Facebook and Twitter
Julian Assange is too icky. It's too hard to pick one individual out of the Arab Spring. I predict the Norwegian Nobel Committee will choose to honor social media for its role both in the uprisings and as an international communications tool. Because Mark Zuckerberg isn't really the most passionate defender of democracy, I think the committee will award it to the companies rather than any individuals. (There's precedent for this with the Red Cross, Amnesty International, and several other NGOs.) Expect howls of outrage from online privacy advocates and the Arab activists themselves.
Odds: 8:1
-Joshua E. Keating, Associate Editor
SAEED KHAN/AFP/Getty Images
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