Flu Season

Making a superbug that can infect thousands of people is easier than ever. Is there anything governments can do to prevent terrorists from learning how to make a devastating bioweapon?

BY LAURIE GARRETT | JANUARY 5, 2012

Because Fouchier and Kawaoka are funded by the U.S. NIH, their research also had to meet American biosecurity guidelines. And it did -- at least, as those codes are currently conceived.

The rules governing such American research were largely created after the 2001 anthrax scare. Following the attacks, then-Secretary of Health and Human Services Tommy Thompson ordered creation of a cross-government committee to address the dual-use conundrum, finding a way to deter terrorist or other malicious use of scientific discoveries without impeding the pace of basic discovery and invention. The National Science Advisory Board on Biosecurity (NSABB) was the outcome, formally created in 2004. In its original charter, signed by Thompson, the NSABB was supposed to review all questionable research -- every so-called dual-use study -- before experiments were executed. The NSABB was supposed to recommend special precautions, including prohibiting some experiments, and referee decisions regarding ultimate publication of discoveries. In the post-anthrax political environment, Thompson wanted a very tough NSABB, even if it meant some scientists would believe their work was constricted or censored.

By the time, however, that the NSABB convened in late 2011 to review the Fouchier and Kawaoka cases, the board's mandate had been pared down considerably. In a new charter signed by Secretary of Health and Human Services Kathleen Sebelius in 2010, the board functioned in a strictly advisory role, offering no review of experiments themselves. Its primary clout was over publication of the results once the experiments were performed. The scientists who served on the NSABB were themselves opposed to any pre-experimental regulation and had only modest faith in the powers of publication restriction. In 2007, the NSABB advised weakening its own authority, arguing that "a code of conduct can make good people better, but probably has negligible impact on intentionally malicious behavior."

Britain's Research Councils advised a similar policy in 2007, admonishing the government of then-Prime Minister Gordon Brown that, "systems should be based on self governance within the academic community." Similar advisories flowed from scientific expert bodies to governments across Europe, Japan, India, China, South Korea, and several Latin American countries. It seemed scientists wanted no additional oversight over dual-use research and no limits on publication of their discoveries.

"The rules governing the publication of research results follow from the rules for the performance of research," states the Dutch code. "Here too, publication is the rule and non-publication the rare exception."

Following Fouchier's dramatic September speech in Malta, both he and Kawaoka submitted their studies for publication to the American journal Science and Britain's Nature. The NSABB intervened, asking the journals to refrain from publishing pending the board's review. Shortly before Christmas, the NSABB advised that publication of the papers was OK so long as the actual methods used to create the superbugs were excised or so obscured as to be useless guidance for would-be terrorists. That put the entire burden of ethics and global dual-use biosecurity on the shoulders of the editors of these journals. Government punted, instructing publishers to please use their heads.

Bruce Alberts, the current editor of Science, faced similar instruction from the U.S. government in 2005 when Stanford University's Lawrence Wein and Yifan Liu, then also of Stanford, submitted a paper titled, "Analyzing a bioterror attack on the food supply: The case of botulinum toxin in milk." The authors carefully analyzed the expected human kill rates produced by inserting botulinum toxin at various stages of milk production in the United States, from the actual milk farm all the way to supermarket shelves lined with cartons. "We have a reasonably accurate estimate of the number of people who could be poisoned," the authors wrote -- as many as 568,000 victims, with death rates unknown but undoubtedly frighteningly high.

 SUBJECTS:
 

Laurie Garrett is senior fellow for global health at the Council on Foreign Relations and recipient of the 1996 Pulitzer Prize for her coverage of the Ebola outbreak. Her latest book is I Heard the Sirens Scream: How Americans Responded to the 9/11 and Anthrax Attacks.

JAMESMWILSONMD

1:15 AM ET

January 6, 2012

Detection And Warning Of Biotech Accidents

http://biosurveillance.typepad.com/biosurveillance/2012/01/detection-and-warning-of-biotech-accidents-.html

The recent, ongoing controversy about genetic experimentation with pathogens of high potential consequence for global health raises serious questions about our global capability and capacity to 1) detect events associated with accidents of biological technology ("biotechnology"); 2) recognize those signatures; and 3) issue timely warning of such phenomenon to the world in a transparent process free of political tendencies to withold information.

In regards to the recent reports of deliberate genetic experimentation with H5N1 virus, the root question that should have been asked by the media and anyone astutely watching the controversy is why did the US National Institutes of Health (NIH) authorize the expenditure of US taxpayer funds for the experiment in the first place?

Funding from NIH does not happen magically. One has to respond to a Request For Proposals (RFP) with a formal proposal that includes a detailed description of the experiment that is to take place and the justification for that experiment. There is a rather uncomfortable question to be asked of NIH that goes something like this: "Were you aware of the nature of the experiments about to be conducted by these researchers using US taxpayer funds before the experiments were actually executed?"

 

AASPURANI

1:51 PM ET

January 6, 2012

Good article over flu. I

Good article over flu.

I really like this article indeed !!

 

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January 6, 2012

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TOMMYER

10:47 AM ET

January 7, 2012

Thanks for content. the

Thanks for content. the bird-flu virus is scary. juice fountain plus

 

FLD

2:22 PM ET

January 7, 2012

I am against

I am against all sorts of biological weapons. Saying it could reach in terrorist hands then i would say any country who is developing such weapons they are terrorists because this is inhuman.
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JOHNKRINE

2:58 PM ET

January 31, 2012

the world we live in

This is part of the world we live in today and it is a shame that we have to worry about things like this. It makes me want to live in a very remote area where there is no chance of one of these super bombs going off. This might be the only way to protect yourself from something like this effecting you screen printing austin, but maybe there is a way to keep these bombs out of the terrorists hands, but from what I can tell, this is the world that we live in now and there is not much that we can end up doing besides fighting the terrorists and keeping them from progressing technologically. Austin used cars

 

VCHALETS

11:50 PM ET

January 7, 2012

Biological Nightmare

This is such a very real threat and sometimes I wonder if the strains of flu that have been known to mutate so much from year to year area indeed bred or manipulated by such cruel and inhuman people. I suppose somethings we will never know but doesn't it seem ironic that regular old antibiotics just don't cut it anymore ? I honestly abhor seeing articles like this worried about what wacko is sitting home reading them. Good coverage though and well written. Regards,
Cindy at VChalet

 

ADAMCAS

12:09 AM ET

January 9, 2012

Man Made Flu - Oh Dear...

This is scary stuff. We not need worry about violent weapons barreling towards our shores but the unexpected sick day. Yet another fear evoking tactic, but should we really take note of this one? It seems people really are dying of the flu and pneumonia more frequently than ever before.

Kids are most at risk because they lack the strong immune system of an adult. In horror, one day your kid may be missing and you will need to conduct a city wide child search to try and find them as they went delirious from this nightmare of a flu.

This post made me more concerned than anything about politics or other world affairs and war. This is chemical warfare that can run wild even if it is being made by the very people that are supposed to be protecting us. Scientists should not have this type of power, period. One careless mistake and it's floating around in the wind thus airborne ready to infect the entire population.

 

VICTORIA72

7:52 PM ET

January 11, 2012

madness eh

It is extremely dumb to publish papers on or to develop such a virus in the first place, it's unfortunately not as bad as some things in labs belonging to the superpowers. Whilst there's all kinds of treaties against using biological weapons it's never stopped various contries from developing them.

Possibly more damaging are crop diseases, the US had a stockpile of a rice pathogen during the 60's - it's one thing for a virulent disease to be doing the round but quite another to wipe out large amounts of the worlds food stockpile....our inventiveness for cruelty to our fellow man is beyond compare..it's a marvel any of us get to sleep at night with all of this hanging over us.

 

CANOE

1:01 AM ET

January 10, 2012

H5N1

H5N1 is found in Hongkong again, if there any biological weapons can kill such bird-flu virus?

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LEETCH2

2:42 PM ET

January 11, 2012

scary

I read this story on CNN and it was scary. All these viruses all over the place.

 

DAVIDWALKINSON

7:34 AM ET

January 14, 2012

Seconded

My friends are a little paranoid all about this. I'd love to have more transparency about what the development is.

David Walkinson
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