The Elements' Armistice

Weather dictates the rhythm of nearly everything in rural Afghanistan, including war.

BY ANNA BADKHEN | NOVEMBER 28, 2011

KARAGHUZHLAH, Afghanistan — Inked against the sepia fields of November, the village orchards stand dormant, woozy from recent rain. All is quiet. The war here is postponed until after the blooming of almonds but before the harvesting of pomegranates, because the motorcycles of the local Taliban elder cannot negotiate Karaghuzhlah's viscous winter roads.

The elder's name is Gul Ahmad, though they call him Mullah Zamir. He winters in Pakistan. But when he returns to Balkh province next summer, 20 or perhaps 40 riders will come with him, demanding tithes and sowing fear beneath the palisade of mulberry limbs that shades Karaghuzhlah's crooked mud-walled streets and irrigation canals. The village arbaki -- 30 or so untrained minutemen armed, with the blessing of a U.S.-sponsored counterinsurgency program, with Kalashnikov rifles -- will be ready to defend the village. There will be war. It is certain. So says one of the militia commanders, whose name is Jan Mohammad, though they call him Janni.

"In the winter we have peace and in the summer we have war," Janni tells me over a cup of green tea at a friend's house. Because it is winter -- a heavy snowfall and two weeks of subsequent rain have reduced the unpaved desert roads to a morass of ankle-deep, sloughy goo -- we can kick back, stretch out on our thin mattresses, trade shucked almonds and cigarettes. We can muse about the strange nature of the war that is gnawing northern Afghanistan: war that may be intangible to the NATO troops who have spent a decade fighting it, but that to the Afghans who live here is predictably seasonal, like sowing winter wheat in the fall, say, or spreading freshly-picked almonds to dry on clay stoops in unsparing summer sun.

Seasonal warfare here predates the Taliban, the anti-Soviet mujaheddin's spring offensives of the 1980s, the 19th-century blitzes against the British Raj by guerrillas wielding jezail matchlocks. Year after year, the people somehow pick their way past pendular swings of immemorial, internecine violence. They hold their breath when the fighting escalates, exhale when it quiets down. Even now, 10 years after the U.S.-led invasion, they do so with little outside help. The billions of dollars of international aid barely trickle through to rural Afghanistan, and the NATO counterinsurgency operations focus mostly on the country's south and east. The way the people adjust to the idiosyncrasies of the latest iteration of violence can be regarded as resignation. But I think it's grace.

Near the Taliban stronghold of Char Bolagh -- no fighting there since October, a provincial police spokesman informs me -- fog clings to the thorny gnarls of unharvested cotton along a paved stretch of the ancient Silk Road like tufts of cotton. Women head to bazaar each Monday in horse-drawn buggies, erect and stern in their veils. At a police checkpoint beneath the ancient walls of Balkh, the city despoiled first by Alexander the Great and then by Genghis Khan, a man in a soiled shalwar kameez leads a stately camel caravan laden with wooden ploughs over speed bumps fashioned from the treads of Soviet tanks. Beside the exoskeleton of an armored personnel carrier -- who killed and died in it, in which war? -- a farmer's sons stoop to pick cauliflower from a field of pale, waxy green.

Anna Badkhen

 

Anna Badkhen is the author of Peace Meals and Waiting for the Taliban, now out in paperback. She is writing a book about timelessness. Her reporting from Afghanistan is made possible by a grant from the Pulitzer Center on Crisis Reporting.

MARTY MARTEL

5:26 AM ET

November 29, 2011

Armistice as fleeting as weather

The armistice imposed by weather is as fleeting as the weather itself.

When the spring follows winter and the summer follows spring, war is in the full swing, thanks to America recruiting terrorist state of Pakistan to fight a war that Pakistan itself is fueling by sheltering Afghan Taliban insurgents.

Pakistan’s chicanery of ‘running with the terrorist hares while hunting with the American hounds’ has humbled the sole super power.

With an ally like Pakistan, U. S. does NOT need an enemy.

 

MARTY MARTEL

5:26 AM ET

November 29, 2011

Armistice as fleeting as weather

The armistice imposed by weather is as fleeting as the weather itself.

When the spring follows winter and the summer follows spring, war is in the full swing, thanks to America recruiting terrorist state of Pakistan to fight a war that Pakistan itself is fueling by sheltering Afghan Taliban insurgents.

Pakistan’s chicanery of ‘running with the terrorist hares while hunting with the American hounds’ has humbled the sole super power.

With an ally like Pakistan, U. S. does NOT need an enemy.

 

AMNAASHRAFZIA

2:36 PM ET

November 29, 2011

Armistice is poor.

Yes Afganistan is really a poor country. no one have the place to live here. :(
(september 2009) Obama's War. The world's public opinion seems to be willing to forgive Obama for facts that would cause mass outrage if done under Bush's watch. Afghanistan's elections now rank as the most visibly rigged of the decade, with Hamid Karzai winning amid grotesque reports of irregularities. Afghanistan is now producing 93% of the world's heroin, so much so that even Russia has complained
If Obama recognizes Karzai as the legitimate president of Afghanistan, the USA will be back to the old days of embarrassing friendships with dictators widely despised by their own people, a recipe for future trouble.
Few in the world seem to stand up for the opposition the way they stood up for even the worst of oppositions (for example, Saddam Hussein) when the president was Bush. Few in the world seem to stand up for the opposition the way they stood up for Iran's opposition: why should Iran have fair elections if the West approves Afghanistan's rigged elections?
Abdullah Abdullah is credited with 28.3% of the votes by the official (Karzai-controlled) commission, which probably means he won much more. It is a bit surprising that nobody in the world seems to take his side.
(april 2009) The Second Taliban war. The first war against the Taliban (the invasion of 2001) was largely successful: the Taliban were removed from power and virtually expelled from the country. In 2009 a new president finds himself having to fight another war against the Taliban, who have regrouped, rearmed and brought their war deep into Afghanistan.
The USA will not win the second war unless it realizes why the Taliban have been so successful in regrouping, rearming and pushing their war deep into Afghanistan. There are at least three factors at play.

that does not protect its borders. There are 900 kms of border between Pakistan and Afghanistan. The Taliban fighters who were expelled by the USA in 2001 crossed the border and settled into Pakistan. They were surrounded by countries that hated them (such as Iran, a Shiite country that hated their Sunni ideology, and the former Soviet republics, who are wary of Islamic insurgencies on their own territories). Pakistan allowed them to stay both because it was the path of least attrition and because Pakistan insists in keeping most of its forces along the border with India. Pakistan is obsessed with the threat coming from India. There is no indication that India ever dreamed of invading Pakistan but there are reasonable arguments that India might be tempted to cross into Pakistan to pursue terrorists: that would be enough to inflame public opinion and cause the fall of the Pakistani government. Thus each Pakistani government, first and foremost, has had to protect itself from the specter of a humiliating attack by India. Pakistan's army is mostly deployed along the border with India, and the Taliban simply took advantage of the unguarded border with Afghanistan, that causes less of an embarrassment to the Pakistani government (at least until recently).
Secondly, there are thousands of USA citizens who fund the Taliban. Opium now constitutes 60% of Afghanistan's GDP. Opium is mostly used to produce heroin, and the USA is the largest customer of Afghan heroin. The Taliban get a cut of that huge trade of opium from the farmers that they protect against the Afghani government and against the USA troops They make about $300 million a year. That's how they rearmed themselves. They simply used Western money to buy weapons to fight the Western armies deployed on Afghan territory. They have no other major donor. The traditional sources of money (the rich Arab sheiks) ended after 2001, when Saudi Arabia switched sides and dumped the Taliban. That new source of funding will stop only when the West will stop buying opium. The USA is planning to invest $250 million in helping Afghanistan eradicate the opium plantations and replace them with wheat fields, but that's wishful thinking: which party animals in the West will start buying Afghan wheat instead of heroin? Afghan farmers are desperate. The opium that Westerners consume in abundance is the only way they can make ends meet. Just like in Colombia and Peru, opium is just too lucrative for such a poor country. The war on drugs has been lost repeatedly by the USA because the enemy is inside the USA, not outside: all the people who do drugs.
Thirdly, there are the mountain civilian casualties of USA strikes. Hardly a week goes by without news of an "accident" in agenda software which civilians have been killed (sometimes by the dozens) by USA air strikes. The relatives of those dead civilians are easily recruited by the Taliban to help push the fight inside Afghanistan.
That's how the Taliban regrouped, rearmed and expanded: a simple but effective strategy of exploiting its enemy's weakest points (its drug users, its fearful allies, its excessive violence).

This is why Afghanistan is poor. :(
Thanks

 

DR. KUCHBHI

4:26 PM ET

November 29, 2011

Yet another article that talks of Pakistani havens

for the Taliban.

And here we are - paper tigers - doing absolutely nothing about it.

 

KJWILSON

3:14 PM ET

December 24, 2011

Let's strive for a peaceful world

Don't misunderstand, I've got a lot of respect for all those young adults who serve within our military. Like a veteran myself, I understand that it's no easy life. But let's not extend this respect for individuals who actually the glorification of war. Everyone knows that war can perform bootay items to people. In the lack of limbs to traumatic brain injuries to post-traumatic stress disorders to suicides, the expense of war are truly frightening. Between 2005 and 2010, for instance, our service members committed suicide every 36 hours.

 

YARINSIZ

4:20 PM ET

December 24, 2011

When the spring follows

When the spring follows winter and the summer follows spring, war is in the full swing, thanks to America recruiting terrorist state seslichat of Pakistan to fight a war that Pakistan itself is fueling by sheltering Afghan Taliban insurgents.