Shalom, Beijing

Israel and China just celebrated 20 years of friendship. But will this new special relationship come to the breaking point over Tehran?

BY OREN KESSLER | MARCH 13, 2012

Since then, Israel has barred its companies from selling China any kind of high-tech military equipment that might aggravate relations with Washington. Nevertheless, despite the ban, intergovernmental ties and intelligence-sharing have flourished. Ehud Barak visited China in June 2011 -- the first Israeli defense minister to do so in a decade. Gen. Chen Bingde, head of the People's Liberation Army's General Staff, landed in Israel two months later in the first-ever visit of a Chinese military chief to Israel Defense Forces headquarters in Tel Aviv. The exact purpose of Chen's visit remains unclear; the Chinese Defense Ministry said only that he had arrived to "deepen understanding, enhance friendships, expand consensus and promote cooperation."

As Chinese-Israeli cooperation deepens and expands, one issue is becoming harder to avoid: Iran. China is Iran's largest destination for exports -- it buys 80 percent of Iran's oil -- and its second-largest source of imports (barely edged out by the trade hub of Dubai). Chinese trade with Iran is valued at over $30 billion -- at least three times larger than Chinese trade with Israel -- and is projected to reach $50 billion by 2015. And with sanctions edging Western companies out of Iran, China has rushed in to fill the void: At least 100 state-run companies now operate in the Islamic Republic, many heavily invested in its fuel and infrastructure industries.

The Chinese officially support a peaceful Iranian nuclear program, but have dragged their feet in condemning Tehran's move toward weapons-grade uranium enrichment. They grudgingly voted in favor of all U.N. Security Council resolutions condemning Iran, but each time expressed reservations over the imposition of sanctions and urged more time be given for negotiations.

"China only agreed to sanctions that don't apply real pressure on Iran -- namely, those that don't touch its financial or energy sectors," says Yoram Evron of the University of Haifa and the Institute for National Security Studies. "China's participation might have given the sanctions legitimacy, but it has effectively weakened international pressure."

"The Chinese want to irk the Americans," adds Yitzhak Shichor, also of the University of Haifa. "If, for example, the U.S. says it wants to sell arms to Taiwan, the Chinese can do nothing but weep and wail -- instead they react on the Iranian front."

For years, Israeli officials have attempted to convince Beijing to change course on Tehran. In February 2010, a high-level Israeli delegation again traveled to China, ostensibly to reiterate the dangers posed by a nuclear-armed Iran. This time they tried a different tack: explaining the consequences of an Israeli strike on that program -- a prospect they described as inevitable should sanctions fail. "They really sat up in their chairs when we described what a preemptive attack would do to the region and on oil supplies they have come to depend on," an Israeli official said at the time.

The campaign appears to have paid off, and by mid-2010, China's tone had perceptibly changed. In June of that year, when the Security Council slapped Iran with a fourth round of sanctions, Beijing abandoned its initial opposition and ultimately backed the resolution, saying it supported a "two-way method" of continued talks alongside harder sanctions. This January, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao issued an unusually blunt warning that his government "adamantly opposes" Iran's nuclear-weapons drive.

China's apparent shift has not gone unnoticed in Tehran. In 2010 Ali Akbar Salehi, then head of Iran's Atomic Energy Organization, cautioned that "Beijing might gradually lose its respectable status in the Islamic world and wake up when it is already too late."

These days, China's diplomatic waltz -- keeping one foot in Tehran and the other in Tel Aviv -- is beginning to look increasingly awkward. As the People's Republic discovers the Jews, it should remember an old Yiddish proverb: You can't dance at two weddings at once.

Moshe Milner/GPO via Getty Images

 

Oren Kessler is Middle East affairs correspondent for the Jerusalem Post.

ROB634

8:33 PM ET

March 13, 2012

Don't doubt China's realpolitik

I don't doubt the shared values between the Jewish people and the Chinese for one second; if I were more clever I'd have a joke about Chinese restaurants on Christmas day.
But shared values don't make alliances, shared interests do. And I don't doubt for a second that China would throw Israel under the bus to secure oil supplies from the Persian Gulf. And I'm not singling out China here. The United States is the only truly loyal ally that Israel has. We're gonna have our disputes, especially when Israel has a right-wing government and the US has a centrist one, but ultimately the American commitment to Israel is deeply seeded and irreplaceable.
In the meantime, I hope that the Israeli economy benefits from China's rise. One day I'd like to see a Palestinian economy that benefits from an Israeli economic boom driven by their cashing in on a peace dividend.

 

TARQUINIS

10:46 AM ET

March 15, 2012

PRC not in favor of Israeli attack on Iran

China's ambassador to the European Union says any potential military confrontation with Iran over its nuclear energy program will be a “disaster” for the global economy.

"I couldn't think of any worse proposals to resolve the Iranian issue than resolving it by force," Wu Hailong said in a Friday briefing with foreign journalists, The Wall Street Journal reported.

Touching upon the financial ramifications of any potential aggression against the Islamic Republic, he said, "I don't know what kind of disaster there could be in oil prices." Wu, formerly China's ambassador to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), further warned against setting any kind of deadlines to produce a breakthrough in the upcoming multifaceted talks between Iran and the six major world powers. "I think patience is one of the most important things," he said.

On Thursday, the P5+1 - comprising of Russia, China, France, Britain, the US, and Germany - expressed their readiness to resume multifaceted talks with Iran. Tehran also says it is ready to continue negotiations based on common ground. Iran and the P5+1 have held two rounds of multifaceted talks, one in Geneva in December 2010 and another in Istanbul, Turkey in January 2011.

The United States, Israel and some of their allies accuse Tehran of pursuing military objectives in its nuclear energy program.

Iran has refuted the allegations, arguing that as a signatory to the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and a member of the IAEA, Tehran is entitled to peaceful use of nuclear technology.

 

PEACEATALLCOSTS

7:36 PM ET

March 15, 2012

Please Get Real...

Israel has a gun to her temple.(no pun intended) Perhaps you are not familiar with Jewish history-but when a madman says he is going to exterminate you, it is best to take it seriously.

It is quite funny that you consider our current US regime to be centrist. By your thinking, Hugo Chavez is a centrist.

Israel has no friends in the US executive branch. Poor Obama has to deal with Bibi and Israel everyday. Ask Sarkozy.

 

JLINKER613

9:37 PM ET

March 13, 2012

Perhaps you should discuss

Perhaps you should discuss the far stronger Indo-Israeli entente. India has actually displaced America as the most pro-Israel country on earth. 52% of Americans support Israel, compared to 56% of Indians. In fact when India needs its aging Soviet made weapons modernized, it goes to Israel (who took in a million Jews and non-Jewish relatives after the collapse of the USSR) not Russia.

Belive it or not, Israel has many non-US friends. Czech Republic, Poland, Greece and Cyprus (whom Israel has military alliance with), Armenia, Azerbaijan, Somaliland, Ethiopia, Eritrea, South Sudan, Darfur, Serbia, Singapore, and Italy just to name a few. Italy even vouched for Israeli membership in the EU.

------------------------------------------
So a Jew and a Chinese man are talking to one another and they start talking about their respective histories.

The Chinese man says his history goes back 5000 years.
The Jewish man says his history goes back some 5500 years.

The Chinese man stops and think for a minute, and then shouts
"What were you eating for 500 years!"
-------------------------------------------
So a Jew and a Chinese man are sitting at a bar. The Jewish American slaps the Chinese guy's drink off the bar. The Chinese guy asks what for, and the Jew says "For Pearl Harbor!". The Chinese guy says, it was Japanese not Chinese. The Jew then said "Chinese, Japanese, what's the difference?"

The Chinese man waits a minute and then slaps the Jewish man's drink. The asks "was that for my slapping your drink?" and the Chinese man says "No! That was for sinking the Titanic!"

The Jew was puzzled by this response, and said to the Chinese man that it was an iceberg that sunk the Titanic. The Chinese man then said to the Jew "Friedberg, Goldberg, Iceberg, What's the difference!?"

 

IAN GRAY

7:51 AM ET

March 14, 2012

It's actually

very funny to see Israeli propaganda tools trying desperately to show the apartheid regime in Israel has "friends."
Let's look at its real friends:
1) AIPAC and its tools
2) US Congress (11% approval rating - the most hated institution in America's history)
3) Christian freaks who pray for the Rapture so that JC can come down and kill or convert all the Jews
4)Anyone that money can buy, as long as the money flows.

Please don't insult our intelligence. Chinese couldn't care less about Israel. In fact, Israel is a major headache for them since it destabilizes energy prices.

In the long run, the only solution for the Jewish people to have a country is for them to make peace with their neighbors. Nothing can buy that as we saw after the ilk of Mubarak disappeared.

 

SPOOD

11:14 AM ET

March 14, 2012

Usual drek from the anti-israel crowd

"Please don't insult our intelligence."

You have to be displaying intelligence in the first place to be insulted. There was none. All you gave was a rehash of the usual silly half-baked arguments bordering on blaming "the evil Jewish conspiracy" for all of your ills.

So now the latest trope is to blame Israel for rising oil prices? Its a lot less direct than the usual crap you guys engage in but its still based on nothing more than nonsense.

Never mind that the majority of oil producing states outside of North America and Europe are absolute dictatorships with rampant economic and political issues. It must be the fault of evil Israel. Whatever.

 

FREETHINKER12

11:45 AM ET

March 14, 2012

learn to read

if you read the article you would realize isreal told china that if it attacks Iran oil prices will rise to get CHina to agree to sanction Iran. So Isreal is responsible for high gas prices, by their own admission

 

SPOOD

2:16 PM ET

March 14, 2012

I understood the article, you are flinging poo

You seem to have trouble with the concepts of cause and effect as well as past and future tense.

You blamed Israel for current rising gas prices yet your support is talk of an act which has not happened (in all likelihood won't). It tells me you are pre-disposed to blame Israel for things for the hell of it.

Of course it also ignore the fact that Iran is doing as much as possible to fan the flames of hysteria in this situation.

But why hold yourself to things like facts or logic when screeds have been serving you well so far?

 

FREETHINKER12

9:32 AM ET

March 15, 2012

fool

isreal sabre rattling and constant talk of bombing iran has raised oil prices. Speculators are pushing prices up in the chance isreal might go it alone before the election. How much was gas before all this attack nonsense 3months ago? 50 or 60 cents a galloon less.

Isreal is responsible for high oil prices, if they attack iran they will be responsible for extremely high oil prices.

Oil markets price in potential of disruptions and especially conflict in the middle east

 

JBIRDMENJ

12:19 PM ET

March 15, 2012

the only solution for the Jewish people to have a country

Ian, While peace would be wonderful, at this point it requires that the Palestinians:
* Drop their demand for a right to return to (what is left of) Israel
* Recognize Jewish rights in Jerusalem

Remember also that (assuming that) Israel has nuclear weapons and will (hopefully) use them if they are about to be eliminated militarily or if the world is going to impose an economic boycott or sanctions.

Also remember that just like the Palestinians, Israel can also abandon the peace process and try another approach, which they may do if the USA ever decides to allow UN sanctions against Israel. It would be better for all concerned if the gap between what Israel is willing to offer and the Palestinians are willing to accept be narrowed and a peace treaty be agreed to.

 

FREETHINKER12

10:47 AM ET

March 14, 2012

china is no friend of isreal,

china is no friend of isreal, they know better. They are just using isreal until they arent needed and wont hesitate to throw them under a bus when the opportunity arrives. China knows better than to truly tangle with isreal. Zionists have destroyed Russia and are on the verge of destroying america. They know better than to be the next host for a parasite

 

ZORRO

11:16 AM ET

March 14, 2012

Another Thing In Common

Both countries have conquered populations that they need to suppress.
The U.S. exterminated its native populations and so does not have the same problem.

 

IAN GRAY

3:01 PM ET

March 14, 2012

Israel sells US donated Patriot Missiles to China

http://www.veteranstoday.com/2011/12/23/breaking-patriot-missiles-seized-sold-to-china-by-israel/

this is what Israel does behind our backs.
This is the only relationship Israel has with China

 

IAN GRAY

3:02 PM ET

March 14, 2012

Israel selling US military technology to China

Here is more news of what Israel does to the US.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/4101961.stm

 

MITTAL

11:35 AM ET

March 15, 2012

it is a dogs bite dogs world,

what a crazy world

first NEOCON jews attack China for not cooperating w/ sanction on Iran.

and every other sickos coming out of backwoods attack China for human rights volation, unfair trade practice, currency manipulation, blah blah balh, as if all 1.3 billions chinese give a damn !!!

now Morons attack jews on whatever,

China can develop its many kinds of own missiles to make your worst nightware come true w/o buying Patriot missiles from Israel.

copish,

 

BING520

12:32 PM ET

March 15, 2012

China-Israel

I don't think the author provides any convincing advantage of stronge tie between China and Israel. There is NOT much for either China or Israel to gain strategically or economically. Israel will remain a relatively small factor in Chinese economic planning. China shows little interest in expanding its influience in Middle East. China would extract better deals from Iran if Iran remains to be isolated. There is no evidence that Israel has entice China with anything concrete to form a closer tie with Israel. There's nothing compelling to show China wants a closer tie with Israel.

The author vividly describes a scene in which Chinese were awed by Israeli explanation how Israel would attck Iran to raise the oil price for China, China decided to act tough on Iran, and Iranian official was indignant and warned China is losing friends in Muslim world. I find the whole description to be silly and childish. It is more a child play than a real international politics. How would Chinese planners be so gullible and easily cowered when told that Chinese energy supply would be threatened by an attack proposed by Israel? How could Israeli seasoned diplomats believe a nice presentation has led Chinese leaders to come to Israel's aid? The Iranian diplomat responded like a school boy by virtually saying, "Well, you bad mouthed me and I am no longer your best friend."

How could it be so simple-minded? For whom did Oren Kessler's writing intend? Not a lot of high scoolers read FP.

 

AARONJA

7:43 AM ET

March 16, 2012

Israel is an insignificant country

I doubt the Chinese have any genuine interest in Israel. Israel's GDP is only 4 times that of tiny Luxembourg, a country with less than 1/2 million people, so it is not a significant economic player.

 

JBGODZILLA

1:21 PM ET

March 16, 2012

Sharon said," The Arabs have the oil, but we have the matches!"

Israel's economic or technological capabilities are of some minor but only trivial significance to China. Israel in and of itself is of no more interest to China than Belgium or Sweden or Switzerland, etc. However, the fact that a war with Iran could rapidly escalate into a nuclear war, which then could set oil fields ablaze and render them radioactive, and/or which could blockade the various straits through which oil and other goods and commodities must be pass gives Israel's concerns and intentions something to be reckoned with.
So China is concerned, as is the US, as should be everyone. Everyone should do what they can to stop an Iranian bomb program. Because one way or another Israel will stop them, because an Iranian nuke to Israel is like Hitler having a nuke. Better to nuke than be nuked.

If Iran had missiles and nukes in Cuba, Americans would be more sympathetic and understanding of Israel's fretting.

 

JOSSEFPERL

11:15 AM ET

March 18, 2012

Misguided Comparison

Any comparison between Israel's relations with United States to the one with China (like the one made in this article) is misguided. While Israel's relation with China are based solely on mutual interests (as most deplomatic relations between countries) Israel's relations with the US are much deeper as they are also based on shared values. Mr. Kessler states that the cold personal relationship between Obama and Nethaniahu is an indication of dteriorating US-Israel relation and contrast this with the warm WORDS of Israeli and Chinese officials toward each other. The US-Israel military cooperation as well as Congress support is stronger than ever. The point that this article miss is that US-Israel relation are above the personal chimestry between its leaders.

 

ELLSWORTH SPULICK

3:51 AM ET

April 12, 2012

Israeli-American relations

Recently , It's no secret that Israeli-American relations are under strain. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's visit to Barack Obama's Oval Office last week may not have been as tense as last year's, but the two leaders' uneasy body language and discordant messaging have made it clear their relations remain, at best, professional.