How to Free North Korea

The time to topple the criminal government in Pyongyang is now. Here's how to do it.

BY ADRIAN HONG | DECEMBER 19, 2011

Parallel to this effort is shining a light on the country's heinous record. Governments should release better-than-commercial grade satellite imagery of North Korea's vast network of death camps, and support efforts to obtain footage of the same. Such potent evidence will go a long way towards helping public sentiment understand the gravity of what is happening in North Korea, and help strengthen thousands of eyewitness and personal testimonies by defectors, including former prison guards.

A central piece to the puzzle, and to any future destiny of North Korea, is China, its patron state and lone, true ally. China is not married to North Korea's leadership or political system. It is simply looking out for its own interest and leveraging North Korea's misbehavior for increased political capital. The solution here is straightforward: cut a deal with China. Beijing is hedging, in characteristic fashion, much like the Imperial court did centuries before. Whenever China's dynasties invaded a neighboring kingdom, they would simply extract fealty and annual tribute, and largely leave the neighbor alone to its own affairs -- with the collateral of bringing heirs to the throne back to China to intermarry and remain under Chinese protection or control.

China today has adopted the same approach with Tibet and North Korea -- kidnapping the Panchen Lama and sheltering Kim Jong Nam, oldest son of Jong Il, in Macau. Such behavior is an implicit threat -- misbehave too much, and we will install our own puppet king.

Yet China can be reasoned with. With the right inputs, a North Korea free of the Kim regime would bring about increased stability in the region and opportunities for economic development, investment, and trade. United Nations Development Program studies have for years noted the economic benefits that developed North Korean ports, pipelines, and rail could have on the entire region. Guaranteeing that Chinese investments and real estate contracts made there would be honored is critical.

In addition, a pledge by the United States to either leave the Korean peninsula entirely -- or to keep U.S. soldiers no higher than the 38th parallel -- would help. Leaked U.S. government cables confirmed suspicions that China would accept a reunified Korea under Seoul's governance, so long as it was not hostile to Beijing or Chinese interests, even in a "benign alliance" with the United States. 

Mass defections are always a precursor to revolution and regime collapse. To help promote change within the country and refugee outflows, funding for radio broadcasts and other communications into North Korea must be improved from the current tragic lows. Beefing up efforts to support external communication to, from, and among the North Koreans would be a critical blow to Pyongyang's control, enabling citizens to organize amongst themselves.

Moreover, there are tens of thousands of North Koreans living in exile, many of whom now have advanced degrees and skills that can translate into leadership abilities. Many of them are already engaged in dissident activity within North Korea, including efforts to smuggle in radios and printed material with outside news, or smuggle out refugees and key defectors. Still others have been able to bring out surreptitiously obtained footage from within, or even bribe guards at concentration camps to win release of family members.

Neighboring nations can be induced to offer safe haven to North Korean refugees and pledge not to repatriate -- Mongolia, for example, years ago entertained the idea of a semi-permanent refugee station for North Korean refugees. In exile, the North Koreans can begin to organize properly, build democratic institutions, and support internal efforts by dissidents to change the system. They will need training, shelter, and protection.

Feng Li/Getty Images

 SUBJECTS: NORTH KOREA, EAST ASIA
 

Adrian Hong is managing director of Pegasus Strategies, a strategic advisory firm, and a TED senior fellow. He previously was jailed in China in 2006 for helping North Korean refugees, and founded and led the organization Liberty in North Korea from 2004 to 2008. He visited North Korea in 2008.

APACHE 5

1:37 PM ET

December 19, 2011

Amen

I completely agree. We must stand against this pure evil. Our leaders need to stand up and work to this end. It's more than just foreign policy. Its the innocent lives of 20+ million people.

 

SCOOP

2:25 PM ET

December 19, 2011

China may be unable (or unwilling)...

Kim’s death is one more headache for China
by Robert Haddick (SWJ) | Dec 19, 2011

"The sudden death of North Korean leader Kim Jong-Il unsettles the stability that Beijing had hoped to maintain, just as China’s leaders face growing internal instability themselves. The open rebellion against local Communist Party officials in Wukan in Guangdong province threatens to spread. China’s real estate market, and thus its banking system, teeters on the edge. And the fact that China’s security authorities have imposed even harsher restrictions on electronic communications bodes ill for the regime’s legitimacy and for the future efficiency of the economy."

 

MY

2:31 PM ET

December 19, 2011

Very interesting

An interesting take on what the future holds for North Korea.

Most immediately worrying seems to be the issue of succession - if it is made clear that Kim Jong-un will not be opposed by the military, then the West can devise some form of strategy, although this strategy would probably be similar to that used against his father - sanctions, talks every now and then but ultimately concentrating on more important issues (states that have oil, not starving people...).

Yet it is important to remember, as you say, that NK is NOT a failed state, it is just a state that has not shaken off a clearly failed ideology, or adapted this ideology to facilitate development (China?)

I'm a teenager, although I do know a little about Korean history; namely that South Korea was, just after the Korean war, as much (if not more) underdeveloped, and poor, as the North. Now look at them, one of the largest economies in the world - what would we do without LG, or Samsung? North Korea may be broken, but it can be mended

 

BRUCERHEE1127

4:37 PM ET

December 19, 2011

easy on the vitriol

so are you saying that because north korea was "propagating human suffering and ensuring the continued exploitation of the people so that the very few can benefit" that we are somehow morally obligated to have a say? we need to stop with this arrogant smug mentality when dealing with foreign nations that we oppose.

the author clearly does not have a firm grasp of the simple fact that the US has never even stepped to the table bilaterally in a one on one dialogue to negotiate anything with north korea. the author fails to mention how north korea has been seeking to officially end the war and has been seeking a peace treaty for a long time now. the media here in the west fails to ever mention this and portrays the DPRK as some belligerent and crazy despotic tyrant hell bent on destruction.

north korea lost at least a third, some estimates as high as almost half of their population as a result of the korean war, suffering tremendous horrific losses from the relentless of bombs that literally pulverized everything in the country as a result of the war.

on the west, have we become so arrogant and self righteous that we are unable to understand that from their perspective, the US has invaded their country and took over half of their country? they have been surrounded staring down the barrel of our guns pointed directly at them from all directions. is it any wonder why a country under constant threat of attack lasting now for 60 years might want to arm themselves in self defense? if i had you surrounded with guns, and all you armed with were knives and swords,wouldn't you do everything in your power to get your hands on some guns too?

and the evidence of north korea sinking that ship is so flawed and riddled with problems, that anybody willing to take a closer look at the events surrounding that incident will understand the absurdity of any notion that the evidence directly links north korea. russia sent their own investigative team to examine the evidence and came to the conclusion that the north was not responsible, and of course you will never hear that being reported here in the west.

i really wish people would educate themselves on the history of north korea without all the typical xenophobia and fear mongering hatred that so typically found on any discussion on the matter. can there be any other reason for your irrational hatred for a country you know next to nothing about besides the sensationalistic reports of fox news and cnn? depending on your media for your information makes you terribly uninformed. that is a plain and simple fact.

 

SPOOD

4:54 PM ET

December 19, 2011

quick question for BRUCERHEE1127

Does the North Korean government pay you in hard currency or do they just just give you a ration of beer and candy like they do for the workers at the Yongbun nuclear facility?

The only problem with your analysis is that it has nothing to do with actual facts.

North Korea is a government more than willing to:
1) commit international terrorism,
2) lob missiles at neighboring countries who have not declared themselves hostile to them,
3) Supplement its economy with illicit arms smuggling, designer drug manufacturing and counterfeiting
4) Abduct foreign nationals for fun and profit. Including a movie director so Kim Jong can produce a kaiju epic.
5) Put its population into slave labor camps in order to propel its economy
6) Starve millions for shits and giggles

Kim Jong was never irrational, it was the image he wanted to play up for the international media. An irrational person is more likely to do something stupidly destructive unless placated. It was a great way to score some $$. The Hennesy fountains had to be stocked at all times!!!!!

"can there be any other reason for your irrational hatred for a country you know next to nothing about besides the sensationalistic reports of fox news and cnn?"

NHK (TV Japan over here) has been pretty good on focusing on the foibles of North Korea as well. Even a country with no international military designs thought Kim Jong Il was a dickweed.

So yes, they deserve the vitriol.

 

BRUCERHEE1127

5:58 AM ET

December 26, 2011

NHK?! puahaha

NHK? are you being serious? if there were any country that was even worse than the US in their hatred for north korea, it is the japanese. you want facts? when korea was occupied by japan. who do you think was leading the rebellion? who do you think was responsible for leading the counter insurgency fighting for the sovereignty of koreans to be able to form their own government? are you even aware that korea never still to this day has not had that opportunity to form their own government? korea was never liberated from japanese rule. with the US victory over japan in WWII, the US simply took over japan's occupation and found itself now at odds with nationalist freedom fighters led by kim il sung. the south korean government that was first came into the picture after the korean war were all accomplices with japan. they were considered traitors to their country, as many of their first presidents were either american puppets (syngman rhee) or koreans who sold out their own people by serving in the japanese military (park chung hee, chun doo hwan). to this day, the high ranking members of japanese government are direct descendants of the oppressive japanese that ruled over korea spanning several generations. kim il sung was a thorn on the side for these japanese rulers, and so north korea's belligerence towards this country is somewhat to be expected, if not justified. again, your news fails to inform you of these little facts, which is why i made the suggestion of educating yourselves before making misinformed judgments on a country you know little about.

 

MICHAELGERALDPDEALINO

9:39 PM ET

December 19, 2011

Liberate the Slave State

The world has a moral obligation to help in the liberation of the slave state that is north korea. Liberate the slaves and replace them with those who came from the gutter like the idiot above with a name of bruce and a mind like kim jong il. He, and others like him/her, can serve their master as they please.

 

STEVEJW

11:37 PM ET

December 19, 2011

What a crazy world

This world just keeps getting crazier & crazier. Kim Jong Il & now Kim Jon Un are at the top of the heap. lpn salary

 

B881428

4:46 AM ET

December 25, 2011

although this strategy would

although this strategy would probably be similar to that used against his father - sanctions, talks every now and then but ultimately concentrating on more important issues (states that have oil, not starving peoplePDF Editor for Mac
PDF Editor for Mac

 

HUGO DE TORONJA

1:43 AM ET

December 20, 2011

There's a Reason Why We Have the Word "Crazy"

While it's possible to agree with every one of Mr. Hong's points, it's also possible to reject them in their entirety as unworkable because the North Korean government is not a "rational actor."

As publicly articulated, the North Korean government's political philosophy is, at best, eccentric, and its approach to realpolitik is guided exclusively by a will to power that roils and seethes in a handful of inchoate minds.

It's interesting to note that China, which has never been too cautious about stepping on toes or expressing its desires through brute force, deals quite gingerly with North Korea, as if China knew well that any loud noise or sudden movement might elicit from North Korea an unspeakable, and unforeseeable, outburst that would take costly decades to clean up and repair.

For decades, the loonies who've been running the North Korean government have worked very, very hard to design a society so weak, self-doubting, and fragile, that any disruption of its fundamental structure should only inevitably result in punitive suffering and punishing chaos.

 

SPOOD

3:48 PM ET

December 20, 2011

Kim was crazy like a fox.

The irrational stuff was more pretense than reality. North Korea always acted rationally, just evil. Kim cultivated an image as a crazy person to bolster his efforts to extort cash from his neighbors.

Everything the guy has done has been criminally horrific to his people but to personal benefit. Even the nuclear program was so well publicized internationally that it can only be seen as a way to generate cash for the country through empty threats. His one nuclear test appeared to have either been a failure or faked with lots of conventional explosives. The Youngbun reactor is more of a danger of a Korean Peninsula Chernobyl than as a nuclear weapons plant.

China is treating the situation gingerly because it doesn't want a massive exodus over its borders. They already use North Korean labor under conditions even cheaper and more oppressive than what is usually expected from Chinese workers. [Think about that for a moment, even China is using illegal alien labor!] North Koreans can expect instant deportation and execution at home if caught by Chinese authorities.

What worries me is that North Korea is so denuded by decades of absolute dictatorship that transition would be easy by any autocrat who is able to take control. Its not like the Kims were particularly competent leaders. The apparatus of state oppression hasn't stepped down and can easily be taken over by someone else declaring themselves Magnificent Leader.

 

IRANAWARE

9:39 PM ET

December 20, 2011

I wrote a article on this very thing this morning

..most think im nuts too:) its on wordpress under iamiranaware.wordpress . I think we should completely punk the kid out, tell him they want to keep power,take the deal end of story. If were going to protect Muslims for a couple thousand deaths, why not for a government that has killed millions? I think with the right amount of money and aid we can buy them into reform and giving up the nukes and 2500-3000 tons of chemical weapons..And the best part is forcing China to do most the work with Soul paying for it.. Unlike the Arabs, these people had zero control of their destinies since the 50's..We should help them most definitely.

 

EGYPT STEVE

4:19 PM ET

December 21, 2011

Sure, just another cakewalk.

Anybody who commits the land power of the United States on the continent of Asia ought to have his head examined.

-- Douglas MacArthur

Seriously, we were fought to a stand-still in North Korea in 1953, when we had the most powerful military force in the world, the strongest industrial base in the world, and they were an impoverished agrarian society. Now we're tapped out and they have nuclear weapons.

But hey, no problem. Let's lock and load!

 

MR. INVINCIBLE

6:00 PM ET

December 28, 2011

Sounds Good In Theory

Why would China and Russia want to create greater instability with North Korea? They're fine having North Korea act as a buffer between their borders and the United States which has a strong military presence in South Korea. North Korea has very few allies so China and Russia aren't worried about what might happen to them. I see no reason for them to cooperate, and the actions you propose would just provoke a nuclear powered regime trying to build legitimacy.

 

HEATHERGA

4:41 AM ET

December 30, 2011

Time To Engage

I think now is the time that the US should consider going on a genuine one on one dialogue to negotiate with north korea. And I say, genuine. Not just a half hearted effort or going with an attitude of arrogance or self-righteousness.
I really wish that we also stop all the colored propaganda so that people can see a better picture for themselves including the history that these people went through and not just see the north korea regime as evil to be hated. PI

 

LIZARDO

10:33 AM ET

January 6, 2012

Unification

This fantasy ignores Russia and China's zone of comfort with the status quo. There is not now or anytime soon any outside influence that can mitigate a North Korean military response to any real internal threat. There is no means by which enough people in the North can become aware of dissent, and aware of a need for regime change to spark any 'spontaneous' rebellion.

Add to all that, if the regime feels truly threatened, internally or externally, it can simply begin a war with devastating consequences for the south.

If there is a way to unite the North and South, it is to give the leaders of the North a position and security that they desire. Or in other words, a huge bribe, equal status, personal security and eternal amnesty.

You can see a model of how this could play out in Japan's system of a figurehead god/emperor. Just etch in the Kim family.

 

FFBBFFGMAIL

8:04 PM ET

January 6, 2012

Wrote a article on this very thing ...

If were going to protect Muslims for a couple thousand deaths, why not for a government that has killed millions?...And the best part is forcing China to do most the work with Soul paying for it.. Unlike the Arabs, these people had zero control of their destinies since the 50's..We should help them most definitely.
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