The LWOT: U.S. accuses Iranians of assassination plot

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BY JENNIFER ROWLAND | OCTOBER 14, 2011

U.S. accuses Iranians of assassination plot

The U.S. Justice Department on October 11 accused Iranian American Manssor Arbabsiar and a member of Iran's elite Quds Force, Gholam Shakuri, of plotting with elements of the Iranian government to assassinate the Saudi Arabian ambassador to the United States Adel al-Jubeir (AP, WSJ, Reuters, LAT, CNN, Post, Guardian, ABC, Post). According to the criminal complaint filed by the Justice Department, Arbabsiar, who was detained on September 29 at New York's John F. Kennedy airport, and Shakuri, who remains at large in Iran, hired a Drug Enforcement Agency (DEA) informant posing as a member of a Mexican drug cartel to carry out a bomb attack on Amb. al-Jubeir at one of his favorite restaurants in Washington D.C.

The Justice Department also levied sanctions against the two suspects, along with three senior officers - Abdul Reza Shahlai, Qasem Soleimani, and Hamed Abdollahi - of Iran's Quds Force, a secretive unit of the country's Revolutionary Guard that has been linked to terrorist operations in the past (Post, AP, NYT). U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder said during his announcement of the disrupted plot that "the United States is committed to holding Iran accountable for its actions," while President Barack Obama called yesterday for the "toughest sanctions" to be brought against Iran, and Vice President Joe Biden said Wednesday that "nothing has been taken off the table" in terms of a possible U.S. response to the plot (Politico, NYT, ABC).

Iran has categorically rejected the charges, with Foreign Ministry spokesman Ramin Mehmanparast quoted as calling the alleged plot "a comedy show fabricated by America," and some former and senior U.S. security officials have admitted to reporters that the plot is "sloppy" in comparison with those carried out by the Quds Force in the past (Reuters, AP, AP, NYT, NYT, Guardian).

'Underwear bomber' pleads guilty

Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab pleaded guilty on October 12 to attempting to detonate a bomb concealed in his underwear aboard an airliner destined for Detroit on Christmas Day in 2009, calling the explosive device "a blessed weapon to save the lives of innocent Muslims" (AP, NYT, Tel, Post, LAT, Reuters, Guardian).  Abdulmutallab is scheduled to be sentenced in January, and his prosecutors say he could face a life sentence with no parole.

A federal jury on October 13 convicted Mohammad Omar Aly Hassan, Ziyad Yaghi, and Hysen Sherifi of providing material support to terrorists for their roles in a plot to attack American military targets including the U.S. Marine Corps base in Quantico, VA (AP). Yaghi and Sherifi were also convicted on counts of conspiracy to carry out terrorist attacks abroad, and the alleged ringleader of the plot, Daniel Boyd, and his two sons pleaded guilty to terrorism-related charges earlier this year.

California resident Donny Mower pleaded guilty on October 7 to firebombing a Planned Parenthood and vandalizing a mosque in Madera County, CA, charges that could see him sentenced to five to 22 years in prison (AP). And prosecutors in the case of two Minnesota women accused of raising money for Somali militant group al-Shabaab have played over 80 hours of phone calls in which the women discuss supporting fighters in Somalia (AP). Jurors are provided with written translations of the Somali-language telephone conversations, which allegedly take place between the two defendants as well as leaders of al-Shabaab in Somalia.

Norwegian police said on October 13 that the self-confessed perpetrator of the July 22 Oslo bombing and shooting spree on the island of Utoya, Anders Behring Breivik, will leave solitary confinement by October 17 (CNN, AP, AFP). Police added that Breivik has alleged there are up to 80 cells in Europe that espouse ideologies similar to his (Reuters). And a Polish security agency on October 12 announced the arrest of 19 people suspected of producing explosive devices following the receipt of information from Breivik by Norwegian authorities (AP).

Secret memo provided legal justification for al-Awlaki killing

The Times' Charlie Savage reported on October 8 that a secret U.S. Department of Justice memorandum detailed for the Obama administration the legal justification for killing American-born radical cleric Anwar al-Awlaki in a drone strike on September 30 (NYT). The memo was drafted in the summer of 2010 primarily by Justice Department lawyers David Barron and Martin Lederman, and argues that al-Awlaki was a legitimate target irrespective of laws against assassinations, the murder of Americans abroad, and laws of war applicable to the use of drones among others. Senators Dianna Feinstein (D-CA) and Carl Levin (D-MI) have both called for the release of the memo, but the administration has so far refrained (Post, CNN).

Trials and Tribulations

  • The Associated Press reported on October 11 on the concerns of Muslim college students in New York about their privacy and rights, after an AP investigation into the New York Police Department's alleged surveillance and monitoring of specific ethnic communities showed that investigators had infiltrated Muslim student groups around the city (AP).    
  • Saudi Arabia began the trial on October 10 of 85 militants accused of membership in an al-Qaeda-linked cell believed to have been responsible for the 2003 Riyadh attacks on three housing compounds for foreigners that killed 35 people (Reuters).

Win McNamee/Getty Images

 

Jennifer Rowland is a research associate in the National Security Studies Program at the New America Foundation.

TARQUINIS

12:03 PM ET

October 15, 2011

Cui Bono?

The Washington Post writes…“When nearly $100,000 landed in an undercover FBI bank account from a source linked to an Iranian paramilitary force, officials began taking seriously an alleged plot to assassinate the Saudi ambassador that at first had seemed outlandish.”

Professor Juan Cole on his website Informed Comment says “Arbabsiar had $100,000 wired FROM A THIRD COUNTRY (my emphasis) to what he thought was the Mexican drug gangster’s account. THE MONEY DID NOT COME FROM IRAN. (my emphasis) Even if it originated there, there is no reason to think it was government funds. Arbabsiar was himself worth $2 million in Iran; for all we know, as he got lost in his fantasyland, he began being willing to spend his Kermanshah inheritance on the crazy scheme.”

We had better not get jacked into another war over this “fantsyland” plot, when there is no conceivable way it could have been done in any furtherance of Iran’s interests. However, it may well be worth our consideration of what other nation’s interests may be served in it. What nation does wants war with Iran? Provided we fight it for them?

Bruce Riedel, a senior fellow at Brookings, recently wrote in the Nixon Centre's "National Interest" that a new war on Iran would be “catastrophic”.

“An Israeli attack on Iran is a disaster in the making. And it will directly impact key strategic American interests. Iran will see an attack as American supported if not American orchestrated. The aircraft in any strike will be American-produced, supplied and funded F-15s and F-16s, and most of the ordnance will be from American stocks. Washington's $3 billion in assistance annually makes possible the IDF's conventional superiority in the region. Iran will almost certainly retaliate against both U.S. and Israeli targets.... Even if Iran chooses to retaliate in less risky ways, it could respond indirectly by encouraging Hezbollah attacks against Israel and Shia militia attacks against U.S. forces in Iraq, as well as terrorist attacks against American and Israeli targets in the Middle East and beyond.”

“America's greatest vulnerability would be in Afghanistan. Iran could easily increase its assistance to the Taliban and make the already-difficult Afghan mission much more complicated. Western Afghanistan is especially vulnerable to Iranian mischief, and NATO has few troops there to cover a vast area. President Obama would have to send more, not fewer, troops to fight that war.”

“Making matters worse, considering the likely violent ramifications, even a successful Israeli raid would only delay Iran's nuclear program.... Support for the existing sanctions on Iran after a strike would likely evaporate.”

No to Curveball, no to fabricated yellow cake reports, and no to a new and most catastrophic war with Iran.

The sound of the gates to the Straights of Hormuz slamming shut is our virtual doom.

 

ROGERROBIE68

9:22 PM ET

October 15, 2011

Who benefits?

from The Departed:
Captain Ellerby: Cui Bono, who benefits?
Detective Sullivan: Cui gives a sh*t, it's got a freakin bow on it

 

ROGERROBIE68

9:24 PM ET

October 15, 2011

Something

is rotten in the state of Denmark... War on the horizon, tune in this spring

 

ROGERROBIE68

9:25 PM ET

October 15, 2011

This farce

this farce reminds me of the bad old days of John "soar like an eagle" Ashcroft...

 

SCOOP

1:57 PM ET

October 16, 2011

The Next Huge Oil Spike

by Dan Dzombak | October 12, 2011 | Motley Fool

"Four months ago, I warned to carefully watch relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia as both vie for power as the U.S. leaves Iraq. Yesterday, the world learned of a foiled Iranian government plot to kill the Saudi ambassador to the United States. The Saudis are also worried that Iran may try to cause unrest in the kingdom during the annual hajj pilgrimage to Mecca next month. Saudi Arabia and Iran are much larger oil producers than Libya, and were they to go to war the effect on prices would likely be an order of magnitude more."

 

JAC323

12:40 AM ET

October 17, 2011

So what is the punch line?

Lets see, a used car salesmen from Texas, a nonmuslim drug cartel hired too assassinate the Saudi ambassador, so where does the Key stone cops come in? I know this country would love to attack Iran but could we come up with a more believeable story. Well, take that back, judging from alot of the comments any story will do. I find it amazing that most people will say they don't believe politicians but they will believe a Machiavellian bs story like this. Take the underwear bomber this fool did not have the sense to know that you cannot light plastic explosive with a match (who lead him!) but alot of people will gave up their civil rights so they can be "safe" what did Ben Franklin say about that subject?