Losing the War of Perception

Tuesday's massive coordinated attacks in Kabul show that Afghan security has a long way to go. And Afghan civilians are right to be worried.

BY SIMON KLINGERT | SEPTEMBER 13, 2011

It was only last week that U.S. Ambassador to Afghanistan Ryan Crocker said "traffic" was the biggest problem Kabul faces. One wonders whether he was rethinking this assessment as he hunkered down in a bunker at his embassy today.

This Tuesday afternoon, Sept. 13, insurgents mounted the most comprehensive assault on the Afghan capital so far this year, simultaneously striking several key Afghan and international security facilities and installations. The complex, city-wide attack cast fresh doubts on the ability of Afghan forces to take charge of security as NATO troops are slated to start their withdrawal from the troubled country.

The main attack focused on an area near the heavily fortified and well guarded embassy district, where insurgents took over a building under construction, firing small arms, rocket-propelled grenades, and recoilless rifle rounds at the U.S. embassy complex and at the nearby International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) headquarters, causing no casualties. The building of the Afghan intelligence agency, the National Directorate for Security, was also attacked. Meanwhile, two suicide bombers struck in the western part of Kabul: One killed a policeman as he detonated his explosives at the entrance of a police station; the other hurt two civilians outside of Habibia High School, among whose graduates is Afghan President Hamid Karzai. Several rockets landed in the downtown district of Wazir Akbar Khan, and Afghan police killed another suicide bomber on the road leading to Kabul International Airport. Reuters reports at least nine people were killed and 23 wounded.

Kabul has seen an upsurge of violence this year as a string of high-profile attacks has killed dozens of Afghans, most of them civilians. The shocking attacks on the Intercontinental Hotel and the British Council, in June and August respectively, killed more than 20 people -- and shattered the collective sense of security in the capital. The attacks have sent the Afghan government and ISAF scrambling to reassure a skeptical and war-weary public that the transition of security responsibility from international to local forces is going well and according to plan. But as Tuesday's fighting echoed though Kabul, NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen in Brussels denounced the notion the insurgent attack was a success and vowed to push ahead with the security transition, essentially confirming that the new rash of security breaches will not have a measurable impact on the timeline of the transition, which is supposed to be completed by the end of 2014.

But the impact such high-profile attacks have on the perceptions of the Afghan public is devastating. The ability of the Taliban insurgents to penetrate the capital's strongholds severely undermines the trust and confidence of Afghan citizens in their security forces to protect them. Perception is key here, and the insurgents know this well.

Today's attack is specifically designed to garner as much media attention as possible, as were the Intercontinental Hotel and the British Council raids. The aim is to project the image of a strong, resilient insurgent force that can strike -- whenever it wants -- at the heart of those who are charged to safeguard the city and its population. As helicopters circled overhead and the reverberations of explosions and gunfire rippled though Kabul, the message was received loud and clear.  

Enayat Asadi/Getty Images

 SUBJECTS: AFGHANISTAN
 

Simon Klingert is a Germany-based freelance photojournalist and writer on wars and armed conflicts. Over the last four years, he has spent considerable time as an embedded reporter in Afghanistan. Follow him on twitter and at his blog, Battlespace.

MARTY MARTEL

11:22 PM ET

September 13, 2011

US should offer more aid to Pakistan for losing war in Afghanist

The seeds of the ‘current Afghan tragedy’ were sowed in Washington when Bush administration decided to allow Musharraf to spirit away by airlift hundreds, if not thousands, of Taliban operatives cornered by the advancing Northern Alliance in Kunduz in November, 2001. Pakistan relocated those Taliban cadres including Mullah Mohammed Omar in Quetta, the provincial capital of Baluchistan (now relocated to Karachi by Pakistani ISI to protect them from possible US drone attacks) and Haqqani network (HQN) in North Waziristan from where Mullah Omar’s QST and Haqqani’s HQN have been planning raids in Afghanistan ever since.

U. S. has deliberately deluded itself about Afghan Taliban’s Pakistani connections in fueling and sustaining Afghan insurgency as reported by Matt Waldman in ‘The sun in the sky‘ on 6/13/2010, corroborated by WikiLeaks leaks on 7/25/2010 and then further corroborated by Chris Alexander, Canadian ambassador to Afghanistan from 2003 to 2005 and Deputy Special Representative of the UN Secretary-General for Afghanistan from 2005 until 2009 in his article on 7/30/2010 titled ‘The huge scale of Pakistan‘s complicity‘.

Duplicitous Pakistan has U. S. under the barrel of a gun - US can NOT use its aid leverage to force Pakistan to stop supporting terrorist groups who kill US/NATO troops in Afghanistan day in and day out because US needs Pakistan’s help in ferrying supplies to those very US/NATO troops.

Previous US ambassador Anne Patterson to Pakistan, wrote in a secret review in 2009 that ‘Pakistan's Army and ISI are covertly sponsoring four militant groups - Haqqani‘s HQN, Mullah Omar‘s QST, Al Qaeda and LeT - and will not abandon them for any amount of US money‘, as diplomatic cables released by WikiLeaks show.

Ambassador Patterson had NO reason to mislead her own State Department and U. S. government.

Adm Mullen had following to say about America’s primary ally in its fight against terrorism, to the foreign news media on 1/13/2011: “I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again, it [Pakistan] is the epicenter of terrorism in the world right now. It is absolutely critical that the safe havens in Pakistan get shut down. We cannot succeed in Afghanistan without that. It’s not just Haqqani Network anymore, or Al Qaeda or TTP (Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan), the Afghan Taliban, or LeT (Lashkar-e-Tayyeba), it’s all of them working together.”

Following are verbatim quotes from what Gen (rtd) Jack Keane said at a discussion on Afghanistan organized by the Institute for the Study of War, a Washington-based think-tank on June 30, 2011:

1. "The truth is, the ISI aids and abets the sanctuaries in Pakistan that the Afghan (Taliban) operate out of. They provide training for them, they provide resources for them and they provide intelligence for them. From those sanctuaries, every single day Afghan fighters come into Afghanistan and kill and maim us".

2. "There's a direct relationship of ISI's complicity and the deaths of American soldiers and the catastrophic wounding of those soldiers. The chief of staff of the Pakistani military is complicit. He used to be the director of ISI. He put the guy in there who is in charge now and he has full knowledge of what I'm just describing".

3. "This partnership has got to be based on that harsh reality. There are two ammonium nitrate factories in Pakistan. 80 per cent of the explosive devices that are used to kill our soldiers, kill Afghan security forces and kill Afghan people come from Pakistan."

4. "All of what I just said to you, when we confront them with this, they lie to us.

With Pakistani Army headed by General Ashfaq Pervez Kayani, who once headed ISI, repeatedly lying to the United States, America‘s Afghan mission was doomed from the very beginning.

For deliberately ignoring Taliban’s Pakistani connections, US deserves to be duped by Pakistan.

 

BING520

4:17 PM ET

September 14, 2011

MARTY MARTEL

I don't have enough knowledge to agree or disagree to your analysis, but the implicit conclusion seems to point at a policy treating Pakistan as our new enemy. We should either invade or start assasinating Pakistani polical and military leaders suspected of being sympathetic to or aiding & abetting Taliban's cause. I begin to wonder if we would eventually expand our war into Pakistan as we did to Lao and Cambodia about 4 decades ago.

I know you stated that more aids be given to Pakistan in your subject line. but how? and what to give? and whom to give to? What would happen to those leaders who are secrectly opposed to us after more aids handed out?

What would be the denouement of our military involvement in Afghanistan and Pakistan? I have no clear idea now. All I see is that we are merely reacting and responding to what happened in those two countries. In Afghan war, there is no formidable miitary adversary like Vo Nguyen Giap as we faced in Vietnam. Why are we struggling?

To me, suddenly and unexpectedly, Ryan Crocker, our ambassador, becomes reminiscent of Maxwell Taylor and William Westmoreland in Vietnam.

 

MAARTEN BRAND

2:33 PM ET

September 14, 2011

Comparison Vietnam?

As a military historian i must make the comparison with the VC Saigon Embassy raid in 1968. Lots of media on the scene, the story that the place is safe, the story that the VC is losing ground and then this. BOOM, in ye'r face!
I dont believe the images will have the same impact as the 1968 ones did, for the simple reason we are used to live battlevideo nowadays. But the similarities are striking

 

WULF126

8:01 PM ET

September 14, 2011

"Massive attack",

"Massive attack", "comprehensive assault", "key Afghan facilities" - sure, the Taliban is not averse to using scare tactics, but then again neither is FP.

The interesting thing to note, to me, is that they did not target civilians en masse, which would have certainly raised the body count by a lot. The school bus from a nearby Islamic school, for example, was struck because the RPG-7 is so notoriously inaccurate. It seems that the Taliban, supposedly a bunch of *insert your preferred grunt coloqualism here*, have learned that this is a war of perceptions more than we have.

 

GURTBAND THAL-VERSAND

2:36 AM ET

September 15, 2011

 

ALEXWORK

4:07 AM ET

September 16, 2011

Frustrating

It's frustrating to see how slow progress has been made in Afghanistan. Ten years on and while some progress has been made, we are still a long ways away.

Alex @ Goal Setting

 

YARINSIZ

2:56 PM ET

October 6, 2011

I dont believe the images

I dont believe the images will have the same impact as the 1968 ones did, for the simple reason we are used to live seslichat battlevideo nowadays. But the similarities are striking

 

DEBTDUE

1:14 PM ET

October 10, 2011

Sounds like a mini Tet Offensive

This is eerily similar to the Tet Offensive, which was the beginning of the end for the US in Vietnam. Not that it was successful militarily for the VC and NVA, but it did garner a lot of media attention back home and it was the first time that the citizens started calling for an end to the war. This attack in Afghanistan was not nearly as sophisticated as Tet was, but that seems like it was the goal of the insurgents whoever they are. Al-Qaeda, Taliban, mix and match, but who really knows? Anyways, I don't think this had the same effect as Tet, because it was not a big enough of an assault, but it did ge the point across that they can attack when they want, I just wonder how many troops they actually have, or if this was a last push. All I know is that the world would be a better place if we did not have to been in Afghanistan fighting and the world was at peace, but it doesn't seem like that is an option. We need to do something about of all this soon, or the entire country will need a tinnitus cure to stave off the ringing from all of the explosions. If we could just educate the muslims and show them that they are the same as we are, but instead they are all indoctrinated from an early age and brainwashed with this jihad crap and live only to inflict massive casualties. Education is the answer to this problem, because when students care more about their future and their grades, then they work hard to get good grades and learn to calculate gpa. Please stop killing innocent people insurgents it does no one any good and gets you further into the hole with the karma gods....better luck next life.