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Why the Chinese Save

Contrary to conventional wisdom, China's high savings rate has everything to do with policy and institutions. Culture, not so much.

BY SHELDON GARON | JANUARY 19, 2012

Sheldon Garon, who teaches in both the history and East Asian studies departments at Princeton, is a leading scholar of Japan. But his timely new book, Beyond Our Means: Why America Spends While the World Saves (Princeton University Press; all rights reserved) takes on an issue that’s also important to contemporary policymakers in transition economies: Why some countries save far more of their income than others.

The received wisdom, heavily influenced by the experience of Japan and the east Asian Tigers, is that families’ decisions about savings are generally driven by cultural values derived from Confucian teachings and are thus largely beyond the reach of government policy. So countries on the cusp of development that lack the savings bug – for example, Mexico and South Africa -- must either import large amounts of capital or make do with lower rates of investment. But in this excerpt, which focuses on China, Garon suggests that savings behavior is far more subject to deliberate government manipulation than is generally understood. – Peter Passell

EXPORTING THRIFT, OR THE MYTH OF "ASIAN VALUES"

To be sure, many East and Southeast Asian societies appear culturally disposed toward thrift. But I question the timelessness and uniqueness of so-called Asian values regarding saving and consumption.

As heretical as it may sound, the widespread “urge to save” in Asian economies has less to do with their shared “Asianness,” and may be more related to their common adoption of savings promotion practices from other countries.

Although European colonial powers introduced some of the methods, the primary catalyst has been Japan and its historic efforts to increase national savings. Before 1945, Japanese imposed the "Japanese model" on their colonies and occupied territories. More recently, Asian nations consciously emulated the policies underlying postwar Japan’s economic miracle.

Following World War II, international organizations and economists advised developing nations to “mobilize domestic savings” to finance growth. By the 1960s, Japan emerged as the poster child in this international campaign. Led by the influential planner Okita Saburo and his Japan Economic Research Center, Japanese economists touted high saving rates and low consumption to explain the nation’s rapid growth—and “its implications for developing countries.”

After the yen sharply appreciated against the U.S. dollar in 1985–87, Japanese officials became outright missionaries for the cause. As Japanese businesses heavily invested in Southeast Asian production, representatives of the government confidently counseled Southeast Asian states to mobilize household savings. Japan’s Postal Savings Bureau played a leading role, funding yearly meetings of Asian government savings bank officials. Japanese bureaucrats would lecture counterparts on the virtues of the nation’s postal savings system, citing its historical success in establishing the “idea of saving in the minds of the people.” The state’s promotion of saving, they asserted, had proved invaluable to curbing inflation, accumulating capital, and stabilizing society at large.

Similarly the Bank of Japan sponsored working seminars on “savings promotion,” which brought together central bank officials from Asia and the Pacific. These meetings marked one more chapter in the little-known story of learning from the Japanese experience among emerging Asian economies—including South Korea, Singapore, Malaysia, and China.

FREDERIC J. BROWN/AFP/Getty Images

 

Sheldon Garon is the Nissan Professor in Japanese Studies at Princeton University.

YOZINET

4:35 PM ET

January 19, 2012

Beyond our means

If the financial crisis has taught us anything, it is that Americans save too little, spend too much, and borrow excessively. What can we learn from East Asian and European countries that have fostered enduring cultures of thrift over the past two centuries? Beyond Our Means tells for the first time how other nations aggressively encouraged their citizens to save by means of special savings institutions and savings campaigns. The U.S. government, meanwhile, promoted mass consumption and reliance on credit, culminating in the global financial meltdown.

Many economists believe people save according to universally rational calculations, saving the most in their middle years as they plan for retirement, and saving the least in welfare states. In reality, Europeans save at high rates despite generous welfare programs and aging populations. Americans save little, despite weaker social safety nets and a younger population. Tracing the development of such behaviors across three continents from the nineteenth century to today, this book highlights the role of institutions and moral suasion in shaping habits of saving and spending. It shows how the encouragement of thrift was not a relic of indigenous traditions but a modern movement to confront rising consumption. Around the world, messages to save and spend wisely confronted citizens everywhere--in schools, magazines, and novels. At the same time, in America, businesses and government normalized practices of living beyond one's means.

Transnational history at its most compelling, Beyond Our Means reveals why some nations save so much and others so little.

Sheldon Garon is the Nissan Professor of History and East Asian Studies at Princeton University. His books include Molding Japanese Minds: The State in Everyday Life (Princeton) and The State and Labor in Modern Japan.

Reviews:

"Garon's policy recommendations could help shift the national trend towards saving more and position Americans towards greater financial health."--Worth

"[O]ne of the world's leading authorities on the history of saving."--Joshua Rothman, Boston Globe

Endorsements:

"Beyond Our Means shows that we need more than economics and psychology to determine how societies save and spend. Garon reveals the history of farsighted reformers, politicians, and bankers who actively shaped the norms, incentives, and institutions that turned rising earners into savers. He delivers strong lessons for those who worry about today's overspent America."--Jonathan Morduch, New York University

"Sheldon Garon is the world's leading historian on household saving, and never has his work been more timely. In Beyond Our Means, he offers outstanding historical scholarship, remarkably engaging reading, and practical insights for addressing our current financial mess."--Michael Sherraden, Washington University in St. Louis

"Garon's insightful and provocative new book couldn't be more important, and couldn't be more timely. The prosperity of Americans, and America, now depends on creating porno a nation of savers and investors, and Garon shows us the way by bringing the experience and lessons of nations worldwide right into our hands."--Ray Boshara, senior advisor at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

"This is an important and timely book. It effectively makes the case for viewing savings behavior neither as primarily a cultural trait nor one produced by market forces, but as something fundamentally shaped by policy, politics, and institutions. Beyond Our Means is an uncommon pleasure to read."--Andrew Gordon, author of The Wages of Affluence.

 

PARIAHSTATE83

11:27 PM ET

January 19, 2012

Spending Twice as Much as what We Make

Here is our government's example still going on today:

We spend nearly twice as much as what we make as a country/government in the US.

How long do you think this dream will last? Not long at all.

Since the people will not want to "give", that means that the government wil be forced to continue to artificially inflate the currency, thus robbing it from us one way or another. No politician will be popular enough if he makes the hard choices of saying enough is enough, stop spending.

No one wants to do that, so we kick the can down the road.

China are savers because they know better, and shame on us for living a pipe dream.

If only we could turn back the hands of time and do it all over again... Still I think we would make the same mistakes.

Are we doomed? I sure hope not, but the prognosis is not good and the patient doesn't want to take the pill that the doctor doesn't want to prescribe.

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JOHNKRINE

8:37 PM ET

February 1, 2012

its in their DNA

When you go through what they Chinese went through with the Great Leap Forward and the Cultural Revolution, you learn that things can disappear overnight and it is best to save for the future. Just like the generations in the US who went through the great depression, they were forever affected by this and were a generation of savers. Unfortunately, most Americans these days do not know how to save their money, and are constantly spending, so they live in a false illusion of things being better than they are....things can disappear over night, just ask anyone in a florida rehab and they will tell you that is the fact with life. We should learn something from the Chinese in this case.

 

BING520

8:31 PM ET

January 19, 2012

Culture & Saving

I enjoy reading this, but am not completely convinced. To test his theory, Garon must demonstrate that if the same policy and institutions were to be carried out in the US, American consumers would save significantly more. Of course we know it can't be tested easily. But can we infer by examining Hong Kong and Macau? Hong Kong was managed by UK until 1997, and Macau, by Portuguese government. If UK did not have the similar policy and institutions in Hong Kong and people (99% Chinese) in HK saved more, the validity of Garon's theory would be undermined and it would not be incorrect to say the culture plays an important role in a nation's saving rate. I don't know much about exactly what UK did in HK. Nor do I know the saving rate in HK, but I am skeptical Hong Kong folks saved significantly less than Taiwanese or Singaporeans or Japanese. If they did save much less, HK would stand out as a big spender among thrifty East Asian nations.

Encouraging saving is part of these Asian nations' industrial policy. Could it be that Confucius teaching nurtures the propensity in people to save and consequently a national policy to encourage people to save has worked well? If the US adopts the same policy and institutions, we would not achieve a similar result.

Kodak invented the digital camera and now filed Chapter 11. Kodak did not want to make digital cameras because it would hurt its film business and cause poor quarterly earning reports. Xerox invented laser printers but makes no laser printer today because it would take too much time and money to make its invention commercially viable and produce dismal quarterly earnings. If we had high saving rate and a policy to encourage long-term investment, we could help lower the cost of long-term capital and our creative companies might not have to produce impressive quarterly earning reports to satisfy Wall Street. Culturally we must stop using plastic cards as if there were no tomorrow and culturally we must accept the role of government to encourage people to save.

 

KALIM ALAKA

8:52 PM ET

January 19, 2012

Beyond Our Means

Ben Cohen from ABC Realty in Braintree, Mass. " Don't worry what someone puts in his pocket, concentrate on what you are putting in your pocket."
If the value of the dollar was constant then the propensity to save would be greater than the desire to consume. You will note the depreciation of the dollar began when the government ceased coining with silver in 1963 and continued with the uncoupling of gold with the dollar in 1973.
What the world needs are more policy wankers, economic technocrats, apparatchiks, central bankers, and arrogant experts to tell the hoi polloi how to save and on what to spend its money, not.

 

AUSSIE IN CHINA

10:01 PM ET

January 19, 2012

Far from promoting saving,

Far from promoting saving, the Chinese government is promoting spending which is evident especially in rural areas where such initiatives as the elimination of taxes, free education and subsidies on household and white goods have been introduced to increase the people's spending power.

Also, most discussions about Chinese savings forget to factor in what has been conservatively estimated at 1.5 trillion Yuan of undeclared income floating around the countryside

In our situation, we are a middle class family of two living comfortably in a rural location with a monthly income of 10,000 yuan and our monthly consumption all inclusive rarely exceeds 2500 yuan.

Our son on the other hand living in Beijing with a monthly income of 8000-8500 Yuan and a 5000 Yuan monthly mortgage still manages to live a comfortable modern lifestyle and save money.

In general, Chinese are low consumers by nature and habit stemming from past experiences of getting by on the smell of an oily rag.

 

ALEXANDER JAMES

10:40 PM ET

January 19, 2012

My cousin in China

@Aussie, There is lots of spending promotion going on in China because they're attempting to transition from an export economy to a self-sustaining internal based service economy modeled after the US.

Hopefully, there government's financial policies are better and sustainable.

Inflation is hitting local areas, both rural and urban, but local business are still seeing more customers and robust spending in major parts of the country. Real estate bubble could be a real nightmare though.

 

ALEXBC

11:42 AM ET

January 20, 2012

He's Exactly Right

Culture is literally the least scientific, least quantifiable means of explaining why some countries save and others spend. High savings rates are more or less forced upon surplus countries like Japan, Germany, and China by their policies. More advanced countries with more fragmented economic policy (read: the US) simply run the deficits that must correspond to these surpluses.

And please, when will people stop chiding America for its profligate ways? That profligacy is the primary reason that China and its surplus brethren grew in the first place: without so much external demand, the massive build-up in infrastructure and the export industries would have collapsed due to nonexistent internal demand (Chinese consumers constitute an ever-shrinking portion of the GDP pie).

There really is no moral equivalency related to surplus/deficit. Countries are not people, and the saving/spending relations between countries are a far different animal that any individual's relationship with his credit card company or local bank. For example, the US does not so much "borrow" money from China as it does persuade China to deposit money in the U.S.

 

SUPAH

3:22 AM ET

January 24, 2012

True

Haha I love the way you used "Asianness" :D. But its true, we have all the means and opportunities to save lots, but we just don't apply it. Asian communities are adopting savings practices and such from other countries and are probably striving more than the countries they are adapting from. The age old stereotype of asians being better with numbers is no longer just a stereotype. free itunes codes

 

PAULTHOMSE-23

8:38 AM ET

January 24, 2012

Japan’s Postal Savings Bureau

Japan’s Postal Savings Bureau played a leading role, funding yearly meetings of Asian government savings bank officials than the countries they are adapting from.
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ALI MANN

1:00 PM ET

February 16, 2012

The validity of Garon's

The validity of Garon's theory would be undermined and it would not be incorrect to say the culture plays an important role in a nation's saving rate. I don't know much about exactly what UK did in HK. Nor do I know the saving rate in HK, but I am skeptical Hong Kong folks saved significantly less than Taiwanese bwin bonus or Singaporeans or Japanese. If they did save much less, HK would stand out as a big spender among thrifty East Asian nations. Encouraging saving is part of these Asian nations' industrial policy. Could it be that Confucius teaching nurtures the propensity in people to save and consequently a national policy to encourage people to save has worked well? If the US adopts the same policy and institutions, we would not achieve a similar result.If we had high saving rate and a policy to encourage long-term investment, we could help lower the cost of long-term capital and our creative companies might not have to produce impressive quarterly earning reports to satisfy Wall Street. Culturally we must stop using plastic cards as if there were no tomorrow and culturally we must accept the role of bwin government to encourage peopleIf we had high saving rate and a policy to encourage long-term investment, we could help lower the cost of long-term capital and our creative companies might not have to produce impressive quarterly earning reports to satisfy Wall Street. Culturally we must stop using plastic cards as if there were no tomorrow and culturally we must accept the role of government to encourage people