Counting Our Blessings

From Twitter to vegetarianism, 10 things to celebrate this Thanksgiving.

BY CHARLES KENNY | NOVEMBER 22, 2011

It's been a tough year, and one in which a lot of people around the world might be struggling to find things to be thankful for. In the United States, unemployment remains stubbornly high, growth stubbornly low, and good sense on Capitol Hill stubbornly absent. European debt, meanwhile, looks about as secure as a Las Vegas mortgage. But look more broadly at the state of the world and there's a lot going right -- so give that thanks and pass the gravy.

1. Let's start with the good news … for turkeys: Vegetarianism in the United States may have expanded by as much as two-thirds since 2009. As many as 5 percent of Americans now claim they don't eat meat. From a fowl's perspective, the cloud to that silver lining is that Americans are eating less red meat and more poultry. But the last 20 years have seen meat consumption per capita plateau in developed countries around the world, according to research from the National Institutes of Health. And some of the biggest and fastest-growing developing countries remain comparatively safe places for a gobbler: Forty percent of Indians, for instance, don't eat meat. That's good for the rest of us as well, of course -- in an age where we are trying to use the same land and fewer resources to feed a larger and more affluent global population, a diet that switches out meat for the stuff meat eats is one of the most effective tools we have.

2. People are healthier than ever. According to World Bank data, roughly two million children born this year worldwide will live to their fifth birthday who would have died were mortality rates what they were 10 years ago. And this year has seen further progress in the fight against child mortality -- not least in the effort to vaccinate children everywhere against a growing range of illnesses. A particularly exciting advance was the rollout of a new vaccine for pneumococcal diseases like pneumonia and sepsis, which kill 1.6 million people a year. One selfish reason to cheer this progress in the United States: If we contain a disease worldwide, the misguided evil of parents who refuse to vaccinate their kids against it here at home won't matter as much.

3. The world is richer than it has ever been. Even as stagnation and popular angst gripped the U.S. economy this year, a historically unprecedented decline in levels of absolute poverty continued worldwide. In 1981, half of the developing world was living on less than $1.25 a day. Today, that proportion is less than one-sixth. That's reason enough for cheer in the United States, because those richer people are new consumers of American goods. U.S. exports to the 19 fastest-growing economies worldwide over the past decade grew approximately fivefold.

4. We're getting smarter. Technological and scientific advance in the United States and other developed countries continues at a remarkable pace -- this was the year, after all, that Google premiered a robot that could attend boring meetings in your place, and we discovered 21 more planets orbiting distant stars. And never before have so many people been able to share in that knowledge. Even in Sub-Saharan Africa, the most recent statistics suggest more than three-quarters of primary-age children are enrolled in school. There's a big gap between being in class and learning the three "R's," but it is a powerful step in the right direction. And for all we talk about a crisis of education in the United States, the most recent National Assessment of Educational Progress reported the highest scores since testing began in 1990.

5. We're more peaceful than we used to be. The last decade has seen fewer war deaths than any decade in the past century, as Joshua Goldstein recently observed in Foreign Policy. The United States -- embroiled as it was in two wars and continuing military activities in Iraq -- sadly, did lead the world in overseas combat deaths last year, but at least the troops have begun to come home. On the domestic front, violent crime continued its downward trend through the start of the recession -- from more than 1.8 million reported violent crimes in 1990 to 1.2 million in 2010.

CARL DE SOUZA/AFP/Getty Images

 SUBJECTS: DEVELOPMENT
 

Charles Kenny is a senior fellow at the Center for Global Development, a Schwartz fellow at the New America Foundation, and author, most recently, of Getting Better: Why Global Development Is Succeeding and How We Can Improve the World Even More. "The Optimist," his column for ForeignPolicy.com, runs weekly.

OJ.SAL92

11:19 PM ET

November 22, 2011

Hippie-like over-estimation

of the "good" that is happening in the world. Number 2 was ridiculous. The world is healthier because 2 million babies in poorer countries now live to be 5? Wow, 5, that's just great. Cause 5 years into existence is so wondrously long. What of their living conditions? Even if they live to be 100, if they live in a shack and make barely enough to survive, is that really "healthy"? No. It's a joke.

And number 5. So, the world is more peaceful. OK. But using U.S. REPORTED violent crime statistics to somehow prove that? First of all, that's what is reported. Who knows how many murders, rapes, etc., etc., go completely unreported. 9/11 happened this decade, Darfur happened this decade, the U.S. invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan. I don't see how the world is more peaceful at all. Yeah, sure, WW3 hasn't happened (yet?), but there is still plenty of death to go around.

And number 3. How can you be so sure of this? The statistics you cite come from the World Bank, but are their measurements accurate? Should their measurement of poverty been adjusted? And statistics can be misleading. According to a study I read a few years ago (which may or may not be correct/accurate), the proportion of malnourished in Africa has decreased... but their absolute numbers has increased. How can the world be so much richer? Maybe for the countries that were already rich.

And in number 6, it's a joke that you used to cliché rationale that "democracies really do fight less". The U.S. has invaded two countries in this decade alone. During Kennedy, we had the Bay of Pigs fiasco. In the 19th century, we bossed around South America like it was a second-class citizen. France: During the 18th and 19th centuries, the French were some of the most brutal colonizers of Africa. And let's not forget the issues they had in Southeast Asia. Britain was also a brutal colonizer, and used drug smuggling to instigate the Opium Wars in China. Oh, and let's not forget how the United States, Britain, and France, all 3 democratic countries, took part in the Eight-Nation Alliance to end the anti-colonial Boxer Rebellion by invading and occupying Beijing. So, no, democracies do not fight less, at all. Yes, democracies will tend to fight those who are not democracies, but if the whole world is democratic, then nobody is democratic, and they the fighting will continue regardless. It's like saying white on white or black on black crime should happen less than interracial crime simply because the black or white criminal has loyalty to their "brothers", when the opposite is actually true.

I really hate unwarranted optimism. It makes people simply ignore problems.

 

ROCKINGRALPH

12:45 PM ET

November 23, 2011

wow man

Chill out a bit man, that much negativity isn't good for your health.

First I don't think anyone could really say that the US, France and UK were democracies much before WWII, Women couldn't vote in France till after WWII and most people couldn't vote in UK before WWI, so not really democracies.

Secondly this last decade has been sooooo much more peaceful than any for a long time, since WWII there has been Iraq-Iran war, Indo-China wars, the massive war in the Congo (which still continues at a lower rate now) break up of Yugoslavia, the 'great leap forward' Stalin’s gulags, the Hungarian massacre, the mao mao massacre, Rwandan genocide. It’s simply peachy now in comparison, not perfect but much better.

Thirdly the developing world is much richer than its been for maybe a couple hundred years, China and India alone have brought hundreds of millions out of poverty, never mind the many other developing nations like Vietnam, Indonesia and Brazil that are starting to get better as well.

 

ROCKINGRALPH

12:46 PM ET

November 23, 2011

wow man

Chill out a bit man, that much negativity isn't good for your health.

First I don't think anyone could really say that the US, France and UK were democracies much before WWII, Women couldn't vote in France till after WWII and most people couldn't vote in UK before WWI, so not really democracies.

Secondly this last decade has been sooooo much more peaceful than any for a long time, since WWII there has been Iraq-Iran war, Indo-China wars, the massive war in the Congo (which still continues at a lower rate now) break up of Yugoslavia, the 'great leap forward' Stalin’s gulags, the Hungarian massacre, the mao mao massacre, Rwandan genocide. It’s simply peachy now in comparison, not perfect but much better.

Thirdly the developing world is much richer than its been for maybe a couple hundred years, China and India alone have brought hundreds of millions out of poverty, never mind the many other developing nations like Vietnam, Indonesia and Brazil that are starting to get better as well.

 

DMOLONEY

9:11 AM ET

November 24, 2011

@oj

"Number 2 was ridiculous. The world is healthier because 2 million babies in poorer countries now live to be 5? Wow, 5, that's just great."

It shows that their is an improvement which is a good thing. Unless you have evidence that the situation has remained the same or gotten worse your criticism falls flat.

"So, the world is more peaceful. OK. But using U.S. REPORTED violent crime statistics to somehow prove that?"

These reported stats are compared to earlier reported stats, and from these a decline in violence has been shown.

"I don't see how the world is more peaceful at all.2

Just because you dont see it doesnt mean it has not occurred.

"And in number 6, it's a joke that you used to cliché rationale that "democracies really do fight less"

You havent presented evidence to show that this is not true, you just merely argued against the argument that "democracies never fight at all" which no-one here has made.

"I really hate unwarranted optimism"

And I dislike foolish comments.

 

ASCHOPS

1:28 AM ET

November 25, 2011

OJ.SAL92 +1

OJ.SAL92, I completely share your feelings. How does this magazine publish such a childish, amateurish text?

 

QTLIBRARIAN

4:15 AM ET

November 23, 2011

*hugs*

*hugs*

 

STEVELBSTN

4:28 AM ET

November 23, 2011

Progress

I think the point is that they live till 5 whereas before they would have died almost straight away - perhaps it could have been worded better

Steve

 

ASD456

1:43 PM ET

November 23, 2011

We are really so blessed.

We are really so blessed. Aren't we not? It depends what you mean by blessing... nesiojamu kompiuteriu remontas

 

ASCHOPS

12:00 AM ET

November 25, 2011

Freedom and democracy aren't

Freedom and democracy aren't spreading. The Freedom House and the Economist's Intelligence Unit, who measure the degree to which civil liberties are respected and electoral democracy thrives in different countries, have already noticed that for the last five years civil liberties have been eroded - and this is not only in maligned countries in the developing world, such as Belarus, Zimbabwe and Venezuela, but also in developed ones such as France and Italy. The way the police and the state have handled popular protests shows that the West, too, may be experiencing a "freedom recession" - a process that has already begun and has in fact been met with mostly indifference by Western populations. Americans, for example, are mostly at ease with the Patriot Act; they cheer at the assassination of US citizens who are *suspected* of being terrorists and punished even before their guilt is established by traditionally democratic (judicial) means. This is what fear does to a population - it has always led people into embracing government authority, in the perception that dissent weakens national union and makes the country vulnerable to external challenges. This fear is a feeling that governments are only too willingly to exploit for their own purposes. In Israel, likewise, fear and resentment at isolation and hostility from other countries, has already led to popular support for an ultra-nationalist/ultra-orthodox alliance that is leading that country into theocratic rule. Just recently we've seen ultra-orthodox Jews attempting to forbid ads picturing women from being shown in Jerusalem - and the ultra-orthodox are only growing larger and more powerful in that country.

Liberal optmists are wrong when they assume that the trends that have been taking place for the last 60 years will still be there in the future - that history invariably leads to 'progress'. Is this even true? There have been thriving democracies in the distant past - democracies that at some point were destroyed either because of internal imbalances or due to defeat at the hands of external forces. Athens, for example, reached great power before being defeated by authoritarian Sparta, and engulfed by also undemocratic empires in later history. In modern Europe, too, liberal democracies briefly gave way to authoritarian parties (the Nazis and the Fascists) who exploited national humiliation and economic despair during the Great Depression to lead populations into embracing tough, ultra-nationalistic regimes.

As we can see history is no guarantee of 'progress' - periods of 'progress' may be interrupted or definitely suspended. History is not a straight path that will lead to more progress the more one advances. History is not determined by external forces that always lead to more progress; it is instead determined by internal forces that may or may not lead to liberal progress. The great wealth we have experienced for the last 60 years has undoubtedly enabled democracy in certain parts of the world. Full employment and increasing incomes have led to a greater degree of social harmony - for in such a context people have less of a motivation to follow criminal careers or embrace radical ideologies that threaten established order. Thus governments aren't forced to keep high degrees of regulation over the populace, and democracy can follow suit without being met with much of a challenge.

Can we guarantee that things will continue to be like that? that we'll still as wealthy and as free for the years to come as we're now? The global economy has been in bad shape for 3 years at least already. And as said, the democratic recession has begun even earlier. This hegemonic cycle - the US hegemonic cycle - appears to be ending, and it may be replaced either by a multipolar order or a Chinese hegemonic cycle. Either way, this means that the West, having lost its economic prominence, will also lose its cultural prominence. Losing its economic prowess will also mean that other countries will be more at ease with ignoring what the West defines as 'just' or 'good'. This would mean the end of the trend towards global democratization. And of course, democracy can be challenged in the West itself, as the wealth that led to previous stability is stagnating or decreasing. As a result, people are increasingly defying governments (and the private instituions that support them). And let us make no mistake: governments, even Western governments, may be tempted to respond to that challenge by turning more authoritarian. This, combined with the fear of external threats (terrorism, for example), may spell the end of democratic rule, even in the West.

 

ROCKINGRALPH

10:44 AM ET

November 25, 2011

I don't think he said

I don't think he said progress was 'innevitable', very few (I can't think of any off the top of me head, apart from maybe Dr Martin Luther King) people ever say that progress works like this. Ofcourse there are frequent setbacks. Its ammazing thinkning how well democracy and human rights are doing in the world today if you look at what the world was like in the 30s and 40s, never mind earlyer than that.

I like your comment on the habbit of authoritariansim by western states, this is indeed harmfull and should be opposed. And we should allways defend the human rights and freedoms that we luckyly have in the western world.

But I think you are being a tad too negative and I think that there have been major advances in recent decades, poverty levels are droping fast in the developed world. I read for example recently that AIDS infections rates have droped recently for the first time. Also the world is more peacefull, with the exception of the Iraq war and the war in Darfur there were few massive conflicts in the last decade (in comparision to earlyer decades).

Stephen Pinkers new book looks interesting, not read it though, he makes similar arguments to this dude.

Be excelent to each other and party on!

 

ELLMANNPC.COM

11:52 AM ET

November 25, 2011

We are blessed

We should all be more thankful for our freedom, where we can do whatever we like. although the world is not as free as it probably was. But we are free, therefore we are blessed. denver dui attorney

 

JAMESONWHI

2:43 PM ET

November 25, 2011

We truly are blessed

and we should be thankful for our freedom..

We should also be happy about mortgages and the fact that the market is coming back which is actually quite exciting..

I found this great mortgage site that helped me find the mortgage I was looking for mortgage calculator it's great you should try it.. you can find out your repayments too and chat to an expert

 

FRIVCITY

2:36 AM ET

December 21, 2011

I read for example recently

I read for example recently that AIDS infections rates have droped recently for the first time. Also the world is more peacefull, with the exception of the Iraq war and the war in Darfur there were few massive conflicts in the last decade (in comparision to earlyer decades). Miniclip, Starfall, Funbrain, Miniclip. This fear is a feeling that governments are only too willingly to exploit for their own purposes. In Israel, likewise, fear and resentment at isolation and hostility from other countries, has already led to popular support for an ultra-nationalist/ultra-orthodox alliance that is leading that country into theocratic rule.