The New Asian Tiger?

Ten things you didn't know about Vietnam's rise. 

BY MARCO BREU, RICHARD DOBBS | FEBRUARY 23, 2012

It's clear that much has changed in Southeast Asia since the Vietnam War. Over the past 25 years, Vietnam has transformed itself. In 2007, Vietnam became a full-fledged member of the global economic community through its membership in the World Trade Organization. It has become a magnet for foreign investment and is evolving rapidly from an agricultural economy to one focused on higher-value manufacturing and services. But if Vietnam wants to sustain its remarkable growth, it will need to boost labor productivity in the industrial and service sectors in the years ahead.

Here are 10 takeaways from the McKinsey Global Institute report "Sustaining Vietnam's Growth: The Productivity Challenge" that might surprise you.

1. Vietnam has grown more rapidly than any other Asian economy except China.

Vietnam, a country once ravaged by war, has been one of Asia's economic success stories over the past quarter-century. Ever since the Communist Party introduced reforms known as "Doi Moi" ("Renovation") in 1986, the country has reduced barriers to trade and capital flows and opened the economy more widely to private business. During this period, the economy has expanded faster than any other Asian economy except China's, posting annual per capita GDP growth of 5.3 percent. This growth has continued in the face of the 1990s Asian financial crisis and the recent global economic downturn (the economy grew 7 percent per year from 2005 to 2010) -- a more robust record than many other Asian economies can boast.

HOANG DINH NAM/AFP/Getty Images

 

Marco Breu leads McKinsey & Company's Hanoi office.

Richard Dobbs is a McKinsey director based in Seoul and a director of the McKinsey Global Institute, the business and economics research arm of McKinsey.

CUTEGIRL36

10:44 PM ET

February 23, 2012

Ok

B?o Tính Minh Châu is the address of the most best selling gold in Vietnam - fire games.

 

DBT9200

3:19 AM ET

February 24, 2012

Explain Services in Vietnam

This article mentions the services industry a few times but never really specify. Does anyone know of any financial/business services that Vietnam offers that are on the rise?

I want to know this because I'm keen on going back to work and eventually open a business.

 

NGUYEN1975

5:50 AM ET

February 28, 2012

Don't ever believe that.

Dear Mr/Ms,
I know my English is not good, but I'm just trying to say you one thing, one I can sure, you should never believe in these stuff.
I'm Vietnamese, and I love my country. But I don't want any one lose his/her money on investing in Vietnam this moment, when the economy is actually very very bad and these things in this article no more than some lies.
Come back Vietnam several years later, when we already have a well-performed economy base on democracy and human right.
I am not telling that the writer is writing lies, but what he/she wrote is untrue.

I'm so sorry if what i wrote here sound offending but I didn't mean that, just because of my bad English.

Trustfully,

Nguyen

 

VANESSA62

4:40 AM ET

February 24, 2012

Vietnam infrastructure

FYI: enterprises in Vietnam complain about insufficient transport infrastructure though the country’s infrastructure market continues to score quite well, downside risks from market volatility and country risk have further dragged down the overall score. Corruption still remains a problem and is likely to continue to impede infrastructure development until government reforms can change the landscape.
Vietnam should concentrate on raising the quality rather than quantity of FDI projects to develop infrastructure.

Those metrics used in this article are absolutely nonsense!

 

GJS

9:46 AM ET

February 24, 2012

Do it your own way Vietnam

Once they talk of labour productivity improvements look out, Vietnam would do much better for themselves if they don't listen to the west, just look at what Western Government economics have reduced all us to in the west.
I wish Vietnam well, god knows they deserve something good to happen to them, I just hope they don't let the IMF & Co f**k them like in the west !

 

PARVUS

12:34 AM ET

February 25, 2012

Political what??

"Vietnam has many intrinsic strengths -- a young labor force, abundant natural resources, and political stability."

Wow. Do the words "Communist dictatorship" mean anything to the writers of this piece?

Sure, you can say that Vietnam has "political stability," much in the same way that say, Pinochet's Chile or Assad's Syria were "stable" for many years.

Let's not forget that Vietnamese citizens continue to be jailed simply for holding views that run counter to those of the Communist Party rulers. Calling for democracy gets you a prison sentence.

Great place to do business right?.....

 

JOSHUAFP

11:00 PM ET

February 25, 2012

New Asian Tiger - Vietnam Not The Hubs

Actually Singapore can be best described as Asian Tiger - see how the economic growth, infrastructure and political. Follow behind is Malaysia, small country with a big economic growth. I think Vietnam cannot become WP Hubs for economic Asian country.

 

JIM_IN_SAIGON

7:12 AM ET

February 26, 2012

New Asian Tiger -Vietnam?

I cannot believe that short a late-dated puff piece on Vietnam could appear in your magazine.

I am an American who has lived and worked in Vietnam for over a decade. All of the bits of information revealed in "Things you don't know about Vietnam" ARE known by all. These bits of trivia have been printed weekly in VN-government published business journals and such for years. And the authors negligently failed to inform their readers of the perils that are consequences of Vietnam's rapid economic growth. "Rapid credit growth?" Cool! If you like inflation hovering around 20% per annum. Plus, there is a commercial office space overhang whose bubble will soon burst and cause many banks here to fail. Oh, by the way. SME's here are NOT profitable at present, according to a VN economist who spoke to the expat business community recently.

"Political stability?" Yes. A one-party government does shorten the debate regarding national policy. But how does this rate as far as responsiveness to the people? A quick look at VN government literature will regularly refer to: "The Party, the State and the people." (In that order.) The will of the people is a slogan. And the author's comments about Vietnam having more roadways than Thailand is terribly misleading and fails to mention that motor vehicle registration and sales have been growing exponentially, while city streets have not been improved upon since the French occupied the nation. Traffic here is so dysfunctional that tourists film it and post it to You Tube.

Although I have a great love for Vietnam and its people, I could not, in good conscience, recommend any Westerner (Except those companies with internationally-recognized brands) to invest here unless they thoroughly investigated the unique characteristics of Vietnam, its culture and its people. I pity any fool who has relied upon this singular article to make an informed decision about Vietnam.

Do right by your readership! Tell them the whole story and don't lead them down some primrose path.

 

PHILBERT

3:51 PM ET

February 26, 2012

How many?

According to the CIA (https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/vm.html) Vietnam has slightly over 91 million inhabitants. How could they have had 170 million phone subscribers in 2010? Even if some people have both a landline and a cell phone, that seems ridiculous, especially for a third world country.

 

NHIPHAM

11:11 AM ET

February 28, 2012

The reason is

Many mobile phone networks in Vietnam have promotional campaigns for sim card. The consumer can buy a prepaid sim with a higher account than the cost that they pay for the sim. For example, you can buy a prepaid sim wich costs $4, but you can have $8 in your account. Therefore, people just buy another prepaid sim when the account in the old sim was out of money. That's why Vietnam has that much phone subcribers.
Sorry for my bad English.

 

NICKSTER

10:40 PM ET

March 12, 2012

mobile phones

@ PHilbert - the answer is that many young people have multiple SIMs and phones. SIMs are very cheap and it's easy to get a functioning used phone for $5. WIth multiple mobile operators offering different tariff packages (free calls to subscribers on same network etc) and many short-term promotions, cash-strapped students and young professionals find it worth their while to play the market and use multiple SIMs and phones to keep the costs down (without affecting their addiction to chatting on phones - including while riding motorbikes around town - and SMSing).

It is remarkable, but I can attest to it personally. I have given up saving the mobile phone numbers of anyone under 30 because the next day they will call me from another number then send me an SMS from a third....

 

NICKSTER

10:40 PM ET

March 12, 2012

mobile phones

@ PHilbert - the answer is that many young people have multiple SIMs and phones. SIMs are very cheap and it's easy to get a functioning used phone for $5. WIth multiple mobile operators offering different tariff packages (free calls to subscribers on same network etc) and many short-term promotions, cash-strapped students and young professionals find it worth their while to play the market and use multiple SIMs and phones to keep the costs down (without affecting their addiction to chatting on phones - including while riding motorbikes around town - and SMSing).

It is remarkable, but I can attest to it personally. I have given up saving the mobile phone numbers of anyone under 30 because the next day they will call me from another number then send me an SMS from a third....

 

MARKBLAKRE

6:21 PM ET

February 26, 2012

Where is the girl which was

Where is the girl which was in cover page?? :O

 

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7:38 PM ET

February 26, 2012

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LEESMALLWOOD

3:31 PM ET

March 4, 2012

New Asian Tiger - shared services to ease & support the economy

Vietnamese equities have got off to a great start this year and the return of foreign interest was probably one of the most important themes in February.

What had started to 'drip' in January of foreign inflows - turned to a deluge of foreign funds in Feb.

So how can the Vietnamese support this growth? Potentially the rise in shared services i.e. couriers will enable the country to reduce similar types of expenditure and share in the rewards.

 

DAVESPARKS

4:08 AM ET

March 20, 2012

Vietnams future

Its good to hear that Vietnam is doing well for itself after a devastating era, with its current growth I see it doing very well in the future. Registered Medical Assistant