
1. The first
armed drones were created to get Osama bin Laden.
In 1998,
U.S. President Bill Clinton's administration shut down an operation to kill the
al Qaeda leader in Afghanistan with cruise missiles, given collateral damage
estimates of 300 casualties and only 50 percent confidence in the intelligence.
As the 9/11 Commission noted, "After this episode Pentagon planners intensified
efforts to find a more precise alternative." In 2000 and 2001, the U.S. Air
Force struggled to reconfigure a Hellfire anti-tank missile to fit onto a
Predator surveillance drone. Meeting one week before the 9/11 attacks, the
National Security Council agreed that the armed Predator was not ready to be
operationally deployed. The first known killing by armed drones occurred
in November 2001, when a Predator targeted Mohammed Atef, a top al Qaeda
military commander, in Afghanistan.
2.
So far,
drones tend to crash.
On Dec.
4, an RQ-170 Sentinel surveillance
drone crashed in Iran; a U.S. official involved in the program blamed a lost
data link and another unspecific malfunction. Two weeks later, an unarmed
Reaper drone crashed at the end of a runway in the Seychelles. "This should not
be a surprise," a defense official told Aviation Week &
Space Technology, saying the United States had already lost more
than 50 drones. As of July 2010, the Air Force had identified 79 drone
accidents costing at least $1 million each. The primary reasons for the
crashes: bad weather, loss or disruption of communications links, and "human
error factors," according to the Air Force. As Lt. Gen. David Deptula, former
Air Force deputy chief of staff for intelligence, has noted with refreshing
honesty, "Some of the [drones] that we have today, you put in a high-threat
environment, and they'll start falling from the sky like rain."


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