Uganda feels the heat from South Sudan

When South Sudan became the world's youngest nation in 2011, we greeted it with excitement. Decades of warfare were finally over. We praised Sudan for allowing the South to go, and we praised President Omar Al-Bashir for handling the separation calmly, despite losing the country's oil sources.

For Uganda, the successful peace talks and the creation of a new state meant that the Sudanese refugees long residing in refugee camps in Uganda would soon return home. (The photo above shows refugees returning to South Sudan from Uganda last year.)  Most importantly, it meant that Khartoum would end the support it had been giving Joseph Kony, the leader of the Lord's Resistance Army (LRA). Since the 2006 peace talks (initiated by Riek Machar, the current vice president of South Sudan), northern Uganda has seen relative peace.

We heard stories of the lost boys of Sudan, about the atrocities they suffered, and we were happy that they could finally rebuild their lives. We hoped that both stability and development would return to the region.

However, the excitement was short-lived. In the last couple of months, Sudan and South Sudan have been engaged in diplomatic feuds, and now the two countries are on the brink of war. South Sudan has accused Sudan of bombing the oil-rich border region. Political analysts in both countries warned of a conflict back in 2011, but the world didn't listen. Instead the international community chose to focus on the creation of the new country.

When South Sudan captured the disputed oil town of Heglig from Sudan last month, the situation moved a step closer to all-out war, a war that could destabilize the larger region. Under international pressure, South Sudan withdrew from the oil town, but media reports say Khartoum continues to bomb its southern neighbor.

In Uganda, we've been keeping a close watch on the conflict. A war between the two Sudans is likely to bring a return of Joseph Kony into northern Uganda. When the Sudan People's Liberation Army (SPLA) was engaged in a civil war with the Khartoum government, Uganda supported the rebel group. In retaliation, Khartoum supported Kony's LRA. So a spike in conflict between the two Sudans is likely to reignite those old alliances.

Various high-ranking military officials in Uganda have stated that Uganda could be pulled into the war in order to protect its citizens. An army spokesman declared that intelligence reports have showed that Joseph Kony has already made contact with Khartoum.

Kony has been on the run for over 26 years, creating havoc wherever he goes. The Ugandan army has failed to capture him; some critics say the government benefits from his status as an outlaw. When the world retaliated against terrorism, Uganda was quick to name him a terrorist and enlist U.S. help. Years later, and millions of dollars spent, Kony is still on the run.

The U.S. Special Forces sent to Uganda in October 2011 to assist in the hunt for Kony have admitted that tracking him in the jungles of the Democratic Republic of Congo is difficult. The problems they have encountered include dense vegetation that blocks the electronic signals from their equipment, thereby restricting their ability to use hi-tech gadgets to track the outlaws.

Moreover, it's reported that Kony and his commanders have halted the use of high-frequency radios and satellite phones and are using runners to deliver messages instead, making it hard to intercept their communications.

Therefore, with Kony on the loose, and the two Sudans on the brink of war, Uganda has reason to be worried about its security. The repercussions are great: economic activities with South Sudan are already affected, and the number of South Sudanese fleeing back into Uganda is increasing. Leaders from South Sudan have reportedly appealed to Uganda to intervene, playing on the fear of Kony's return. And if it feels threatened, Uganda is quite capable of engaging in war.

MARC HOFER/AFP/Getty Images

Democracy Lab

Indonesia's president prepares a mysterious apology

When President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono leaves office in 2014, one legacy he hopes to leave behind is an Indonesia that is truly committed to upholding and observing human rights, now fully enshrined in the nation's constitution.

His chief legal advisor, Albert Hasibuan, recently disclosed that the president has asked a team to prepare the text of a formal public apology for all the human rights violations that the state has committed against its own citizens. While he did not give any specific details, Hasibuan said the apology, to be issued before 2014, would cover all the tragic events in which the state was the main perpetrator, going as far back as the 1960s.

Given Indonesia's poor record in upholding human rights, at least until the departure of dictator Soeharto in 1998, this is a noble presidential gesture. A public apology will not only send a powerful message that the state will no longer commit such atrocities but will also bind future administrations to respect and observe human rights. And Indonesia's own citizens are not the only ones who will take note.

A public apology will also give Indonesia a clean slate after so many years of being haunted by its ugly past. The state has been responsible for the deaths of hundreds of thousands of its own citizens -- if not millions -- because of their political beliefs.

Although it is rare for the state to apologize for past misdeeds against its own citizens, it is not totally unprecedented. Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd issued an apology in 2008 for the decades of atrocities committed by the state against the Aborigines.

It is unclear whether President Yudhoyono took his cue from Rudd, but the reaction of the Indonesian public when Hasibuan announced the plan for a public apology has been largely indifferent. A few responses came from human rights activists who welcomed the plan, while victims of past atrocities (or their traumatized relatives) postponed any judgment until they heard more about it.

There is good reason for the cold public reception to the plan. Most, if not all, of the atrocities have never been acknowledged by the state. Since there are no official records, they never happened. So, what exactly is the state apologizing for?

The military's massive purge of the Indonesian Communist Party (PKI) in 1965-66 -- of its members, supporters and even their relatives -- reached genocidal proportions, with estimates ranging from 300,000 to 1.5 million deaths, but these horror stories have largely been erased from the nation's collective memory. No official has ever gone to jail for what today would clearly fall under the UN category of a crime against humanity, if not outright genocide.

The country's official history and school textbooks make no mention of the wholesale killings of people suspected of having even a hint of linkage to the communist movement. Though many of the victims and perpetrators are still alive today, most people are simply too traumatized to revisit the events and reopen old wounds.

Nor has Indonesia officially come to terms with the atrocities the state committed in dealing with insurgencies in Papua, East Timor (now Timor Leste), and Aceh. As the state fought armed rebellions in these territories, systematic killings and tortures against unarmed civilians were part and parcel of official policy. And in between these episodes, there were the killings, kidnappings, and disappearances of pro-democracy activists and Islamists during the three-decades of Soeharto's dictatorship.

In 2004, the House of Representatives came up with legislation mandating the establishment of a truth and reconciliation commission modeled on the post-apartheid South Africa. Yudhoyono, however, scrapped the plan as soon as he moved into the presidential office the same year, arguing that the plan had too many constitutional loopholes for it to be implemented.

All of which raises some fundamental questions: Why is the president now considering a public apology? Is he willing to go the distance in reopening the cases, thus reliving the national trauma with all the political and legal consequences? Or how far will he allow the investigation to go before it leads, almost inevitably, to the role played by his father-in-law, the late General Sarwo Edhie Wibowo, in leading the military campaign to crush the communist movement in 1965-66?

It could be, of course, that President Yudhoyono is intending to issue a blanket apology that avoids getting bogged down in specific details, and hopes that this will suffice as his legacy. But if the declaration bypasses establishing painful truths about tragedies in which the state was the chief perpetrator, this would not only make the apology sound hollow, but would also deprive Indonesians of valuable lessons they might otherwise learn. Finding the truth could also help to stop the seemingly endless cycle of violence that has continued to plague modern Indonesia decade after decade.

It was George Santayana who said, "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it." Coming to terms with the past may be painful, but it's hard to imagine how Indonesia can become a genuinely healthy society without it.

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