Humanitarian Inquisition

Does success in Libya prove that the "responsibility to protect" works, or has it opened a Pandora's box of shaky precedent?

BY DAVID BOSCO | SEPTEMBER 1, 2011

2. Is Security Council approval necessary?

Britain, France, and the United States made winning the U.N. Security Council's approval for intervention in Libya a priority. A Russian or Chinese veto would have stopped the operation in its tracks, and Qaddafi today would likely be mopping up the remnants of a scattered opposition. That Libya's fate was effectively in the hands of Moscow and Beijing is a reminder that humanitarianism, at least sanctioned by the United Nations, depends on power politics.

Advocates of an international "responsibility to protect" (R2P) were thrilled that the powerful Security Council appeared to be endorsing the doctrine. Their joy may have been premature. The council soon divided into different camps on the conduct of the campaign, with the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India, and China) in particular roundly criticizing what they saw as NATO's abuses of its authority.

Instead of cementing R2P into council practice, the Libya experience may have made future Security Council backing for humanitarian intervention less likely, at least in the medium term. Russia and China have been extremely reluctant to impose sanctions on Syria, in part because they don't want to start down the road taken in Libya. And that means that the international community will likely be forced to grapple again with how R2P meshes with existing international law, which requires Security Council approval for uses of force other than self-defense.

3. Can you defend civilians without taking sides?

As the BRIC countries and other critics have pointed out repeatedly, NATO's Libya action almost immediately became a regime-change operation, albeit a limited and halting one. In the midst of the campaign, NATO's Libya triumvirate -- French President Nicolas Sarkozy, British Prime Minister David Cameron, and Obama -- made clear that Qaddafi's defeat was essential. "It is impossible to imagine a future for Libya with Qaddafi in power," they wrote in mid-April. NATO's air power gradually wore down the regime's military forces. Coalition aircraft targeted Qaddafi's forces not only when they were engaged in attacks on civilians but when they were fighting armed rebels, transiting from one location to another, or simply idling in the desert. Western planes bombed the regime's senior leadership and selectively enforced the U.N. arms embargo on Libya so as to permit a flow of weapons to the rebels. Outside forces had a mandate to protect civilians; instead, they effectively became the rebel air force, special operations wing, and intelligence service.

The divergence between the mission's legal mandate and its methods drove some observers to distraction. But the duplicity was inevitable. Outsiders always struggle to police conflicts neutrally, and that difficult task becomes all but impossible from the air. Siding with the rebels was the only intervention strategy that made operational sense. The problem was not the strategy, but the inability of those intervening to honestly explain what they were doing. Because the Security Council never would have endorsed intervention on behalf of the rebels, intervening governments felt compelled to cast the entire operation in terms of neutral civilian protection.

This dynamic introduces a significant legitimacy problem for R2P. Non-Western observers are already wary of a doctrine that they believe easily slides into neocolonialism. The manifest partiality of the West's Libya intervention -- and its inability to speak clearly about what it was doing -- will likely heighten those concerns.

AFP/Getty Images

 

David Bosco is an assistant professor at American University's School of International Service and a contributing editor at Foreign Policy, where he writes The Multilateralist blog.

 

ROBERT_SCHUETTE

7:10 PM ET

September 1, 2011

calculating human lives safed

Calculating the lives safed by the intervention against those that have been lost in the civil war poses indeed a moral problem. However, there are two aspects that need to be taken into account:

1. We only know by hindsight how many lives have been lost until the war ends. Hard to imagine to tell the population of Benghazi: "We are able to safe your lives but won't do so because, perhaps, maybe, possibly, the ensuing civil war might kill more of your fellow countrymen." At the moment of decision, we know that it is possible to avert a looming massacre. What we don't know is: how long will it take before the war ends and how many lives will it cost. measuring "known lives safed by intervention" against "hypothetical lives safed by non-intervention" is tricky in my view.

2. Take Srebrenica as an example: by hindsight we know that the shock of the genocide in srebrenica contributed largely to the decision of the international community to step in and bomb the Serb militias into submission. No Srebrenica, no NATO bombs on the Serbs, no Dayton peace agreement.

Now Imagine we were able to travel back in time and had the chance to avert the Srebrenica genocide. If we were to count lives safed, we would have to guess: is it better to save 8.000 innocents murdered in Srebrenica and have the Bosnian civil war go on with probably many more casualties in the months and years ahead? Or should we opt for turning a blind eye on the genocide knowing that the event will galvanize a response of the international community that will ultimately lead to an end of the civil war? Tricky! The latter would be the mathematically more plausibel option. But neither politics nor ethics are doing the math right. If those who say that "we failed in Srebrenica" aren't liers or just short-sighted, then there is much to the argument that there are crimes that we simply cannot tollerate, even if eventually more people die from our intervention than from us just standing idly by.

 

ZORRO

11:44 AM ET

September 2, 2011

Hypotheticals

We can never know what will happen in the future, so it will always be "hypothetical lives saved by intervention" vs "hypothetical lives saved by non-intervention".
Saying anything else is intellectually dishonest.

Also in the math, would Obama have been forced, by GOP, to attack another country if he hadn't been able to use Libya as a distraction? Maybe thousands of Libyan lives saved tens of thousands of Iranian ones. Well, at least for a while.

 

ANDREW FORREST

6:28 PM ET

September 13, 2011

Another thing that needs to

Another thing that needs to be accounted for when calculating lives lost, is the lives that would have been lost in the six months after a more premature offensive by external forces. If Iraq is anything to go by the number of additional human casualties over this time would have been quite high regardless.

 

BMILLIONAIRE324

12:15 AM ET

September 2, 2011

Calculating dead is not important

I think that war is not about how many people's life they can save, you know for example, US have the power to finish any war within just 1 or 2 months, they even have the power not to even start it at all, it sounds wacky but in my opinion wars are for those who have the ability to stay longer to cover up the real insight and get more chance to study the ground and see how much more they can get into their posession or what they're going to benefit (talking about land, oil, reputation, technology, you name it) and this only happens on field, while people where thinking how to: save my marriage, they come back from work and finds that their wife is no longer alive, or they get the notice somehow, what was the point of everything they were planning; who is leading the war interests have nothing to do, at all with people, I don't think they care enough to even stop a war based on so many deaths.

 

EZRA

5:09 AM ET

September 2, 2011

Precedents don't matter

The whole idea of precedents in IP is ridiculous and should be ignored. Do you remember in the run-up to the invasion of Iraq, one of the arguments against it was that it would set a "bad precedent" that would allow "pre-emptive wars" in the future? The Iraq war was undoubtedly a colossal blunder, but the "bad precedent" argument remains incredibly stupid. Do we imagine that someday, maybe 30 years from now, Country X's generals will be sitting around and one of them says, "Country Y is probably going to attack us soon. I wish there were some way we could attack them pre-emptively, to gain the advantage of surprise and first strike, but unfortunately no country has ever attacked another country pre-emptively, so we can't. Too bad," and then another member of the junta says, "Hey, wait a sec! Didn't the US pre-emptively attack Iraq back in 2003? So you see, there is a precedent for it. We can do it after all!" First of all, if a "precedent" needs to be set, I think it's been set about a million times already. We have 5,000 years of recorded history in which to find precedents, if they're needed, which they aren't. Also, a precedent is not needed for anything nations do in IP. There's no court of law in which they can be tried, no judge which can hold them to account. Let's say, for the sake of argument, that the Libya intervention has indeed "set a precedent" that R2P is now the law, that humanitarian intervention to protect civilians is now required. Now let's say 5 years from now there's a humanitarian crisis in weak African Country Z, but powerful Eurasian Country W won't intervene, won't exercise their "responsibility to protect." What will the other members of the "international community" do about it? Go to war against Country W to enforce the "precedent"? Obviously, they will do nothing, because such precedents are dead letters the instant they cease to be useful to the Great Powers.

 

FORLORNEHOPE

6:18 AM ET

September 2, 2011

Sierra Leone

Blair started down the slippery slope to Iraq after a successful intervention by British troops in Sierra Leone. This was started, unofficially, when a senior officer sent to evacuate foreign nationals realised that his force was capable of stopping a viscious rebel movement in its tracks. On that occasion the intervention was on the side of the government and initially did not even have the approval of HMG let alone the international community. Nevertheless, it was a success.

 

PEOTRE

11:54 PM ET

September 4, 2011

RtoP a pretext?

Mentioned in this article is the idea that the only way to protect civilians in practical terms was to side with the rebels. The tone is also that Qaddafi was a bad guy. One does not have to think to far to imagine that "humanitarian" intervention was a mere pretext for a political intervention. Richard Haass has said as much. And while the author wants us to imagine that Qaddafi's conscripts are not willing participants in the defense of their country, it must also be noted that many of the so-called "liberators" are said to have come from outside Libya's borders. Otherwise, this essay pretty much has it right, and is an excellent contribution to the current dialogue on the dilemma presented to future planners. Powell's statement might have been better put, or better interpreted, "Break it, pay for it." That's probably what he meant when he said, "Break it, own it."

 

ALEXWORK

4:11 AM ET

September 16, 2011

Nothing new

Humanitarian Intervention is such a tricky issue. If things hadn't gotten well the West would be getting lambasted for another failed intervention. So will this set a precedent? Of course not -- the West has been getting involved in other countries wars -- whether intra or civil -- since the dawn of Western power.

Alex @ Goals

 

TAYFA34

11:08 AM ET

September 27, 2011

My Faworite Games War Games

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LIAMREGLER

10:37 PM ET

September 27, 2011

Libya intervention

Let's say, with regard to argument, the Libya intervention offers indeed "set the precedent" that R2P has become the law, which humanitarian treatment to protect ordinary people is now needed. Now let's imagine 5 years through now there is a humanitarian turmoil in fragile African Nation Z, however powerful Eurasian Nation W will not intervene, will not exercise their own "responsibility to protect.Inch What will another members of the actual "international community" do about this?