU banner, then it's time to let them do that.

2. It's time for the WWII Legacy to end. We have no need for bases in Europe or Japan 66 years after the war ended. All European bases should be handed over to the countries they are in and our forces can be sent home. Same with Japan, we should still use Japan as a port of call for Naval deployments, but there is no reason to have any bases there. I think it's time we allow the Japanese defense forces to chart their own way forward for security in the region.

3. Korea for Koreans. I understand that technically both north and south Korea are still at war, however, it's been 58 years, the south has moved on and they can take care of themselevs should Kim Jon iL, finally lose his mind and decides to go to war once again.

These measures alone would bring significant savings and the commands/units involved would be deactivated, thus giving a needed reduction in force, while equipment supplies could be handed over to other active duty units or to the reserves/national guard.

 

CONCERNED PATRIOT

2:06 PM ET

August 13, 2011

I agree

This is a very informed post. I agree with what you said. People just say to blindly cut or we need to cut military spending. This is why I like what Newt Gingrich said in the debate about the super committee. The committee will get cuts in military spending that are uniformed and ill advised or tax increases. It is not going to go well.
advancingthetruth.blogspot.com

 

MCGANNONMA

10:00 AM ET

August 12, 2011

Reform Part II

Reform Part II

There are several other areas that scream for reorganization and reform

currently there are many redundant functions being shared across the services that could be merged together for significant cost savings.

Functions such as adminstration, finance, services, supply and medical personnel are several areas. There is simply no reason that each service needs their own software, training system etc for these areas. The should be one adminstration/HR system for all of the services, same with the other areas. We're simply wasting money building custom software solutions for each service/command and units, when there are commercial applications that could be used. The services need to think outside the box here are look at solutions that large multi-unit international operations such as wal mart use to handle their HR/Finance solutions.

The 2nd part of this is to establish joint training bases for admin/HR, finance, service, supply and medica personnel. I'm sure there are also other areas that could be consoldiated, but these are ones that should not be different across the services. No one can honestly try and say that the work an admin person does on a coast guard bases is any different than an air force base or army post. They should all be using the safe office solutions and standard DoD forms, so there is no reason to have 5 different training schools.

 

MCGANNONMA

10:20 AM ET

August 12, 2011

Reform Part III

Reform Part III

The IC

If anyone seriously thinks we need 17 agencies, then we have some major problems.

First off, the functions of the DEA can be rolled into the FBI, there is no reason to have a separate organization for drug related crimes, the FBI sets up tasks forces all the time for counter terrorism cases, there is no reason it cannot be done for counter drug.

There's another area of reform that's needed "the war on drugs" but that should be left for a separate discussion.

2nd, The NRO office can be placed under NGA

3rd, DHS, sorry no reason to have a separate organization for this, there just isn't. We can have state level intelligence fusion centers staffed by law enforcement and the national guard to handle domestic security issues, they can handle everything within the borders, with coast guard protecting he coastlines and everything beyond that would fall to NSA/CIA, active duty military just like they have for the last century.

there are some other re-organizations that could happen as well, but this would be a good start and would certainly lead to significant savings.

 

MITTAL

10:24 AM ET

August 12, 2011

Outsource defense jobs to Indians

Do people realize that 40% of defense budget are in civilians salary?

Many government bureacrats make over 140K, doing very little except overseeing big money program flow,

by contrast, ARPA is best brains in DoD has very few civilians program managers in overseeing the vast amount of program dollars and have the best track record of all agencies in DoD last thirty yeras -

It is not the amount of body count, the brains quality really matters.

We Indians are very smart, and speak King's English - that is why we are smarter than average Joe here, and we will work for 2/3 less than any nameless & no technical talent manager in Pentagon.

We Indians are all techie gurus, of course.

 

ROB_Z

3:08 PM ET

August 12, 2011

ummm no

the dod budget in 2010 was just under $700 billion dollars. out of the approximately 2 million federal employees (most of which living in a high cost of living area) about 700,000 are dod civilians, even using your "bureacrats" salary (most dod civilians are not bureacrats, maybe 100 in the entire dod) equals a whopping 98 billion dollars, a significant 14%. however, in reality the dod civilian payrol is about 3 billion a month or 36 bilion a year, with benefits its probably closer to $50 billion.

I guess i understand why you would take 2/3 the pay, because you obviously don't do your research and verify facts when you draw conclusions. if you were designing a weapon system (or verifying one in production is made to the safety requirements) that item would kill the person using the weapon more often than hitting its target.

and there are national security risks from outsourcing the often classified nature of most DOD civilians work, and that in itself is worth the price of admission.

 

ALMABOSS

10:25 AM ET

August 12, 2011

Awesome

yes how much they want to take foriegn amount into in there pockets? They are taking every thing into there pockets. They have taken all the floors and wall clocks of white house into there account. :(

 

MCGANNONMA

10:30 AM ET

August 12, 2011

Reform Part IV

Another Cold War Legacy

The Nuclear Triad. We need to take the lead in the world when it comes to nuclear arms reductions. I would never condone cutting the force entirely while other countries still have their own arsenals, but we really need to be reasonable here.

I think we can start by stopping all funding to new weapons, and get the current inventory down to 500. That should be enough to destroy the world and ourselves should anyone be dumb enough to start a nuclear conflict.

 

MCGANNONMA

10:47 AM ET

August 12, 2011

Real Threats for the Next 50 years

Most important part, all DoD/IC reform should be based on the real threats to national security and international interests

1. Cyber Security
2. Economic Security
3. Border Security
4. Securing International Waters (everyone should be able to freely trade with each other)
5. Elimination of all Nuclear Weapons in the world

that's it, that's what defense of our nation should be about

 

GLOBALFORCES

2:44 AM ET

August 14, 2011

Couldn't agree more

It's up to the people to pressure lawmakers to turn back the tide of bureaucracy because the threat is that our own paid servants will not move to cut their own jobs. More and more turf wars take precedence over the good of the country. It was bad enough when we thought we "could" pay for it, but now everyone seems to agree we cannot.

It;s time to cut out the overlapping that clearly exists all over the place. Who will push for that simplification? It's hard to see that elected politicians will do it themselves. The ideas we've had put to us are all obviously flawed with political interests ahead of national interests.

All businesses use consolidation to rationalize where their corporate dollars are spent; they call in marketing consulting; why not our whole nation? In May it was reported: "US Senator Richard Burr has introduced a bill that would consolidate the US Energy Department (DOE) and Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) into a single, new agency, a move he estimates could result in more than $3bn in savings in 2012 alone."

They know how to do it, but do they have will and the brains to do it right for all of us?

 

WINSTON SMITH 9584

11:31 AM ET

August 12, 2011

We live in peaceful neighbor...time to end the Cold War empire.

Our military, its globe-spanning empire of bases and addiction to endless, costly and unconstitutional war must end...we cannot afford to spend $700 billion + on the military and the bloated 'security state'.
Where are our priorities? We're slashing spending on programs providing vital, indispensable health services for the disabled, the many who are in poverty, children and elderly like Medicaid as hundreds of billions are wasted on militarism and war. This must stop. We can be an empire or democracy, not both.

Our nation must once again listen to the warnings of our founders and avoid deadly, costly "foreign entanglements". We must stop the Pentagon's costly addiction to endless warfare...the sad fact is; our nation's military is betraying our values and principles in far off lands as it causes the deaths of so many Afghan civilians.
We should start removing our soldiers from Afghanistan because when we cannot afford to spend $10 billion plus a month while we have so many needs at home and our vital social safety net is frayed under our increasing national debt...we must heed history's lessons and understand that brutal militarism abroad will only cause our values to be betrayed and our democratic principles at home are sacrificed at the alter of war.

James Madison, the 'author' of our Constitution observed in the founding years of the American democracy that: "Of all the enemies to public liberty war is, perhaps, the most to be dreaded, because it comprises and develops the germ of every other. War is the parent of armies; from these proceed debts and taxes; and armies, and debts, and taxes are the known instruments for bringing the many under the domination of the few. In war, too, the discretionary power of the Executive is extended; its influence in dealing out offices, honors, and emoluments is multiplied; and all the means of seducing the minds, are added to those of subduing the force, of the people....No nation could preserve its freedom in the midst of continual warfare."

 

JRB1234

3:23 PM ET

August 12, 2011

Our Values?

You speak as if "Our Military" is on a globe trotting trip across the globe invading countries and pillaging its poor citizens. Betraying "our values" and principals just on a whim. Our military men and women are everywhere they are because they answer to their boss The Commander and Chief. You speak as if we would just leave every foreign land that everything there would be oh so perfect. That our military is the cause of all the worlds evils. Sorry to break your perfect little fairy tale look at the world but countries where we are and are not are being ruled by uncaring warlords and gangs that care about money and power its people. I dont know about your "values" but my values that my fellow military members share with me would think it is good to fight for the people that cant fight for themselves. Because when we leave Afghanistan their citizens are brutally killed by the ruthless warlords in that country in the name of religion. Look at Somalia a country ruled by thugs and brutal gangs of killers that kill at will for any kind of power. That must be ok with you though because we are not involved much any more. What you fail to understand is that America will always be the one willing to stand up for what is right in the world the one willing to spend the money needed to protect its citizens and their "values" what ever they may be. I too feel that there is a lot of waste in the government that needs to be taken care of, but to single out the military members that are out there protecting American values as well as the values and lives of the weak in countries all across the world is wrong. You act as though the military is the only government program with waste. I am sure there is no waste what so ever in the Medicare and other Welfare Programs. I ask you this.. Should America sit and watch on the sidelines as brutal dictators and warlords kill and pillage from their people at will? Should we have sat back and watched as Hitler drove across Europe in an attempt to conquer the world, killing all those would would stand in his way? I know what my values and principals would answer. America is not and Empire or a Democracy, its a Republic.

"You can't handle the truth! Son, we live in a world that has walls, and those walls have to be guarded by men with guns. Who's gonna do it? You? You, Lieutenant Weinberg? I have a greater responsibility than you can possibly fathom! You weep for Santiago and you curse the Marines. You have that luxury. You have the luxury of not knowing what I know: that Santiago's death, while tragic, probably saved lives. And my existence, while grotesque and incomprehensible to you, saves lives! You don't want the truth, because deep down in places you don't talk about at parties, you want me on that wall! You need me on that wall! We use words like "honor", "code", "loyalty". We use these words as the backbone of a life spent defending something. You use them as a punchline! I have neither the time nor the inclination to explain myself to a man who rises and sleeps under the blanket of the very freedom that I provide, and then questions the manner in which I provide it! I would rather you just said "Thank you," and went on your way. Otherwise, I suggest you pick up a weapon, and stand a post. Either way, I don't give a damn what you think you are entitled to!"

Semper Fi

 

MITTAL

7:44 PM ET

August 12, 2011

Pentagon Acquisition & Quality Control

It is a serious admission that Pentagon spend several hundreds billions on weapons syytems programs and need 50 billions dollars of civilian workers to administer ; and that gentleman informed that he was needed to inpsect the contractor for quality, inspite of hundreds of billiions already spend.

You Americans are in luck. I just got back from a conference looking for work, and picked up a certificate on Lean Sigma Delta training.

Natually we Indians are smarter, and once I am put in charge at Pentagon, I promise the weapons cost will go down and quality up, I can bring several hundreds thousand smart Indians just like me, and we promise the civilian salary will go down by 2/3. Better yet, one million visas for Indian techie gurus throughout defense industry, and the weapons cost went down by 2/3 also.

You all must let me help, America, we just can not let these dastardly China get ahead in any kind of arm race.

I shall be named Undersecretary of Acquisiton reform and technoloy innovation plus quality control, yeh? shall I be called Indians Chief or be Chief Indians?

 

MITTAL

7:48 PM ET

August 12, 2011

Gunga Din salute America

my cousin Anup made sure I mentioned that many homeless sleeping on the street in Bombay. If Americans decided to vacate bases in ME, can they all move in, He said please leave all cloths & shoes in place, he really admires the high quality wash & wear army jackets, and these boots are just awesome. IF Amercians would leave alll the food behind in the bases, he and his friends would even scour the countryside, hunting for AlQueda

 

POLITICALLY CORRECT

11:12 AM ET

August 13, 2011

Unify and simplify

It is quite ridiculous the amount of money lost to basic operations and jobs, that could obviously be better spent elsewhere. Many of these jobs can indeed be outsourced, or automated by computer programs, or simply tied in with other jobs. Perhaps the whole reason there's such a vast quantity and loss is due to the feel that if they outsource or automate, its not patriotic? There's no reason they can't use the web design to create secure remote connections and allow people to outsource, then there's the security issue - but I'm sure there are low clearance jobs that could have anyone oversee it without it being a security threat, right?

 

DR. SARDONICUS

8:22 PM ET

August 13, 2011

A generation late and ten trillion dollars short

Gee, these prescriptions would have come in handy DURING THE REAGAN ERA.

Nowadays, they sound like the mutterings of an adolescent DUI surveying his totaled Gran Torino.

 

GUSHUNGO

4:50 PM ET

August 22, 2011

discount propellers, really?

Huh? What exactly is going on here. There is administra-ocracy gone bonkers.

Now we all know that the military budget is bloated and prime for cutting some of the fat, but there is a right way and a wrong way to do this.

And here we have a top example of ... the wrong way.

So now the air force has decided to buy discount propellers (i.e. 50 year old antiques) to try and save money but actually they are so old that they cannot be used. So this is not a saving, it is an unnecessary cost because the air force will ultimately need to buy more propellers.

 

MATHALIE

7:03 AM ET

September 4, 2011

There is simply no reason

There is simply no reason that each service needs their own software, training system etc for these areas. The should be one adminstration/HR system for all of the services, same with the other areas. We're simply wasting money building custom software solutions for each service/command and units, when there are sázkové tipy commercial applications that could be used. The services need to think outside the box here are look at solutions that large multi-unit international operations such as wal mart use to handle their HR/Finance solutions.Should America sit and watch on the sidelines as brutal dictators and warlords kill and pillage from their people at will? Should we have sat back and watched as Hitler drove across Europe in an attempt to conquer the world, killing all those would would stand in his way? I know what my values and principals would answer. America is not and Empire or a Democracy, its a Republic.

 

ANTIE

5:10 AM ET

September 7, 2011

Cut cleverly and coldly!

Strategic downsizing of the country’s budget is essential to prevent the country from treading the path of recession and the perennial debt threat that has been dangling on our heads sending the country into panic and strife. Several fields like scientific research and technology are badly in need of financial funding, whose funds have miraculously found the way to defense department and were lost in their maze of wars, ammunition and missiles. Decisive thinking coupled with appropriate budget cuts will act like a mosquito killer and keep the mosquitoes of unemployment, outsourcing and recession at bay, there by relieving the country of tensions and restores the people’s confidence successfully.

 

EGISTUBAGUS

10:18 AM ET

September 7, 2011

between $1.15 trillion dollars will likely be cut

between $400 billion and $1.15 trillion dollars in national security spending will likely be cut from the U.S. budget. The numbers are so staggering that they almost defy imagination, but this is the cold, hard reality that must be faced. And the stakes are huge: How America's national security leaders approach the debate over these defense cuts will do much to determine whether the United States remains capable of sustaining its global commitments in the coming decades. please explain me more about this?
(bacterialvagisymptoms hemroidstreatment, coffeetableplans, prematureejaculationexercises, tinnitusremedies, windturbinesforthehome, woodworkingideas, coffeemakersratings/ fibroidsinuterussymptoms,)

 

ANTOINETTE13

9:07 PM ET

September 9, 2011

Think Before You Cut

Ten simple rules for how to slash the Pentagon's budget without endangering U.S. national security. You speak as if "Our Military" is on a globe trotting trip across the globe invading countries and pillaging its poor citizens. Betraying "our values" and principals just on a whim. Our military men and women are everywhere they are because they answer to their boss The Commander and Chief. You speak as if we would just leave every foreign land that everything there would be oh so perfect. That ou pre-foreclosures Functions such as adminstration, finance, services, supply and medical personnel are several areas. There is simply no reason that each service needs their own software, training system etc for these areas. The should be one adminstration/HR system for all of the services, same with the other areas. We're simply wasting money building custom software solutions for each service/command and units, w.