View from the Top

Nine of the world's top international relations scholars weigh in on the Ivory Tower survey.

JAN/FEB 2012

Foreign Policy asked nine giants of the international relations field -- all of them named among the most influential IR scholars by their peers -- to give us their take on the biggest foreign-policy challenges facing the United States. From out-of-control Pentagon spending to the rise of China, here's what they told us to watch out for.

1. What is the top foreign-policy problem/challenge facing the United States, and why?

Francis Fukuyama: Dealing with the rise of China.  China is potentially the second most powerful state in the global state system, and integrating large rising powers has always been a huge challenge for international systems.

Joseph S. Nye: Managing the rise of China in a peaceful manner. If we mess it up, it will affect everything else. And good management requires a balanced "Goldilocks policy"  that is neither too hot nor too cold.

Kenneth Waltz: How to get the Pentagon under control.  Facing no present or foreseeable military threat, we continue to spend ridiculous sums on our military forces.

John Mearsheimer: Its proclivity for getting involved in unnecessary and foolish wars that cannot be won quickly and easily, if at all.

James Fearon: The crazy situation we have gotten ourselves into in Afghanistan and Pakistan, where we are simultaneously trying to crush the Taliban while we are aligned with and providing massive funding for a regime that sees the survival of the Taliban (or subsets of it) as a vital security interest.  It's pretty clear that withdrawing is in our security interest, but unwinding the position without doing terrible humanitarian damage and while retaining an ability to do effective counterterrorism is a major challenge.

Alexander Wendt: Global warming, not just because the long-term threat is potentially so dire, but because in the short-term there are so few incentives for countries to work together and take the hard measures that will be needed to address the problem.  Rather than being a laggard on this front the US should take the lead in bringing the international community together to deal with the problem.

Robert Keohane: The rise of China.

Martha Finnemore: Our own inability to plan and lead internationally.  Our political system has always made this difficult, but dysfunctional politics is not simply a domestic problem.  We are the strongest state in the system. If we cannot organize politically to implement sensible budgets, financial regulation, energy policy, and security measures, we compound global threats and reduce our own ability to deal with them. 

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita: I believe it is the European debt and euro crisis. A collapse of the euro or even a significant shrinkage in the eurozone would throw the global economic system into turmoil as countries struggle to introduce national currencies, creditors are potentially wiped out by writing off of bad debt or inflating it away.

 SUBJECTS:
 

PAULIO655

5:42 PM ET

January 3, 2012

The End of History

Please visit my blog for an analysis of Fukuyama's famous essay http://irblogger.weebly.com/

 

HECTORGREG11

11:41 AM ET

January 27, 2012

seems pretty clear

The biggest problem is the rise of China. They are a force to be reckoned with and are growing quickly, so now is the time to learn how to deal with them and not create another cold war, that has the potential to heat up. China is scary because they are so unpredictable. They have been kept down for so long. I have a friend who works for sourcing companies and he loves China. He recently sourced silk comforters from China and enjoys the cultures too. I will just keep on keeping on at my job selling austin insurance for the time being.

 

SAVANNAHBOB

7:53 AM ET

February 1, 2012

No, the biggest problem is not China, or the US, or the EU

, but rather it is understanding why we have arrived into this century with these confrontational postures. Just as we have observed in certain social insect populations the tendancy for them to self destroy, human society has the same tendencies. I understand that this observation is politically incorrect, but like it or not , where world society is at this moment in time can not be seen from within a particular culture, as in "the problem is China, or the US, or Pakistan," but must be seen from a space platform outside of any individual society to be understood. What is going on in today's world is the result of predictable human behavior patterns that remain undocumented and are essentually primal . We must, if we are to succeed as a species, begin to understand that we do not have the correct tools to end the need for conflict, and that we are flawed. All the posturing we see today is repeated behavior and once understood as not logical, can be defined as deviant and dealt with so that it will not take us back to the dark ages.