Observing the Observers

The Arab League's monitoring mission in Syria has been a miserable failure, and no international white knight is waiting in the wings. Syrians are on their own.

BY AMAL HANANO | JANUARY 9, 2012

Syria sits at the historical, geographical, and political strategic crossroads of civilization. That definition is etched into every Syrian child's mind from grade school through university. We are taught to believe we occupy the center of the universe and that our land matters on a global scale.

The last 10 months of the Syrian uprising have placed our blood-soaked country at another critical crossroads: with more than 5,000 dead, tens of thousands imprisoned, a brutal family dictatorship fighting for survival, a fragmented opposition, and a suffering people. There is no end in sight to the violence that escalates by the day and no clear vision of Syria's future.

In December, after months of stalling and facing enforced sanctions, the Syrian regime finally seemed to buckle under pressure from the Arab League and agreed to sign a "protocol" ostensibly aimed at quelling the uprising. The agreement called for the regime to remove heavy artillery from urban areas, halt the use of force against civilians, release all political prisoners, and allow independent media into the country. Late last month, an advance team of 15 Arab League observers arrived in Syria on a one-month mission to monitor the regime's compliance with the protocol. They have since increased to 153 observers; that number still falls far below the 500 observers that was part of the original agreement.

"Observe" is a banal word sucked of accountability, responsibility, action -- a fitting way to describe an Arab League mission. Monitoring abuses of power is a function one would not expect from the Arab League, which, let's face it, represents mostly dictatorships and absolute monarchies that have less-than-stellar human rights records. But observing Syria is an activity we have all become complicit in -- observing the meetings, agreements, conferences, opposition groups forming and reforming, while Syrians are killed every day. We debate the conspiracies, the Western/Israeli/American/Saudi/Sunni alliance versus the Eastern/Russian/Iranian/Shiite one, with Palestine strung taut in between. These discussions, devoid of action, build a cruel barrier between ruthless international power games and innocent people who are being played. This is why the Syrian people suspiciously view the Arab League as a protector of the regime and by extension its brutality.

On a personal level, we have taken to consuming our country in tweets, video clips, and Facebook pages -- observing from a distance. Until a brief Skype call sharply pushes you out of the virtual, the political, the abstract, into grounded reality.

His voice is heavy with sleep -- it's the middle of the night in Syria. He is an activist in the southern city of Deraa. He speaks of his city before the observers arrived, how life had been difficult but had become predictable, how the protesters and the shabbiha -- the armed thugs the regime uses to attack and intimidate the opposition -- had come to know each other, understanding and perfecting the game of cat and mouse, where and when to be and not to be.

The observers' arrival changed the rules of the game. The regime sends spies to take pictures of the protesters who dare speak to the observers. Before every excursion, the streets are secured in any way necessary, by bullets or arrests (for the safety of the observers or to preserve what's left of the regime's tarnished image?). The streets of Deraa have to be scrubbed clean of its people, silencing their voices and erasing any sign of dissent, to present an image of control, safely guarded by snipers lurking on rooftops.

The man from Deraa with his steady, unemotional voice knows no report will protect his family, his neighbors, his town, his country. He is too smart to have hope; he relies on steel determination instead.

"When the observers first arrived, the people were extremely optimistic," he tells me. "On the first day the team met with the mayor, so we couldn't do anything. The second day, we invited them to a protest at a martyr's funeral. They said, 'We don't have cars for transportation.' We asked, 'How could the team of observers not have cars?' So we postponed the protest. The third day, we asked them to come and observe the protest, but the regime took them somewhere else. Their work is not even at 1 percent. Nothing is happening. They aren't gathering testimonies from the families. They are witnessing the snipers and the army on the streets. They see this with their own eyes. A stranger walking in the streets would know."

So far, the regime has freed 3,500 prisoners, but an estimated 30,000 more still remain imprisoned, and according to Syrian activists, 5,700 people have been detained since the Arab League mission began. One week before the observers arrived, the regime escalated the crackdown, killing at least 250 people in four days. Since then, the casualties have gone down to an average of a couple of dozen people a day, according to numbers tallied by various human rights groups and local coordination committees.

The Arab League mission has been declared a failure for multiple reasons: the insufficient number of observers to cover all the "hot spots"; the questionable integrity of the head of the mission, Sudanese Lt. Gen. Mohammed Ahmed Mustafa al-Dabi; and the observers' heavily monitored movement by security forces, which limits their ability to "observe." As Qatar's prime minister and head of the Arab League committee on Syria, Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim al-Thani, admitted last week, "There are mistakes, but we went there not to stop the killing, but to monitor." He cited the Arab League's inexperience with leading this type of mission as one of the main concerns.

Failure or not, there have been significant changes to the Syrian revolution's landscape since the Arab League mission began. The regime added tear gas, water cannons, and nail bombs to its arsenal of mass arrests, torture, live ammunition, and sniper fire used to attack protesters. Last Friday, Jan. 7, the people of Damascus awoke to news of an explosion in the Midan, the heart of the city. The location is especially significant as it's a meeting point between restive areas that have been protesting in larger numbers and was supposed to be the site of a large-scale protest later that day. The explosion, dubbed a suicide bombing by state media, killed 26 people and injured dozens more. It mimicked the twin explosions on Dec. 23 in the capital that killed 44 people at the time of the monitors' arrival. (The regime blamed al Qaeda cells operating in Syria for the attacks, reinforcing its story of "armed gangs" behind the uprising.)

The opposition insists these explosions are a sinister plot by the regime to convince the Arab League team of the official narrative and divert the observers from focusing on the deteriorating conditions on the ground. The official state news agency's (SANA's) live coverage of the attack inadvertently exposed signs of staging at the site of the explosion, such as pristine white plastic bags near the pools of blood, perhaps meant to suggest parcels of fruits and vegetables held by the victims before they were ripped apart by the blast.

Although no one has claimed responsibility for the explosions, they fit within the norm of the regime's scaremongering tactics that include inciting sectarian hate, spreading the "armed-gangs" theory, and misleading the observers. As outspoken activist Rami Jarrah, also known as Alexander Page, puts it, "The question isn't, are the observers being taken for a ride, but whether the observers and the Syrian government are taking the people for a ride."

Still, over the last two weeks, protesters have been emboldened to take to the streets in larger numbers. On Friday, Dec. 30, anti-regime demonstrations grew to more than 250,000 people in Idlib and Hama, with more protests erupting across the country, even in previously calm areas such as Aleppo and Damascus. The protests also seem to have preserved their largely peaceful nature, a quality thought to have been lost in the last months of increased violence between security forces and the defected soldiers who form the Free Syrian Army (FSA). The FSA has claimed to have halted attacks on the government while the observers have been in Syria, though the defected soldiers continue to play an important role in protecting the protesters. The last two weeks have also witnessed larger numbers of defectors, including high-ranking Col. Afeef Mahmoud Suleiman, who defected with 50 soldiers.

One of the most important shifts in the revolution during the Arab League mission has been its coverage, not by the media but by citizen journalists. Protesters who have been filming demonstrations and atrocities for months have turned their lens to film the observers filming the regime's atrocities. Their powerful YouTube clips feature the monitors in their bright orange vests surrounded by the sounds of gunfire, confronted with dead bodies of children, and bombarded by protesters' complaints and grievances. Observing the observers has emerged as the people's powerful media weapon against the regime and its propaganda. Khaled Abu Salah, a prominent activist in Homs even confronted Dabi. "Our problem is not with you as individuals," he told him. "Our problem is with the protocol itself. The first article of the protocol is 'stop the killing.' When 15 people die in one day while you're here, then what have we benefited from your presence?" (The Russian Foreign Ministry later said Dabi's remarks about the situation in Syria were "reassuring." He has since claimed the statement as "unfounded and not true.")

But these tactics, while peaceful and successful, sometimes come with a heavy price. Another activist from Homs, Basil al-Sayid, who had filmed clips from the besieged Baba Amr neighborhood for months, was shot by a sniper while attempting to tape another sniper, thus filming his own death.

As part of the "Strike for Dignity," protesters in Homs held a "noise campaign" by banging pots in protest. Tanjara is Arabic for pot, but when transformed to a verb, it means to disregard. Disregard the regime, the Arab League observers, and the world, because the people on the street know they are running this revolution alone -- with chants, flags, cell-phone cameras, and now kitchen utensils.

As the people on the ground carry out these brave, witty tactics, Syrian opposition figures continue to display their disunity. Burhan Ghalioun, president of the leading opposition group, the Syrian National Council (SNC), has asked for a no-fly-zone that a BBC reporter described as "on a smaller scale than the bombing in Libya." His comments came after a jointly signed agreement between the SNC and another opposition group, the National Coordination Committee led by Haytham Manna, which rejected any type of international intervention. According to activists close to the SNC, there is a current race for the next head of the council (the position is on a three-month rotation) between members George Sabra and Samir Nashar. Many Syrians doubt that a leadership change will fix the SNC's deepening credibility problem.

On Sunday, Arab League ministers met in Cairo to discuss the mission's progress. Opposition groups and activists hoped the league would admit the mission's failure to stop the continuing violence and refer Syria's case to the U.N. Security Council. Instead, Secretary-General Nabil Elaraby confirmed the mission would carry on as planned. Another Arab League meeting has been scheduled for Jan. 19 to re-evaluate the observers' progress. On the rejection of any kind of assistance from the United Nations, Elaraby said, "We do not live in an ideal world, and there is no country in the world that is willing to use force."

The Syrian regime, however, is perfectly willing to do so. It has resorted to games and deception, lies and theatrics, constructing mirrors of smoke that hide blood and bodies. In contrast, the Syrian people possess only their will. They express their desires in simple words: freedom, justice, death before humiliation. The world does not understand these concepts, just as it didn't historically understand similar aspirations of other people across the globe. Syria is just another one of those places, though cursed with its strategic location, at the crossroads of civilization and global (dis)interest.

Turning a strategically blind eye has become the norm to Syrians. Once again, the headlines tell the same story: "Arab League Asks Syria to Halt Violence" on a day when activists claim 26 people were killed, and the Syrian regime insists, observed or not, it's going to be bloody business as usual.

Dan Kitwood/Getty Images

 SUBJECTS: SYRIA, MIDDLE EAST
 

Amal Hanano is the pseudonym of a Syrian-American writer. She has published a series of essays on the Syrian revolution at Jadaliyya.com. Follow her on Twitter: @AmalHanano.

EMBYRR

4:04 AM ET

January 10, 2012

Fantastic article. Shared in

Fantastic article. Shared in hopes that more people will read it.

 

JUSTIN STAPLES

9:12 AM ET

January 10, 2012

Why will nobody save Syria..

The answer unfortunately is quite simple, and more so, quite sad. Nobody will save Syria because of the lack of 'personal' interest in the country. No money, no oil, no substantial risk of regional instability - an analysis of US military intervention will quite clearly show that the white knights you speak of will not take action unless there is a definite vested interest in the outcome.

Sadly the welfare of many Syrians that will be negatively affected by this instance of the Islamic revolutions does not qualify for any high moral ground qualifications for intervention by America or it seems any of the other powers that seemed so committed to stopping the atrocities in Libya, for example. I think the whole situation illustrates the rather pathetic state of the political world, and demonstrative of a clear lack of humanity. Hopefully some country or group steps up to the challenge of doing the right thing here. I will not hold my breath.

Justin

 

BHIATT

1:38 PM ET

January 10, 2012

Why won't we help?

Because we will get the same gratitude from the Syrians that we got from Iraqis and Afghans when we freed them from brutal dictatorships and provided them with an opportunity for democracy.

 

KASSIOUN

2:35 PM ET

January 10, 2012

Naive Analysis

Hanano's analysis of the Syria situation is at the least very naiive and repeats what most people read in the media or watch on their TV sets after a good dinner. No analysis just distortion of the media to achieve a hidden agenda.

Reality is a whole different animal and what we're seeing in Syria is a hijacked uprising that started with noble objectives like achieving democracy, but then the spin makers saw the opportunity and moved in to reshape the so called revolution into a change in middle east politics.

You have to take into consideration the role that Qatar is playing and why they are pushing the Syrians so hard. You also need to recognize that there is no lost love between the Syrians and the Saudis who see Syria's alliance with Iran as troublesome and must be ended. Then you have to understand the role the Lebanese warlords are playing to get rid of Hizballah and take back their country with what little sharing of power it can offer to all the different sects. Of course don't forget the US and France and other Western powers who finally see an opportunity to get rid of a defiant and arrogant regime that simply refuses to play along and by using Turkey as the optics of a lesser evil.

The analysis that is missing here is to show how the struggle for the middle east has taken over this revolt and made it as a jockeying for power by Qatar who wants the US to consider it a major player, the Saudis who want to rein in Iran and remove the hizballah control of Lebanon, and the major issue of who will steer the Arab world now that Egypt has tottally dropped out of the power influencing game with the fall of mubarak. The west needs a new power in the Arab world to counteract what they foresee as a rise in islamism. The west already has countries like Qatar and the GCC under their control so as the arab world goes through the change, the West needs a new broker. Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Qatar are fighting for the top spot.

If the Syrians do get help it will be at the cost of destroying their country's infrastructure and giving up the golan for ever. Also Syria will follow the same path that Egypt, Libya and Tunis and will become another Islamist country moving forever backward and turning their back on western ideologies for the sake of religious salvation. No one cares about the Syrians and the sooner the opposition groups realize that, the sooner people will look inward to fix their issues and salvage what ever is left of their country.

Syria has become the game in play and the Syrian regime along with their opponents are being manipulated to achieve someone else's goals and objectives.

 

MUMEN BILNNASR

7:25 PM ET

January 10, 2012

"Kassioun" a misapprehensive commentator

It is a fact that the Arab countries, Europe, USA, Russia, China etc.. have each their own agenda in addressing the Syrian issue and to them the number of Syrian victims of Assad's goons is irrelevant. What is ongoing in reality is that the Syrian people uprising for freedom, democracy and better living conditions is genuine while Assad and associates want to rule Syria and stay in power with no regard to any human value; cost what it may. Assad's mottois : I rule you or I kill you

Amal Hanano has provided an in-depth understanding and anlysis of the problem of the observers in the context of the Syrian tragedy. Amal presented rightly the conditions as a fight between good( the people) and evil( Assad and associates); between the victims and the butchers. In Syria so far, seven thousand plus killed, ten thousand missing and sixty five thousand detainees may not be described as being manipulated. Baby Afaf Mahmoud(five months old) was detained with her father and mother then tortured and killed. Zainab AlHousni from Homs (18 years old) was kidnapped to force her brother to surrender, raped and the mutilated body returned in pieces to her mother : the head, two arms and the torso with the legs. Those are two horrible cases out of thousands of Syrian women with such tribulations. How can these tragedies be described in the 21st century as a game?
You must be referring to the Roman-like games when the lions( Assad and associates) were sent to devour the believers( the Syrian people). Spectators are countries of the world some of them shouting in encouragement like Iran, Russia, China.. etc and other hyppocrites shouting in condemnation. No one lifted a finger to genuinly save the victims.

 

XTIANGODLOKI

2:16 AM ET

January 11, 2012

fantastic comment

The last two paragraphs sum up the reality very well. There are far more to the story which the media so far has failed (or does not wish) to discuss. Of course this is not saying that the Assad is not a bad/ruthless dictator, but to say that other sides interests will ultimately make Syria a better place for its citizens is questionable.

Like Libyans, at this stage the Syrians are screwed. With Western powers sanctioning, Syria's economy is going down the toilet. It's only a matter of time before there would be a civil war, which may or may not (most likely IMO) result in a better government.

 

GOMER_RS

4:40 AM ET

January 11, 2012

the "pure" revolution

There is no pure revolution, no group of people are universality just and right. Many revolutions are successful because of the intervention of foreigners for their own benefit, and this does not invalidate the revolution or the cause.

EG.

The American Revolution would have failed if America hadn't provided Bourbon France, the antithesis of everything the revolution stood for, an opportunity to bloody Britain's nose intervened on behalf of America.

South Korea would be part of a pariah state with most of their population starving to death if the United States and United Nations had not intervened on their behalf. Of course the intervention had much more to do with Communism and the Cold War than Korea.

Soviet support to anti-imperial independence movements. Because they wanted to provide a bloody nose to the imperial powers in the West.

Ad infinum.

If the people of Syria want to exercise their sovereign rights there will be a lot of blood along the way. It doesn't lessen or cheapen the revolution. Their will also be division, because they want democracy after all and democracy is a very divisive form of government.

"The tree of liberty must be watered from time to time by the blood of patriots and tyrants alike" -- Thomas Jefferson.

 

MAIGARI

4:14 PM ET

January 10, 2012

The Syrian situation shows

The Syrian situation shows once again the double standards of the U.S. and the EU when it comes to the Midlle East. The ARab League cannot offer much hope because most of the League members are also dictators and they certainly do not want to change that!
Secondly, I agree with Kassioun that the "Srian Revolution" was hijacked with the hope of 'dealing Tehran and Shiism' a blow for the U.S. and Saudi Arabia respectively and that is the bane of American policy. The region is at best advantage for the U.S. when there is real democractic choice and peace, not this sectarian divide that the U.S. seems to be recklessly pursuing for a very limited short term gain.

 

SPOOD

12:03 AM ET

January 11, 2012

There is no pleasing some people

So if the US does something, it is considered adventurous imperial interventionism and supposedly bad. If they do nothing, they get hammered for ignoring the concerns of non-european people and also supposedly bad.

Frankly, sitting idly by while the world burns around you is not a strategy.

I agree with you the region is at best advantage for the U.S. when there is real democractic choice and peace. The problem being how do we get there from here.

 

AR

11:44 PM ET

January 10, 2012

Foreign agitators. There are

Foreign agitators. There are many Syrians who do not wish to see Assag gone, especially since the fundamentalista will come to power. But Western media, with the aid of Syrian dissidants is playing this up to a much higher degree.
Of course most of the readers of FP only get their source of news from the corporate controlled western media, thus I will be flammed for this comment. But bringing light to those in the dark is a duty that must be carried out from time to time.

Anyway Amal, have at it while it lasts. I'm sure the fundamentalista who will take over won't hurt your family in Syria.....

 

GOMER_RS

4:46 AM ET

January 11, 2012

Why no international support will materialize.

1) the international community, led by the West will not act without a probability of success. Success will require land forces that there is no will to commit. So unless the opposition is able to take territory no intervention

2) the United States doesn't want to trigger a proxy war with Iran.

3) Russia has enough international clout and strategic interest in the current regime to protect it from international interference. Russia doesn't want to lose the place with Syria that the US lost with Iran when the Shah fell.

4) Iran will back Syria to the hilt as long as they can.

5) the public mood in the West is beginning to trend toward, "well none of us are dying so why should we care?"

6) The status quo as it stands is a benefit to all outside powers.

 

KASSIOUN

10:36 AM ET

January 11, 2012

Justice is blind and has no heart

Debating what is going on in Syria needs to be approached in an objective manner to really understand the problem and hoping to find a solution. If you focus on the bloodshed and the civilians who have been killed then your emotions have taken over and you are no longer looking for a solution. That is why we sympathized with people who lost loved ones but we don't let them take their own revenge.

Let's be clear. The Group running Syria is brutal, corrupt and must be changed. You need to understand Syria's history to understand the agony the people are going through and the angry way they are responding to the brutal crackdown. If anyone thought for a second that the Governing group was going to surrender very quickly or pass out roses while the protesters started demanding their fall, then you should go back and turn your TV back on, you'll as much information as you obviously are happy with. This group is reacting exactly as anyone with knowledge of the history of Syria knew they would. The struggle for Syria did not start in March 2011, this is an old fight and has roots since even before the Assads took power. How many have ever heard of Jisr al shugur before last summer, not many. If you read Syria's history you will find this area has had its own history and fights many times before 2011, although it was never publicized at the same levels. The fight with the Muslim brotherhood is old and has had many previous encounters, non publicized as much as this one.

Syria's history has been rocked with violence since its independence from the french in 1945. Ironically the first round was started by the americans who toppled the first democratically elected Syrian Govt and was replaced by a brutal dictator. Sounds familiar. Iran's shah, and many others in the area who did not measure up to the American way of thinking. Read your history and you'll understand why Syrians have faced these problems throughtout their history.

Now back to 2011. And those who still believe this is a revolution for Democracy. Everyone heard the story about the kids in Daraa who came out and wrote graffiti calling for the fall of the Govt. Little known facts, but told by some of those kids themsleves, they were mimmicking a comedy series from the night before where a famous Syrian actor (doreid laham) march on city hall (in the serie) calling for the fall of the Govt. (that would be city hall in the serie). Of course the authorities reacted like goons and hauled to jail where they were beaten senseless. The governor of Daraa, an idito in his own right reacted the same way which started protestors calling for his removal (something that Assad did a few weeks later). This was the event that initiated the "Revolution". Of course, as I stated earlier, the spin makers saw the opportunity and the wheels were put in motion. From Homs, to Hama, to Latakia to Jir al Shagur, the Muslim Brotherhood took the lead as they saw the oppotunity. Of course the Governing group reacted as expected and the so called democracy movement started. In reality, those who started criticism of the Syrian Govt were the same who tried to stop other "domcracy" movements in the Arab spring. DOn't forget the Saudis quickly offered Ben Ali and his family refuge. The saudis and other GCC countries criticsized the Egyptian uprising and fully supported Mubarak. The saudi and GCC members sent is army to Bahrain to stop the uprising. They were all happy to jump on tha band wagon to get rid of gaddafi who had been a thorn for years. Now they are financing the fall of the Assad regime. Read between the lines and put your emoptions aside. Assad has to go, but, do you really want a new group, ruled out of saudi or qatar or do you want Syria to emerge with its own domcratically elected Govt. The opposition needs to call Assads' bluff and offer to work closer under the supervision of the BRICS countries to move towards demcracy. Then maybe Syria will survive.

I read an earlier note talking about the various people who were tortured and killed. That's the sign of a brutal regime and they should be made to answer. But I also caution that you need to filter out the garbage. If your source is the western media, then take it with a grain of salt, you already know what they want. Check out the so called "syrian observatory for human rights" based of out London and has become widely quoted in the western media. You'll find it is a one person office funded out of Dubai and takes their orders from the GCC. The spin makers have great credentials.

 

KASSIOUN

1:44 PM ET

January 11, 2012

If in doubt

Check this out if you're still in doubt:

http://www.moonofalabama.org/2012/01/neocon-israel-mouthpiece-writes-syrian-opposition-policy-paper.html

 

KASSIOUN

2:17 PM ET

January 11, 2012

if you're still skeptical

yet another analysis as to the hijacked Syrian "revolt"

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/MJ22Ak01.html

 

TN275

9:21 PM ET

January 17, 2012

hi

The last two paragraphs sum up the reality very well y8 games y8 flash games y8 hot play