A New Home for Hamas?

Could the hard-line Palestinian group abandon Damascus for Qatar -- and in so doing lay a foundation for a détente with Israel?

BY HOURIYA AHMED AND JULIA PETTENGILL | DECEMBER 13, 2011

The shifting allegiances in this tumultuous era of Arab politics have come to resemble a game of musical chairs. According to an unnamed Hamas official quoted in the Wall Street Journal, the hard-line Palestinian group is seeking to move its political headquarters from Damascus as early as this week. Its reliance on the tottering regime of Bashar al-Assad in Syria has left it significantly weakened and in search of a new base for political operations, and Egypt and Qatar have both materialized as possible new bases, according to the official. In the case of the Qatari capital of Doha, that may not necessarily be a bad thing.

It's still unclear if Hamas will actually make the move. Speaking to the Lebanese paper Al-Akhbar, another Hamas official was quick to dismiss the Wall Street Journal story, claiming that only administrative staff will leave Damascus while the top political figures will stay. But whatever Hamas's current plans, it's clear that Assad's violent crackdown -- and the negative reaction from Arab powers -- have pressured the group into exploring its options.

The fall of traditional regional power brokers like former Egyptian autocrat Hosni Mubarak and the likely fall of Assad have helped to burnish Qatar's diplomatic and strategic influence. Qatar took the lead in persuading the Arab League to impose sanctions on the Assad regime, and was also the first Arab country to back international intervention in Libya -- even sending its own special forces to support the anti-Qaddafi rebels.

For the countries that could be potential new bases, Hamas's weakness presents an opportunity to turn the group away from extremism, isolate it from Iranian influence, and potentially lay the groundwork for renewed negotiations between the Palestinians and the Israelis.

The Wall Street Journal article contended that Hamas is being encouraged to make a hurried exit out of Syria by Qatar and Turkey. According to the Hamas official quoted in that piece, the two countries have castigated the group for its continued relationship with the murderous Assad regime, allegedly telling Hamas, in the words of the official, "Have you no shame? It's enough. You have to get out." On the verge of becoming embroiled in a Syrian civil war, Hamas is "looking to re-establish themselves somewhere with stability" according to one Palestinian official quoted in the Times of London last week, but also where it will be "protected, diplomatically and militarily, from Israel."

It is unlikely that Hamas' top leadership will move its headquarters to Gaza, as the group would be vulnerable to attacks by Israel. Jordan is another possibility, but the Hashemite kingdom and Hamas don't have a smooth relationship -- Hamas officials were expelled from the country in 1999 for actions deemed harmful to the state. Fear of becoming a flashpoint for regional conflict could still convince King Abdullah to avoid strengthening ties with Hamas. There's always Khartoum, but relocating to distant Sudan would look like an act of desperation for Hamas, which has always prided itself for exercising influence at the center of the Arab world.

Hamas' position is unenviable. On the one hand, it faces pressure from Iran, another patron, which has allegedly threatened to withdraw funding should the group leave Damascus -- a threat the Islamic Republic also reportedly followed through on briefly this year when Hamas refused to publicly support Assad. On the other hand, the longer Hamas remains in Damascus and implicitly stands by Assad, the more legitimacy it will lose among Palestinians living in Syria and broadly among Sunnis opposing the regime. It will also find itself working against its ideological affiliates in the Muslim Brotherhood -- an important force in the Syrian opposition movement.

LOUAI BESHARA/AFP/Getty Images

 

Houriya Ahmed and Julia Pettengill are research fellows at the Henry Jackson Society and authors of “Regional Actors and the Fatah Hamas Unity Deal: Shifting Dynamics in the Middle East?”

MCANTEREL

3:35 AM ET

December 14, 2011

Spinning Qatar

You can spin it anyway you want, but any intelligent person knows that Qatar is just a lackey. If it were not, it's leader would disappear in a snap. Hahaha, imagine believing Qatar is independent and does not it's master's voice! Yeah, with the very legitimate Emir, the 15000 soldiers US base, the hordes of CIA agents, yeah sure, more difficult to get in line than Iran's Mossadegh! Why do you even bother with this kind of propaganda? We know they are doing the USA's dirty business. Do you think we are so stupid in the Arab World to believe that this idiotic and traitor Emir, at the helm of the tiniest of the Arab World countries can play the judge's role and decide which country will be bombed by NATO and which one is spared? If we really had our way, and these illegitimate Gulf rulers were not under the US protection, they would have fallen long time ago.
Qatar is just a device for the US imperialistic hold on the ME. Just like WMDs, Iran's nukes, Saudi Arabia, etc. Anything that can help you divide and conquer! Nothing can be done about it unfortunately, until the emergence of a counter-power, which is not happening anytime soon, looking at Europe's, Russia's, and even China's weakness and dependency on he sole super-power.

 

SPOOD

5:39 PM ET

December 14, 2011

MCANTEREL do us a big favor

Forget strapping on that suicide belt and walking into a crowd of unarmed people that you seem to be preparing for.

Cut your hair, trim that beard (and nose hairs), dress nicely and go out to a nice club or something. Meet a nice girl and get laid. You will find its much better than goats and doesn't require forced matrimony or gang assault.

Its obvious the Madrassa has left you with few social skills and a lack of critical thinking. It has left you very frustrated. The best way to work it off isn't through political tirades or mass homicide. Those things never get anywhere. but by settling down and having some nice consensual nookie with someone who you care for.

 

RON CANN

5:36 PM ET

December 14, 2011

real issue

It seems that arab on arab violence is the real issue occurring in the ME with Syria, Egypt and Hamas quickly coming to mind. How does Qatar become responsible for that? Perhaps its easier to blame outside forces than to address reality and actually do something constructive in making people's lives better.

 

FERNANDODRENAGEM

9:10 PM ET

December 14, 2011

Guy is an idiot

i Agree in " Bush, Clinton, and other presidents got their money to buy ranches and vacation homes from running businesses, law practices, or inheritance. " I never heard ....good work !

 

ANYA KHAN

4:38 PM ET

December 15, 2011

The terror group

The terroist group Hamas will never be able to run a country, and at best can only try to figure out who will sponser their terrorism most. The leaders get rich and convice youth to kill themselves.

 

YARINSIZ

12:12 AM ET

January 10, 2012

More likely than not Hamas

More likely than not Hamas would turn on its benefactors in some violent way. seslichat They have already proven to be incapable of civil existence with fellow Palestinians who disagree with them. What holds them back from attacking a foreign regime