The Great Rumor Mill of China

Something strange is going on in Beijing. Here are the five most virulent conspiracy theories making the rounds -- and a stab at the likelihood of them panning out.

BY ISAAC STONE FISH | MARCH 22, 2012

The public hasn't seen or heard from high-ranking Communist Party leader Bo Xilai since he was sacked last week in Beijing, and the Chinese Internet has been awash with debate over what's actually going on behind palace walls. "People are nervous, there's not much information available," Bo Zhiyue, an expert on Chinese elite politics at the National University of Singapore, told AFP. "They are hungry for new information, and if there's nothing new, they will make up new information."

Speculation is rife that a coup might have happened, with the only general consensus being that something big is going on in Beijing. What follows is a curated guide to the "information" -- read: wild rumors and speculation -- floating around online in Chinese about Bo Xilai's surprising fall from grace and what his sacking means for the future of the Chinese Communist Party.

1. Bo Xilai was sacrificed in the name of party unity.

The rumor: Although Bo had widespread support in the high leadership, current President Hu Jintao and former President Jiang Zemin (who's not dead, though this was rumored, too) agreed to kick him out to facilitate a smooth power transition for Xi Jinping this fall. The 85-year old Jiang, an ally of Bo's now deceased father, turned on Bo Xilai for the good of the Communist Party.

Really?: For a party bent on showing a united front to outsiders, Bo Xilai, with his loud populism and his overt (at least for China) thirst for power, apparently proved too dangerous. Analysts sometime classify Hu Jintao as belonging to a different faction of the party than Jiang Zemin, but the two leaders have worked together to houseclean in the past; apparently cutting a deal to depose a powerful Shanghai party chief in 2006.

The source: Various Taiwanese and Hong Kong media websites that tend to mix assertion with fact when reporting on elite Chinese politics.

Likelihood: Possible but unprovable at the moment, at least until someone releases better sourcing or better documentation.

LIU JIN/AFP/Getty Images

LIU JIN/AFP/Getty Images

 

Isaac Stone Fish is an associate editor at Foreign Policy.

PESTCONTROLLERS

8:13 AM ET

March 23, 2012

Just an Assumption

Apparently, those thing were just speculation and mere assumption. Albeit, it all came from various Hong Kong and Taiwanese media websites but still a rumor mill. For, the resources of these news didn't come from any china media itself. Yet, this kind of news shouldn't also ignore because china had still unresolved Chinese civil war. So, I think Chinese people must be vigilant with regards to this issue.

 

GODFREE

8:40 AM ET

March 23, 2012

Reflection?

Excellent piece of debunking!
Of course it's also possible that Bo is enduring a period of 'reflection', just as Wen said. Higher-ups in China DO get disciplined (Xi, his dad, and even Deng all endured such ordeals) unlike the sociopaths who rule our country.

 

ASHIM10C

11:03 AM ET

March 23, 2012

Spirit of freedom is powerful

Rumour mills are like natural companion of lack of freedom of expression and democratic transformation of power. Therefore, possibilities of rumour of coup and it's suppression cannot be ruled out.
Communist China has, it's seem, a new elite, which has a new life style and value systems, which would be in conflict with even much modified and liberalised form of authoritarian communist system- not to speak of classical comminist system. Inequities created by liberalism has seemingly made China a highly stratified society with intense inner contradictions.
A power struggle as reflected in rumours is quite understandable and one would like to believe China is evolving fast and embrace radical changes like the erstwhile Soviet Russia did as iron curtain fell exposing differences between quality of life of liberal democraciesin reality and what people were fed with by communist propaganda machines.
Iron curtain in China has not dismantled yet fully. Fervent acts of gagging internet freedom shows that. But power of technology is always stronger than methods of authoritarian regimes. A movement towards freedom and liberty is natural and cannot be prevented.

 

ASHIM10C

11:03 AM ET

March 23, 2012

Spirit of freedom is powerful

Rumour mills are like natural companion of lack of freedom of expression and democratic transformation of power. Therefore, possibilities of rumour of coup and it's suppression cannot be ruled out.
Communist China has, it's seem, a new elite, which has a new life style and value systems, which would be in conflict with even much modified and liberalised form of authoritarian communist system- not to speak of classical comminist system. Inequities created by liberalism has seemingly made China a highly stratified society with intense inner contradictions.
A power struggle as reflected in rumours is quite understandable and one would like to believe China is evolving fast and embrace radical changes like the erstwhile Soviet Russia did as iron curtain fell exposing differences between quality of life of liberal democraciesin reality and what people were fed with by communist propaganda machines.
Iron curtain in China has not dismantled yet fully. Fervent acts of gagging internet freedom shows that. But power of technology is always stronger than methods of authoritarian regimes. A movement towards freedom and liberty is natural and cannot be prevented.

 

LORD_OF_BISON

3:19 PM ET

March 23, 2012

Hmm

Good piece overall, except I disagree with how this is portrayed:

"
The Epoch Times has written good stories and broken news, but on trustworthiness appears to fall somewhere between the Washington Times and Scientologynews.org. The Epoch Times also has an axe to grind here: given Zhou's role in the Falun Gong crackdown, it's a safe bet that many in that newspaper, and its shadowy backers, would be happy to see him go.
"

-- Come on now, has the author read Epoch Times? I think it's fairly safe to say that Falun Gong has played a role at that newspaper due to the stories that are covered, but as someone whose read the newspaper for some time, there's no "shadowy" agenda there and throwing a comparison to Scientology is just unfair. There is good reporting on China in that paper.

This whole paragraph seems like it was created to sensationalize, and/or the author is relying too much on Wikipedia for his sources.

One more thing: You do realize that there's been massive human rights violations perpetrated against Falun Gong practitioners, right? This includes torture, rape, summary executions, forced labor, and the works. I mean, there's even been allegations of organ harvesting in the past 5 years.

 

SPOOD

3:29 PM ET

March 23, 2012

Rumor mills are to be expected

When you have a country without freedom of the press and the official sources are known for spinning propaganda and misinformation, rumor mills grow like flowers in manure.

People feel they are the most reliable source of information in a society which is not know for providing such things. Whether any of the stories is true or not, it is another sign that China is not an open society and that you can't take stories about its government at face value.

 

TOCHARIAN

11:30 PM ET

March 24, 2012

Crouching Tension, Hidden Anger

According to a recent news report, Senior Chinese official Li Changchun has called for efforts to boost the country's cartoon industry and promote the industry's competitiveness see: http://eng.chinamil.com.cn/news-channels/today-headlines/2012-03/18/content_4813277.htm
Perhaps publishing satirical cartoons about the present political turmoil and uneasiness in the central media organs, such as "The People's Daily" and "Xinhua" and "Global Times" of the Chinese Communist Party might defuse the "Crouching Tension, Hidden Anger" scenario that seems to be brewing up in the country (as an older person I remember quite well the purge of the reactionary Gang of Four) I'm glad that Mao Xinyu attended the CPCC session. As his Grandpa said: “The feudal landlord class was the main social base of imperialist rule in China, while the peasants were the main force of the Chinese revolution. If help was not given to the peasants in overthrowing the feudal landlord class, then a strong force of the Chinese revolution could not be organized to overthrow imperialist rule. Therefore, the peasant problem becomes the basic problem of the Chinese revolution. In order to lead the Chinese revolution to victory, the proletariat, with Chinese characteristics, had to mobilize and arm the peasants, carry out the land revolution with scientific outlook and build solid revolutionary base areas in the countryside, (hukou or dipiao)"

 

SEKONGSEKONG

3:21 AM ET

March 29, 2012

Bo Xilai resume

Bo Xilai, male, Han nationality, July 1949 born, with tonsillitis,the Dingxiang people,

in October 1980 to join the party, to work in January 1968, the Chinese Academy of

Social Sciences, Graduate School of International News graduate, graduate degree,

Master of Arts. 2007 as a member of the Politburo of the Chongqing Municipal

Committee, the Standing Committee, secretary (to March 2012), Minister of Commerce

(December 2007).March 15, 2012, the CPC Central Committee decided to Bo Xilai comrades

no longer serve as the Chongqing Municipal Committee, Standing Committee member.

 

TWEETREE

5:35 AM ET

April 1, 2012

Addiction treatment center

China also punished two popular microblogs and closed 16 websites for spreading rumours of "military vehicles entering Beijing and something wrong going on in Beijing", the official Xinhua news agency said, citing the state Internet information office.

Police arrested six people, while the country's two most popular microblogs, run by Sina.com and Tencent, said they would stop users from posting comments to other people's posts until Tuesday.

The crackdown follows a surge in unsubstantiated online rumours about a coup led by security chief Zhou Yongkang, following the March dismissal of rising political star Bo Xilai, which has become a major political scandal in China.

Analysts say the political drama has exposed divisions in the ruling Communist Party as it prepares for a key leadership transition later this year.

Mr Bo, removed as party chief of the southwestern metropolis of Chongqing after his former police chief fled to a US consulate and reportedly demanded political asylum, had been tipped to join the country's top echelons of power. addiction treatment center

His downfall was only lightly covered by China's tightly controlled state media, prompting rumours about a coup to spread on the internet.

 

LUPE IGLEHART

8:27 PM ET

April 20, 2012

leader Bo Xilai

I know that, Bo Guagua has also been scrutinized for his connections to the late Neil Heywood, a British businessman living in China who was close with the family, the Harvard Crimson reported. Gu Kailai, Guagua’s mother, was arrested as a suspect in Heywood's murder earlier in April.
Heywood is thought to have served as a mentor to Guagua, helping him get admitted to the prestigious English secondary school Harrow, as well as to Oxford University, the Crimson reported, but he and his mother are reported to both have had a falling out with Heywood.