In "The Dark Side of China's Rise" (March/April 2006), Minxin Pei
described a country fraught with corruption, riddled with waste, and
crippled by leaders who care more about riches than reform. That
portrayal ruffled the feathers of those who believe China is the
world's next superpower. Which is it? In this FPRoundtable, a handful of prominent scholars scrutinize whether China is rising or falling.
Albert Einstein claimed he never thought of the future. "It comes soon
enough," he said. Foreign Policy decided to not grant 16 leading thinkers
that luxury. Instead, to mark our 35th anniversary, we asked them to speculate
on the ideas, values, and institutions the world takes for granted that may
disappear in the next 35 years. Their answers range from fields as diverse as
morals and religion to geopolitics and technology. We may be happy to see some
of these "endangered species" make an exit, but others will be mourned.
All of them will leave a mark.
The third annual CGD/FP Commitment to Development Index ranks the
generosity of 21 rich nations on how they help or hinder the poor. The
rich hand out vast sums of foreign aid, but they also put up enormous
barriers to trade. They selflessly send soldiers to keep the peace, but
then sell arms to Third World thugs. In the end, are the rich doing
more harm than good?
The fifth annual A.T. Kearney/Foreign Policy Globalization Index shows
that global integration survived the turbulence of the Iraq war, a
sharp economic downturn, and the failure of trade talks. Our ranking of
political, economic, personal, and technological globalization in 62
countries reveals that the world is still coming together. Find out
who's up, who's down, and how they got there.
Is China more interested in money than missiles? Will the United States
seek to contain China as it once contained the Soviet Union? Zbigniew
Brzezinski and John Mearsheimer go head-to-head on whether these two
great powers are destined to fight it out.
BY ZBIGNIEW BRZEZINSKI, JOHN J. MEARSHEIMER|JANUARY 5, 2005