An expert’s point of view on a current event.
Argument
List of Argument articles
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A man in a hi-vis yellow shirt and hard hat walks by a Bradly Fighting Vehicle. How to Fix America’s Broken Arsenal
The defense establishment has severe knowledge gaps about its own, aging industrial base.
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U.S. President Donald Trump and South Korean President Lee Jae Myung, both wearing dark suits, walk together in the Gyeongju National Museum. The room has both red and gray carpet, wooden beams, and features a row of alternating South Korean and U.S. flags. South Korea’s Nuclear Latency May Be Washington’s Least Bad Option
With U.S. extended deterrence under strain, managing Seoul’s nuclear hedging may be safer than trying to stop it.
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U.S. President Donald Trump, followed by deputy chief of staff Stephen Miller and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, after speaking to the press following U.S. military action in Venezuela, at his Mar-a-Lago residence in Palm Beach, Florida. Trump Has a Strategy for Venezuela
It is designed to avoid repeating the mistakes of Iraq and Afghanistan.
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A painting shows soldiers on two sides firing rifles at each other with slain soldiers lying in heaps on either side and in the middle of the clash. The soldiers on the left wear uniforms with green jackets and fly a Mexican flag; on the right, American soldiers in blue jackets advance under their flag. James Polk’s Warning for Donald Trump
The Mexican-American War offers sobering reminders of the current U.S. intervention in Venezuela.
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A massive submarine parked on land within a scaffolded structure is seen from the front. Workers cross a catwalk stretching over the submarine, clearly visible against a pale gray sky. Russia’s Military Procurement Is a Warning for Europe
Putin’s order books reveal plans for conflict well beyond Ukraine
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A man holds a painting depicting U.S. President Donald Trump during a protest against U.S. intervention in Venezuela, in Buenos Aires. Trump Might Have His Hubris Checked in Venezuela
The president has launched a violent process of change that he can’t fully control.
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A protester holds up a sign depicting U.S. President Donald Trump’s signature hair atop the outline of Greenland during a demonstration near the U.S. Consulate building outside Nuuk, Greenland. Annexing Greenland Would Be a Strategic Catastrophe
Any attempt by the United States to claim the island would quickly spiral out of control.
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George W. Bush proclaims mission accomplished in Iraq Donald Trump Is Channeling George W. Bush
Iraq showed that removing a dictator isn’t the same thing as overcoming a dictatorship.
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Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping, both wearing dark suits, walk in front of a line of Chinese soldiers dressed in uniform, sporting rifles. The Real Reason China and Russia Won’t Try a Maduro-Style Raid
U.S. rivals aren’t deterred by norms so much as by the limits of their own militaries.
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A plume of black smoke and orange fire billows from a sprawling midrise building complex. Dark shadows of mountains loom in the distance beneath a dim sky. A large building in the foothills of the mountains is lit up in the colors of the Venezuelan flag—yellow, blue, and red. U.S. Airpower Can’t Run Venezuela
Any attempt to govern the nation’s future will need collaborators on the ground.
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A person wearing a large Trump mask holds a gun in one hand and an oil container in the other. The Political Incoherence of Trump’s Venezuela Gambit
The greatest beneficiaries of his actions may be America’s biggest rivals.
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From right: U.S. President Donald Trump, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, CIA Director John Ratcliffe, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth monitor U.S. military operations in Venezuela from Trump's Mar-a-Lago resort in Palm Beach, Florida, on Jan. 3. Venezuela Might Be Where Trump’s Luck Runs Out
The president keeps threading the needle between the extremely hawkish and dovish factions of his base.
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A mural at the PDVSA headquarters shows men working at Venezuela's oil refineries, in Caracas, on September 13, 2023. Why ‘Taking’ Venezuela’s Oil Hurts U.S. Energy Security
Washington’s long-term interests require a smooth political transition in Caracas, not short-sighted mercantilism.
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Local residents stand next to damaged residential buildings following a Russian air strike in Kharkiv, Ukraine, on Jan. 2. Ukraine’s Fate in 2026 Will Define the International Order
A flimsy peace would legitimize conquest. A durable one could still salvage deterrence.
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U.S. President Donald Trump and first lady Melania Trump arrive for a New Year’s Eve event at his Mar-a-Lago home on December 31, 2025 in Palm Beach, Florida. New Year’s Resolutions for Global VIPs
Some tailored advice for international elites in 2026.
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