The Silver Lining in 'Memogate'

The scandal over the secret memo offering to clip the Pakistani military's wings (with U.S. support) is a perfect opportunity to discuss the country's real problems.

BY MOSHARRAF ZAIDI | NOVEMBER 18, 2011

The Mansoor Ijaz "memogate" scandal -- in which a Pakistani-American businessman claims to have secretly conveyed the elected government's plea for U.S. backing against his country's own military -- is sparking debate about everyone's favorite Pakistan bugaboos: secrecy and backstabbing, coups and the invisible hand. It's a long and resplendent tradition now; the hackneyed and voluble moral outrage are predictable. Like controversies past, this too will be seen from two extreme angles: a product of a plot hatched by intelligence agencies and their hypernationalist enablers, or of the turpitude of civilian politicians and their ultraliberal enablers.

Unfortunately, Pakistan offers such a wide array of intellectual seductions that getting serious about its long-term challenges requires an otherworldly calm -- even Sufi -- predisposition. It is always much more fun to try to figure out what one little bird said to another than to address the kinds of problems that will take a generation to fix -- violent extremism, poverty, and the anger of Pakistanis in Balochistan and the tribal regions.

Still, it is important to try to take stock of the big picture. And that requires looking at two fundamental challenges to the idea of a strong and stable Pakistan, something that is very much in the interest not only of 180 million Pakistanis, but also their neighbors and the international community.

First, and most importantly, is the civil-military imbalance. Daring to dream the impossible dream and aspiring to right this imbalance are the noblest of political acts in Pakistan. To be a successful and prosperous country, Pakistan must overcome its history of military domination. Large numbers of Pakistanis have learned the inescapable truth of this the hard way. Some understood it early on in the country's history. Others grasped it clearly following the devastating partition of Pakistan in 1971 or watching the hanging of former Prime Minister Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto following a military coup in 1977. The demons unleashed upon Pakistani society by Islamization and Afghan jihad of the 1980s convinced many more of this truth. And the disastrous consequences of the Pervez Musharraf era of military rule convinced a whole new generation that for Pakistan to be prosperous and free, an elected civilian government must rule.

Second and equally vital to a bright Pakistani future is bridging the divide between the stand-alone strengths of Pakistani individuals and the collective weakness of Pakistani institutions. Trying to address the civil-military imbalance without taking into consideration the institutions and individuals involved is a recipe for disaster. And memogate is only one such disaster.

On both ends of the political spectrum in Pakistan, memogate will inspire high-strung, virtuoso performances, dripping with both the intellect and emotion that are signs of a people fully alive to the state of their country and the challenges it faces. Some will be appalled that someone (allegedly) sought an improved civil-military balance through cloak-and-dagger means. Some will be appalled that an attempt to fix this balance may force an elected government to toe the line of unelected soldiers and spies.

But ultimately, the vibrancy of Pakistani discourse is a good sign: Despite the menacing insecurity and instability that so many Pakistanis have endured in recent years, we can still have a robust, frank discussion about our problems.

Yet, as memogate consumes the national attention, three other robust debates are taking place across the country -- and they are just as important. In Sindh, the spiritual and political epicenter of the ruling PPP, a debate rages over what model of local government should be applied to the Pakistani megacity of Karachi. In Punjab, a province with a population of 90 million, the surging popularity of retired cricket star Imran Khan and his nationalist Tehrik-e-Insaaf (Movement for Justice) party have captivated the national imagination with a message of hope for the future. Perhaps most heartening of all, in the Pakistani capital Islamabad this week, the much-maligned parliament, the most formal and most supreme of national institutions, just approved the Anti-Women Practices Bill of 2011, which bans and criminalizes many of the medieval customs that have so often enabled a systemic violation of women's rights. This is how politics is supposed to work, in a country where for decades it has not.

Perhaps the Pakistani political system is not so fragile after all? Better still, there are acres of space to improve, and no time at all to be complacent. Weaknesses such as an undermanned and poorly resourced civil service mean that a lot of work still needs to be done.

In weak institutional environments, individuals end up having to take on oversized roles. This helps explain an expanded set of informal responsibilities for the office of the president (think Asif Ali Zardari), the issuance of service extensions to the military and intelligence chiefs (think General Ashfaq Parvez Kayani and General Ahmed Shuja Pasha), and an enormous burden on those that manage Pakistan's relationships with its allies and friends (think, of course, of Ambassador to the United States, Husain Haqqani). As individuals try to fill in the gaps that weak institutions create, mistakes, errors, and rivalries are inevitable.

Luckily, Pakistan is a big, and surprisingly resilient country. It can absorb mistakes. The accumulated mistakes of recent years have conspired to create some valuable points of national consensus. Pakistan's independent judiciary is not the only accessible example. Even when it comes to memogate, there is a rough consensus out there. Among even the most extreme partisans, no one has argued against the need to address and resolve the civil-military imbalance.

No one has argued that our institutions are particularly strong. No one will dare advocate that individuals should again be allowed to run government on a whim. In the deafening cacophony of dissent generated by the cutthroat, 24-hour news media in Pakistan, it is vital to remember just how much Pakistanis agree on.

FAROOQ NAEEM/AFP/Getty Images

 SUBJECTS:
 

Mosharraf Zaidi advises governments and international organizations on public policy and international aid. His writing is archived at www.mosharrafzaidi.com.

BEN-PK

2:55 AM ET

November 19, 2011

Coup in Pakistan; unique, unprecedented and downright treasonou

Pakistan’s history is replete with successive attempts of the powerful military overthrowing corrupt and weak civilian governments. All these attempts were made successfully without bloodshed and, ironically with the tacit approval of the masses who would subsequently endorse such attempts through celebrations. However, here is a unique attempt to overthrow the powerful military by the weak and corrupt civilian government. The most striking feature of this abortive coup is the attempt to seek the support of a foreign military to defeat country’s own security establishment. This is interesting, unprecedented and downright shameful, if not treasonous. Read more at: http://passivevoices.wordpress.com/2011/11/18/a-unique-coup-detat-interesting-unprecedented-and-downright-treasonous/

 

C. NANDKISHORE

6:58 AM ET

November 19, 2011

Give Zardari his due

"The most striking feature of this abortive coup is the attempt to seek the support of a foreign military to defeat country’s own security establishment." Zardari is shrewd. Remember Sharif with two thirds majority in Parliament could not see the coup. When Indian PM was in Pakistan the then army chief Musharraf was plotting Kargil. He still allowed Musharraf to continue. Musharraf should have been removed when President Clinton called Sharif to Washington. Zardari is shrewd. By initiating the memo and leaking it he has insured that the coup does not take place. Give Zardari his due. All the three and a half years he has been one step ahead of the army.

 

VERMASWARUP

3:56 AM ET

November 19, 2011

MemoGate in Pakistan

MooMooGate in Poopistan
++++++++++++++++++++++

Hussein Haqqani Sat on a Wall
Hussein Haqqani had a great Fall
All Zardari's men and all the President's horses
Couldnt put Hussein Haqqani together again

 

MALSHAH

2:14 PM ET

November 21, 2011

Not Sure....

If Vermaswarup is a troll, or just a 3rd grade baby? Considering that "poop" is a favorite word amongst the 3rd graders, I'm impressed by intellectual capacity of a kid so young to actually draw an analogy between humpty dumpty's fall and Haqqani being summoned to Pakistan. Kido you've been raised quite alright, hats off to your upbringing!!! Although reference to MooMoo makes me think that this individual may actually be younger than a 3rd grader perhaps a kindergardener, even more impressive!!!!!

 

MARTY MARTEL

10:48 AM ET

November 19, 2011

Pakistani military owns Pakistani State

Mr. Zaidi writes that ‘vibrancy of Pakistani discourse’ over so-called memo gate is a good sign and that Pakistan ‘can still have frank, robust discussion’ about its problems.

This discussion will and can last only as long as Pakistani military allows it to continue as Mr. Zaidi has to know.

Let us see what happens if this discussion ultimately leads to weakening of Pakistani military’s near monopoly on power atleast since 1958 when Ayub Khan established first military rule in Pakistan.

Let us see what happens if Pakistan’s civilian government tries to replace both Army chief Kayani and ISI chief Pasha at the same time.

Let us see what happens if this discussion ultimately leads to Pakistani military perceiving that this discussion can wind up in dissolution of vast military-industrial complex established by military.

Mr. Zaidi has to know that Pakistani military owns Pakistani State. Mr. Zaidi has to know that civilian leaders have given way to the power of the gun when push comes to shove and Pakistani people have even welcomed military rule after a stint with corrupt civilian governments.

 

MAHMUDGHAZNAVI

12:05 PM ET

November 20, 2011

Pakistani militarty

Mr. Zardari and Haqqani need any kind of assistance they can get, considering the Pakistani military that has hijacked the whole region for decades. From the hundreds of thousands of Bangladeshi's that were massacred by the Pakistan military in 1971, to hundreds of thousands of Afghans who have been killed for the Strategic depth policy of Pakistan military, to thousands of Indians and Kashmeri's who have been killed by the Pakistan military sponsored terrorists. No wonder Zardari and Hagqani have tried to get some help in the face of such brutal terrorist sponsor military!!!

 

GRANT

11:23 PM ET

November 19, 2011

This doesn't address the high

This doesn't address the high levels of corruption among Pakistani elites, the rule of law (or lack thereof) and the horrible economic situation. Even if the civilian-military balance is successfully changed there's still the issue of a corrupt leadership and economic elites, little ability to tax anyone let alone the wealthy, a weak civil service and the real issue of crime. India has managed to work around these problems*, but Pakistan doesn't have the same population or vast resources India does.

* Note the word 'around', these problems still exist in much of India and have to be dealt with if India wants to really become a world power.

 

FUZAIR

9:40 AM ET

November 20, 2011

memo is fake

Come on Mosharraf. The memo is clearly 'disinformation' by the ISI (probably; could be someone else) to discredit Haqqani. The English usage is, shall we say, awkward, and clearly not the work of the erudite Ambassador. And why would he chose a sleazeball like Mansoor Ijaz to convey it to Mullen? Why not drop it off himself?

 

BEYSON

2:33 PM ET

November 20, 2011

Agreed

i think disinformation tactics is widely used in the planet earth. People like to play film artists. ISI knows all about it.
wmaraci

 

MALSHAH

1:59 PM ET

November 21, 2011

I second that

Instead of Zardari or Haqqanni using this Mansoor Ijaz guy I think ISI is using him. After 9/11 he used to be a regular on Fox news throwing praises at the Pakistan Army and Musharaf.
And who would leak a secret memo they themselves penned to be highly secretive. Doesn't add up.

 

KUNINO

8:57 PM ET

November 20, 2011

The scandal rocking Pakistan ...

... is its alliance with the Unioted States against elements in Afghanistan, wildly unpopular across muich of the country.

 

DEMOFACTOR

9:24 PM ET

November 20, 2011

For a strong and stable Pakistan

American news are all about how to prevent Pakistan be hijacked by Islam fundamentalists. This is a real problem and everything has to be done to stop it.

 

EDDYTHOMAS

4:09 PM ET

December 17, 2011

Is SC serious to take such dramatic letters?

Wow! Now our Top court moves into overdrive based on instructions. I suppose instructions that paints Zardari badly moves them into action, while those letters written with respect to missing persons hasnt resulted in anything. Where exactly within the letter made it happen to invite our enemies to kill us. Is America now a body workouts enemy? If that's the case Mansoor Ijaz is definitely an American citizen which whole episode is due to him! Amazing the way the presumption of guilt is sufficient. This whole letter is dependant on circumstantial “ifs”.