Oli Scarff/Getty Images
Great Britain
Economic damage: The financial crisis has gotten so
severe in Britain that it
has earned London a new nickname in the international media: Reykjavik-on-Thames. The question in Britain is no
longer when the economy will enter a recession, but when it will enter a
depression, with many bracing for a slump that could rival the 1930s in
severity. GDP fell 1.5 percent in the fourth quarter of 2008, and the European
Union estimates it will contract another 2.8 percent in 2009. Unemployment is
projected to balloon to more than 8 percent by year's end, and an estimated 23
percent of adult Britons currently consider their debt level "unmanageable."
The British downturn is especially severe because the U.K.
is more dependent on its financial sector than most developed economies. All
told, British banks currently hold about $4.4 trillion in foreign debt (which,
until recently, included a large amount of Iceland's debt). For a $2.1
trillion economy, that's a heavy load to bear.
Political
fallout: Prime Minister Gordon Brown initially earned voters'
confidence by seizing a leading international role in the response to the crisis
but, as the recession deepened, British sentiment has turned against the
government. A recent poll showed that almost 6 in 10 Britons think the latest
economic recovery measures will fail and gave the opposition Tories a 15-point
edge over Brown's Labour Party.
The government has already nationalized much of its
financial sector, and investors fear that another round of nationalization might
be around the corner. Government intervention has become so pervasive that
nearly half of the economy will consist of state spending in the coming year. This,
in turn, has earned Britain
another nickname: Soviet Britain.
ILMARS ZNOTINS/AFP/Getty Images
Latvia
Economic damage: Latvia
is arguably the one country that most resembles Iceland, and not just because of
the cold climate. The small, developing country's lofty growth rates in recent
years were fueled by heavy investment from elsewhere in Europe,
massive foreign debt, booming consumption, and minimal savings. After growing
at an extraordinary 12.2 percent rate in 2006, Latvia's economy is now the weakest
of the 27 EU member states. A European Commission report forecast that Latvia's
GDP is set to contract 6.9 percent in 2009 and a further 2.4 percent in 2010,
with unemployment climbing into the double digits by next year. The International
Monetary Fund has approved a $7.3 billion bailout package for Latvia, but a
long road to recovery remains.
With financial markets tightening and housing markets
crashing down to earth, Latvian businesses have ground to a halt and the
government has been forced to cut services to the bone. A new program will
involve a 25 percent cut in the state budget, 15 percent wage reductions, and
widespread layoffs.
Political fallout: The financial crisis threatens not only
Latvians' livelihoods, but it also poses a danger to their nascent democratic
system. The government's popularity currently sits at about 10 percent. In the
largest protests since the rallies against Soviet rule in the 1980s, more than
10,000 Latvians gathered earlier this month in the capital of Riga to protest the government's
mismanagement of the economy. Some demonstrations turned violent, as angry
youths threw rocks and eggs at police and lobbed cobblestones at the Parliament
building.
The government has initiated a crackdown of its own,
unleashing its security forces against those guilty of economic pessimism. When
a university lecturer speculated that the crisis might cause a devaluation in Latvia's
currency, he was arrested and held in jail for two days.
Milos Bicanski/Getty Images
Greece
Economic damage:
The Greek economy, burdened by a debt-to-GDP ratio of more than 90 percent, is
one of the shakiest in the European Union. The adoption of the euro had
previously fueled Greece's
economic boom, but it is now one of the primary obstacles to getting the
country out from underneath its massive debt. The typical method countries use
to alleviate their debt is to depreciate their currency, lessening the real
value of their liabilities. But with a single currency in use across the euro zone,
Greece
no longer controls its own monetary policy. Faced with the strain of falling
tax revenues and the need to fund a bailout program, Greece could be forced to withdraw
from the euro zone or default on its debt.
Standard & Poor's cut the country's sovereign debt
rating earlier this month due to concerns over its rising deficit. Now, Greece must pay 5.6 percent to finance its
10-year debt, 2.5 percentage points more than Germany. As the financial crisis
continues, expect the rift between the haves and the have-nots in the EU to
widen further.
Political fallout: Outrage over a police shooting
spilled over into widespread rioting throughout Greece in December. More than 150
banks were targeted by youths during the first days of the riots. Greece's bleak
economic situation is widely considered to be the underlying cause of the
unrest. Greek banks had invested heavily in development in the Balkans and,
with the onset of the financial crisis, found themselves dangerously
overextended. The center-right government was forced to bail them out, but at
the cost of drawing funds from social welfare programs. The image of the Greek
government handing bags full of money to wealthy financiers while services were
cut for the general populace has decimated the government's credibility.