Keeping Markets Happy

It's not public-sector deficits that are at fault for the euro crisis -- it's the policies that have enabled the financial sector to wield so much power.

BY RICK ROWDEN | DECEMBER 15, 2011

The pathologies associated with the financial sector's dominance over the rest of the economy were on full display in recent days as European policymakers found themselves in impossible positions to please financial markets. Investors seem to be happy when governments impose harsh austerity to shore up confidence that bond issues will be repaid in full, and then unhappy when that austerity produces worsening economic projections. This whiplashing of elected officials and near-total surrender of economic policy to the whims of the financial markets suggests that things have gone too far. It also suggests that any steps toward restoring both financial stability and higher economic growth will necessarily involve reinstituting some of the constraints that conservatives used to deride as financial repression. It is increasingly apparent that after 30 years of financial liberalization, we are today in desperate need of restoring policies that can again incentivize investment capital to move away from the casino economy and back into the real economy that produces jobs and growth. But this, too, will require jettisoning neoliberal policies.

Given the recent replacements of the Italian and Greek governments with others more to the market's liking, it is easy to get swept up in the notion that the bond markets have somehow seized control. As Wall Street investment banker Roger Altman has stated, financial markets have become "a global supra-government. They oust entrenched regimes where normal political processes could not do so. They force austerity, banking bail-outs and other major policy changes.… Leaving aside unusable nuclear weapons, they have become the most powerful force on earth.'"

But citizens must resist this characterization of financial markets as a mysterious, uncontrollable force of nature and the driving force in this drama. In fact, these developments are merely the result of a particular set of policy choices. The circumstances under which financial markets brought about a run first on the debt of Greece, Ireland, and Portugal, and more recently on the debt of Italy and Spain, were created by the ECB's neoliberal policies. Chief among these is the priority of keeping inflation at low levels at all costs. The ECB has also enshrined "central bank independence" in its architecture, which in theory enables the bank to fight inflation without citizens, parliaments, or finance ministries seeking to increase deficits and print money during economic recessions (thus jeopardizing the priority of low inflation). While the bond markets very much like low inflation (it keeps the value of their bond issues from deteriorating before they get repaid), neoliberal policies have effectively subordinated fiscal policy -- even in times of crisis -- to the goal of keeping these markets happy.

Other monetary policy choices and ECB architectural designs exist, and these alternatives deserve consideration today more than ever. The ECB, for example, could have pursued a different policy that focused on promoting growth and employment, and it could have acted to buy troubled eurozone bonds to diffuse the immediate crisis. New thinking in macroeconomics, on display at a remarkable IMF conference this March, has increasingly questioned the single-minded focus on inflation-targeting in central bank policy. There is a growing appreciation for context and complexity and the use of more targets and instruments in monetary policy, but none of this seems to have been absorbed yet by eurozone policymakers. Sadly, the ECB has opted for a deliberate neoliberal policy of lessening the role of the state, and it appears to be using this crisis to underfund governments with a fiscal straitjacket and compel them to drive wages lower and weaken labor generally, thereby guaranteeing a deeper, longer, and harsher recession yet to come.

The policies that today give so much power to the whims of the bond markets are not etched in stone, and history shows that reasonable people can decide to make new arrangements at any time -- if citizens would only mobilize to demand such policy changes. For now, under the current policies, it looks like everybody is going to lose.

Milos Bicanski/Getty Images

 

Rick Rowden is a doctoral candidate in economics at Jawaharlal Nehru University in New Delhi and the author of The Deadly Ideas of Neoliberalism. Previously he worked on economic development policy at the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development in Geneva and ActionAid in Washington, D.C.

JEAN LABREK

8:00 PM ET

December 15, 2011

Crisis and Banks

GoldmanSachs turned Greece bankrupt, Only Germany could help as 20% of German banks are still public, but could not help for long, the Euro currency is problably doomed and maybe later the European Union, destabilized as wanted by American and British banks.____In US, even the fed is private (see the documentary video -- zeitgeist addendum --) the only public bank is in North Dakota, ____The whole US Banking and Economic system is a complete fraud, ponzi sheme___The crisis was a coup by the banks against US government, to get their bad risky and corrupted investment sheme refinanced by the citizens taxes and Paulson took care of it___Same is now happening in Europe.______Obama just pushed the unsolved problem to a later date by financing the banks again._______Only solution possibility which will NEVER happen as the banks and the republicans will always oppose it --BEING --Apply the SocialCredit system of the Economist Clifford Hugh Douglas.--Install the Tobin tax on ALL market transactions to slow speculation and lobbeying, Prohibit fiscal heavens and hedge funds, Make the fed Public and install public banks in all states and municipalities, increase income taxes from all companies and individuals earning 100,000$ or more a year and hope for the best______Have a nice day.

 

JEAN LABREK

8:17 PM ET

December 15, 2011

Economy,

In the industrial era, the glorious thirty years of the economist John Meynard Keynes, the economy was based on the Production versus consumerism, now impossible as Production is mainly in Japan Germany and China and consumers less in US and Europe as the middle class is disappearing, too much taxes, no well paid jobs, increasing prices____The new casino unproductive market economy being suicidal, more severe crises are coming.____The new economists will hopefully find a solution, like Joseph E Stiglitz, Amartya Sen and probably the application of the Social Credit system with Public banks (no interest loans for social investments and assets like roads schools hospitals energy and water production and distribution etc...) and competing with the private ones for companies and individuals.

 

GRINDERC

8:49 AM ET

December 20, 2011

Defeating crisis

In my opinion governments should provide as much as possible opportunities for new businesses to rise. New business create work places and increases consumption in all areas. Increase production in all European countries.

 

YARINSIZ

12:49 PM ET

January 10, 2012

In the industrial era, the

In the industrial era, the glorious thirty years of the economist John Meynard Keynes, the economy was based on the Production versus consumerism, now impossible as Production is mainly in Japan Germany and China and consumers less in US and Europe as seslichat the middle class is disappearing, too much taxes, no well paid jobs, increasing prices The new casino unproductive market economy being suicidal, more severe crises are coming.

 

CHANGS

12:06 PM ET

January 11, 2012

All countries need manufacturing sectors

The markets will continue to suffer problems if the buyers do not earn enough to buy the products being produced. The current policy of corporations moving all producing facilities to low wage third world countries is destroying the economic base they depend on to buy their products.

While moving production to cheaper labor sources might be good for individual companies it is bad for the economy as a whole. If the consumers do not earn enough to purchase a company's products then the total economy will collapse, which is what is happening in the world as a whole today.

The only insurance against this is government action to make it unprofitable for these corporations to moving their production facilities to low cost third world countries such as China or India.

Chang S